Giuseppe Tognarelli
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Posts posted by Giuseppe Tognarelli
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2 minutes ago, RG Murdock said:
Do you know something we didn't know? Fool... Keep playing the lotto, your good at this.
It's a reverse jinx. I was successful. You're welcome.
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2 minutes ago, John from Riverside said:
This is simply not true. All the bills have to do is when the remaining games and they’re in.
The Bills are not likely to win in Miami. They will be underdogs.
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24 minutes ago, Gman10 said:
Yeah but who cares? We are tough for anyone. I kinda just wanna avoid KC.
You don't seem to understand. There is a very high chance that the Broncos keep the Bills out of the playoffs.
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DEN comeback win over NE tonight was absolutely crushing. The Bills are going to need them to lose once, and now it's extremely unlikely with that team galvanized and being favorites the next 2 weeks.
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Just now, Gman10 said:
Why do we "need" a Broncos loss? Aren't we doing well in seeding etc
They're the biggest threat. If we don't beat the Dolphins, we need them to lose a game at some point (like tonight, because they'll be favored the next 2 weeks) or they'll be ahead of us.
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That is not a catch.
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15 minutes ago, Einstein said:
We don’t need all of that to happen. The tweet included way too many.
We only need Denver loss (hopefully tonight), Cinci loss, Pitt loss.
The tweet made it way more convuluted and difficult.
You're right! With Cleveland at #5, if you then you concede that two teams will come out of the AFC South at 10-7 (one division winner, one WC) and a third will be 9-8 at best (which is guaranteed because of IND-HOU matchup), that means there is one WC left for BUF/DEN/PIT/CIN.
And as I said long ago, all this talk about tiebreakers will be moot and 10-7 will make it because it does 99% of the time.
2 minutes ago, mrags said:I think it’s helpfull that it pointed out what we needed specifically for each seed. I want more than just making it into the playoffs. I want the division. I want a home game. Hell, I want 2 or more home games.
maybe that tweet is incorrect regarding what needs to happen for each seeding. Or maybe it’s not. I haven’t done the leg work. I’m not about to play around with the playoff calculator here and over again all day for different scenarios. I’m not about to figure out the who’s who and what needs to happen with all the tie breakers like conference wins and strength of schedule. I like the way this tweet had everything broken down.
If you are saying it’s wrong be use we don’t need all that to be in the playoffs then we’re having different arguments. If what they said is incorrect, then I’d like to see a specific breakdown of what exactly is needed for each seed that has been fact checked. But I’m not spending my time to figure it out.
The seeding stuff was correct. The only thing that was incorrect was the playoff clinching at the end, because it's actually easier than the tweet suggested. There will be a be a new tweet.
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8 minutes ago, mrags said:
Yeah I’d love to know what’s wrong about it
I have been staring at the standings and multiple playoff simulators for hours and I don't see any incorrect information. I will happily admit if I am wrong somewhere though.
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10 minutes ago, Einstein said:
Easiest to follow and also wrong.
What's wrong about it? There is also a Jacksonville scenario, but I didn't have room in the tweet to include it. Everything in the tweet is correct, although it is not the ONLY clinching scenario
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13 minutes ago, Einstein's Dog said:
Yes, the 3 seed looks quite possible but would you really prefer it over the 4 seed? Both would get home playoff games for the first round but if form held up the 3 seeds second game would be in KC while the 4 seed game would be in Balt.
That's a tough one.
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1 minute ago, NeverOutNick said:
He stated “Think if Bills do win out, they'll be #3 seed”This isn’t true unless I’m missing something. It’s fun to speculate but the only truth is if we win out we are in the playoffs. What seeding from 2-7 all depends on what other teams do along the way.
??? I said I think if the Bills win out, they'll be the #3 seed. I think this is the most likely outcome. It's not a guarantee.
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22 minutes ago, NeverOutNick said:
Also isn’t there a scenario where we can win out and Miami only loses to us and we are the 5 or 6 seed? In this scenario Miami is 12-5 and we are 11-6. I think the only sure thing is if we win out we will be in the playoffs which is awesome
Yes, we would most likely be the 6 or 7 seed in this scenario.
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20 minutes ago, NeverOutNick said:
I love the excitement but if the chiefs and one of Jax, IND, HOU win out as well wouldn’t we be the 4 seed? We lost the h2h vs the jags.
I did bet raiders to beat chiefs this week. I do feel like if the refs don’t get involved that should be a close game the way both teams have played as of late
??? The post says that all the teams you mentioned have to lose 1 of 3, not win out
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57 minutes ago, Thurman#1 said:
So, [sigh] ...
you know your headline disagrees with your post, right? And that it just isn't so?
Maybe if you want to try again, think a bit, first?
How so? I mean, it's a predicted likely outcome (#3 at least is almost certain if they win out).
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#2 seed:
- Beat NE, MIA
- MIA L @ BAL
- KC lose 1 of next 3
All likely except Bills win at MIA and KC lose 1. Think if Bills do win out, they'll be #3 seed. Would be great to get that #2 and have KC come here in the divisional.
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I like this schedule a lot. I won't like it as much if/when Broncos, Browns, Vikings becomes Chiefs, Ravens, Lions
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Right now: 51%
Win today: 71%
Lose today: 33%
Lose today but then win last three: 85%
Win next three but lose in Miami: 66%
Win out: 100% and 85% chance division winner, possibly #2 or #3 seed
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11 hours ago, thenorthremembers said:
When did this combination become "classic"
The '90s?
8 hours ago, TheyCallMeAndy said:Did we rock the all reds at all this year?
Giants
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I don't know if I'm ready to go through what the Bills are going to make me go through today.
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Bills will probably be #3 or #2 seed if they win out
in The Stadium Wall
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