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glazeduck

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Posts posted by glazeduck

  1. 9 minutes ago, NewEra said:

    Well, that depends on how good Mond turns out to be.  If he’s better than Hurts and turns out to be their starter for the next 10 years than I can’t see how it would be bad.  It might make the 2021 situation worse, but in the scheme of building a franchise, who give a ****?  It’s one season.  A season in which they have little to no chance to win a SB.  Finding a qb = #1 priority. Give Hurts some competition and force him to step his game up.  If one 2nd rd pick is going to keep him from becoming the best he can be, than he’s already not the answer 

    Agreed. I just see no sense in continually drafting middling QBs that might be something -- especially when you're trading out of a position to get one of the top guys that feel a lot more likely than "might"...

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 10 minutes ago, NewEra said:

    Good point. I forgot about Mond.  That a possibility I suppose.  Even if they draft Mond, Hurts is still likely to be the unquestioned starter (to open the season at least)

    To me, a pick like Mond actually makes the situation worse -- it's throwing good money after bad. Unless somebody just absolutely believes in him (and for whatever reason ALSO is really out on Hurts), that's not really going to "fix" things. If anything, it's spending a 2nd round pick on a guy who's probably -- at best -- a similar player with less understanding of the offense, less chemistry with the OL/WRs/staff. While at the same time causing confidence issues with Hurts. And none of that even accounts for the opportunity cost of not being able to improve the roster elsewhere with that high 2nd rd pick. 

    • Agree 1
  3. 1 minute ago, NewEra said:

    Do you think they’re going to draft a qB in round 1?  If they don’t draft a QB in rd 1, they’ll be going with hurts.  I’d be shocked if they draft a Qb in rd 1 after trading down.  Kyle Trask in rd 2 isn’t going to beat Hurts out imo

    Right. And they traded out of their top 10 pick to boot. They're rolling with Hurts.

    • Like (+1) 1
  4. 28 minutes ago, frostbitmic said:

    Reyes would be eligible in the international program, wouldn't he ?

     

    If so that's a solid signing by the WTF.

    I have no idea, but you'd think so? Would allow them to keep him on the active roster (protect him from poaching) for a year at least...

  5. On 4/14/2021 at 5:51 PM, Solomon Grundy said:

    I need somebody to tell me why Khalil Herbert isn’t getting any buzz. @BuffaloHokie13, what’s the deal? @DCOrange, @GunnerBill, @Buffalo716
     

     

    Here's the thing about the RB class... It's pretty bad. No, it's just flat-out bad. VERY few of these guys outside of the top 3 are going to amount to much of anything in the pros. Herbert has some decent tape, but also lost out on a starting job to Pooka Williams who's one of many uninspiring RBs in this class... If you can't beat out a classmate who's pretty "meh", what are you?

     

    I do think Herbert's tape has a little interest to it, but the fact is, we're just as likely to get somebody with nearly as much potential as a UDFA as we are drafting Herbert in the 5th. 

    • Agree 1
  6. Just now, frostbitmic said:

    Agreed, a 5th or 6th round pick might be worth it. You could find a good contributor or someone who won't make the team. Practice squad for a year or two is likely his destiny.

    Would fit nicely on the Lions, Bengals or Panthers.

    Yep. I actually really love what the WFT just did signing Sammis Reyes. Better athlete, same need to develop over a couple years... They basically just purchased a high-ceiling 5th round pick.

  7. 4 minutes ago, frostbitmic said:

    Was a transfer to Georgia last year from Florida St. He got hurt before the season and barely played. his Florida St tape looks pretty good.

     

     

    I've mentioned McKitty on this board before, definitely an interesting player who never played up to the potential that his athleticism and frame would suggest. I know he faced some injury issues over the years and have seen some speculate that those have caused him to be a lot more stiff than he should be...

     

    Feels like a guy who's probably worth a 5 or a 6 to get into an NFL program to see if he can't overcome those issues and breakout, but not somebody I'd be investing a lot of draft capital in...

  8. 3 minutes ago, CNYfan said:

    Baron Browning LB

    I guess Stokes seems logical.  Believe it should be defense after all of the offense picks early recently

    Completely indifferent to it. I think it's important to remember that this is just for fun and completely made up. As long as it's a sensible pick and not, like, a long snapper or something, probably worth just pulling the trigger and keepin' on keepin' on...

    • Agree 1
  9. While I candidly have not seen the data on this, so don't know if it's effecting things or not, it should also be mentioned along with the defense's "regression", that that tends to happen when your offense puts up more points and plays at a faster pace. I believe we were one of the fastest paced teams last season and we were certainly one of the highest scoring offenses, so purely from a "time on field" standpoint, our defense was going to be worse... Whether that's still true prorated for pace of play and other factors, I'm not sure.

     

    It's also extremely silly to pretend like Beane is the only one providing input on these selections. They're absolutely collaborating on making these decisions. Furthermore, the more recently drafted guys have also suffered injuries or (though I'm loathe to defend him), like Oliver, forced into bad roles because of other injuries... I think it's pretty likely the D looks better this year.

  10. 6 minutes ago, Virgil said:

    Anyone want to make the pick for the Lions?

    Trying to be as objective as possible... The Draft Network lists WR, CB, OT as the Lions' top needs. They took Chase in the 1st so OT or CB... Eric Stokes (CB, Georgia) and Dillon Radunz (OT, NDSU) are the best available on TDN's rankings, at those positions...

    • Like (+1) 1
    • Agree 1
  11. This year, with ALL visits being over video chat, will be a really interesting test against the "visits=interest" theory. If I'm a GM, I'm actively wanting guys I'm pretending-but-not-really-interested-in to let reporters know that I've been in contact with them, and I'm wanting guys that I really want to absolutely say NOTHING about my contact with them.


    I wouldn't be altogether surprised if there's actually a negative correlation this year, to that end. Should be interesting! 

    • Agree 1
  12. 14 minutes ago, turftoe said:

    Yes, it was a serious question. Ok then, why was AJ Epenesa drafted that high? His RAS was 4.43, I think. 

    You're asking the wrong guy on that one, I wasn't a big fan of his, but I would guess versatility, great tape, endless motor, consistent production in a big-time league, room for growth and positional need were among the reasons? 

     

    BTW my "is this a serious question" was a serious question, I didn't mean offense, just wasn't sure if you were joking or not...

     

    RAS and athleticism are becoming big determinants in draft slating but they can't be the only determinants.

    • Like (+1) 1
  13. 9 minutes ago, TBBills said:

    He is saying it... 

     

    He even says "Listeners are sick of hearing me say it"

    He says he deserves discussion about being a first round pick. That's not the same as saying he will be good.

     

    The draft -- especially first rounders -- are often more about potential than anything else, which is the argument for taking Meli anyway. 

    6 minutes ago, Beerball said:

    I hope you don’t mind my asking, how big is your board?

    Somewhat of a moving target -- I usually try to dial in the top couple rounds pretty well, so usually around the 75 mark. From there I'll try to form informed and fairly structured opinions on the next 100 or so players that could potentially impact my world (Bills fan, Ducks fan, fantasy player, etc.; which is basically to say that I ignore Special Teamers), but those are a lot more loosely tiered than ranked -- if you wanted to quibble about one 4th or 5th rd player being rated over another, I wouldn't make it a big deal but could also probably rank most of those guys if you held a gun to my head. After that I like to have at least a fuzzy understanding of the next 100ish guys in terms of ability/game/scheme fit, etc. and usually develop a few favorites, but by no means am I ranking or generally even tiering those guys...

    • Haha (+1) 1
  14. 1 minute ago, TBBills said:

    So basically the only reason in this tweet is b.c he did well on the 40 and vert... Lol

    Nope. It's about the athleticism at that size. It's one thing to run fast and jump high, it's another thing to do it at an outlier size for your position. 

     

    No one is saying that because he did those things he will automatically be good. Just that of his small group of cohorts who tested at those extremely elite measurements, all but one, really, have been successful. Freakish athleticism at uniquely freakish size = success in football, crazy concept...

    • Like (+1) 1
  15. Just now, YoloinOhio said:

    I’m positive they are trying to troll people with this fields stuff so people tune in to see “what are they going to say today??”

    Could be part of it. I think there's also a lot of smoke around it -- whether from a fire or a smokescreen, we'll see. But I've seen a few theories out there about the 9ers putting it out there to manipulate other teams/leverage Jimmy G, etc. We may never know the full truth, and I tend to agree that Fields will (or should) be the pick too, but the Shanahans have never been afraid of going against the grain, and certainly the 9ers FO isn't afraid to go different either.

     

    One theory I have is that the narrative around Jones is true, but that they'd also prefer to not spend the #3 pick on him, so putting it out there in hopes that whoever trades for #4 is willing to juice it up just a little more and come up to 3 (the 9ers have made several of those "one pick back" trades recently)... 

     

    At any rate I'm excited to find out!

  16. Just now, H2o said:

    Some of the stuff that comes out of these bobble-heads' mouths is hilarious. 

    It's 99.9% marketing and hype. Mel Kiper's schtick for the past 15 years has always been about driving attention to the actual draft coverage -- I'm convinced that it's no coincidence that weekly he'd highlight a few "sleepers slipping into the first round" (who would ultimately end up getting drafted in the 4th or 5th) to keep interest throughout the whole broadcast.

     

    More recently it's all about clicks, eyeballs, social media interactions, etc. but all the same premise -- who cares about being right until the day before/day-of when you can drive discussion for the months leading up to it (and simply erase any blatantly/purposely wrong takes with a more accurate report right before the actual event!)?

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