GG

Ayup. The weather vane is incredible.

If you care to be serious about a topic for a change - USA had a 55/100K rate for "deaths of despair" for 25-64 yr olds in 2017. That translates to about 185K fatalities each year. There were numerous studies that tried to explain the increased slope of the deaths of despair trendline, especially in the 2010-2014 periods. Also notable is that starting in 2018, US life expectancy started to increase, driven primarily by a decrease in the deaths of despair rates. Draw whatever conclusion you want from these data sets.

And Joe gets roundly criticized here as well.

Thx. This line is key - The risk is highest in enclosed environments; household, long-term care facilities and public transport. These are primary drivers of the NYC metro outbreak. I'm glad that NYC started putting out a lot more detail by zip code. It shows that population density or poverty weren't as big a factor as household size in the heavily affected areas of the city.

I take that you won't disappear when all your talking points go up in smoke in about 2 weeks?

Desperation is thy name. Speaking of quick, you should be able to show my commentary on 5G. How are all those Mueller indictments coming along? I also recall you said you'd go away for good if Flynn was exonerated.

Having Hillary roaming the backwoods was more than worth it for most never-Trumpers. A very basic and simple fact that linear thinkers like you can't get your brains around.

And you keep avoiding the obvious questions. Why was the densest boro the lightest affected? Do European tourists immediately head to Corona, Queens or to the Bronx?

You and your facts

Lots of silence from the usual crowd knocking the response to the outbreak. Probably trying to figure out how to blame Trump.

How's the sentencing going?

It's one of many measures. Hospitalizations are an artifact of new infections, whose growth has dropped dramatically. If you look at any statistic, it shows that we've been on a steep downward decline for the last 2 weeks.

Mind-blowing that this is your take on what happened last week.

Probably "was"

This was the initial, but faulty analysis by many, including Nial Ferguson, which set the stage for the lockdowns. Now with much more data in hand and two months of treatments in the highly infected regions in NYC metro, Italy & Spain, the actual rate is closer to 0.4% and possibly lower. There's virtually no reason every area of US outside immediate NYC area shouldn't start reopening immediately.

Nanker's mistake aside, the trends over the last week have been incredibly consistent - USA's death rate settled at 5.75%, NYS is at 7.6%. New cases are growing a 2.8% (4-day moving avg), NYS is at 1.8%. All of this is happening with millions more getting tested daily. Time to open up.

There's a higher probability that he knows a lot more than what he's been saying publicly.

One of two possible answers - He screwed up the first question or a Freudian slip where he inadvertently let out the classified info that he has.

You're looking at the wrong tab. Always click on Yesterday if you're looking at the site in the morning. (Still, 1,100 for the day is a huge drop)

The Lady doth protest too much, methinks.

Yes, Oregon was the spear tip of the break out. These people are nuts.

You mean like frowning on the Hasid community for being out and about at a funeral? She’s Jewish? I’m sensing a pattern.

It’s probably the opposite in areas outside NYC. The chart above is inconclusive because there’s a huge lag in getting the right statistics to the NCHS. But the early April data suggests Wuhan deaths were running much higher than ordinary flu, pneumonia etc. It also shows that we hit a peak around Easter. The curve has been flattened, warmer weather is coming. Time to open up and build up the immunity.

Is it higher or lower than the day before? How about compared to last week?

Huntington Beach is in Orange County? I thought it was in 716.