2020 Our Year For Sure

I'll try to make it as simple as possible, I've been reading every post made on the topic and have done some of my own research over the last couple of days. At this point I'm certain this is the criteria we need. -The Bills must win the rest of their games -The Jaguars (8-5) must lose at least 2 games, OR the Bengals (8-5) must lose all 3 of their games (we hold the tiebreaker on the Jags but not on Cincy) -The Chiefs (7-6) must lose at least 1 game (we've got the tiebreaker) -The Broncos (7-6) must lose at least 2 games, OR they can lose 1 game in which case the Chiefs must also lose exactly 1 game (if both teams tie with us at 9-7, the Chiefs eliminate Denver b/c they're in the same division, and we have the tiebreaker on KC; if its just Denver, they have the tiebreaker on us) -The Jets (7-6) must lose to the Miami Dolphins on Christmas Eve (Monday night week 16), OR the Jets must lose to BOTH Minnesota and Oakland (if Miami beats them, we'll have the same divisional record, pushing it to the next tiebreaker which is conference record where we will hold the tiebreaker) Looking back it looks complicated and unlikely, but it really isn't that hard to fathom. The Jags are inconsistent and have @TEN, NE and @KC on their schedule. They can lose 2 of those games. Denver needing to lose 2 with their schedule (@ARI, CIN, SF) worries me, but they're 0 of their last 4 and Cutler is 0-2 as a starter. Unfortunately we pretty much need the Phins to step up and beat the Jets (in Miami) next Monday Night on Christmas, cause I don't see the Jets losing to both Minnesota and Oakland. If we win out and the Phins defeat the Jets for us, there's a solid chance the peaces fall into place for us. It really isn't as much of a longshot as it seems. You gotta Billieve! Go Bills!

Agreed. Go Titans, go Cardinals.

lmao

Because if he gets his way, they'll have to share more of their revenue with us, correct?

But since we opened up the offense, changing our style and reshuffling the line, we have the 16th ranked offense and a 4-2 record. That's over a 6-week period, which is a decent sample size. So whats the problem?

WHO CARES? What connection does your offensive ranking have with WINNING? Is the goal to have pretty stats or to win football games? We could have the 32nd ranked offense and win a super bowl. Its completely irrelevant. Oh and christ, I don't know how many times Dibs has to tell you that since we opened it up and changed our offensive system and re-tooled the offensive line, we actually have the 16th ranked offense. So even if that number DID matter, we'd still be doing just fine. So please, shut up about this already.

They always liked open spaces...

Uh...where's Pittsford?

Irrepairably? If the problem isn't the cap going up but instead the signing bonuses going up as you claim, wouldn't putting a hard limit on all signing bonuses solve the problem?

No, they should do it because once your quarterback reaches the magical 250-yard plateau, you guarantee victory for your team.

Great post, Pyrite. Thanks for the information, you really provided some insight I wouldn't have gotten otherwise.

I liked the red crossed swords alternates. Those were awesome.

Thats the kind of thinking that gets people killed.

Logically improbable? WindySwedishSix just picked the rest of the games to the best of his ability without taking our playoff hopes into consideration in any way. This level-headed approach resulted in a scenario in which the Bills are just one Jaguars loss away from a playoff birth! If we win out, it really isn't that much of a longshot.

Is it really wise to keep 2 recievers on the roster who can't contribute on offense in any way?

Josh Reed. I feel like I've been defending this guy his whole career and he's yet to become much of anything. There's still hope, but I'm disappointed in him.

See I'm applying what I've read in other playoff threads here. According to others, if its a multi-team tiebreaker, KC will eliminate Denver. This is because to narrow it down if there's a 3-team tie if two teams are in the same division, they're first put h2h, and then the winner is put h2h with the third team. In this scenario, KC would be put head-to-head with Denver, and would knock them out. Also, since its the Dolphins who you have beating the Jets, we'd have a better conference record, and we would knock the Jets out because the Bills and Jets are in the same division. That would leave KC, JAX and the Bills at 9-7, with Denver and the Jests eliminated. And from what I've read, we'd hold the AFC record tiebreaker on those teams. [EDIT: I just tallied it up. If we win out, we're 7-5 in conference. The Jags are currently 5-4, so if they finish 9-7 they'll be 6-6 in conference. The Chiefs already have 6 conference losses. So if they finish 9-7 we will have a superior AFC record to both of these teams and thus will in fact have the tiebreaker on them.] If you want to be sure, read some of the other playoff threads. But that is what I've gathered. Oh, and one thing to potentially be afraid of is that Denver does hold the tiebreaker on us. If Kansas City isn't also in the tie, then Denver trumps us. We need Kansas City there to eliminate Denver h2h.

And would you pick the one who looked like a pro bowler before his injury, or the one who looked like one of the worst starters in the league as soon as he lost Randy Moss? Bonehead decision.

Do you realize how close this scenario is to us making the playoffs? All we'd need is for Jacksonville to lose one additional game, and we're in!

Its alright, I forgive you. 'Tis the season.

But were any of those guys bad decisions? Excluding Antoine Winfield, each of those guys' performance went down a level around when they left Buffalo. Donahoe cut ties with those guys just in time, in my view. Especially Sam Adams, Teddy and Cowart. These players didn't prove to be worth the contracts that we would've had to show them in order to keep them around.

Seems like we get alot of guys who lose significant parts of their rookie seasons. Losman, McGahee, Roscoe, Everett, McCargo, Youboty...other than Willis, just bad luck.

Isn't San Fran's owner even cheaper than Ralph? There's a chance they remain ahead of us on this list, if thats any consolation.

Isn't that what McCargo is for? I don't know much about him, but I do know we should give him time and a chance to show what he can do next season. I don't see us using back-to-back 1st rounders on defensive tackles when we have other needs (particularly on offense).

Why does everyone have it in their head that linebacker is a priority? Ellison has shown himself to be a solid player whenever given the opportunity and looked especially sharp yesterday. If we get Fletcher-Baker back in here we'll have 4 quality linebackers, 2 of which are younger players. In my view the linebacking core is much like the secondary this offseason. If we can re-sign the big-name UFA, we don't need to address it any further.