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Billy Claude

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Posts posted by Billy Claude

  1. 2 hours ago, Sweats said:

     

     

     

    Yes sir.

    They are trying to own the middle of the field......create mismatch nightmares and rely on YAC......more like death by a thousand cuts.

     

     

    Aren't these the things that Josh Allen is not very good at?   Are they trying to fit a square peg into a round hole?  This is what is puzzling to me.   It was like when Dennison came in and decided to run the WCO with Tyrod Taylor.

     

     

  2. 2 hours ago, Alphadawg7 said:

     

    I would say this aged pretty well and I was pretty spot on.  And here is Beane basically echoing the same things tonight after round 1 where he said he never even tried to trade up and no one called him either to try and initiate us to trade up.  He even directly references wanting to get a 3rd back as I mentioned above and how now we have pick 95 and the pick we gave up for Rasul was like pick 91, so we essentially got that pick back.

     

    Like I keep saying, all you have to do is listen to Beane and pay attention, he is about as straight forward as they come.  Or don't and rely on bogus twitter nonsense designed to create buzz and clicks...but I think you will find Beanes own words to be more accurate than anything on social media.  

     

     

     

     

    Agree.  Beane usually gives you a good idea of the broad strokes of his thinking and very rarely tells an outright lie.  Definitely much less likely to tell a bald face lie than other GMs. The only exception I can think of is the Kair Elam year when he claimed the Bills were not lasered focused on a CB when they clearly were.

     

     

     

     

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  3. 53 minutes ago, dave mcbride said:

    They were better in 2022 than in 2021, actually. The only difference in outcome is that they won an extremely close game vs KC in the AFCCG in January 2022 and lost an extremely close game in the AFCCG in January 2023 (on a personal foul call, of all things).

     


    The Bengals were incredibly lucky in 2021.  Every Bengal playoff game was incredibly close.  In the wild-card game, the Raiders had three shots at tying (or winning) the game from the Bengals 9-yard line with 30 seconds left.  In the divisional game against the Titans, Tannehill threw two 4th quarter interceptions including one with 40 seconds left at mid field that set up the Bengals game winning field goal and in the conference championship, one could argue the Chiefs were emotionally spent from the 13 second game.


    The 2021 Bengals were probably the weakest AFC team in the Super Bowl in about 20 years.

     

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  4. 13 hours ago, Gregg said:

    Looks very similar to what they wore in their early history. The Giants uniforms from 1924 to 1933.

     

     

    AA1nsY4f.img?w=768&h=432&m=6

     

    Perhaps a little context.

     

    First, it is not official, it is just a rumor.

     

    Second, the Giants are celebrating their 100th year next year and as pointed out by Gregg, these are their uniforms from 1933, so this is likely a one time thing as a part of the 100th year celebration.

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  5. 13 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    Larry Fitzgerald

    after that it kind of depends upon how you define "diva"

     

     

    How is Larry Fitzgerald a diva?  I don't remember him as having that reputation at all, if anything his reputation was the opposite.  Also, the original poster was questioning whether there were any diva WRs who won a Super Bowl. Fitzgerald never won a Super Bowl.

     

     

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  6. 1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:

     

    how much real NIL money are Day 3 type draftees bringing in right now??

     

    5 star recruits (top 32 of them) mirror the top 32 draftees typically. The NIL dropoff to 4 star players is huge.  Day 3 would include few, if any of 4 or 5 star players.  

     

    So how would NIL affect this at all for day 3?  According a group that monitors this stuff (SANIL), the a QB in top 25 PFF grade gets about $350K a year. a top 25 TE will get 100K.

     

    once you get to the Day 3 guys (PFF >150), the amounts go to $50k for QB, all the way down to $10K for TE.  Compare this to Mr. Irrelevant, who gets $1,000,000 a year for 4 years.

     

    Therefore any draftable player should forego NIL and enter the draft for a lot more money.   

     

    I feel a that this is not the relevant cost benefit analysis. Since only about 30 to 40 percent of 7th round picks actually make a roster, the majority are getting practice squad money, not a million a year although this is still more than most NIL money. More importantly, most NFL careers end not because of age but because the NFL decides you are not good enough.  For the majority of 7th round draft choices delaying your entry in the NFL will not affect your lifetime NFL earnings at all, simply push it back a year.

     

    So if you are enjoying life in college I can understand why you would stay one more year. Staying comes with risks such as a bad year or injuries making one less attractive for the NFL, however, declaring for the draft if you expect to be a 7th rounder also comes with the risk that you will not be drafted and there is a chance to improve your draft stock also.

     

     

     

  7. I don't see how the best example is not Steve Young.   

     

    He wasn't part of the regular NFL draft because he signed a 10 year contract with the USFL but he was the first pick in the special USFL/CFL supplemental draft by Tampa Bay.  Three of the first four players picked in that draft are in the Hall of Fame, including Reggie White. Young started for two years in Tampa Bay and was absolutely regarded as a bust and then traded for a late second and fourth to the 49ers, which is about what Arizona got for Josh Rosen.

     

     

     

     

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  8. 2 hours ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    These two points are so wrong for so many reasons. 

     

    1)  The idea that Diggs was the only guy on the team that wanted to win is ridiculous on its face.  Sure, Diggs worked hard to project the image of the only one who cared but IMO he was posturing most of that time. I think back to his standing there in Arrowhead Stadium watching the Chiefs celebrate their conference championship win. Talk about a posed Kodak picture moment.

     

    And the idea that Allen doesn't care about winning is based on what exactly?  Your perception that in the first couple of months after the season ends the guy actually lives his life?  I don't know where this came from but its a meritless smear IMO.

     

    2)  And to say that the reason Allen hasn't won a Super Bowl yet is because he doesn't "put the mental work in" is flat out crazy talk.  So you think if Allen had spent the off season studying how not to let your Special Teams and Defense blow a 3 point lead with only 13 seconds left would have helped?  Because I'm wondering what more then leading the Bills on TWO late 4th quarter TD drives could a more mentally prepared Allen have done in that game.

     

     

     

    That's crediting Diggs with supervillian level scheming.   I highly doubted he was thinking "hey, we just lost the game in a heart-breaking manner,  if I stay on the field and watch the Chiefs celebrate, I'll look good and my teammates will look bad".

     

    Just because, he was a pain in the ass at the end doesn't mean one needs to discredit everything about the guy his contributions to the Bills.

     

     

     

  9. 3 hours ago, Mat68 said:

    Diggs believes he made Allen who he is now.  Now Diggs best years were with Allen but he wont admit that.  Same with Beasley.  Different dynamic.  Whether it be one of the top 3 wrs or mid rounder they all will see Allen as the guy.  Diggs and Beasley seem/seemed almost jealous of his found notoriety and fame.  

     

     

    The Beasley comment was because people were fans were saying that the Bills were all Allen and there he had no talent around him.  It was reasonable that he would be somewhat offended by that.  I didn't follow the Diggs response but other posters have pointed out some of it was because Bills fans were saying absolutely abhorrent things about him after he expressed condolences following Vontae Davis's death.

     

     

  10. 6 hours ago, finn said:

    That could just be the laws of probability at work. If every team just threw darts at their draft board, at least some would have good results.

     

    I've always thought the best draft strategy, at least for teams drafting high, would be to trade down incrementally for as many second-round picks as possible, and do the same from the other direction, trading up into the second round. End up with, say, six or seven second-round picks. The odds of hitting gold seem much higher than just two high picks. 

     

    I feel this is basically the strategy the Patriots did during between 2000-2010.  They might have had close to as many trade ups as trade downs but almost all the first round trades were trade downs.

     

     

     

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  11. I don't believe it is a total crap shoot but it is much more random than most fans, and probably most NFL executives think.   The analogy with blackjack is probably more accurate than a lottery.  There's a lot of randomness hand to hand but really bad players i.e., Cleveland Browns between 2011-2015, are almost guaranteed to lose.

     

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  12. 1 hour ago, tonawandarock said:

    no one will ever convince me that PM would be as great as he is without Reid coaching him. Reid worked wonders with mcnabb and alex smith(who was past his "prime.") Vick had his best passing numbers after his suspension under Reid. we will never see JA's ceiling unless the bills get a top 10 OC. losing the home playoff game against KC was nearly as bad as the 13s game. POOR COACHING!

     

    How was Alex Smith past his prime?  He was 27 ot 28 when he was traded to Kansas City, pretty much entering the prime years for a QB.  Secondly, it wasn't Andy Reid that worked the miracle with Alex Smith, it was Jim Harbaugh.   Harbaugh took someone who looked like a all-time bust and made Smith a pretty good QB before he was traded to KC.  As for McNabb, he was the #2 pick in his draft year.   Andy Reid did a great job with him, but it wasn't like McNabb was a unknown UDFA.

     

     

  13. 7 hours ago, Beck Water said:

     

    No.  He'll be given a chance to compete, but he would have to wow everyone or (avert) there would have to be an injury.

     

    He's not just a "camp body" as some suggested, though, because they did fully guarantee $1.5M salary + signing bonus - suggesting they are considering him as a backup they would want to keep.

     

     

    Yes, I over-reacted to the up to 6.5 M.   I had expected the guaranteed money to be closer to 3.5M to 4 M similar to the ratio of gauranteed to incentives that Rapp got.

     

      

  14. 11 hours ago, smward8 said:

    I'm curious how Shorter and Hamlet figure into the mix.  Shorter is kind of like Davis, and Hamler, when he isn't injured, is a speed guy who can stretch the field.

     

    I would be extremely happy and very shocked if Shorter gets anywhere close to Gabe Davis production levels.   I don't remember hearing anything good out of him in rookie camp, mini-camp, or training camp and that's the time you usually get  stories about how players like Isaiah Hodgins, Brandon Riley, and Austin Poehl might be a poor man's Jerry Rice.

     

    People rag on Gabe Davis but he was productive in his role as evident, from the contract he got from the Jaguars.

     

     

     

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  15. 1 hour ago, Buffalo_Stampede said:

    I don’t even follow Beasley. I don’t follow any players actually but it always ends up on my timeline.

     

     

     

     

    What's wrong with that?  I can understand Beasley being somewhat offended when fans say that it's all Allen and essentially, everyone else is a bum.

     

     

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  16. 5 hours ago, TrentEdwardsCheckDownOn4th said:

    I've made bets on this forum before and willing to bet on this as well.  If anyone wants to risk $10 or $20 , edey will go top 15. I wouldn't even be shocked at tip 10 or top 5 but for the sake of the bet im offering top 15.

     

    I don't bet but are you saying Edey will be drafted in the top 15 or he wont be?

     

    I am thinking probably early second round but maybe someone will take a flyer on him and pick him late in the first. See if he can develop into a poor man's Jokic.

     

    He just seem to be too slow to be any more than a 10 minute a game guy in todays NBA.

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