Scott7975

Havent seen any Pats games yet. Did they have a decent pass rush the first two weeks?

My feed is fine so far Fitz the only one who picked the Bills last week. This week he is the only one picking the Pats.

I hate making these threads but I didn't see one. Who are you all rooting for? I had to think about this a bit. I think I am rooting for the Pats. The Pats to me are not a good team. There is just no tape on them with the new coaching staff. I feel like they will fall off pretty quick. The Jets, I also don't think they are very good but I do think they have more potential than the Pats. Plus I hate that Jets chant. Other than the Bills, the team I root for usually loses so the Jets will probably take this one lol.

Yeah, sometimes bad losses happen. I'm not afraid to be wrong. I think we have the better team. The better team doesn't always win, but I'm not going to be worried about losing either.

I think Dallas is the Dolphins of the NFC but I dont think the Ravens are all that talented this year. Their defense is not as good as past years. Their Oline is not good. Their run game is not as good. Their receivers are okish but other than Flowers and Andrews they are jags. More and more teams are containing Lamar better. Its to the point that he almost seeks the contact and thats just gonna get him hurt. He doesnt have the body of Josh to be able to take those impacts as well. Lamar is not a terrible pocket passer but he just is not as good as the other elite guys. I think the game could go either way.

Any AFC team not named the Bills. In the NFC, I can't stand Dallas or Philly. I actually used to like Philly but I cant stand that team or HC now. If its AFC vs AFC then its whatever team helps the Bills most that I root for. Otherwise, I dont really care.

This is why for the last two seasons I have been banging the drum that we need guys that can get good YAC. We never had any. Dink and dunk offense is fine if you have guys that can do that. Not so much if you have guys catch the ball and only get a couple yards. There is less room for error when you are playing this way. It leads to a lot of 3rd and long plays and thats where it leads to mistakes, being short of sticks, sacks, fumbles, ints, etc. I like the offense thus far except never taking that shot on 2nd and 1. Also could mix it up more on first downs. I do think the Bills will eventually run into some teams that this just doesnt work on. The run game will get stuffed. I hope we still have the ability to open it up when that happens.

Just like last week, this game will be a cakewalk Bills W. The game wont even be close.

Stat I just heard. Through two weeks in the nfl so far, 27% of passes have been at or behind the line of scrimmage.

Not worried about this game at all. Anyone worried about this game will find reason to worry about any game. Some already do. I don’t think this game will even be close.

They aren’t going to find a kicker better than Bass at this point. They should have done something in the off season but my bet is it was a contract/cap space thing. I don’t see how any coach would be comfortable with a kicker that had issues and they can’t and don’t trust the guy beyond 50 yards. He even has problems inside 40 yards. It’s the same as the punter. He occasionally shanks what should be easy kicks.

receivers will get open and Josh will hit them. I promise.

the Cook td last week was a man beater. Josh will complete passes.

don’t really need to unless they want a temporary roster spot.

they actually lost 7 of their last 8. They beat the panthers in week 17. Still not good for them.

Yeah you probably right. I was up into the wee hours of the morning and just woke up so my brain isnt functioning yet lol.

Yeah, thing for me is that its cool to look at, but right now I think doesnt have much meaning. Different offenses. Different defenses faced. Only week 2. Guys were drafted for different reasons. KC wanted speed. Bills wanted a big contested catch guy. At least my assumption. We dont know if they just drafted who they thought was best. I think they drafted who they thought was best that would fit what they want out of a receiver. A lot of reasons why one receiver might be better or worse. This stat at least is a stat that charts every route and not just when the ball is thrown, so it takes a little bit out of the equation and puts it on the receiver. Also, I am careful who I trust with these stats because in some part they are subjective due to being judged by eyeballs. For instance, GunnerBill doesnt think Coleman got open all that much. I trust his eyeballs. I dont know this website and it looks to be fantasy football related. Its the first I have heard of them. Doesnt mean they are wrong in their charting. I just dont know.

Look at the post above that one. It shows their top 12. I got that from twitter. Have to pay to see the stats otherwise. Not quite sure how they are converting +- whole numbers into decimals but... thats what they showed.

Just found this too... https://www.fantasypoints.com/nfl/articles/season/2024/what-is-ass-average-separation-score#/ The ASS Grading Scale For further clarification on what goes into our grading scale: A receiver earns a -2 grade when he is completely knocked off his route, taking him completely out of the play (example: receiver at the top of the screen) A -1 grade is earned when a receiver is tightly covered and would require an exceptional effort from the QB to complete the pass (example: receiver at the top of the screen) 0 is any situation where the receiver does not have the opportunity to create separation. This also includes most screen passes, jet passes, checkdowns, and other targets where the receiver finds holes underneath coverage. (example shown earlier) +1 is when a receiver creates a step in separation from the defender. (example: receiver at the top of the screen) +2 is when a receiver creates multiple steps of separation from the defender (example: slot receiver at the top of the screen) +3 is when a receiver creates extreme separation (example: receiver at the bottom of the screen) +4 is when there is a bust in coverage, leaving a receiver wide open. (example: receiver at bottom of the screen) A bust in coverage that leaves a receiver wide open because of a mistake by the defense is not counted into a receiver’s separation score, because the receiver did not create the separation that is gained by their own volition. Despite this, these situations are important to note (especially for you DFS players) because they track what defenses botch their coverages most or least often. This scale and then the overall score help identify receivers who lose production because of poor quarterback play and which receivers create the most opportunities for themselves and their offenses. (Example: If Aaron Rodgers stays healthy this year, you’ll see how truly special Garrett Wilson is.) In addition to Average Separation Score, we also offer another separation metric: “Route Win Rate.” This is a less predictive, more binary version of ASS, essentially telling us how often a receiver separated (earning a +1 score or better) on a percentage of his routes where separation was possible. This is their criteria. @GunnerBill I think you wanted to know this like I did.

I'm trying to find if they actually explain this stat. I found the website for the people that actually published these stats but this is probably in their advanced stats category and it's pay for. Not sure I am willing to pay for it as I have no idea who they are. I'm digging still. Only a few minutes in thus far. I did manage to find in a subtweet their "separation score"

I remember in HS I was on the football team and the kicker was practicing kicks. I wanted to try. I nailed that damn ball. Except its skated along the ground pretty much lmao. Never tried to kick again.

I am definitely not Mr Info. Not unless you want half that info wrong anyways. Pretty sure this one is right though. Some media already out there blaming the OC. Just SMH. Maybe thats true this time. Lamar is not a good passer of the football. He would be best with Greg Roman. I said that before he was run out of town and everyone gushed over Modkins and I still say it.

Oh, I thought you had seen this clip before. Yeah it is a yikes. I dont know kicking like you do, but I know a shank when I see one.

yeah. I don’t have all22 and I trust what you tell me. We may not agree on everything but I trust.

next gen I believe only tracks separation on plays they get thrown the ball I think. I take these with a grain of salt much like I take drops with a grain of salt. Drops, people only count on balls that don’t require a wr to put any effort in. Basically a perfectly thrown ball with no hard impacts at point of catch. I think that’s too stingy in this day and age. I’d be interested in seeing the criteria they are judging this win rate with.