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Billy Claude

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Posts posted by Billy Claude

  1. On 9/27/2023 at 12:31 AM, ndirish1978 said:

     

    IMO most of his poor decisions are made when he's trying so hard to make a play because we're behind. We never should have been in the position to have to get a FG to tie the Jets game, he lost us that game and it shouldn't have even been close. There a dumb thing that happens on this board (not talking about you specifically) but I think we should be able to express concerns or doubts about our players without being accused of not being a fan. I'm not saying he sucks, I think he's great - I just worry about his decision-making mainly because I thought he was getting past this shaky part of his game and it's still rearing it's head.  

     

    On 9/27/2023 at 1:06 AM, Warcodered said:

    All of his turnovers in the Jets game were when we had the lead.

     

     

    This narrative keeps being repeated  but it is simply not even close to true that Allen's turnovers was  because the Bills were behind.  This is not only the case for this season's Jets game but in general.

     

    Out of Allen's 19 2022 regular season turnovers, 12 of them were with the Bill's leading and 4 were with the Bills tied .  All Allen's turnovers when tied occurred in the first half of the games.

     

    Only three of Allen's 2022 turnovers occurred with the Bills trailing:

     

    (1) An interception down 0-7 in the first half against Chicago.

    (2) A fumble on first down trailing 21-26 at midfield at the beginning of the 4th quarter in the 2nd game against the Dolphins.   Plenty of time left to make up 5 points and in fact the Bills eventually win this game.

    (3) An interception ending OT down 3 against the Vikings -- this is the only one that meets the criteria for a do or die situation.

     

    When McDermott keeps saying Allen has to play smarter, it isn't only about sliding at the end of runs.

     

     

     

     

     

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  2. 34 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

    Well the stats are interesting for sure.  For as close of a game as it was, I guess it was more of the Bills just shooting themselves in the foot then because it felt like Miami was always moving the ball on us.

     

    Definitely it was the Bill's shooting themselves in the foot.  Two ints, a fumble returned for a touchdown, and a 50 yard punt return were the only reasons the Dolphins were in the game

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  3. 40 minutes ago, The Wiz said:

    I still don't know if his performance against the bills in the playoffs last year give him credit, discredits Tua or just shows that McDaniel has designed an offense that is just really good (or any combination of the three including all of the above).

     

    Thompson was 18 /45 for 220 yards with 1 TD and 2 Int in that playoff game. The entire Dolphin offense had 231 total yards.  I really don't think Thompson's performance in that game did anything to discredit Tua.

     

  4. 6 hours ago, billsfan89 said:


    Josh has always had that level of patience when the supporting cast let’s him. 90% of the time when Josh gets sloppy and turnover prone is when he has to force the offense to get in gear due to lackluster supporting cast play. 
     

     

    I think this Josh only  makes mistakes because he has to be Superman is way overplayed.  Sometimes its is true but no where close to 90%,

     

    This was definitely not true of the Jets game.   When Allen threw the 2nd interception which basically screwed everything up, the Bills defense was playing great,  the Bills were in the middle of a nice drive, the Bills were already in (very) long field goal territory, and it was only second down.  In fact, the offense had been clicking since Allen's last interception. In what way was being Superman required at that time?

     

    A large majority of Allen's turnovers last season were when the Bills were leading, often letting the other team back into the game.   There is time to take risks and time to play it safe. Allen has to have better awareness of game situation.

     

    I also strongly dislike this an interception is as good as a punt narrative.   It is not as good as  a punt if there was a better option underneath that might have gotten you a first down -- even if you have to throw it in front of the sticks and hope for YAC.

     

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  5. 2 hours ago, Since1981 said:

    It’s somewhat true. 17 had a couple very massive brain farts Vs Jets. They almost won. All the more painful with Wilson…hope it’s turning point. We will learn a lot tomorrow against Washington front DL and how it affects our boy

     

    There's level of brain farts also.   Throwing a 40 yard pass into double coverage while falling, with your offense clicking (the Bills were on a nice drive at the time), your team is up by seven, you are in the range of a long field goal, and your opponent is totally inept offensively is about as bad as it can get.  It was laughable how many reasons that pass should not have been thrown.

  6. Pretty amazing, one week ago you couldn't post anything even vaguely critical of Allen without being down-voted and now it appears that to many people he is basically a slightly better version of Zach Wilson.

     

    I expect that he will have a really good game tomorrow against a really bad defense and the board will swing back to Allen farts unicorn mode.

  7. The Bills finished first in red zone conversion rate in 2021 and 9th in 2022.

     

    The problem was that in both years I was more confident that the Bills would score a touchdown on a 3rd down from the 5 yard line rather than a 3rd down from the two yard line. I wouldn't be surprised if they finished close to last on converting 3rd and short to TDs in both years. 

     

    The difference in the red-zone conversion rate wasn't due to being better in short yardage situations in 2021, it was that there were fewer red-zone turnovers in 2021.

     

    I think @Einstein led a long discussion of how bad they were shortage yardage situations at during the 2021 season.

     

    Just wanted to say that it isn't all Dorsey or Saffold's fault.  The Bills were bad on third and short in 2021 also.

     

  8. 12 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    Well, he's signed by the Steelers.

     

    Although the reaction to the 1st preseason game in some quarters is that Mason Rudolph outplayed him, so if that keeps up, maybe the Steelers will trade him back to us.  They'd eat a $10M dead cap hit though, and they don't have it.

     

     

    The Bills could afford it just fine, his salary is essentially league minimum, but he's got a $4.9M signing bonus this season and 2x $2.3M for 2024 and 2025

    So trading or cutting him would be costly to the Stillers.

     

    Is this not the second year of a two year contract?

     

    In that case, the Steelers are on the hook for Trubisky's signing bonus whether they keep him, trade him, or cut him.   If Rudolph clearly outplays him, wouldn't it make sense for the Steelers to take their losses and get whatever they could in a trade for Trubisky?

     

    Hopefully, it is a moot point and Kyle Allen starts looking a lot better.

     

  9. 1 hour ago, Augie said:

     

    How much did they make? And how much did he make? Did everyone sign off on this? Did someone fail to perform according to the agreement in any way? 

     

    There is a lot of moral outrage here. If someone could give us the Cliff Notes on the facts and the contracts, that would be helpful. 

     

    From New York magazine: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/08/michael-oher-claims-tuohys-scammed-him-of-blind-side-money.html#:~:text=According to the filing%2C The,million at the box office.

     

    This is what Oher claim in his filing.   If it goes to court it should be easy to check:

     

    The 2009 movie, based on a book by Michael Lewis, won Sandra Bullock the Academy Award for Best Actress. According to the filing, The Blind Side netted the Tuohys and their two children $225,000 each plus 2.5 percent of the “defined net proceeds” — a substantial sum for a movie that made $309 million at the box office. But Oher claims that a contract signed in 2007 waived his rights to any proceeds “without any payment whatsoever.” He says he has no memory of signing such a contract; even if he did, he says he was not informed of its ramifications.

     

    If this is true, its hard to figure out why Oher didn't get at least the same share as the children.  Maybe their relationship was already on the outs at that time.  Oher was fairly quick to say that the movie wasn't accurate at the time.

     

     

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  10. 8 hours ago, KCNC said:

    Yeah it's hard to see how an NFL franchise cannot do at least a little homework on someone, but it is the Browns after all...

     

     

    The Browns did do due diligence.  The claim is that the front office wanted Bridgewater but the owner pressured them to get Manziel.

     

    Google "Browns $100,000 study Manziel" or "homeless man tells Haslem to pick Manziel".

     

     

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  11. For those who are interested, Steph Curry won by overtaking Mardy Fish with an eagle on the 18th.  Josh Allen finished tied for 37th (with Jerome Bettis) out of 93 golfers http://www.scoring.r2it.com/golf/acc/Leaderboard.aspx.

     

    Here are the final finishing positions of other active QBs:

     

    5  Aaron Rodgers

    T20 Derek Carr

    T37 Josh Allen

    62 Patrick Mahomes

    79 Baker Mayfield

     

    Others of interest

     

    6 Annika Sorenstam

    68 Dan Quayle

    70 Ryan Fitzpatrick

     

     

     

  12. 27 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

     

    That's one of those "who knows?" things.  He stood up and announced he was "stepping away due to health issues".  He def. did have some health issues, but he ws only 57 🤷‍♂️

     

    So opinions vary, just as they do as to whether Frazier legit chose to step back for a year, or was pushed out by being told McD would call plays, or was shadow-fired.

     

     

    There's no question on the last.  My only point is that it's hardly the sure bet to jettison a winning coach and bring in someone new, that some folks seem to believe.  It may lead to a better result, it may not.

     

     

    Yes.  I know that there were rumors that Elway pressured him out.  Given Kubiak's confirmed medical issues and that he was able to get to 9-7 with Trevor Siemian, I find it difficult that even John Elway would lose patience that quickly.  However, Elway's interference might have also been a factor in his resignation.

     

    On the last part, I definitely agreed, no matter how much one argues the point, you just don't know.  However, given Pegula's experience with  how difficult it is to find even a competent coach with the Sabres, I think it would take a player revolt type of season for McDermott to be fired after this season.   I can see him getting fired the year after that if the Bills continue to mess up in the playoffs.

     

    I guess you just don't know doesn't make for good conversation on a message board.

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  13. 3 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    I think perhaps sometimes it is.

    Consider the case of Gary Kubiak, who was fired after Denver had a winning season 9-7.

     

    This was 1 season after winning the Superbowl and after 4 consecutive 12 and 13 win seasons, and with 7th round pick Trevor Siemian at QB.

     

    Kubiak didn't miss the playoffs multiple times, didn't have a losing season.  Yet it was clearly considered "subpar" to go 9-7 after winning a Superbowl.  I think Superbowl (or at least deep into playoffs) had become the expectation in Denver, so Kubiak was considered to have under-achieved.

     

     

     

    I thought Kubiak retired from the Broncos due to health issues rather then being fired.  He did miss games that year due to health. 

     

     

     

    Some of these obvious examples of coaches have been mentioned in previous threads:

     

    John Fox was fired after going 12-4, 13-3, and 13-3 record the previous three years (most recent listed first) but going 3-4 in the playoffs.  His record is probably closest to McDermott's.  Of course. Kubiak won the Super Bowl the next year and then the Broncos went 9-7 and then 5-11 the years after that.

     

    Marty Shottenheimer was fired after going 10-6, 10-5, and 12-4 in the previous three years with the Browns and 2-4 in the playoffs.  The Browns went 9-6-1 and 3-13 the next two years under Bud Carson.

     

    Shottenheimer was also fired after going 12-4, 9.-7, 12-4 the previous 3 year with San Diego and 0-2 in the playoffs.  The Chargers when 11-5 and 8-8 the next two years under Norv Turner.

     

    He was also fired from the KC Chiefs after a lot of very good regular seasons but went 7-9 the year before he was fired (so it doesn't count).

     

    Tony Dungy after going 9-7. 10-6  and 11-5 the previous 3 years with Tampa Bay and 2-4 in the playoffs.  Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl the next year and then  7-9 and 5-11 the two years after that.

     

    So some teams have definitely achieved the pinnacle firing successful head coaches.

     

     

     

     

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  14. 12 hours ago, julian said:

    Wasn’t it widely reported the Elbow injury limited his short and mid range accuracy ? He was limited with arm angle variation.

     

     Maybe I’m remembering incorrectly.

     

     

    I don't believe it was widely reported.   Certainly nothing came from the Bills.   You wouldn't expect anything during the season but these kind of things always leak out after the season.  I don't think any reporter ever claimed that someone from the Bills told them that.  I also think Diggs would have been more understanding if the game plan or game execution was severely limited due to Allen's injury.

     

    As far as I could tell, it was just a sports chiropractor on the internet without any direct knowledge of the situation who said the injury would make it more difficult for Allen to throw short passes.  Some people on the board then convinced themselves that this must have been the reason Allen was going deep so much.

     

     

    58 minutes ago, Buffalo Junction said:

    I’m not sure Diggs was unhappy with the playcalling, so much as Allen not telling Dorsey to change up some things based on what they’re seeing on the field. That would put the emphasis more on “communication” but look like a straight X’s and O’s issue. Who knows 🤷‍♂️. All we really know is winning cures all, but those wins need to be playoff victories this year.

     

     

    Certainly also a reasonable possibility but wouldn't this still be a football related issue?  Allen said the issue was not football related.

     

     

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  15. 1 hour ago, BritBill said:

    @SoCal Deek The Championship fixtures have been released. In London on Saturday 7 October you have Millwall v Hull (what a treat) and QPR v Blackburn. 

     

    The fixtures may move because of TV but looking at them for Saturday 7 October then one which way move on police advice would be Sunderland v Middlesbrough. And Leicester v Stoke. And Birmingham v West Brom. Jesus it's a rough day for the police officers of the UK. 

     

     

    OK.  I am curious.  Why would the police recommend these particular matches be moved?   Are these rivalry games with reputations for violence? And what is wrong with Milwall vs. Hull?

  16. 5 hours ago, Dopey said:

    This is where I am on this. I believe Josh when he says it’s not football related. I believe it was Diggs feeling that Josh wasn’t totally focused. For someone who wants to win as much as Diggs, he should be upset if what is rumored (cops the day before the game) is true. I said in a previous post that Josh said too much in that press conference. It’s hard to believe play calling is the issue when Josh clearly said it wasn’t football related. 

     

     

    Yes, I just don't see any reason why Allen would say Diggs' issues were not football related if it was about play calling and I assume that Allen talked  with McDermott and perhaps a PR person about what he was going to say before he met the reporters.  However, that Digg's was unhappy with the play calling absolutely makes the most sense out of the various theories out there.

     

     

  17. 8 hours ago, Einstein said:

     

    Then the question becomes: Why was Andy Reid unable to teach McNabb or Smith the nuances of the game well enough to win a Super Bowl? Why was Belichick not able to teach Bledsoe or Kosar the nuances of the game well enough to win a Super Bowl?

     

    It’s the QB.

     

     

    This is reaching the point of chariacature.  Are we not remembering that Nick Foles and a completely washed Peyton Manning have won Super Bowls?  That Jimmy Garofolo, Colin Kaepernick and Jared Goff has started recent Super Bowls? Not to mention some good but not great QBs like Eli Manning, Joe Flacco, and Matthew Stafford have all won Super Bowls recently.

     

    The belief that it is all the QB is insulting to rest of the players and staff on those teams.   You often make good points but then always take it to absurd limits. Your arguments will be much more effective if don't religiously adhere to your flow chart. There has rarely been worse cases of the pot calling the kettle black.

     

     

     

    On 6/15/2023 at 6:28 PM, Einstein said:

     

     

    flows52.jpg


     

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  18. Issues with play calling seems much more probable than ex-girlfriends impregnated by a teammate. However, if that is the case, was Josh just lying when he said the issues were not football related? If Allen was lying, what was the purpose of lying instead of just saying he didn't want to talk about specifics? Secondly, what about the reports that Diggs met with Beane, McDermott, and the new WR coach but not Dorsey?  Were those reports simply wrong?

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  19. 12 hours ago, Nextmanup said:

    Here's the thing: most people here are sheep and worship anyone currently associated with the team like a god.

     

    Then, when a certain person leaves the team, they usually make fun of that person and sneer about how bad they were.

     

    I don't get it either.

     

    Kiko Alonso, to name one of dozens, went from highly regarded fanboy player to the butt of jokes here in about 48 hours when we traded him off the team.

     

    Rex is another great example.  

     

     

     

     

    Definitely not true about Rex.   His shine had worn off for the majority on the board long before he was fired.   Most were off the bandwagon after season one when he took a elite Schwartz defense and made it look unprepared and confused.

     

     

     

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