buffalohotwings Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 (edited) NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage FITZ TDs 23.5 # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 Wang starts 2.5 Merriman sacks 3.5 Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) Division wins 2.5 Moats sacks 4.5 Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) Easley yds 475 Easley tds 3.5 # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 Maybin sacks .5 Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) Bills Probowlers 2.5 # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) copy/paste and write OVER/UNDER next to each, explanations welcome Edited May 10, 2011 by buffalohotwings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffalohotwings Posted May 10, 2011 Author Share Posted May 10, 2011 (edited) Here is last year's: Bills 5.5 Wins UNDER:4 Leodis 3.5 INTS UNDER: 2 Division wins 1.5 UNDER: 1 (at Miami) Spiller TDs 6.5 UNDER 0 Wang starts 3.5 UNDER 0 Brohm starts 4.5 UNDER 1 Hardy TDs 1.5 UNDER 0 Best QB 8.5 TDs OVER 23 Games Trent Starts but does not finish 2.5 UNDER 1 (at NE i think) Wood Starts 10.5 OVER Total Passing TDs 14.5 OVER 23 Maybin Sacks (OLB) 1.5 UNDER 0 Byrd INTS 4.5 UNDER 1 (he did have 3 FF tho) Draft pick 2011 spot 5th (over is higher i.e. 4th) OVER 4th Pretty disappointing overall except TDs thrown Edited May 10, 2011 by buffalohotwings Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CodeMonkey Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 (edited) NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) Under - Neither side stupid enough to throw away 9.5 Billion (I hope) CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING Under CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage Under FITZ TDs 23.5 Over If both passing and rushing # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 Over Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 Over Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 Over Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 Under Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 Under Wang starts 2.5 Under Merriman sacks 3.5 Over Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) Under (That is an excellent O/U number, I'm thinking 6 or 7 with some luck) Division wins 2.5 Under Moats sacks 4.5 Under Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) Under # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) Under Easley yds 475 Over Easley tds 3.5 Under # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 Over # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 Over Maybin sacks .5 Over Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) Over Bills Probowlers 2.5 Under # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) Over Edited May 10, 2011 by CodeMonkey Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billshank Redemption Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 (edited) NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all)-Over CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING-Under CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage-Over FITZ TDs 23.5-Over # Fitz game winning drives 1.5-Over Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5-Under Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5-Over (i hope under) Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5-Over Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5-Under Wang starts 2.5-Under Merriman sacks 3.5-Over Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now)-Under Division wins 2.5-Under Moats sacks 4.5-Over Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better)-Over # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE)-Under Easley yds 475-Over Easley tds 3.5-Under # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5-Over # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5-Over Maybin sacks .5-Over Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?)-Over Bills Probowlers 2.5-Over # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers)-Over I hope people dont think im a pessimist were not ready yet but we will be soon. Edited May 10, 2011 by letsgobills46 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Matt in KC Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) Over CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING Under CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage Under FITZ TDs 23.5 Under # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 Over Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 Under Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 Over Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 Under Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 Under Wang starts 2.5 Under Merriman sacks 3.5 Under Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) Over Agree with earlier poster, this is a good number. My guess is 7-8 wins if there is a full season Division wins 2.5 Under Moats sacks 4.5 Under Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) Under # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) Under Easley yds 475 Under Easley tds 3.5 Under # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 Over # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 Over Maybin sacks .5 Over Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) Over Bills Probowlers 2.5 Under # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) Over Overall what guided most of my answers is a belief the defense will be much better, but a guess that the offense will slip. I suspect Fitz may get beat up and miss time, and I don't like our odds at producing if he's out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffalohotwings Posted May 10, 2011 Author Share Posted May 10, 2011 NFL Week one on schedule OVER=After or not at all UNDER CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING OVER CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage OVER (920 yds 600 receiving) FITZ TDs 23.5 OVER # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 UNDER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 UNDER Terence McGee missed games due to inj UNDER 2.5 Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 UNDER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 UNDER Wang starts 2.5 UNDER Merriman sacks 3.5 UNDER Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) UNDER Division wins 2.5 OVER Moats sacks 4.5 UNDER Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) OVER # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) UNDER Easley yds 475 OVER Easley tds 3.5 OVER # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 UNDER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 OVER Maybin sacks .5 UNDER Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) UNDER-what the hell i'll go with no beard this year Bills Probowlers 2.5 UNDER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
McBeane Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 (edited) NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) Under.. maybe wishful thinking here CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING Under CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage Under FITZ TDs 23.5 Over # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 Over Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 Over (thinking 10+ again) Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 Over Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 Over (my guess is he gets in around week 12-13) Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 Over (he should dress for 10+ IMO) Wang starts 2.5 Under Merriman sacks 3.5 Over (if he can stay healthy for at least 10 games) Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) Over (I wouldn't be shocked to see us get 8 with any luck) Division wins 2.5 Under (2 is my gut) Moats sacks 4.5 Over (kid has a lot of talent and desire. Crazy prediction - Pro Bowl, yeah I said it) Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) Over (I'm expecting no lower than 22-24) # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) Under (4 is a good guess) Easley yds 475 Over Easley tds 3.5 Over (4-5 would be a huge success and is a legitimate possibility) # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 Over (DROY) # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 Over (finally has someone else on the line worthy of gameplanning against) Maybin sacks .5 Under (duh) Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) Over (I will be MAD if he doesn't bring back the beard) Bills Probowlers 2.5 Under (I'm thinking 2) # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) Over (Dareus, Williams, Sheppard) nice thread by the way, this is pretty fun to speculate about. Edited May 10, 2011 by Marcellosaurus Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
deep2evans Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 for the record, spiller didn't have 0 TDs last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Senator Posted May 10, 2011 Share Posted May 10, 2011 NFL Week one on schedule - Yes there will be a Saints/Packers game on Sept. 8th CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING - WAY OVER CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage - WAY OVER FITZ TDs 23.5 - OVER # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 - OVER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 - OVER Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 - UNDER Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 - UNDER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 - UNDER Wang starts 2.5 - OVER Merriman sacks 3.5 - OVER Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) - 19 AND 0 BABY!!!! Division wins 2.5 - SEE ABOVE Moats sacks 4.5 - OVER Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) - UNDER # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) - OVER Easley yds 475 - OVER Easley tds 3.5 - OVER # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 - OVER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 - OVER Maybin sacks .5 - Could you possibly set the bar a bit lower? Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) - OVER Bills Probowlers 2.5 - WAY OVER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) - WAY OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buffalohotwings Posted May 11, 2011 Author Share Posted May 11, 2011 for the record, spiller didn't have 0 TDs last year. Oops, I forgot he scored on special teams. Here is where I found the "0": http://www.nfl.com/players/c.j.spiller/profile?id=SPI347627 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KD in CA Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 (edited) NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) UNDER/YES CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING OVER (barely, and assumes a committment to get him equal carries with FJ) CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage UNDER FITZ TDs 23.5 UNDER, offense will still struggle at times # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 OVER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 UNDER (his stats will be down across the board v. last season) Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 OVER Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 UNDER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 UNDER -- I like the story, but I think he's year away from contributing. Wang starts 2.5 UNDER -- Zero starts Merriman sacks 3.5 UNDER-- This will be over if he stays healthy, which I doubt. Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) OVER, I'm going with a Jauronesque 7-9 prediction. Division wins 2.5 UNDER -- sorry, still no W against the Pats. Moats sacks 4.5 UNDER -- No idea on this one Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) OVER (WORSE THAN) 18 -- D will improve, but not that much # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) UNDER -- it'll be just 4. Easley yds 475 UNDER -- no reason to think a guy who wasn't on the field at all last year will put up more than token #s. Easley tds 3.5 UNDER -- ditto # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 OVER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 UNDER Maybin sacks GAMES DRESSED .5 UNDER Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) Bills Probowlers 2.5 UNDER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) UNDER Here's last years -- I at least had more right than wrong! Edited May 11, 2011 by KD in CT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jumbalaya Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 (edited) Great Post. NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING -- Under CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage -- Under, the dude has shown nothing FITZ TDs 23.5 - Over - will be the only thing going on offense # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 -- Over he gets two Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5-- Under -- Stevie's hands of stone re-appear Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 -- Over - won't make 10 Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 -- Over - starts by week 8 Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 -- Under - practice squad till last game Wang starts 2.5 - Under - Sit on it. Merriman sacks 3.5 -- Over - Get 7 or more Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) - -Under - 4 Division wins 2.5 -- under - 1 Moats sacks 4.5 -- over - 6 Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) Over -- 23 # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) - under - 2 Easley yds 475 Under dude has yet to catch a pass. Easley tds 3.5 Under see above # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 Under - he gets 4 sacks all year, 3 in one game # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 - Under -- overrated Maybin sacks .5 Over - breakout he gets one Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) - Under who cares, he is not the SF reliever Bills Probowlers 2.5 Under - one # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers - Over - dareus, williams and sheppard Edited May 11, 2011 by jumbalaya Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NewEra Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 Dam Senator. WAY OVER for Spillers rushing yards huh? How many yards and carries do you expect out of him this year? I could see it if Fred gets hurt and misses a lot of time, but if he's healthy, I cant see CJ getting over 500. Freds a dynamic player, IMO, and needs to get the ball a ton. Spiller is dynamic in his own way, but he's still learning the ropes while Fred is at his best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sfladave Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING UNDER CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage UNDER FITZ TDs 23.5 UNDER # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 OVER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 OVER Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 OVER Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 OVER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 UNDER Wang starts 2.5 UNDER Merriman sacks 3.5 OVER Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) OVER Division wins 2.5 OVER Moats sacks 4.5 OVER Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) UNDER # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) UNDER Easley yds 475 UNDER Easley tds 3.5 UNDER # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 OVER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 OVER Maybin sacks .5 UNDER Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) OVER Bills Probowlers 2.5 OVER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thebandit27 Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) UNDER CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING UNDER - but not much CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage UNDER - but not much FITZ TDs 23.5 UNDER # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 OVER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 UNDER Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 OVER - in fact, way over Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 UNDER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 UNDER Wang starts 2.5 UNDER Merriman sacks 3.5 OVER Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) OVER - going with 7 Division wins 2.5 OVER - going with 3 Moats sacks 4.5 UNDER Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) UNDER - but not much # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) OVER Easley yds 475 UNDER - in fact, way under Easley tds 3.5 UNDER # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 OVER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 UNDER - 9.5 TFLs would be a great season total, he'd need 10 just to make the over here, I don't see it happening Maybin sacks .5 UNDER - he ain't makin' the team Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) OVER - the beard was too popular Bills Probowlers 2.5 UNDER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) OVER - ain't no way that Dareus won't start from day 1, so unless he gets hurt (knock on wood)... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Senator Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 Dam Senator. WAY OVER for Spillers rushing yards huh? How many yards and carries do you expect out of him this year? I could see it if Fred gets hurt and misses a lot of time, but if he's healthy, I cant see CJ getting over 500. Freds a dynamic player, IMO, and needs to get the ball a ton. Spiller is dynamic in his own way, but he's still learning the ropes while Fred is at his best. JMO, but the thing about CJ is that, if the o-line starts creating holes for him to run through (and if he starts hitting them), his explosive speed makes him impossible to catch in the open field. If that starts happening, I can easily see CJ getting 1500 or more yards rushing - even as a healthy Fred Jackson gets 1000 yards of his own! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mark Long Beach Posted May 11, 2011 Share Posted May 11, 2011 NFL Week one on schedule (OVER=After or not at all) UNDER CJ Spiller 800 yds RUSHING UNDER CJ Spiller 1500 yds from scrimmage UNDER FITZ TDs 23.5 OVER # Fitz game winning drives 1.5 OVER Stevie Johnson TDs 8.5 UNDER Terence McGee missed games due to injury 2.5 OVER Chris Hairston starts at RT 3.5 UNDER Michael Jasper games dressed 2.5 UNDER Wang starts 2.5 UNDER Merriman sacks 3.5 OVER Bills wins 6.5 (optimism is high right now) UNDER Division wins 2.5 OVER Moats sacks 4.5 OVER Defensive Total Rank 18 (under is better) UNDER # home wins 4.5 (Oak, PHI, WASH-TOR, DEN, TEN, MIA, NYJ, NE) UNDER Easley yds 475 OVER Easley tds 3.5 UNDER # Games Dareus makes tackle for loss 6.5 OVER # Games K Will makes tackle for loss 9.5 OVER Maybin sacks .5 UNDER Fitz beard length week 17: 1/8 inch (will he grow one again?) OVER Bills Probowlers 2.5 UNDER # rooks start by game 5: 2.5 (williams, dareus, shepperd, hairston, searcy, white, white, jasper, rogers) OVER Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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