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Big Turk

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Posts posted by Big Turk

  1. 1 hour ago, SageAgainstTheMachine said:

    Wowzer.  When I first saw this headline I was prepared to defend it to the teeth, being someone who feels passionately about racial inequality and who thinks that there is inevitable bias in coaching hires when ownership is 100% white.

     

    The thing is, attaching DRAFT STRATEGY to this concept is the single best way to muck it up.  

     

    I mean exactly...so a team like Miami wants to hire Flores from New England but they don't want a team in their division being handed 2 free draft picks for essentially doing nothing out of the ordinary other than having him as a coach...

     

    This has the potential to LESSEN hiring not increase it...teams are not going to want to help good teams even more by handing them extra draft picks especially if they are in their conference

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 4 hours ago, P Riv said:

     

    They're just plain average or even bad this year, so betting that they don't win much this year is pretty safe.  Not much talent, lots of injuries, opt outs and incompetent QB play must all be bad coaching?  lol

    He's the last coach to win a playoff game for Cleveland, he went 11-5 with Matt Cassel, had brilliant defensive game plans in the SB against HoF'ers Elway, Kelly and Warner... He's got 8 SB rings and 3 Conf Championship rings.  

    I'm simply acknowledging that he's kind of accomplished...  They'll be back next year, so we better build some momentum.  As the Div winner, we'll play all of the other Div winners next year, they won't.  As much as we want them to suck for the next 10 years, I just don't think that's reality and I'm not drinking the Kool aid.

     

    He will be 69 next year...will not coach forever...Father Time is still undefeated even with coaches...based on his man boobs you saw as he jogged onto the field last week I would say he isn't in the same type of shape as Carroll.

    • Like (+1) 2
    • Haha (+1) 1
  3. On 11/9/2020 at 4:55 PM, smuvtalker said:

    Same here.  Makes me wonder, how far would the damn ball travel if Josh cocked back and put his everything into a throw?  Might be like the Aaron Rodgers State Farm commercial where he's throwing the tennis ball with his dog, and on the last throw he chucks it and the ball disappears into the sky, and his dog just sits down. 😄

     

    I remember the first few games Allen played the ball would be caught before the cameraman could get the receiver in the picture...now they are usually pretty good but every once in a while when he dials it up it still happens.

  4. 3 minutes ago, Whkfc said:

    he is a jag. him coming back is fine but hes a 1-3 mil guy not a guy you pay alot for. he has shown wonderful improvement this year

     

    He plays a specific role in this offense that they value. What exact improvements were you looking for? If you ever think he is going to be a 60 catch 700 yard guy you are simply not understanding how they want to use him.

     

     

    • Like (+1) 3
  5. 6 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:

    agree but I think we can all agree he has been pretty solid at RT compared to last year the rotation of Ford and Neshke.  Good to see some recognition and it's even better when it's form the hated PFF group :)

     

    Oh for sure Williams has been a huge upgrade...and especially over when we had Mills who basically used to make the QB scramble pretty much every play before making a throw

    • Like (+1) 1
  6. 36 minutes ago, ILBillsfan said:

    I know I know it't PFF but a there is a Buffalo Bill on this list and it's probably a person that has been overlooked this year.  Nope not Allen, Diggs or Poyer its Daryl Williams.  Great off season signing by the Bills has really been playing outstanding this year.  I really think Diggs has been overlooked some and should of been named to at least the second team as well but there are a lot of great receivers just odd to see the rookie Jefferson(who the vikings drafted to replace Diggs) on the second team.

     

    Still a good read and I do put much more weight on their line grades than some of the others. 

     

    https://www.pff.com/news/nfl-pff-2020-midseason-all-pro-team

     

     

    I think OL can be harder to evaluate than a lot of other positions because we don't know what the line calls are on every play....sure it might look like a guy missed a block but what if he made the right play by blocking the man he was supposed to and the guy next to him screwed up because that was his guy? What if he correctly slides right or left and the guy next to him doesn't? He looks like he just let a man run free at the QB but that wasn't his fault...

     

    He gets dinged but he actually did what he was supposed to do...it is virtually impossible to figure these things out with any real degree of accuracy...the most you can really do is see how they perform in obvious blocking situations where it's one on one with the guy across from him or in run blocking...

    • Like (+1) 1
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  7. 39 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    I'll personally go with "their business, not mine" but at the time of the marriage, Bush was pregnant with Poyer's kid.  Presumably they wanted a family and decided the AB fling didn't change their math. 

     

     

    I blame the pregnancy hormones.  When dealing with a pregnant lady, always blame the hormones.

     

    Hmmm....could that have been Baker "Cheesecake Factory" Mayfield's excuse to Emily?  He did have a bit of a tum on him last season....

     

    Or the math Poyer was looking at for 18+ years...

    11 minutes ago, Irv said:

    Breaking News:  John Elway does not want to play for the Colts.

     

    Also just heard that Jim Kelly has signed with the Houston Gamblers to avoid coming to Buffalo after he was drafted by us... 

  8. 2 hours ago, Billsfan1972 said:

    I'm not that impressed with Pittsburgh.  Winning yes, but one convinsing win vs. Cleveland and a # of close games.   But they do have cupcake schedule.  

     

    Don't like Stephan A shilling anyone.

     

    Steelers offense has not been that good much of the year...several games they either didn't get to 300 yards of offense or just barely did. They have one of the lowest producing offenses in the league...

     

    But their D is really good and TJ Watt is a beast...

  9. 3 minutes ago, YoloinOhio said:

    I agree and I think the same about some have it and some don’t. Burrow has it. Darnold doesn’t. I’ve said that since he was at USC. I don’t think Herbert does. Still think he’s very good but I don’t see it. 

     

    I think the Chargers are cursed. Over the past 4 or 5 years that team has pulled defeat from the jaws of victory in ways even the Bills could never accomplish during their almost 2 decades of futility...it has continued this year...they are always seemingly in a place to pull out a win but rarely seem to do so. Doesn't matter who the coach is, the QB, the OC, the offensive players, etc...they still find mind boggling ways to lose every week.

    • Haha (+1) 1
  10. 2 hours ago, TBBills said:

    So what you're saying is Daboll still isn't the one to counter the all out blitz? Even after the previous two drives full of them? Scary thoughts... Thankfully Josh knew better.

     

    I don't think this is an accurate statement. Likely he calls a play or two playa and then Allen's job is to get them into the right play based on the defense and what they are doing. Or to audible to a check at the line.

     

    This is similar to how all other offenses run so I am not sure what the point is you are trying to make.

     

    Ultimately the QB has a lot of input into the play that gets ran IF the OC allows him to audible, which in some cases with young QBs is not the case.

     

    Also that screen to Zack Moss that hit for like 25 or 30 yards was definitely a Daboll call.

  11. Not sure if this was posted but I came across this on the internet...apparently the trade for Antonio Brown to the Bills fell apart because Antonio Brown slept with Jordan Poyer's wife before the wedding...

     

    Rachel Bush, Poyer's wife confirmed this was true...and apparently the trade for Brown ended up not working out over that. Kinda crazy if this trade that fell through had nothing to do with football related reasons...although it likely worked out for the best in the end.

     

    https://blacksportsonline.com/2019/03/rumor-antonio-brown-to-bills-trade-fell-apart-because-of-he-slept-with-bills-safety-jordan-poyers-wife-rachel-bush-before-the-wedding-pics-vids-ig-tweets/2/

  12. 3 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/establishing-the-run-does-matter/ar-BBXgJfg
    It depends on how you crunch the data.

    You can tell me till you are blue in the face that Analytics show a running game doesn’t.

    40+ years of watching the box get stuffed and good QBs kill them with the PA tells me otherwise.

     

    He makes the point that the most important thing is that the D feels "could be run, could be pass" and is unsure which one. Which kind of is exactly what the correlation between being in a down and distance that makes a run more likely and play action pass being successful shows. This was the highest correlation to success of play action that was found in the analytics...which he basically just parroted in a different way but said the same thing.

     

    The whole point is that regardless of how well the teams historically have run the ball, hiw well they ran it the week prior, how well they rannit in the first half or on the previous series or even in the same series there is no correlation...some of the worst running teams in the league had some of the best play action success. Some of the best running teams had some of the best play action success. Some of the worst running teams had some of the worst play action success. Some of the best running teams had some of the worst play action success. Some of the middle of the road running teams had some of the best success at play action and some had some of the worst success at play action.

     

    In short teams were all across the board and there was no metric or run success rate or anything else that could be correlated to how well the team did with play action.

     

     

  13. 3 hours ago, Buffalo Boy said:

    https://www.msn.com/en-us/sports/nfl/establishing-the-run-does-matter/ar-BBXgJfg
    It depends on how you crunch the data.

    You can tell me till you are blue in the face that Analytics show a running game doesn’t.

    40+ years of watching the box get stuffed and good QBs kill them with the PA tells me otherwise.

     

    They aren't even playing the same game from 10 years ago so 40 years is kind of irrelevant to how the game is played today.

  14. 31 minutes ago, eSJayDee said:

    It certainly seems reasonable that lack of crowd noise contributes to the lack of false starts, illegal shifts etc.  Potentially, it could even contribute to less holding calls (D-line doesn't get a jump on O-line as easily so they're not at a disadvantageous position causing a need/desire to hold).  Can't think of a reason for DPI to be up, other than less effective pass rush, which is pushing it, or maybe just more passes in general.

     

    DPI is up because of an emphasis on any type of contact by a defender when the ball is in the air.

    2 minutes ago, dneveu said:

     

    I feel like false starts are down due to a lack of crowd noise.

     

    Possible...

  15. For the first time since penalty data became available in 1995, there is no penalty where the per game average is above 2. In fact, it is the first time ever where there are not 2 penalties that average 2 or more per game being called.  In every season except this one, both false starts and holding penalties averaged more than 2 per game. 

     

    This year, nothing is even close to 2 per game...false starts are being called at 1.8 per game and holding at 1.76 per game.  Couple this with DPI being called at historically high rate of 1.29 per game(only 3 other years were above 1 per game, with 1.09 being the highest), and you can see why offenses are flourishing and will shatter the record for most points scored this year...far fewer long down and distances to convert and lots of free yards and first downs via DPI.

     

    In fact, this would be the first year since 2011 that false starts would be called more than offensive holding, but I believe that is the year they started calling neutral zone infractions on the defense if they made the offensive player false start, whereas before this it still would have been a false start against the offense.  Historically those are almost always the top 2 penalties in the league and false starts were almost always the most frequently called infraction before 2011(only 1 time did holding lead the way before 2011).

      

    Just thought it was interesting that the data backed up what we have been seeing...a glaring lack of offensive penalties but far more defensive penalties...

     

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