soljc Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 Ok, thanks to ATBGN, BuffOrange, Johnny and my magic 8-ball, I grabbed the Bills +1.5 in multiple bets and have been smiling all week, for once. So, what's the feeling for this week on the road? I figure we'll see a lot of Alexander given that Seattle will likely be without Hasselbeck and Robinson, which I think plays into our strength, run defense. On offense, I'm still not sold we can score every week, but Seattle's defense is horrid. If Bills can keep it close, 5 points may prove the difference. Do I dare bet Bills back to back? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 It's a road game. Remember, that line is basically saying if this was played in Montana, the line would be Bills +2. I wouldn't touch this game with a 10-foot pole. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alaska Darin Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 I wouldn't touch this game with a 10-foot pole. 132555[/snapback] So this game is alot like BF in a whore house? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 So this game is alot like BF in a whore house? 132558[/snapback] No, even if I pay-off my bookie, he won't promise me a score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Like A Mofo Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 Id bet the Bills. I think this team still has a lot of issues to work out whe it comes to road games., but I have a feeling the Bills find a way to win a road game finally. Bills 20 Seahawks 17 Also, this is a GREAT game to tease IMO. Tease Buffalo up Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
zow2 Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 It's a road game. Remember, that line is basically saying if this was played in Montana, the line would be Bills +2. I wouldn't touch this game with a 10-foot pole. 132555[/snapback] It's a road game against a non-rival NFC opponent. That automatically gives us a much better shot at winning than against the always tough AFC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJ Bills backer Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 It's a road game against a non-rival NFC opponent. That automatically gives us a much better shot at winning than against the always tough AFC. 132584[/snapback] But the Bills record for west coast games SUCKS! Aren't they like 2-4 in their last 6 out here? And didn't Seattle hand us one of the biggest ASS kickings in Bills history? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
col_forbin Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 That Sir is what they call a sucker bet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill from NYC Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 I like the points. You want a winner? A team that will cover the spread? Take the giants and the points. This play fits into a system that I used to follow. I have not bet for many years, and will never bet again due to family responsibilities. That said, if I was still willing to gamble, I would consider this game to be as close to a "lock" as it gets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 I like the points. You want a winner? A team that will cover the spread? Take the giants and the points. This play fits into a system that I used to follow. I have not bet for many years, and will never bet again due to family responsibilities. That said, if I was still willing to gamble, I would consider this game to be as close to a "lock" as it gets. 132661[/snapback] + 7 over Philly? Wanna PM me some details on what this is based on? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bill from NYC Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 + 7 over Philly? Wanna PM me some details on what this is based on? 132666[/snapback] Stand by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stevestojan Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 Stand by. 132669[/snapback] Standing by. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soljc Posted November 24, 2004 Author Share Posted November 24, 2004 + 7 over Philly? Wanna PM me some details on what this is based on? 132666[/snapback] Forget the PM, please share this insight with all of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Like A Mofo Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 I like the points. You want a winner? A team that will cover the spread? Take the giants and the points. This play fits into a system that I used to follow. I have not bet for many years, and will never bet again due to family responsibilities. That said, if I was still willing to gamble, I would consider this game to be as close to a "lock" as it gets. 132661[/snapback] Agreed. I wouldnt be suprised if the Giants win outright. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
soljc Posted November 24, 2004 Author Share Posted November 24, 2004 Agreed. I wouldnt be suprised if the Giants win outright. 132677[/snapback] Where is this logic coming from?? Rookie QB in his 2nd game against one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and you think this is a lock? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Like A Mofo Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 Where is this logic coming from?? Rookie QB in his 2nd game against one of the hottest teams in the NFL, and you think this is a lock? 132682[/snapback] Teams laying 7 more often then not are the ultimate sucker bets. Division game- just feel it being a close game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffOrange Posted November 24, 2004 Share Posted November 24, 2004 Thanks for the plug, but like I said I ususally stay away from Bills games. One, it's hard to separate heart/head/frustration from logic and two, the Bills are too much of a jeckyl & hyde team, kinda like the Saints. Last week just happened to be my annual gut-feeling that everything would come together against an overrated NFC team (like the Redskins game last year). This game reminds me a lot of the 1st Jets game. A bit of a suspicious low spread on the road against a team that nobody really knows if they're any good or not. I don't see Koren Robinson as much of a loss - he's been a bust his whole career. Seattle's defense has been sort of feast-or-famine the last couple years. They seem to either give up a lot of points, or they get a lot of turnovers which makes them look better than they really are. I'd say the latter is more likely this week given that Drew Bledsoe in a white uniform is prominently involved. So, I would stay away but bet Seattle if I had to. If anybody reads the Sports Guy - you should know not to bet the underdogs this year unless you think there's a reasonable chance they can win the game outright. There haven't been many situations this year where the underdog has covered and lost. That's one reason I wouldn't pick the Giants this week. Well that, and Eli Manning is not God contrary to what Aikman & Collinsworth were claiming last week. A rookie QB and a terrible OL spells disaster against one of the more complex blitz-schemes in the league in Philadelphia. Also, I like Houston +1 vs. Tennessee. Rare opportunity to bet on the better team at home without giving points. It's not like the Titans have just been losing games in fluke fashion this year - they're just not that good; and people just don't realize it yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ATBNG Posted November 25, 2004 Share Posted November 25, 2004 Ok, thanks to ATBGN, BuffOrange, Johnny and my magic 8-ball, I grabbed the Bills +1.5 in multiple bets and have been smiling all week, for once. So, what's the feeling for this week on the road? I figure we'll see a lot of Alexander given that Seattle will likely be without Hasselbeck and Robinson, which I think plays into our strength, run defense. On offense, I'm still not sold we can score every week, but Seattle's defense is horrid. If Bills can keep it close, 5 points may prove the difference. Do I dare bet Bills back to back? 132552[/snapback] Thanks soljc - unfortunately, I don't like the Bills this week. I try to avoid bad road teams, and the Bills certainly qualify. On the other hand, the AFC is so much better than the AFC that I can't in good conscience lay 5 with Seattle - they could easily drop any game to anyone - witness the game last week. I tend to gravitate towards home dogs, and it just so happened that the Bills turned up last week. Good luck to all our "investors" this time around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Paco Posted November 25, 2004 Share Posted November 25, 2004 Thanks soljc - unfortunately, I don't like the Bills this week. I try to avoid bad road teams, and the Bills certainly qualify. On the other hand, the AFC is so much better than the AFC that I can't in good conscience lay 5 with Seattle - they could easily drop any game to anyone - witness the game last week. I tend to gravitate towards home dogs, and it just so happened that the Bills turned up last week. Good luck to all our "investors" this time around. 132899[/snapback] I took them moneyline vs the Jets. Something like +135 or so. I rarely ever bet the Bills. Couldn't stand the temptation. This game vs. Seattle is not a good game to bet by any stretch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffOrange Posted November 28, 2004 Share Posted November 28, 2004 If anybody reads the Sports Guy - you should know not to bet the underdogs this year unless you think there's a reasonable chance they can win the game outright. There haven't been many situations this year where the underdog has covered and lost. That's one reason I wouldn't pick the Giants this week. Well that, and Eli Manning is not God contrary to what Aikman & Collinsworth were claiming last week. A rookie QB and a terrible OL spells disaster against one of the more complex blitz-schemes in the league in Philadelphia. Also, I like Houston +1 vs. Tennessee. Rare opportunity to bet on the better team at home without giving points. It's not like the Titans have just been losing games in fluke fashion this year - they're just not that good; and people just don't realize it yet. 132720[/snapback] Sorry for the shameless plug, cha ching. I'm liking GB tommorow night too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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