Big Turk
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Posts posted by Big Turk
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2 hours ago, Billsfan1972 said:
I'm not that impressed with Pittsburgh. Winning yes, but one convinsing win vs. Cleveland and a # of close games. But they do have cupcake schedule.
Don't like Stephan A shilling anyone.
Steelers offense has not been that good much of the year...several games they either didn't get to 300 yards of offense or just barely did. They have one of the lowest producing offenses in the league...
But their D is really good and TJ Watt is a beast...
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Bush admitted to cheating before the wedding...
Just find this as an interesting side story to what would have to be considered "almost Bills history"
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3 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:
I agree and I think the same about some have it and some don’t. Burrow has it. Darnold doesn’t. I’ve said that since he was at USC. I don’t think Herbert does. Still think he’s very good but I don’t see it.
I think the Chargers are cursed. Over the past 4 or 5 years that team has pulled defeat from the jaws of victory in ways even the Bills could never accomplish during their almost 2 decades of futility...it has continued this year...they are always seemingly in a place to pull out a win but rarely seem to do so. Doesn't matter who the coach is, the QB, the OC, the offensive players, etc...they still find mind boggling ways to lose every week.
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2 hours ago, TBBills said:
So what you're saying is Daboll still isn't the one to counter the all out blitz? Even after the previous two drives full of them? Scary thoughts... Thankfully Josh knew better.
I don't think this is an accurate statement. Likely he calls a play or two playa and then Allen's job is to get them into the right play based on the defense and what they are doing. Or to audible to a check at the line.
This is similar to how all other offenses run so I am not sure what the point is you are trying to make.
Ultimately the QB has a lot of input into the play that gets ran IF the OC allows him to audible, which in some cases with young QBs is not the case.
Also that screen to Zack Moss that hit for like 25 or 30 yards was definitely a Daboll call.
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Not sure if this was posted but I came across this on the internet...apparently the trade for Antonio Brown to the Bills fell apart because Antonio Brown slept with Jordan Poyer's wife before the wedding...
Rachel Bush, Poyer's wife confirmed this was true...and apparently the trade for Brown ended up not working out over that. Kinda crazy if this trade that fell through had nothing to do with football related reasons...although it likely worked out for the best in the end.
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1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:
So.....what's the "glaring" problem?
Never said there was a problem, just that in comparison to previous years penalties are at historic lows on offense and historic highs on defense.
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3 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/establishing-the-run-does-matter/ar-BBXgJfg
It depends on how you crunch the data.You can tell me till you are blue in the face that Analytics show a running game doesn’t.
40+ years of watching the box get stuffed and good QBs kill them with the PA tells me otherwise.
He makes the point that the most important thing is that the D feels "could be run, could be pass" and is unsure which one. Which kind of is exactly what the correlation between being in a down and distance that makes a run more likely and play action pass being successful shows. This was the highest correlation to success of play action that was found in the analytics...which he basically just parroted in a different way but said the same thing.
The whole point is that regardless of how well the teams historically have run the ball, hiw well they ran it the week prior, how well they rannit in the first half or on the previous series or even in the same series there is no correlation...some of the worst running teams in the league had some of the best play action success. Some of the best running teams had some of the best play action success. Some of the worst running teams had some of the worst play action success. Some of the best running teams had some of the worst play action success. Some of the middle of the road running teams had some of the best success at play action and some had some of the worst success at play action.
In short teams were all across the board and there was no metric or run success rate or anything else that could be correlated to how well the team did with play action.
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3 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said:
https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/establishing-the-run-does-matter/ar-BBXgJfg
It depends on how you crunch the data.You can tell me till you are blue in the face that Analytics show a running game doesn’t.
40+ years of watching the box get stuffed and good QBs kill them with the PA tells me otherwise.
They aren't even playing the same game from 10 years ago so 40 years is kind of irrelevant to how the game is played today.
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31 minutes ago, eSJayDee said:
It certainly seems reasonable that lack of crowd noise contributes to the lack of false starts, illegal shifts etc. Potentially, it could even contribute to less holding calls (D-line doesn't get a jump on O-line as easily so they're not at a disadvantageous position causing a need/desire to hold). Can't think of a reason for DPI to be up, other than less effective pass rush, which is pushing it, or maybe just more passes in general.
DPI is up because of an emphasis on any type of contact by a defender when the ball is in the air.
2 minutes ago, dneveu said:I feel like false starts are down due to a lack of crowd noise.
Possible...
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For the first time since penalty data became available in 1995, there is no penalty where the per game average is above 2. In fact, it is the first time ever where there are not 2 penalties that average 2 or more per game being called. In every season except this one, both false starts and holding penalties averaged more than 2 per game.
This year, nothing is even close to 2 per game...false starts are being called at 1.8 per game and holding at 1.76 per game. Couple this with DPI being called at historically high rate of 1.29 per game(only 3 other years were above 1 per game, with 1.09 being the highest), and you can see why offenses are flourishing and will shatter the record for most points scored this year...far fewer long down and distances to convert and lots of free yards and first downs via DPI.
In fact, this would be the first year since 2011 that false starts would be called more than offensive holding, but I believe that is the year they started calling neutral zone infractions on the defense if they made the offensive player false start, whereas before this it still would have been a false start against the offense. Historically those are almost always the top 2 penalties in the league and false starts were almost always the most frequently called infraction before 2011(only 1 time did holding lead the way before 2011).
Just thought it was interesting that the data backed up what we have been seeing...a glaring lack of offensive penalties but far more defensive penalties...
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5 minutes ago, Paup 1995MVP said:
And in Jimbo's era you could just beat the snot out of a QB. I remember when Bruce knocked out Boomer Esiason when he played for the Jets on the frozen turf at the Ralph. Just crushed his head into the ground. Don't even think there was a penalty called. Entirely different game today. But Josh Allen would have played well then also. He is a tough guy who loves the physicality of the game.
And beat the hell out of the receivers too, all the way down the field.
Illegal contact? What the hell was that?
Defensive holding? Umm...nope.
DPI? Haha...
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21 minutes ago, die hard bills fan said:
I hope the stats reflect not just Allen but whole offense better against the blitz. Allen is not on an island alone. Needs OC to recognize this and call plays, o-line and rb to pickup rushers, wr to recognize and cut short route etc.
The OC doesn't recognize a blitz, the QB does. The OC calls a play or potentially 2 plays and then it is up to the QB to get them into the proper call based on what the D is showing him.
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6 minutes ago, ProcessAccepted said:
I think that'll change. Allen's getting better against the blitz and making team pay.
Getting better? He has a higher QB rating against the blitz this year than when teams don't blitz...
He might be the best in the NFL, not sure where to find these stats from.
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Allen has dramatically increased his on target percentage this year, ranking third in the NFL behind only Drew Brees(84.2%) and Teddy Bridgewater(83.5%) at 81.4%. Last year he was 21st in this metric at 73.2%.
Even more impressive is that Allen's average Intended Air Yards are significantly higher than either Bridgewater or Brees. Allen's average pass travels 8.5 yards, tied for 9th highest in the NFL while Bridgewater's average is 6.7, good for 28th and Brees is dead last in the NFL at 5.5. These QB's are throwing a lot more checkdowns and other assorted quick throws than Allen is, which have a much higher completion percentage.
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Teams have blitzed Allen 131 times, which trails only Daniel Jones of the Giants who has been blitzed 141 times.
However, teams may want to reconsider their tactics considering Allen is among the best in the NFL when being blitzed, posting a QB Rating of 114.0 to go with 9 TDs, 1 INT and only 4 sacks with a completion percentage of 61.6% and a YPA of 7.3...
Against Seattle he was 19 of 24 for 259 yards and 2 TDs.
Last year he was not that great against the blitz, posting more pedestrian numbers: 74.9 passer rating, 9 touchdowns, 4 interceptions, a 50.3 completion percent, 5.5 yards per attempt, and 20 sacks on 185 drop backs (11 percent).
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14 minutes ago, Houston's #1 Bills Fan said:
That seems pretty good.....but does PFF agree??
crap...forgot...let me go look...
If not I will ask the mods to delete my post hahahahaha
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41 minutes ago, Chandler#81 said:
Problem as I see it though, is play action is most successful when an offense has proven its effectiveness running the ball. Thus, fake what they’re anticipating, slow the pass rush a second and throw over top of them. Just because Pete Carroll doesn’t have a clue doesn’t mean every football team from the League -& WNY High Schools, for that matter- don’t get it.
If ‘your team’ only runs 5X in a half, I’m comin’ after yer QB EVERY DAMN PLAY! Run be damned.
I don’t get it🤷♂️
No it isn't There is no correlation to running the ball successfully and success of play action passes. Being in a down and distance where a run is LIKELY is much more correlated to play action success than your actual success rate.
19 minutes ago, MJS said:That's not actually true, though. The threat of the run (play action) is usually enough to freeze the linebackers for a split second. It's instinctive and they can't help it.
Yes, simply being in a down and distance that makes a run LIKELY is correlated with success of play action. Actually running the ball well is NOT.
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47 minutes ago, Buffalo Boy said:
Even better if we could consistently pound the rock with the run. If that happens....
oooof.
Running the ball has zero correlation to play action success.
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With 107...
Granted the next 2 teams on the list, the LA Rams with 105 and Tennessee Titans with 96 have only played 8 games, but we will still be in the top 3 even after they play their 9th game...pretty crazy considering we were 20th last year...
In fact, we have already ran more play action this year than all of last year(107 this year to 105 last year). We also have the most yards off play action by almost 100 yards over the Rams(975 to 891)...
Very interesting new wrinkle Daboll has added...
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2 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
They gonna need to change the play calls now
Yeah I think Gold is played out...unless they start using Gold to mean something else and catch the defense thinking it is going to be that screen to Brown...
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a 114 passer rating with 9 TDs and 1 INT against the blitz and a 9.0 YPA...that is impressive and better than his normal QB rating!
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5 minutes ago, RoyBatty is alive said:
I saw the last 5 minutes and made me sick to see the Pats win, as they historicaly had and i could tell sure as hell the players certainly wanted that win bad. They players that really really sucked at the end was the numbskull Joe Flacco. He takes a sack and two in completions allowing the PAts to kick a FG with three seconds left. And Gregg Williams defensive play calling feel right into Josh McDaniels trap.
He also threw an awful INT deep into double coverage when he had his TE wide open in the flat with nobody within 15 yards of him and he would have gained at least 30 on the play...
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Bills and Cards are almost literally carbon copies of each other...
Both teams can score points, have dynamic QBs that are hard to defend and have attacking defenses that can make plays but also aren't that great and will give up yards and points.
Bills need to pull out their gameplan from the Ravens game last year to slow down Murray and keep him contained. Dude looks like a human joystick.
Bills may have advantage on special teams with Roberts, who ironically started his career with the Cards.
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6 hours ago, QCity said:
People act like Brady played for free. Clown takes.
Not free but well below market value.
Josh Allen named AFC Offensive Player of the Week
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted · Edited by matter2003
Add another one to Allen's resume...second time this year I believe...