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Is our 21st pick more valuable than our 22 pick in a trade down?


simpleman

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7 hours ago, KelsaysLunchbox said:

All depends on how the draft falls. Lets say a guy like Vita Vea slips to the 17-19 range. Would love to give up pick 21 and an extra pick...perhaps a second or 3rd and grab him. Then trade 22 back and pick up an extra pick or 2 to make up for it and take White or Lauletta in the 2nd as long as we have a vet in place at QB.

Assuming you are willing to gamble that you can find a trade partner to make it up, it might make an interesting gamble to do this. You either end up looking brilliant or looking foolish, depending on how the gamble works out

 

 

 

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11 hours ago, simpleman said:

Does our first 1st round pick actually have more value to other teams than our 2nd first round pick? I realize the draft points trade chart assigns it more value, but does it have more practical value to the other team unless they believe we will trade both picks, or the trade partner believes we want the same player as them. In a trade down situation, unless we believe the trade  partner wants the exact same player as we do, why would we not trade our first pick, rather than our 2nd,  and get 20 extra points?

 I have begun to think that if Mayfield does not magically drop, maybe we should trade down to get a QB. I just can't see using a 21 or 22 pick on the likes of a Rudolph , Jackson, Lauletta. White or others. The top 3 are out of reach. If you really want one of the non top 4  that badly,  it seems you could assuredly get them with a very late 1 or an early 2 and get some badly needed extra picks to fill out our many critical needs on offense and defense. Would NFL teams really put much value on the difference between our two picks when they are one after the other?

Do you wipe before you poop?

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9 hours ago, SouthNYfan said:

 

Why would we be trading down?

Your name is "simpleman" yet your post is anything but that.

Seriously though, trade down?

  This spring's draft is shaping up so there could be plenty of value in the picks 23 down through 90 for the Bills.  A lot of years even the 2nd round pick and down are sketchy in terms of matching players ideal for a given team.   Most of the time it is an assessment of the player's measurable's versus fit.  Sometimes it even happens in the first round such as it was for us concerning Eric Flowers back in 2000.  Anyhow there is a real chance the draft could yield 5 starters or more come opening day this September.   On average you hope your first two picks start opening day with your third rounder contributing and fourth rounder a reliever for a starter.  If you can have a 1979 or 1987 style draft where you yield multiple starters good things lay ahead even if you have to miss out on one high profile player.  

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