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DaltonKincaid/Keon Coleman...over/under 119.5 combined receptions???  

177 members have voted

  1. 1. Over/Under 119.5 combined receptions?

    • Over
      103
    • Under
      74


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Posted
3 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

 

IMHO - The only reason it could be under is if injuries cause it.  Keon has been the featured WR all camp and by all reports the best WR in camp.  He was on pace for 1,000 yards last year before he got hurt against the Dolphins.  And all everyone has talked about all offseason and camp is how Keon is not the same player and a lot better now than he was last year.  Kincaid was slowed by knee issues last year too in his 2nd year and people forget as a rookie he had the 4th most catches for a rookie TE in history.  

 

Now we are in year 2 of Bradys full offense, Keon and Kincaid are healthy and have more experience with Allen, and are both going to be focal points of the offense more so than even last year.  So I have no doubts it will be over personally, assuming they don't miss time of course.  

I can agree with the logic you employ with almost everything except the "Keon and Kincaid are healthy" line of thinking.  Kincaid hardly ever seems completely healthy and even when he is it's short lived.  I absolutely agree that if they are both healthy 120 catches would be achievable and Kincaid would be the lions share of those catches but using the phrase no doubt to describe an outcome dictated by Kincaid's health is where I lose faith.  I still think this offense works and works well and even feel pretty confident Keon will do most of what his part would be but I can't say there's no doubt Kincaid will get 70 or 80 catches. 

Posted
On 7/12/2025 at 12:08 PM, H2o said:

I'm taking the under. I'm thinking closer to 100 between the two 

i think it's just under myself

 

if we grant them both an 18% target share of 520 attempts (which is imo a little too high for Coleman who should be behind both Kincaid and Shakir w Samuel/Palmer likely eating into that figure as well), at their respective catch rates (50% and 70%) they end up at 113 between them

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