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Big Turk

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Posts posted by Big Turk

  1. 7 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:

    I know you like to throw that caveat in because I have discussed this with you before. But our total production outside of Buffalo is such a small sliver of the pie, I really don't think it somehow validates AV as a measure for draft success. The stat is influenced by too much. I applaud the attempt at trying to solve for the unsolvable problem in a uniform way. It's creative and well done. I just don't agree that is accurate enough. 

     

    I mean that is a fair point. There is no single measure that can really account for these things overall, but what it DOES show is that Beane is far more successful compared to his peers than most give him credit for.

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  2. 32 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:

    Given how you're using AV is subject to how you build your roster, yes, different philosophies leading to different results. "Draft, Develop, Retain" as Beane says. 

     

    Your big call out is nothing more than how the Bills like to build the team and the total success they have had which provides more AV points. They don't bring many competitive free agents and will give excessive chances to draft picks. Allen pulls the rankings up more which provides more AV points to be distributed. This method is severely flawed to to the point where I doubt the people at pro football reference would even consider it functional.  

     

    That's not true because they also lead the NFL in players career AV that he has drafted even accounting for when they go to other teams.

     

    So he leads in Draft AV for his own team and also for Career AV for players he drafted on ANY team, counting even after they leave the Bills.

  3. 16 minutes ago, JBI$111 said:

     

    Yes, and if they do, it shows you that Beane has been consistently wrong (which of course he'll never admit cuz his ego is bigger than his brain) on not using nearly enough of our draft capital on quality wide receivers in the higher rounds that could have been on cost-controlled contracts for 4 to 5 years (it would have also helped our constant bad cap situation, including minimizing to some degree a lot of his bad contracts). And specifically if they do a mid-season acquisition of a receiver yet again, what does that say about Beane always pushing back on that narrative every year. We all remember him bashing Jeremy White, well this would be mea culpa on his part. That is, his hand being forced to do the obvious, which most everybody with even a pea brain has known for years, including the smart loyal fans, that he has consistently under invested with middling wide receiver weapons for years thinking it's enough for Josh and Josh has unfortunately, had to make the best of it basically. 

     

    Just like last year mid season, bringing in Amari Cooper for a third round pick. Why is he doing this constantly if he's so right, because each year a hammer finally hits him over the head with the obvious midway through the season because of the loud criticism and what we see on the field that what we have at the wide receiver position, is not nearly enough, duh! And then he has to constantly backtrack, never of course admitting that he's mismanaged the wide receiver position, and that we need more weapons on the offensive side of the ball. 

     

    Another problem is he's had a ton of bad pics over the years that has exaggerated the situation where he's had to go back to the same areas over and over again because he's gotten it wrong so many times, which has been mostly along the defensive line.

     

    All those bad picks but yet he has the highest draft AV in the NFL...

     

    As usual fan perception is well off from reality due to not knowing what they are comparing to among 31 other teams

     

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  4. I'm still wondering WTF Bernard was doing on the play...nobody should have been open but Bernard inexplicably drops his coverage and turns to help with a player being double teamed leaving Rice to run wide open thru the area he was in

     

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  5. 11 minutes ago, NavyBillsFan said:

    Honestly guys, this team has some SERIOUS issues with this department!  I just cant size up this picture with the injuries on this team.  EVERY year gets worse....  

     

    Maybe Head and Shoulders? 

     

    They should really get after Troy Polamalu for his bunk products he is still trying to sell...

  6. 3 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

     

    Fair enough, but then that leads to the next issue... alignment and why we continue to make simple alignment mistakes on Offense, Defense, and Special Teams. That starts and ends with coaching, and the coaches need to do something about it. It isnt just one player in one phase. It's multiple players across all 3 phases, every game. Can't allow it.

     

    I wouldnt call it a Bosa Brain Fart. It looked and felt like a screen and he was playing it that way. 

     

    I'm talking about Bernard who allows Rice to come wide open

  7. I need to know WTF Terrell Bernard is doing on this 4th and 17 play...nobody should be open if he just does what he is supposed to do and he inexplicably turns and runs the other way towards a player already double covered and running into a 3rd defender...like talk about a brain cramp.

     

     

    1 hour ago, BillsFan130 said:

    https://www.facebook.com/share/v/14PyEqnriWT/?mibextid=wwXIfr

     

    Spags hates playing Josh Allen and wants him to retire haha

     

    That's every DC in the NFL, BTW

  8. 1 minute ago, HappyDays said:

     

    Any random player can have a good play now and again. I'm talking about consistency. We have no consistent outside WR ability right now. We're papering over it with a strong run game and quick efficient passes. I'm fine making that version of our offense 90% of what we do but in high leverage situations where we just need a bucket I still have no confidence we have the horses to get one. A lot of fans were pissed at Brady for that 3rd and 10 screen, but he called that play because even he doesn't have confidence in his WRs to get open. I personally had no problem with that play call. That's the world we have to live in with this personnel.

     

     

    The last time we saw Gabe in the Joe Brady offense, his targets were being intentionally diminished. Brady wants no part of Gabe's low efficiency/high negative play rate style of WR. Like I said he's a better option than Shavers. I still do not want him to suddenly become a key part of this offense.

     

    The point is he will  be far better at getting open downfield than what we have now which will have to be respected and should allow more breathing room underneath. Regardless of what we thought of him, he was one of the best deep ball WR's in the NFL during his time here and had the 2nd highest YPC in the NFL while here.

  9. Usually most years we get one close game and one blowout. Already had the close game so that means this should be the...

    29 minutes ago, BuffaloBill said:

    Hard to believe Eagles have cap space and draft capital for all of this. Seems like they will be in cap jail at some point in time.

     

    They will, Rosen makes use of void years significantly and it is all going to catch up to them at some point, but he might have 2 or 3 rings by the time it does. I would like to see Beane do a little bit more of this.

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