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Man with No Name

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Posts posted by Man with No Name

  1. this is too funny. i just googled to see if any teams have game management assistants. i thought i had read something like this in the past. turns out that as of 2020 the bills are one of two teams that do have one!

     

    now there's a guy that is overpaid!!!

  2. 2 minutes ago, Big Turk said:

     

    The reason we lost actually was because we didn't squib kick it to run a few seconds off the clock and then all we needed to do was tackled every eligible Chief receiver on the first paly...we get a 5 yard penalty but at least 4 or 5 seconds runs off the clock...gives Mahomes 1 play from his 30ish yard line. How could we screw something so easy up so bad?

    i agree with this. im just commenting on how to improve personnel wise moving forward. 

  3. our offense seems good enough right now. they are not the reason we lost. defense has the issue where we can shut teams down but give up a lot of really big plays. im not sure what the biggest culprit is there. 

     

    hard to be mad at them for what the chiefs did. they have done it to everybody for 4 years. but they are not the only ones to do it to us. 

  4. the hardest part is not our needs. 

     

    it is that KC is not going anywhere.  

     

    we matched every move they had tonight, but they got the ball last. 

     

    hopefully hill ages out of being the most dangerous non-quarterback player on the field very soon. he is the biggest difference maker, imo

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  5. 2 minutes ago, RyanC883 said:

     

    who never won a SB with a loaded Philly team, and lucked into one with a loaded KC team.  Reid is overrated, IMO.  

     

    That said, Bean is the bigger issue.  I mean, we have Allen and zip on the front 7 to pressure other QB's.  Another offseason of adding non impactful players and Bean should be gone.  

     

     

     

    And Stafford was not/is not as good as Allen.  You need other players.  Or look at Marino.  Basically went to a SB and never again.  

    good call on marino. i know it helps to be optimistic, but there is a very real chance that we blew the best shot we will ever have at the SB this year. 

     

    this one hurts really, really bad

    • Agree 1
  6. 4 minutes ago, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

     

    Yeah. For some reason I have found it incredibly difficult to find team win/loss records in one score games. A google search has only come up with complete season data for the 2019 season. Seem like something that would be easier to find.

     

    I'm greedy. I want them all back! 16-1!

    we do know that both Brady and Manning have a TON of 4th qtr comebacks (top 2 of all-time according to pro-football-reference) and game winning drives, which would typically be 1 score wins. i guess that jives with "overperforming" 

    • Agree 1
  7. 1 hour ago, Cash said:


    Every one score game (except ties) has exactly 1 winner and 1 loser. So the league average is inherently .500 every year. 
     

    So yeah, we’ve underperformed. The good news is that historically, there’s not much stability in whether a team overperforms or underperforms on this*. So there’s no reason to think the Bills will keep underperforming in one score games. Not in future seasons, and not necessarily the rest of this year either. 

     

    *I’ve heard Aaron Schatz say that both Brady’s and Manning’s teams consistently overperformed, but haven’t seen him back that up with real evidence. I’m theoretically an analytics guy, but I’m also a skeptic so I don’t accept anything based only on word of mouth. 

    I can't find much, but here's an interesting article showing how teams with several "lucky" wins regress the next season, and teams with several "unlucky" losses end up winning big the next year. 

     

    The two exceptions, Manning's colts in 06 and 08 had SEVERAL "lucky" wins, but then outperformed those years the next season anyway. Manning's teams were the only exception to this rule from 06-17. that is going both ways. 

     

    http://www.optimumscouting.com/news/nfl-s-close-game-analytics-how-lucky-wins-or-losse

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  8. 1 hour ago, Cash said:


    Every one score game (except ties) has exactly 1 winner and 1 loser. So the league average is inherently .500 every year. 
     

    So yeah, we’ve underperformed. The good news is that historically, there’s not much stability in whether a team overperforms or underperforms on this*. So there’s no reason to think the Bills will keep underperforming in one score games. Not in future seasons, and not necessarily the rest of this year either. 

     

    *I’ve heard Aaron Schatz say that both Brady’s and Manning’s teams consistently overperformed, but haven’t seen him back that up with real evidence. I’m theoretically an analytics guy, but I’m also a skeptic so I don’t accept anything based only on word of mouth. 

    yeah. would love to see qb w-l records in 1 score games

  9. 8 hours ago, WotAGuy said:

    During this broadcast, Madden was very complimentary about Buffalo’s fans and the collegiate atmosphere at the games. He takes about the food and the campers coming in on Fridays. 
     

    Wish they had video of people jumping through tables. Madden: “And look at this guy on the roof of the bus!  He takes a swig of beer and BOOM! jumps right through that table there. That’s good technique there.  You need good technique to make it through those tables!”

    Read this in Madden's voice and it brought a smile to my face. 

  10. 3 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    Oh I'm always open to it...........but anyone who doesn't even understand that many of the great individual plays you see on the field are the result of in-play adjustments is likely too narrow minded to provide much perspective.  

     

    The fact that you call it "ad libbing".........which implies unpreparedness..........says it all.

     

    The key to looking instinctive is quickly identifying all of the possibilities.....which starts with preparedness..........and then choosing the best play to make.

    Can't be in two places at once. 

  11. 6 hours ago, SoCal Deek said:

    The goal line play calling is nothing short of horrendous. How you call an all or nothing fade to Diggs (a small WR) there is beyond me. But, with that said Josh has to finish these games. He has to play in the moment and get the TD. This year has been a disaster down there! Nobody remembers Jordan for the shot he makes in the first quarter. They remember him for the one he makes to win the game at the buzzer. It’s what separates these guys. 

    i agree with this. I don't blame josh for a single game or a single play. he is the only reason we are where we are. but if he is going to be the best in the game--a real mvp candidate, he needs to steal one or two of these for us, even with everything going against him. 

    maybe it's just a numbers game, and at some point he will rattle off 5 straight wins in situations like this. 

     

    Again, i send no blame his way, but would just like to see him steal one of these games. 

    • Like (+1) 1
  12. i think the run pass balance is fine, though sometimes we call a run at the worst moment. We should be using screens and qb runs for our "run game" in certain situations. 

     

    We lose because we can't put the ball in the endzone. It's been comically bad this year. Oh, and the badly timed penalties. That's gotta be the coaching, right? Being prepared is the biggest thing BB's teams always have going for them. 

  13. these "Football weather" people are nuts. the only thing bad weather does is leave the game to chance. this is what you want if you are not the better team.  The strength of our team is basically neutralized in this weather. but "football weather" 

     

    okay. 

     

    it's not 1972

    • Like (+1) 1
  14. i finally went to bar bill around a month ago, and was a little disappointed. 7/10. Went with medium hot. I always go with some variation of hot, no matter where I go. The flavor had something in it that just didn't sit well with me, or maybe it was the bleu cheese? They also weren't really crispy at all. 

     

    I want my wings to be crispy, and I want them to have a flavor profile that reflects something similar to Franks and butter. I don't know what spices some of these places are throwing in them to make them "better" but I don't need them. 

     

    fwiw, i think the sauce is easy enough to nail for most places. the biggest thing is what places cook them to the right crispiness every time. 

    • Like (+1) 1
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