JimBob2232

Jahnyc, I think you are missing the point. A high pick gives you TONS of flexibility (usually). If we are sitting there, and Reggie Bush is on the board, we are in the money. Even if we decide we dont want Bush, we can get a kings ransom for the pick. Heck, ricky williams was worth a whole draft board! People will go crazy for him and leinert. I hope one of them is on the board when we pick so we CAN trade down and get our lineman.

I just posted some details on this in another post. but long story short, we can get #1 overall with a miracle (Hou winning out amongst other things). If we lose out, we cant pick lower than sixth (provided the current strength of schedule does not change). Our SOS is the WORST among teams who will have the same or worse record than us, giving us the best pick among all 4-12 teams We move up a spot if NYJ beats MIA or NE, if NO wins one more game, GB wins 2 more games, or if SF wins 2 of their next 3 (sounds implausible, but they do play HOU once.) #1 is just about impossible, because not only does HOU need to win all 3 games, but SF would need to win their other 2 games (STL and JAX).

Oops...Typo...That was my point though. Peanut butter jelly with a baseball bat

I decided it was time to take a look at the draft order for next year. Here is what I found out. Executive Summary: If Buffalo loses out, the worst they can pick is 6th (Based on current strength of schedule). They move up the draft order by either 1)winning a coin flip with NYJ or NYJ winning one of their remaining non-buffalo games (NE/MIA), 2)Green Bay winning 2 of their final 4 games, 3)San Fransisco winning 2 of their final 3 games 4) New Orleans winning one of their remaining games (ATL/CAR/DET/TB), or 5) Houston winning out. If all 5 happen, buffalo CAN pick first. Details: I took the worst teams in the league, presently. (in no specific order) Buffalo (4-9) Jets (3-10) Balt (4-9) Cleveland (4-9) Ten (4-9) Houston (1-12) Oakland (4-9) Detroit (4-8) GB (2-10) NO (3-9) ARZ (4-9) SF (2-10) (Note: I left all 5 win teams out of this calculation, as buffalo is assumed to lose out for this calculation and thus all 5 win teams will be below us in the draft order) I then assumed each of the above teams would lose all their games against teams not on the list (to be conservative as to buffalos draft position). Buffalo has the worst strength of schedule of any team on the above list (NYJ is tied). So, taking SOS into account, the draft order, would be as follows. 1) Houston 2) SF (GB has very good SOS) 3) GB 4) NO 5-6) BUF/NYJ (Coin Flip) 7-10) Balt/Ten/Arz and one of Oak/Cle (NOTE: Oak and CLE play each other, one will have 5 wins and slide down to the 5 win group) Buffalo cannot pick lower than 6th. I then looked at scenerios that would have to play out for Buffalo to move up the draft order. Houston would need to sweep Jax/Arz/SF to fall below Buffalo If GB can win over Detroit tonight, and knock off Either Baltimore, Chicago or a resting seattle week 17, they would also join the 4 win club and slide below buffalo due to SOS. SF would need to win 2 of 3 against Jax/StL/Hou to fall below buffalo. In addition, Buffalo would move up to sole position in the top 5 if the jets can knock off Miami or New England. If NO wins one more game (ATL/CAR/DET/TB) they also fall below buffalo So, if your keeping track at home, Root for GB to win tonight, and another game this season. So, in summary, if buffalo loses out, the worst they will pick (assuming SOS does not change..) is 6th, the best they can pick is #1. The strength of schedule (or lack thereof) is really in buffalos favor this time.

Look at our roster! Todays starters from northern schools: Sam Adams - Texas A&M Aiken - UNC Losman-Tulane Crowell -UVA Kelsay - Nebraska Losman - Tulane McGahee-Miami Neufeld-UCLA Posey - Southern Miss Reed-LSU Schoble-TCU Teague-Tennessee M. Williams-Texas Shelton -Sacrament State Peters-Arkansas Everett, Parrish and Spikes(Auburn) Also from northern Schools. And I have no idea where John Carrol univeristy is (Fletcher) Its really amazing. With the exception of Lee Evans and most of our secondary, our starters are all from warm climates. Somehow I think TD leaves this little tidbit out of his draft preps.

Im amazed you actually got past the first quarter watching the tivo'd game.

Ya know, I wish we could clear this up once and for all (because I am sick of posting it). MIKE WILLIAMS CANNOT TAKE A PAY CUT WITHOUT GETTING A CONTRACT EXTENSION. His cap number is so ridiculously high next season. We can cut him and save alot on the cap, or we can extend his deal out and stretch out the cap hit for a number of years. Those are the options. If we feel he may yet come around, and/or he is a good reserve lineman, it may be worth spreading out the cap hit and giving him an extension. However, if we feel he is not capable of playing ANY better than he has been this season, we need to cut ties and move on. again, ASKING HIM TO TAKE A SALARY CUT IS NOT GOING TO WORK WITHOUT EXTENDING HIS CONTRACT. And therin lies the dillemma.

Does anyone know what he did? The fact moulds is not out there saying he was wronged, and the fact that there has been no appeal (to my knowledge) by the NFLPA, I have to think there is something credible behind this suspension... Dont get me wrong, i love the guy and everything he has done for the bills, but there has to be something here

My how fast we forgot last years 9-7...

a) who is mr. larry b) i think this works well. Let TD handle the marketing/money side of things, and let Modrak take the lead in player development/roster management. Give MM some players then re-evaluate him again at a later date. Sunday MM disapointed me BIG TIME, but perhaps we need to give him another shot

Why not? thats what we did last year!

I agree. I put up with berm, and even somewhat like him, because he is a die hard bills fan...but since thats the only reason i like him...odds are fans of the other 31 teams cant stand him.

Hmm..so you too would have selected Mike Williams...

I agree with most of what you said...only problem I have is with Mike Williams. We are really at a crossroads with this guy. If we see something in him, that he can become an avereage player, we can extend his contract (thus lowering his cap #s). The other option is to cut him altogether. There really isnt an inbetween. (i.e. we cant really say, take a pay cut or go home). Salary cap doesnt work that way. I would like to see EM back, but it appears less and less likely. I agree though we need a big physical WR on this team, so one would need to be picked up. Clements will be an interesting situation. I see no reason we cant tag and trade him ala Peerless Price. Doubt he fetches a #1 with how he has been playing of late, but a #2 is a real possibility. But...do we want to risk him signing the tag? Could get touchy. If we trade clements for a #2, we then have an early first, two 2nds (one early) and 2 early thirds. This gives us a good chance to seriously build an OL, DL, and sure up some aging positions (Safety, CB, LB).

But Edwards is a very good defensive tackle...Criqui Said so!

I believe rusty jones retired..could be wrong thoguh

While it sounds so obvious and so intuitive, I dont know what else you expect him to say. He clearly isnt going to commit suicide and claim the team is not conditionied properly or that they have no heart or gave up. I agree, that comment is lame..but he is in a rough position having to do this news conference. what was he supposed to say?

I dont think he would want it...and I think he is doing a damn good job with JP as it is.

5 if you include the music city "miracle".

12. Profit

Something to do with his back muscles (MW)

Holcolmb #2 QB today

Ryan Leaf had an attitude...people suspected that might be an issue. Same with randy moss and Lawrence Phillips. Sometimes these players pan out, sometimes they dont. These are risky picks. Mike Williams did not have many negatives. He was as close to cant miss as it gets in the NFL. Unfortunatly we appear to have the losing ticket in the 99:1 sweepstakes. Any other person acting as Bills GM at the time would have made the same decision. Cant fault TD for this...sorry.

Did you miss the part about them being in the final year of their contracts?

He is a top 10-20 cb in the league. End of story. Problem is, McGee is about 40-50 in the league, and he will be our #1 CB next year if we dont make a move. Bottom line, I think Clements is franchised. We will draft a CB. If we can trade clements for a #1 or possibly a #2 we do it. Otherwise, we eat the cap and keep him for a year and develop our drafted CB (1st or 2nd pick). I highly doubt you will see him sign a long term contract. I agree he is a ood corner, but he needs to step it up and BE that good corner he thinks he is. If he gets schooled by smith and johnson...he can kiss that big paycheck goodbye.