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Billy Claude

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Posts posted by Billy Claude

  1. The Bills finished first in red zone conversion rate in 2021 and 9th in 2022.

     

    The problem was that in both years I was more confident that the Bills would score a touchdown on a 3rd down from the 5 yard line rather than a 3rd down from the two yard line. I wouldn't be surprised if they finished close to last on converting 3rd and short to TDs in both years. 

     

    The difference in the red-zone conversion rate wasn't due to being better in short yardage situations in 2021, it was that there were fewer red-zone turnovers in 2021.

     

    I think @Einstein led a long discussion of how bad they were shortage yardage situations at during the 2021 season.

     

    Just wanted to say that it isn't all Dorsey or Saffold's fault.  The Bills were bad on third and short in 2021 also.

     

  2. 12 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    Well, he's signed by the Steelers.

     

    Although the reaction to the 1st preseason game in some quarters is that Mason Rudolph outplayed him, so if that keeps up, maybe the Steelers will trade him back to us.  They'd eat a $10M dead cap hit though, and they don't have it.

     

     

    The Bills could afford it just fine, his salary is essentially league minimum, but he's got a $4.9M signing bonus this season and 2x $2.3M for 2024 and 2025

    So trading or cutting him would be costly to the Stillers.

     

    Is this not the second year of a two year contract?

     

    In that case, the Steelers are on the hook for Trubisky's signing bonus whether they keep him, trade him, or cut him.   If Rudolph clearly outplays him, wouldn't it make sense for the Steelers to take their losses and get whatever they could in a trade for Trubisky?

     

    Hopefully, it is a moot point and Kyle Allen starts looking a lot better.

     

  3. 1 hour ago, Augie said:

     

    How much did they make? And how much did he make? Did everyone sign off on this? Did someone fail to perform according to the agreement in any way? 

     

    There is a lot of moral outrage here. If someone could give us the Cliff Notes on the facts and the contracts, that would be helpful. 

     

    From New York magazine: https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2023/08/michael-oher-claims-tuohys-scammed-him-of-blind-side-money.html#:~:text=According to the filing%2C The,million at the box office.

     

    This is what Oher claim in his filing.   If it goes to court it should be easy to check:

     

    The 2009 movie, based on a book by Michael Lewis, won Sandra Bullock the Academy Award for Best Actress. According to the filing, The Blind Side netted the Tuohys and their two children $225,000 each plus 2.5 percent of the “defined net proceeds” — a substantial sum for a movie that made $309 million at the box office. But Oher claims that a contract signed in 2007 waived his rights to any proceeds “without any payment whatsoever.” He says he has no memory of signing such a contract; even if he did, he says he was not informed of its ramifications.

     

    If this is true, its hard to figure out why Oher didn't get at least the same share as the children.  Maybe their relationship was already on the outs at that time.  Oher was fairly quick to say that the movie wasn't accurate at the time.

     

     

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  4. 8 hours ago, KCNC said:

    Yeah it's hard to see how an NFL franchise cannot do at least a little homework on someone, but it is the Browns after all...

     

     

    The Browns did do due diligence.  The claim is that the front office wanted Bridgewater but the owner pressured them to get Manziel.

     

    Google "Browns $100,000 study Manziel" or "homeless man tells Haslem to pick Manziel".

     

     

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  5. For those who are interested, Steph Curry won by overtaking Mardy Fish with an eagle on the 18th.  Josh Allen finished tied for 37th (with Jerome Bettis) out of 93 golfers http://www.scoring.r2it.com/golf/acc/Leaderboard.aspx.

     

    Here are the final finishing positions of other active QBs:

     

    5  Aaron Rodgers

    T20 Derek Carr

    T37 Josh Allen

    62 Patrick Mahomes

    79 Baker Mayfield

     

    Others of interest

     

    6 Annika Sorenstam

    68 Dan Quayle

    70 Ryan Fitzpatrick

     

     

     

  6. 27 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

     

    That's one of those "who knows?" things.  He stood up and announced he was "stepping away due to health issues".  He def. did have some health issues, but he ws only 57 🤷‍♂️

     

    So opinions vary, just as they do as to whether Frazier legit chose to step back for a year, or was pushed out by being told McD would call plays, or was shadow-fired.

     

     

    There's no question on the last.  My only point is that it's hardly the sure bet to jettison a winning coach and bring in someone new, that some folks seem to believe.  It may lead to a better result, it may not.

     

     

    Yes.  I know that there were rumors that Elway pressured him out.  Given Kubiak's confirmed medical issues and that he was able to get to 9-7 with Trevor Siemian, I find it difficult that even John Elway would lose patience that quickly.  However, Elway's interference might have also been a factor in his resignation.

     

    On the last part, I definitely agreed, no matter how much one argues the point, you just don't know.  However, given Pegula's experience with  how difficult it is to find even a competent coach with the Sabres, I think it would take a player revolt type of season for McDermott to be fired after this season.   I can see him getting fired the year after that if the Bills continue to mess up in the playoffs.

     

    I guess you just don't know doesn't make for good conversation on a message board.

     

     

     

     

     

     

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  7. 3 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    I think perhaps sometimes it is.

    Consider the case of Gary Kubiak, who was fired after Denver had a winning season 9-7.

     

    This was 1 season after winning the Superbowl and after 4 consecutive 12 and 13 win seasons, and with 7th round pick Trevor Siemian at QB.

     

    Kubiak didn't miss the playoffs multiple times, didn't have a losing season.  Yet it was clearly considered "subpar" to go 9-7 after winning a Superbowl.  I think Superbowl (or at least deep into playoffs) had become the expectation in Denver, so Kubiak was considered to have under-achieved.

     

     

     

    I thought Kubiak retired from the Broncos due to health issues rather then being fired.  He did miss games that year due to health. 

     

     

     

    Some of these obvious examples of coaches have been mentioned in previous threads:

     

    John Fox was fired after going 12-4, 13-3, and 13-3 record the previous three years (most recent listed first) but going 3-4 in the playoffs.  His record is probably closest to McDermott's.  Of course. Kubiak won the Super Bowl the next year and then the Broncos went 9-7 and then 5-11 the years after that.

     

    Marty Shottenheimer was fired after going 10-6, 10-5, and 12-4 in the previous three years with the Browns and 2-4 in the playoffs.  The Browns went 9-6-1 and 3-13 the next two years under Bud Carson.

     

    Shottenheimer was also fired after going 12-4, 9.-7, 12-4 the previous 3 year with San Diego and 0-2 in the playoffs.  The Chargers when 11-5 and 8-8 the next two years under Norv Turner.

     

    He was also fired from the KC Chiefs after a lot of very good regular seasons but went 7-9 the year before he was fired (so it doesn't count).

     

    Tony Dungy after going 9-7. 10-6  and 11-5 the previous 3 years with Tampa Bay and 2-4 in the playoffs.  Jon Gruden won the Super Bowl the next year and then  7-9 and 5-11 the two years after that.

     

    So some teams have definitely achieved the pinnacle firing successful head coaches.

     

     

     

     

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  8. 12 hours ago, julian said:

    Wasn’t it widely reported the Elbow injury limited his short and mid range accuracy ? He was limited with arm angle variation.

     

     Maybe I’m remembering incorrectly.

     

     

    I don't believe it was widely reported.   Certainly nothing came from the Bills.   You wouldn't expect anything during the season but these kind of things always leak out after the season.  I don't think any reporter ever claimed that someone from the Bills told them that.  I also think Diggs would have been more understanding if the game plan or game execution was severely limited due to Allen's injury.

     

    As far as I could tell, it was just a sports chiropractor on the internet without any direct knowledge of the situation who said the injury would make it more difficult for Allen to throw short passes.  Some people on the board then convinced themselves that this must have been the reason Allen was going deep so much.

     

     

    58 minutes ago, Buffalo Junction said:

    I’m not sure Diggs was unhappy with the playcalling, so much as Allen not telling Dorsey to change up some things based on what they’re seeing on the field. That would put the emphasis more on “communication” but look like a straight X’s and O’s issue. Who knows 🤷‍♂️. All we really know is winning cures all, but those wins need to be playoff victories this year.

     

     

    Certainly also a reasonable possibility but wouldn't this still be a football related issue?  Allen said the issue was not football related.

     

     

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  9. 1 hour ago, BritBill said:

    @SoCal Deek The Championship fixtures have been released. In London on Saturday 7 October you have Millwall v Hull (what a treat) and QPR v Blackburn. 

     

    The fixtures may move because of TV but looking at them for Saturday 7 October then one which way move on police advice would be Sunderland v Middlesbrough. And Leicester v Stoke. And Birmingham v West Brom. Jesus it's a rough day for the police officers of the UK. 

     

     

    OK.  I am curious.  Why would the police recommend these particular matches be moved?   Are these rivalry games with reputations for violence? And what is wrong with Milwall vs. Hull?

  10. 5 hours ago, Dopey said:

    This is where I am on this. I believe Josh when he says it’s not football related. I believe it was Diggs feeling that Josh wasn’t totally focused. For someone who wants to win as much as Diggs, he should be upset if what is rumored (cops the day before the game) is true. I said in a previous post that Josh said too much in that press conference. It’s hard to believe play calling is the issue when Josh clearly said it wasn’t football related. 

     

     

    Yes, I just don't see any reason why Allen would say Diggs' issues were not football related if it was about play calling and I assume that Allen talked  with McDermott and perhaps a PR person about what he was going to say before he met the reporters.  However, that Digg's was unhappy with the play calling absolutely makes the most sense out of the various theories out there.

     

     

  11. 8 hours ago, Einstein said:

     

    Then the question becomes: Why was Andy Reid unable to teach McNabb or Smith the nuances of the game well enough to win a Super Bowl? Why was Belichick not able to teach Bledsoe or Kosar the nuances of the game well enough to win a Super Bowl?

     

    It’s the QB.

     

     

    This is reaching the point of chariacature.  Are we not remembering that Nick Foles and a completely washed Peyton Manning have won Super Bowls?  That Jimmy Garofolo, Colin Kaepernick and Jared Goff has started recent Super Bowls? Not to mention some good but not great QBs like Eli Manning, Joe Flacco, and Matthew Stafford have all won Super Bowls recently.

     

    The belief that it is all the QB is insulting to rest of the players and staff on those teams.   You often make good points but then always take it to absurd limits. Your arguments will be much more effective if don't religiously adhere to your flow chart. There has rarely been worse cases of the pot calling the kettle black.

     

     

     

    On 6/15/2023 at 6:28 PM, Einstein said:

     

     

    flows52.jpg


     

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  12. Issues with play calling seems much more probable than ex-girlfriends impregnated by a teammate. However, if that is the case, was Josh just lying when he said the issues were not football related? If Allen was lying, what was the purpose of lying instead of just saying he didn't want to talk about specifics? Secondly, what about the reports that Diggs met with Beane, McDermott, and the new WR coach but not Dorsey?  Were those reports simply wrong?

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  13. 12 hours ago, Nextmanup said:

    Here's the thing: most people here are sheep and worship anyone currently associated with the team like a god.

     

    Then, when a certain person leaves the team, they usually make fun of that person and sneer about how bad they were.

     

    I don't get it either.

     

    Kiko Alonso, to name one of dozens, went from highly regarded fanboy player to the butt of jokes here in about 48 hours when we traded him off the team.

     

    Rex is another great example.  

     

     

     

     

    Definitely not true about Rex.   His shine had worn off for the majority on the board long before he was fired.   Most were off the bandwagon after season one when he took a elite Schwartz defense and made it look unprepared and confused.

     

     

     

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  14.  

    I don't think this came up all of sudden due to the Bengals game (or just before) nor do I think it is all Diggs.

     

    Things have been clearly less kumbaya with the Bills since the 13 seconds.   There were assistant coaches making lateral moves, stories that Daboll and McDermott didn't see eye to eye, rumors about what was said on the flight back from KC etc. Things were hidden during the hot start last season but probably flared up after the team started struggling in November such as mentioned in Wawrow's article.

     

  15. 41 minutes ago, GoBills808 said:

    QBs have reads depending on what the defense is doing

     

    Allen's reads progress from deep to shallow, meaning if he sees a certain look deep he will throw that before he gets to something underneath

     

    it's a function of the offense, not a bug

     

     

    This doesn't make sense.   

     

    How can every passing play be designed to go deep to shallow?   If that was the case, the only short passes would be flares to the running back.   I have to assume some plays are designed to be read deep to shallow and some shallow to deep, or more likely, Allen has a choice based on the defensive alignment.

     

    There is something seriously wrong with the game plan if all  passing plays are designed to be read deep to shallow.  

     

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  16. This is much ado about nothing.  A quick internet search shows that the rule change won't affect anybody:

     

    From footballZebras.com discussing the rule change:

     

    "A forward handoff is only allowed to be made to an eligible receiver behind the line of scrimmage. When the handoff occurs downfield, it is 5 yards from the spot of the foul and a loss of down. The rule change would be to have forward handoffs to linemen behind the line of scrimmage also carry a loss of down and also be a spot foul (currently from the line of scrimmage)."

     

    So forward handoffs to running backs or receivers behind the line of scrimmage are still allowed.  You can't do a forward handoff in front of the line of scrimmage nor hand it off to a lineman at any place on the field.   How many times do these things happen in a season?


    One could wonder why they bother adding this clause but this whole discussion is making a mountain out of a molehill (as is many things on the internet).

     

    Oops -- I saw that someone upthread already mentioned this but everyone seems to ignore it.

     

  17. 2 hours ago, muppy said:

    OR the counterpoint  to his GF being a distraction maybe she will be a huge ASSET. She doesn't "need"  him and he clearly doesn't  "need" her.

     

    Both careers are very secure . Whatever distance between them could either help or hurt him.

     

    That's true with Any relationship though.  I think people sometimes discount just how smart a guy like Josh Allen is. On the field Brilliance. I dare think off the field too.

     

    All this borrowing trouble though....😶

     

     

     

     

    One big change will be that I am pretty sure Hailee Steinfeld won't be moving to Buffalo during the season.

     

     

  18.  


     

    1 hour ago, letsgoteam said:

    If the QB "throws it" (the few inch toss up thing) then its considered a pass. Which would still be legal? 

    I was thinking the same thing. So if a player "dives" to make a shoe string tackle, etc then its illegal?

     

      

     

    Agreed, what if a player dives for a shoe string tackle, etc.

     

    Lastly, since we are talking about rules...

    Does anyone know why the NFL makes teams have inactive players? I think it would be easier for everyone and safer if they just allowed all 53 active for game days. You could still even have the Practice Squad call ups that fill in for players that are ruled out (injuries, etc) for games but still on the 53.

     

    Agree that the rule change will add further judgment calls but a shoestring tackle has been and will continue to be legal even if the player leaves both feet:

     

    It is an illegal launch if a player (i) leaves one or both feet prior to contact to spring forward and upward into his opponent, and (ii) uses any part of his helmet .

     

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