
Einstein
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Everything posted by Einstein
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Trubisky, in my opinion, is among the worst backups in the NFL. I truly believe that he is simply awful and I have zero confidence in the Bills winning a game with him ever needing to play more than a dozen or so snaps. - The Steelers were 7-3 when Pickett started and finished the game last season. He had wins over playoff teams such as Baltimore, Cleveland and the Rams. He threw for over 200 yards in 60% of his games. - They were 0-3 with Trubisky starting. All of those losses came against non-playoff teams. He threw for over 200 yards in 0% of his games. I really wish he was not on the roster. Zach Wilson on the other hand is not great, but I truly think he has potential as a backup. Heck, he's beaten us twice.
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I would have taken him as a backup over Trubisky. Saw flashes him in (backup flashes - not starter).
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Alphamock Draft: **UPDATE** Final v3.0 posted on Page 4
Einstein replied to Alphadawg7's topic in The Stadium Wall
The number of holes punched into drywall throughout western new york if Beane did this… -
It could be part of it, but unless the Bills are run by incredibly inept executives (I don't think they are), then they would have surely had overruns calculated in. This is an internal figure and is typically only surprising to the public (not the company). At no point do you go into a $1.4B project not expecting at least a 20% variance (I believe McKinsey reported a few years back that the average overrun is 25%), which would be nearly $300M budgeted for overruns alone. PSL money is State money with the Bills acting as agents thereof. Its also not taxed. Every dollar the Bills can produce as agents of PSL's reduces their burden toward the stadium by about $1.087. No question that they will sell out all of the PSLs. The question is at what price. They are likely using the club seats as a benchmark for the next sections. If these seats are not selling like they hoped, then they are likely now realizing that the prices they will be able to charge for other areas will not be as high as they had hoped. Lower prices -> increase % of sold -> raise capital elsewhere.
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The Buffalo News reported that 1 of ever 4 Season Ticket Holders are choosing not to buy them at their PSL appointments. Some posters have theorized that a percentage of those people may end up purchasing in less-expensive sections than they currently sit so that number may be lower in time, which I think is a fair argument. Where it gets tricky is whether we can actually trust this number. I don't have any evidence for this, but understanding how organizations think, my hypothesis is that this 25% number is actually a bit higher, and that the Bills are using corporate buys to bump that number (with the goal of creating scarcity). We have seen in other stadiums (Jets and Atlanta for example), that the teams have had to lower prices to sell all of the PSL's. Whether this all lines up with the Bills internal KPI's is unknown, but I have my doubts on whether Pegula would be raising capital via the sale of a portion of the team if PSL's were selling like hot cakes. My hypothesis is that they were using the club seats as a benchmark for forecasting the remainder of the stadium and they are now realizing that the prices they will be able to charge for other areas will not be as high as they had hoped. Lower prices -> increase % of sold -> raise capital elsewhere.
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Pegulas selling 25% of the Bills, per Tim Graham
Einstein replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
If you believe the rumors, they have been trying to sell the Sabres for about 9 months now. -
Pegulas selling 25% of the Bills, per Tim Graham
Einstein replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
This is correct. As I mentioned above, if the Pegulas did ever sell the team to a buyer at the team value of $5B, it would only cost that buyer 16% more to move the team. Some people would simply see that as a cost of doing business. But moving is not a concern right now. This minority sale of the team is simply due to PSL's not selling as they hoped. -
Pegulas selling 25% of the Bills, per Tim Graham
Einstein replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
The lease is garbage. I agree the Bills aren't going anywhere (why would they? brand new stadium and all), but if someone were to pay over $5 Billion to buy the team outright (the current value of the team), what is to stop them from paying another 16% to move the team? Nothing. Just 16%. -
Pegulas selling 25% of the Bills, per Tim Graham
Einstein replied to Roundybout's topic in The Stadium Wall
They dissolved PSE, many rumors of them trying to sell the Sabres on the low, and now they are putting 1/4 of their only valuable sports team on the market. Something is going on (hint: PSL sales are not going too well). -
The Bills and/or Erie Co share the blame in this. Why would you hire a company to install in-seat heating that has never done it before?
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Yes that’s exactly what I meant. The heaters in the seat didn’t work. I love the radiant heating.
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Sounds like we agree? Not sure what you mean by “no it’s not”?
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I love the radiant heating. It is plenty for me personally.
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The in-seat heating didn't last long in the current clubs. It was pretty awful.
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What do you think of when you see this pic?
Einstein replied to Dablitzkrieg's topic in The Stadium Wall
Josh Allen would own us if he was on the Chiefs and we had Mahomes. QB is not why we are 0-3 against the Chiefs in the playoffs. -
The anchoring effect in action! Very cool to see. For those who don’t know, this is a cognitive bias effect that we see wherein people rely heavily on the first piece of information offered (the “anchor”) when making decisions. In your example, the initial price of $20,000 sets the anchor. When the price is then reduced to $15,000 (closer to the endzone), this reduced price seems cheap in comparison to the anchor. However, if the “cheap” price was shown first, then it would have been seen as high (since it would be the anchor). We use the anchoring effect a lot in negotiations to influence the other parties perception of price fairness. Congrats on the tickets. Whether others think it’s a good deal, bad deal, or fair deal, you now have a spot in the new stadium and that’s pretty cool regardless.
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They are reducing prices already? If you can link a single instance of this ever happening I will Venmo you $500. I *really* want to see these other posters that are posting equations. I’m missing out on my type of folks! Delayed until the 28th. And moved to Delhi instead of Mumbai. Bummer. People should pay whatever they feel is right for them. I’ve paid several hundred dollars for bottles of wine at a restaurant that I could purchase for $80 online. But the experience of drinking it at the restaurant, with friends and/or colleagues, in that atmosphere, was worth it to me. As long as people understand what they are doing (the opportunity cost, the consequences, the benefits, etc) then have at it.
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In your mind, a 1990's Bills Playoff game = Regular season game in December after the team had lost 3 of our last 5 games? It was a regular season December game. Not a playoff game. I don't see the correlation. I’m sorry that you mispriced your tickets for night games. I never said you can't afford PSL's - I said PSL's will sell at a lower percentage rate as the team moves on to areas where fans with less income typically sit. In a completely separate conversation I spoke about how night games sold well. Those were two separate conversations not meant to be correlated. Your inability to follow the conversation is not my fault. To be honest, I think what is actually happening is that you are taking my analysis of the PSL situation to heart, as a personal affront to you. I assure you that it wasn't meant that way. I'm not judging your decision to purchase. Not at all. I didn't intend to hurt your feelings. I simply give my thoughts and that's it. You have every right to purchase a PSL and enjoy it. I hope you do. You can ignore me if you'd like - I wont take offense.
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Trust me - I totally get it. Only games you deem as non-worthy night games count for your blanket rule of "night games don't sell well". September doesn't count. December doesn't count. Playoff games don't count (although you previously said that playoff games don't sell well). I could post 3 more examples and it wouldnt matter.
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Playoff games aren't played in December... That was a game played when we were 7-5, coming off 3 losses in our last 5 games.
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Let me guess - December dosn't count either.
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That was a night game, right?
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Titans game where we smashed them. What price did you set the tickets at? The vast majority do not do either of these things. You're falling into the trap of "I do these things, therefore others do as well". It's an easy trap to fall into. There was a study done last year that showed that more than half of America has ZERO saved for retirement. Literally 0. Nothing. Zip. Nada. And they certainly are not saving for college education either. My good friend worked for a car dealership. He would often tell stories of people on welfare and food stamps that would arrive and request to test drive a vehicle with a $500 per month payment. Sometimes he even got them approved (I believe with some smudging of numbers). They happily drove off. People have no problem spending $89 per month for Bills seasons.