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Mikie2times
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Posts posted by Mikie2times
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Crazy to be how much this board swings week to week. Despite what we saw against a back up QB and a guy collecting social security with one arm, this defense can/will revert to against more functional offenses. All the focus is on the offense right now, but this defense is far from “book it” level.
Forget about the obvious lack of playmakers outside. Within that, Brady’s scheme has regressed and teams are much better prepared for it now. Allen is not playing with confidence, accuracy, or any degree of decisiveness. Not saying this to
place blame, he needs more help, clearly, but he’s also missing layups at times. His energy level is total dog crap for long periods which is a reflection of the team as a whole and its inconsistent play.
While most the AFC teams have some serious flaws and are capable of being beat, I’m not sure if this team can win 3 in a row against .500 level teams at this stage. They’re a wild card caliber squad, not much more. I don’t think winning out is possible, they just aren’t consistent enough.
Even with the flawed contenders, they’re playing with far more consistency, swag, or unit specific dominance. Things we just don’t have. We don’t have a unit as dominant as Houston or Denver’s defense. We don’t have the confidence/swag of the Patriots, who feel more like the early iterations of the Bills before the fun got sucked out. Jacksonville and the Chargers are just playing better football on both sides and again, more confidence, swag, youth.
This Bills team just looks like it’s been battling to stay on top of a mountain all year. But it’s stopped trying to climb higher for awhile now. Other teams might not be world beaters, but they’re clearly trying to continue the climb.
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13 minutes ago, gobills404 said:
That makes it sound like they consistently weren’t competitive. They went 5-12 in 2022 (Stafford missed half the season) and then went 10-7 and made the playoffs in 2023 and 2024.
One drive away from knocking off the Eagles last year. Beat us last year. Several points to credibility if anybody thinks they aren’t lapping us in team building at this point
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6 hours ago, MainEvent said:
You must be fun at parties.
He watches others go to parties
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11 minutes ago, US Egg said:
I wasn’t aware of this, but just bought the Amazon Black Friday NBA League pass special and was prompted to link it to my FD account. Ignored it not thinking anything. Put on a game to watch, there’s a pop up bet tracking option offered if you bet on the game.
That is wild. It’s crazy to say the least, especially with all the big 4 leagues pushing it so hard. I’ve always dabbled and for most my life it was something I just didn’t discuss because so few people understood any of it. Now it’s just standard recreation for many.
But this peer to peer stuff is way out there. I remember before the offshores were basically banned, we had some peer to peer places get shut down in the US. Then they just disappeared. That followed the sports books lobbying for almost a decade to get it legal. Then they finally start winning at the state level. But now even Robinhood is offering straight spreads and totals in all 52 states saying they don’t need any betting licenses because they aren’t a bookie. Hard to imagine this is sustainable.
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3 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
I think people are getting caught up in what I’m gonna call the ‘Vikings paradox’ cuz this happened to them twice fairly recently 😂. Like colts/pats may end up with an overall record of a team that typically makes it to the afc championship game but put yourself in the hypothetical scenario that you’re sitting down to watch a division round game and it’s the 1 seed pats/colts vs a 6 or 7 seed 10 win chiefs team. What do you deep down in your heart of hearts really think the outcome of that game would be? Chiefs/ravens schedule really lightens up so the whole overall record ‘chiefs/ravens aren’t that good’ feeling is probably gonna fade in the next month or so
the chiefs are extremely flawed compared to peak chiefs teams of years past of course but peak chiefs teams of years past aren’t really relevant here at all.. it would just be how do the current chiefs match up with pats/colts etc and it’s really hard to see either of those teams as a better team than the chiefs overall flaws and all or the ravens. The colts have probably the biggest flaw heading to the playoffs and the pats have a bills thing going on where they’ve got a good qb but everyone else is just pretty solid which is gonna be tough sledding against a lot of these tough defenses on the afc side. Maybe they get a better playoff diggs than we ever got but even he in his prime was getting locked up pretty good by kc in the playoffs
really should be the ravens year the way I see it but if the chiefs are hanging around the ravens definitely won’t beat them 😂
Don’t get me wrong I don’t think the chiefs are some excellent team I just think the afc field is so weak this year that they could do enough to earn the right to get throttled in the Super Bowl. I would love to be wrong and see kc go out and lose to Dallas tomorrow though for sure haha but then it’s back to the ravens being the problem
I think you’re largely right. My view is pretty simple, who would I in the playoffs? The underperforming Bills, Chiefs, or Ravens or the over performing Broncos, Colts, Jaguars, or Patriots? It’s really not close from my view. The historical cream of the crop is still the cream of the crop in a single game elimination.
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For this team, I thought the vision of complimentary football was better in the first build.
I’m happy we want a more consistent running game, but the entire defensive system is meant for defending the pass. We have barely cared at any point over fortifying our run defense. So to me, complimentary would be less ball control, developing an offense that is more dangerous and explosive enough to more routinely force teams to be one dimensional on offense, and into more passing situations. Which we saw a lot in the first build. Which is what our defense is designed for.
We seem to run counter this, shortening the game, trying to win low possession games, higher variance events like turnover margin. Which has not gone well this year.
We have the foundation to really build an elite offense, yet even if we did, it seems like we want to focus on being ball control. I really don’t get it to be honest. This team has lost its way from my perspective.
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Kalshi has wager options on virtually anything you can think of and even offers spread and total betting. Since it’s peer to peer, no state regulations like Fanduel or DraftKings etc.
It’s pretty wild to see how betting has changed over the last 5 years.
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1 minute ago, boyst said:
His body quit on him. It was clear as day. Anyone who's athletic and washed out at any age or ability can recognize it.
Your posts are old and not what they once were
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1 hour ago, The Jokeman said:
Then I guess we should count out all the stats the teams above us had against the scrubs and see how they rate?
By all means
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So before the start of 2024, we lose Diggs. We draft a guy that is universally regarded as having separation issues that is discussed as being better off in the slot. We sign a middle tier FA, whose history is better off in the slot. We call it good, watch the team struggle in the first half of the season. Trade for Cooper. The following offseason, we sign a middle tier FA. We don't add anybody else. We triple down how good we are. We watch the team struggle the first half of the year. We can't make a trade. Then we sign a middle tier FA.
Beane, you suck.
Just now, The Jokeman said:Yeah damn let's fire OC that's given us the 3rd best offense in terms of points and yards in the NFL with some here call the worst WR core in the league 😐
Who cares when it's against the scrubs of the world.
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3 minutes ago, Simon said:
5 days ago I watched him make two splash plays in the 4th qrtr that forced punts and literally gave the Bills a chance to win the game.
But because they weren't on your stat sheet, you disregard them.
You might even say Greg Rousseau is sneaky good.
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9 minutes ago, Avisan said:
This is exactly what I'm talking about
He's objectively a good and impactful player, but his impact doesn't show up specifically in sacks, so he must not actually be good.
If he were the high-octane pass-rusher you want him to be, he would have re-signed for 40mil+. He makes half of that, because he's merely adequate as a pass-rusher while doing everything else exceptionally well.
3 minutes ago, Simon said:So despite the fact that he's beating people up on the regular, Greg Rousseau is a problem because 2 years from now the Bills might want to restructure his contract?
Good grief man, talk about borrowing trouble.....
If you question whether Greg Rousseau is making an impact, you're not paying attention.
This team needs to get sacks from somewhere right? Actually putting an offense in a long situation is meaningful in this game? A sack itself is one of the biggest negative EPA events an offense has short of a holding call or turnover. He is not a bad player, I'm not suggesting that. But he will be the highest paid DE on this team for the foreseeable future and is representative of how this team invests as a whole. We won't get splash plays, sacks, and turnovers from his contributions. We will get sound football. I think it's fair to ask more for the investment.
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19 minutes ago, Avisan said:
Just fantasy football/gambling mentality imo
Pretty much every time I say Groot is good and worth his contract here and on other boards I get a nice wave of negative reactions from all of the very smart and stable football geniuses that are "fans" of this team
If there isn't a big box score the player must be terrible
It's crazy to expect a top 20 DE to have one year with 10 or more sacks or generate even 5 sacks this year? Give me a break. It's like everything else with this team.
"our offense is going to be sneaky good"
"We have quietly improved the WR room"
"This player is actually good, but he doesn't do what other good players do at his position"
Nothing with this team just is. At the end of the day a top 20 DE needs to generate sacks. Not almost sacks, actual sacks. He needs to make splash plays. If you have to ask the question if a player is making an impact, he's not.
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1 hour ago, PatsFanNH said:
You know what they say once your in the dance anything can happen.. a 6th seed can be SB champs
Agree, oddly, I give Buffalo a better chance of winning straight up in a playoff game. But I give New England more of a chance at making that sort of improbable run.
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2 hours ago, PatsFanNH said:
Lmao I don’t consider them SB contenders but I think they can beat Buffalo. Mind you Vegas still has Buffalo as a sb favorites and that’s just insane IMO and not based on anything but where the money came in at
I would say the Bills and Patriots are equally overrated
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8 hours ago, ProcessTruster said:
also nice when you have one of the least injured rosters in the league.. in fact they may be No. 1 . When you have your top guys, it makes a big difference. Bills had this a few years ago (no injuries of consequence) and it was big.
Brandon Beanes mentor Dave Gettleman said "Hurt guys get hurt". Maybe he should have listened a bit more to his mentor vs assuming he can defy the laws of cheap NFL labor. Our roster is littered with players that have an injury history and we have no aversion to extending these players or slotting them as starters with no considerable depth options.
Bernard, Benford, Bosa, Rapp, Milano, Jones, White, Taron Johnson. It's practically the entire defense and extends multiple years for many of these guys. So is our luck really that bad or is our roster building that impractical? Should we assume we got a "deal" or should we assume we actually got the going rate because other teams properly value this?
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46 minutes ago, PatsFanNH said:
Thats for defense… which anyone with eyes has seen has underperformed this year (davis III has been meh at best most of the year not the solid 2 we expected) the difference is the Pats O went from like last in the NFL in every measurable category the last what 3 years? To a top 8 O in yards and Points per game.. thus a playoff team and fringe contender THIS year..
If I looked it up right they are 5th
No team survives this much of a delta with DVOA. You seem realistic, this isn't a Super Bowl caliber team. They could keep improving relative to the output that generated these rankings as they're still young. But in all likelihood they're getting bounced in one playoff game. If Buffalo played at New England today we would be favored and I don't think we are even that strong. It would be Buffalo -3 if not -4 on the road.
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25 minutes ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
Pats winning 9 straight reminds me of the Steelers being 11-0 or whatever it was a few years back where they had crazy luck and a pathetic schedule
They rank 17th in DVOA. It's a fringe wild card team masquerading as an actual contender. The fall will be violent.
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It would seem our biggest vulnerability is a very physical defense, aggressive DL. What we basically saw against Atlanta and Houston.
The good news is, it’s very possible we won’t see that type of defensive play up front until a Super Bowl appearance.
The AFC is just overflowing with pretenders. Take your pick, Patriots, Broncos, Chargers, Steelers, Colts. Can we lose to these teams? Sure. But I would probably prefer this iteration of the Bills vs these teams than the last few years vs peak KC. We don’t necessarily need to figure it out to make a run here or even be the best version of our selves.
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On 11/20/2025 at 9:11 PM, Avisan said:
Y'all need therapy, and I'm not kidding or trying to be mean
The Bills are a very good team that is currently a M.A.S.H. unit on defense. We are 7-4. We have already beat teams that we will be fighting with for Wild Card spots. We're getting in.
The Eli Manning Giants got hot and the right time AND lucky AF and got two rings against the GOAT coach/QB combo off of it.
This was a very entertaining game for a neutral observer and the Bills had a chance to win it at the end. They pulled off a beautiful hook and ladder play to make it possible. Gabe Davis in-bounds or Dawkins doesn't jump and there's a very good chance of a W.
Take a deep breath, schedule an appointment, and stop basing your happiness/self-worth on how a sports team that you aren't on performs.
You’re completely delusional if you think this team is capable of getting hot in the postseason, when it gets harder. We have based on EPA the highest regression in postseason performance vs regular season performance of any team in a three year period as far back as it registers. The Giants were loaded. They were potentially great teams that just didn’t gel at first. Buffalo does not have a potentially great team with this roster. Not any history of big performance in big games.
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Houston was about to beat down the Broncos when Stroud got hurt. They could just as easily be fighting for the #1 seed. That really doesn't change anything from my perspective with Stroud out.
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2 hours ago, The Jokeman said:
Anyone got a list of other winning teams with as many IRs as starters we've had?
I take it you haven't been following the 49ers
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19 minutes ago, TBBills Fan said:
I am begining to think this team has to many "business men" and not enough "sickos"
it's a violent game. It requires dogs and loose wires. The best teams create a culture that can absorb these types and not splinter from it. We aren't that type of org. This team has no edge. The two guys that gave us the most of that edge were Diggs and Hollins.
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This was Beanes main job in Carolina, so I'm sure he's pretty close to it
Can the Bills win out?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Maye is playing better than Allen right now. He might not BE better, but he is playing better. They have a more dynamic offense as whole, as far as the WR group, and McDaniels calling plays. They have a better defense. Specifically a better run defense. They clearly have an edge with attitude and confidence.
I believe they’re overrated, in fact, I believe they’re the worst 10-2 team from a DVOA perspective since the late 70’s. But they’re also young, and while they have benefited from the schedule they’re also learning how to win as they go thru it. It was very similar to the Patriots first year with Brady. They were likely overrated for most of that year, until eventually they were a pretty good team. Not to say they’re anything like that Pats iteration as far as upside potential, but just because they have had an easy schedule and are overrated relative to the record, it doesn’t mean that is the only narrative that can exist.
Meanwhile, we really don’t have a lot of room to talk about other teams being overrated. Our marquee win is what, Carolina? The Chiefs and Ravens games aren’t exactly aging well. While I know YOU just dismiss it all to SOS, eventually you do need to win games to be considered good. Something the Ravens and the Chiefs just aren’t doing and something we have struggled with at times vs far worse teams.
It’s Intersting that people here are making an argument that the AFC is just paper tigers when it’s pretty obvious the Bills are as well. Virtually no quality wins (unless you use quality based on past years) inconsistent play all over the place. Sure, it’s always any given Sunday, but we have a long way to go to string together multiple wins in a row against teams that have been able to close out games and win multiple ways, regardless of those wins have been against flawed teams (as the Bills wins have as well).