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Einstein

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Posts posted by Einstein

  1. 33 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

    but I'm wondering what exactly you were expecting.


    When Pegula originally came in with all the bravado (ie: "If I want to make some money, I'll go drill a gas well"), I had the impression that he would be going all-out, even if that meant he would have to pull a substantial amount from his own pocket.
     

    33 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:

    Is it not better than the 'recently' constructed open air stadiums in the surrounding NE area of the country (Chicago, Pittsburgh, Cleveland, Cincinnati, New York, New England, Philadelphia....to name more than a few)?


    I do expect our stadium to be on the same level or slightly better than the stadiums you listed. But you just named stadiums that are 20+ years old. Chicago's stadium is 101 years old and last underwent refurbishment in 2003. Steelers stadium is 23 years old. Browns stadium is 25 years old. Bengals stadium is 24 years old. Patriots stadium is 22 years old. Eagles stadium is 21 years old.

    I mentioned before that I see this brand new stadium akin to the stadiums that were built 20-25 years ago. Which isn't ideal for a brand new stadium. It is like spending $50k on a new kitchen and installing shag carpeting and red cabinets.

  2. 1) Tim Graham can be a jerk sometimes but he and Dunne are seemingly the only Buffalo media members willing to publicly speak on PSE’s private matters. Everyone else is too scared to upset the only business in town.

     

    2) The fact that the son-in-law was “fired”, which is very different than resigned, implies that something not great happened. Graham wouldn’t have used that word willy-nilly.

     

    3) The rosy picture that PSE painted when they first rode into town on white horses is being severely eroded in recent years. From the PSE slide-deck release that prioritized the families lifestyle, to the firing of every executive they ever hire, to the disaster that is the Sabres, to now this. As time moves on, I genuinely am becoming convinced that McDermott is keeping this operation stable. I don’t agree with all of his coaching decisions but he is clearly a good man and leader of men.

     

    15 minutes ago, PromoTheRobot said:

    Huh? The man who avoids press conferences like the plague loves the limelight? 🤔

     

    Yeah… Terry is the last owner I think of when I think “loves the limelight”. He won’t even give a once-a-year press conference.

     

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  3. 28 minutes ago, Cray51 said:

    The chiefs traded Hill to get away from a cap bind.  The chiefs have moved players out, but have been flexible with that cap situation via great drafting and cheap FAs.  The bills are emulating that to a degree.

     

    So you’re saying they made smart moves. Im not sure how this refutes my point.

     

    28 minutes ago, Cray51 said:

     The Bengals have an elite QB on a rookie deal, which gives them flexibility. 

     

    Huh? Burrow is not on a rookie deal.

     

    His contract is larger than Allen’s.

  4. 13 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:


    By having an Elite QB

     

     

    We do have an elite QB, but he is only accounting for 8.5% of the teams cap.

     

    And he accounted for less than 5% the past two seasons when we were also having cap struggles.

     

    As an example of why this excuse holds no water, the Chiefs have an elite QB as well. And have won 3 of the last 5 Super Bowls. Yet they still have over 20 million of cap space.

     

    Another example: The Bengals also have an elite QB. And we’re in the Super Bowl 2 years ago. And have beaten us twice in a row, including one of those times in the playoffs. They have $23 million in cap space.

     

     

    • Agree 1
  5. Just now, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    Sounds like a real: Cut off my nose to spite my face mentality!

     

    In the first ten minutes, many in the media were shocked, but also many articles stated once you actually think about it, it was very good move by the Bills,  They got who they wanted and got extra picks.

     

    It’s how I feel at the moment but I do need to reevaluate in a few weeks. I’m miserable right now with work stress and it may be clouding my judgment.

  6. 1 hour ago, oldmanfan said:

    No.  In general experts are experts because they have pursued specific training and education to their area and spend years in the field doing the work.  The connection thing is silly.

     

    You’re starting to get at where i’m coming from. NFL front offices don’t have “experts” in my opinion. Not in the sense that one can be an expert in chemistry, for example. Meaning, a static profession where there are rights/wrongs/factual data that is objective and doesn’t change largely depending on the opinion of each person you ask.

     

    For example: A neutral Oxygen atom has 8 protons, 8 valence electrons and 8 neutrons. There is no disagreeance among experts because the fact is static. Ask every Chemist expert and they will all say the same thing. This is not the same in football - you can ask 50 scouts how good a player is and they will have 50 different opinions. You can’t be an expert in that. Especially when you’re wrong 70% of the time.

     

    But i’m on a flight to India and no one wants to read us squabble, so you may have the last word.

     

    Goodnight and Go Bills!!!

     

    IMG-9165.jpg

     

     

    • Eyeroll 1
  7. 3 hours ago, oldmanfan said:

    You keep arguing about things being anecdotal.  There’s an easy solution to your complaint:  go find the data.  

     

    You also claim that non-experts can do as good a job as non-experts.  There are a huge number of variables in trying to prognosticate how an NFL draft pick will play out, some within the player’s control and some not.  The tremendous number of variables makes a good draft being where 50% of guys selected make it.  It is hubris that some think they are better than an NFL office with access to scouting reports, film, information from college coaches, personal interviews with players and such.  Occasionally some will luck out and pick better (and of course that can’t be decided for years after a draft vs. some of the hysteria we’ve seen here the past 24 hours).
     

    The idea that non-experts are as good as experts is somewhat trivial when talking about football.  It becomes a real issue when talking about more important subject matter.  Like during Covid when I had hairdressers on Facebook trying to tell me, a scientist, they know more about viruses.  The advent of social media and with it people thinking their opinion is as valid as the next guy, and where actual expertise is ignored, is dangerous.

     

    Yes, by virtue of what football is, non-experts who spend considerable time doing their homework can guess at nearly the same rate that “experts” do.

     

    Keeping in mind that “experts” are just normal people like the non-experts, except due to connections they are able to be paid for it.

     

  8. 20 minutes ago, hondo in seattle said:

    I'm not opposed to inexpert second-guessing.  I do it, too.  I do question the name-calling, hair-pulling, and gnashing-of-teeth.  Especially, the name-calling.  

     

    Years ago, I would read draft profiles on all our picks and watch their highlights.  And then I would turn to a select group of trusted experts.  High up on that list was Gil Brandt, who was a scouting innovator, helped Dallas win some Super Bowls, and was inducted in the Hall of Fame. 

     

    After I digested all that information, I thought I had a reasonably good idea of how our draft went.  

     

    But I noticed that a lot of even Brandt's takes turned out to be wrong.  Of course, Brandt-the-Commentator didn't have the scouting staff and other resources that Brandt-the-Vice-President did.  But I think the bigger issue is that it's impossible to unerringly project the future success of college players.  There are just too many variables at play.

     

    I'm now like Socrates when it comes to the draft: I know that I know nothing.  There is no certitude here.  There can't be.  

     

    How many of Brandts prognostications failed as a percentage basis compared to NFL front offices? Because NFL front offices fail up to 70% of the time as well.

     

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  9.  

    6 minutes ago, SirAndrew said:

    I respect this take, but I think differing opinions is what makes a football message exist. We can’t all say “great draft, Beane knows everything, and can see the future”. 

     

    That would be quite the forum! Just imagine it…

     

    ————-

     

    Joe: Beane did a splendid job.

     

    Bob: He sure did Joe! What a splendid job he did.

     

    Mary: Oh my goodness it was super splendid.

     

    Joe: Indeed, more splendid that splenda!

     

    Bob: Do you think Beane prefers splenda?

     

    Mary: I bet he does! After all, he did a splendid job.

     

    Joe: Remember last years draft? He did a stupendous job then.

     

    Bob: Oh yes, very stupendous last year.

     

    Gary: Sorry i’m late to the thread everyone. Has anyone mentioned how stupendous last years draft was?

     

    Mary: Oh yes Gary, it was stupendous.

     

    Doug: What about the year before that though? It was

    supercalifragilisticexpialidocious.

     

    Joe: Indeed!

    • Haha (+1) 2
  10. 3 hours ago, hondo in seattle said:

    Fans are notoriously lousy at assessing draft picks. 

     

    I would like to see some non-anecdotal data for this assertion.

     

    A few years back an analysis was run on the Bills draft record during their drought. Nearly 20 years of data. In that span, it was shown via analysis that if the Bills front office had simply followed a publicly available player ranking (think: Kiper, McShay, etc), they would have drafted more impact players than they actually did.

     

    A similar one was down for Oakland I believe.


    Thats right - the professional NFL front offices of multiple teams, with access to dozens of scouts, in-person interviews, and player data galore, was beaten out by a generic player ranking list. 

     

    Too many people buy into the “expert” fallacy. That simply because someone does something for a living, that they are better at that job than someone who doesn’t do it for a living. It’s not always accurate. 

    • Eyeroll 1
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  11. 42 minutes ago, jkeerie said:

    I've heard all of these takes on Josh Allen and the Bills.  In fact, he's been jealous of the Bills because he is a Jets fan and they can't seem to do anything right.  But...he's an emotional Jets fan.  So he's not looking at the trade with any deal of objectivity.  I heard his take right after the trade was made and KC picked Worthy.  It was as emotional as when Mina Kimes went on about the Bills picking Josh Allen...and in truth it gave him something to add to the broadcast since he had nothing to offer with any pick analysis etc.  Outside of getting ESPN to their commercial breaks he just took up a chair.  

     

    Good GMs don't worry about optics.  They don't make decisions based on emotion.   Media people are all about the optics.  And football fans are all about emotion.

     

    And btw, just because someone disagrees with you, you don't need to resort to insults.

     

    There was no insult intended. Apologizies if anything I said was taken that way. I was simply stating that you must not have seen Greeny defend the Bills nearly non-stop for 3 straight years now if you're going to say that he can't be objective about the Bills.

    Greeny, Simms and Brandt have been the most outwardly spoken Bills defenders of the past half decade. That's just a fact.

    What he said about the trade is spot on in my opinion.


    Beane has some question marks right now about whether he actually IS a good GM. I used to think he was. But he has made many many many blunders that have set this time back. From signing a 33 year old Von Miller to a massive deal, to letting KC jump us and take McDuffie (leaving us with Elam), to trading one of hte leagues best Guards to Cleveland for a bag of peanuts, to swinging and missing on Basham and Doyle and Fromm and Joseph. 

     

  12. 20 hours ago, HappyDays said:

    This quote from Beane defines the entire draft strategy:

     

    He is giving it to us straight. The Bills are in a rebuild year. So he went for all team captains. Guys that interviewed well. Guys that he believes set a new foundation of leadership in the building. He hunted for short term needs that fit the singular character profile he and McDermott feel comfortable with, at the expense of talent at premium positions. And he is telling the fanbase to temper our expectations without coming right out and saying it.

     

    I'm not gonna grade a draft until we see how all the players turn out, but the overall philosophy shown this weekend is deflating and uninspiring.

     

    Yikes.

  13. 38 minutes ago, jkeerie said:

    Greeny is a Jets fan and has never been able to look at anything NFL related with an objective eye.


    Greeny has been backing the Bills for  years now. If you have been living under a rock, I can understand not knowing of Greenys defense of the Bills but here they are:

     

     

     

    18 minutes ago, What a Tuel said:

     

    The point is that there is no consensus that he is tyreek hill "2.0" until he proves it. You guys are drawing parallels simply bc the guy is fast and was drafted by the chiefs. If he went to any other team, no one would be calling him tyreek hill "2.0". No one.


    I'm not drawing any parallels. I didnt want him. I simply posted that the media is destroying the Bills for making the trade and rightfully so.

    You don't trade with the team you're trying to catch. Klingons don't trade with Romuluns.

  14. 1 hour ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    First off we didn't just "hand him" to the Chiefs.  They paid a steep price for a guy

     

    We disagree greatly. I do not agree that trading a 4th for a 3rd is a “steep price”. Many people think we gained a pick - we didn’t. We just moved up a bit. Had they actually paid a steep price, I would have been far more okay with it.

     

    There is also 0 evidence that they still get Worthy without us. Maybe they would have or maybe they wouldn’t have.

     

    The fact that they made a trade signifies that they did NOT think Worthy would have fallen to them.

  15. 7 hours ago, What a Tuel said:

     

    The guy is tyreek hill 2.0 and 27 other teams said "no thanks"? Think Ill wait and see before feeling "sick" about a 160lb wr the FO didnt even want.

     

    I mean, the actual Tyreek Hill was passed over 32 times in 4 different rounds. So the fact that 27 teams passed over him doesn’t mean much to me.

     

    That being said, I really didn’t want Worthy either. I just don’t want us to hand KC who they want. 

    • Agree 1
  16. 34 minutes ago, Roundybout said:


    NFL Memes is the lowest-hanging, bottom-tier “humor” account for people with a room temperature understanding of the game. What do you expect?

     

    Maybe so. But it’s everywhere. Not just on NFL Memes.

     

    ESPN, Bleacher Report, The Ringer, FS1, etc.

     

    Im going to just avoid media for the next week.

     

     

  17. 2 hours ago, zevo said:

    I feel like Allen wanted a guy that could make that ridiculous catch in the big moment. Colemans has a lot of ridiculous grabs

     

    He definitely does seem very capable of making catches from any angle and plucking the ball out of the air.

     

    That may be more valuable to the team than separation,

     

    But I gotta tell ya - Allen’s best season came when Daboll was scheming guys into separation.

     

     

    • Agree 2
  18. 37 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    The narcissistic point of view that you think you know more and have even 1% the info and knowledge on these players as Beane and his staff do is hilarious.  

     

    I would send you to what I told Gunner. Here, i’ll copy/paste it for you:

     

    I recall an analysis done several years ago where it was shown that if the various Bills front offices of the drought (close to 20 years of drafts), simply followed the public sentiment of player grading (McShay, Kiper, etc) the team would have drafted more high caliber players than they actually did over that span.


    That was incredibly eye opening to me, and showed that the NFL GM’s who had done thousands of hours of game review know not much more (in terms of predictably of success) than the guys watching significantly less.

     

     

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