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Mikie2times

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Posts posted by Mikie2times

  1. 43 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

    I would summarize McDermott's failings as a head coach as "he doesn't step outside his comfort zone." The coordinator hires are emblematic of his leadership. He is so focused on rewarding process versus rewarding results. Babich and Dorsey and Brady were already in the building and "proved themselves" at least in his eyes so they automatically got the jobs. He could have hired Klint Kubiak if he wanted to. He could have hired Lou Anarumo or Brian Flores. But those are people he doesn't know personally and he wasn't willing to step outside his comfort zone. And there's absolutely no reason to give McDermott more swings. He keeps hiring people that feed into his worst instincts or don't have the power to stand up to him. So cut off the head or you're wasting your time.

     

    Agree, been saying it for awhile with these coordinators. We can have a lot of debates about McD. One topic I don't think his supporters can debate is he won't hire coaches that want control. Plenty of NFL coaches will let guys come in as experts and take over. The best ones will be required to have this environment to even consider the job. McD won't look at those guys. It's the same as the roster. We would rather promote from within than best man for the job. Our internal farm system of coaches and player development simply isn't good enough when other teams are looking at the entire league and best coach/player available.

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  2. Just now, JPL7 said:

    Josh doesn’t have to accept the redone deal. Also, it’s been stated numerous times by Beane that as Josh fell down the qb contract rankings, he would playfully make it known to Beane. 

    My point is we are taking a franchise QB hit no matter what. The problem isn't because we have a franchise QB hit. The problem is you can't have a franchise QB hit with poor roster design and half a dozen players absorbing far more cap than market value. Again, it's on Beane.

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  3. 16 minutes ago, JPL7 said:

    I personally think JA17’s contract is an albatross on the salary cap. Thus, the team can’t improve enough. The bills play just well enough to get into playoffs, thus they always have a very late draft pick year after year, so they can’t draft any real difference makers. And free agency, it’s bargain bin shopping because of the big contracts (Josh, Greg, Knox, Milano, Samuels, etc). It’ll just be more spinning the wheels but not getting to the big dance. 
     

    Milano’s deal ends after this season at least. 

     

    Rousseau is an expensive edge setter. He’s not a sack artist and edge setters shouldn’t make $20 mill a year like he does. Period. 

     

    JA just redid his deal after winning MVP. His cap hit went up significantly. It won’t be coming down anytime soon. I know it’s easy for me to say “how much is enough” but his original deal was 6 yrs $258mill. They ripped that contract up and he’s on a 6 yr 330 mill. You do the math. His cap hit next year is 18% of the entire team salary cap. That’s brutal. 

     

    Hey Josh, if you want add pieces to the team, be willing to be outside the top 10 in qb contracts. If he’s serious about winning he needs to lower his cap hit by taking less money. 
     

    They wouldn’t need him to be Superman every game if he had some help. And look, Josh turns 30 next year. He doesn’t have many high impact years left. Maybe 5 or 6?! 
     

    Josh could never make another dime again, and he’s set for a life of luxury 10 times over. No joke. I was pretty disappointed honestly when he redid his deal. He did it All because he was dropping lower and lower on the qb contract tier list. Do you want to win or not?! I love Josh, believe me, but his cap hit is a hindrance. 

    It's on Beane more than Josh. 

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  4. 1 minute ago, Buffalo716 said:

    I cannot wait for all the overreactions

     

    And Josh Allen is not perfect even though he might be the most talented player in the world 

     

    People here never put any blame on him even though he goes through stretches as I've always said not in the zone 

     

    So did Tom Brady go so it's not talking s***

     

    But it is telling the truth

    I'm not sure what an over reaction looks like with this performance. We are horribly inconsistent with holes all over the offense. It's been said for weeks, but many here said those were overreactions. 

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  5. The Beane PR machine. He has every BLO reporter basically banned from the facility if they write something negative. Annual 2 week Beane tour in the postseason where he talks about drafting Josh and smells his farts with Pat McAfee. Then the standard narrative shifting leak we see today. The whole big baller Beane or image of him looking slick in his shades is more PR. Paper thin skin, insecure, etc. 

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  6. 5 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

     

    Based on the Bills 32-7 record post-bye since 2020, I think that is probably a safe bet.

     

    How about the defense just plays like it does against KC in the regular season in the playoffs?  Mahomes averages 19.8 PPG, has 8 TDs vs. 9 TOs and a 75.2 Passer Rating in the regular season against us and essentially can't be stopped in the playoffs when the D allows an average of over 34 PPG.  No excuse for the same team, and running the same system to allow 2 TDs more consistently game in and game out in the postseason versus the regular season. At this point, I am thinking it's all mental for this team on D against KC in the playoffs.

     

    Offensively we average more PPG in the playoffs against them. Clearly the D is the issue here regardless of anything else going on with the offense.

    When it happens I will believe it can happen. 

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  7. 28 minutes ago, Magox said:

     

    And what is the biggest culprit for those losses?  Is it wide receiver separation or the defense?

    So the assumption is we can check the box on defense at this point? We had the #1 EPA defense in 2021, 7th in 2022, 11th in 2023, 12th in 2024,  and now 12th in 2025. We have had many times in the regular season where we look unbeatable on defense. I'm hopeful our investment pays off and it looks like it can. But at the end of the day we have been down that road plenty of times before. We are one more injury away from even an optimistic look on that side of the ball falling apart. Max, Bishop, Bosa, Benford, all it takes is one more. That's assuming it all comes together as you hope it will this time. 

     

    To your call out, yes, separation was an issue on our final two drives vs the Chiefs. It's not about isolating to specific plays. It's about increasing the margin for success. Our margin in those situations is razor thin. You increase it by increasing your ways to win. Maybe Josh doesn't see that blitz on 4th down if he never gets to 4th down. Our formula almost guarantees our offense will have to deliver on multiple high leverage drives in the postseason. I don't see the horses to execute that drive. Glad you do. 

  8. 31 minutes ago, Cray51 said:

    And there are multiple variables and odds to consider.

     

    Do you punt, which gives KC a 2% chance of a TD but gives you a 0% chance of winning.  You convert a punt 99% of the time

    Do you FG, which gives you a 100% chance of winning but KC a 5% chance if you miss.  You make a FG in that range 75% of the time

    Do you go for it, which gives you a 100% chance of winning, but KC a 5% chance if you miss, plus the chances of a fumble/INT being way higher.  You convert 45% of the 4th downs at that distance.

     

    I go FG - it's the highest chance of a put away play with the lowest possible TD the other way rate, and KC's chances go up minimally with a miss (which is what happened).

    I'm going to take a time out and think about this more

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  9. 1 minute ago, Big Turk said:

     

    That's not true because they also lead the NFL in players career AV that he has drafted even accounting for when they go to other teams.

     

    So he leads in Draft AV for his own team and also for Career AV for players he drafted on ANY team, counting even after they leave the Bills.

    I know you like to throw that caveat in because I have discussed this with you before. But our total production outside of Buffalo is such a small sliver of the pie, I really don't think it somehow validates AV as a measure for draft success. The stat is influenced by too much. I applaud the attempt at trying to solve for the unsolvable problem in a uniform way. It's creative and well done. I just don't agree that is accurate enough. 

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