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HappyDays

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Posts posted by HappyDays

  1. 3 hours ago, aristocrat said:

    kicker is the most important spot besides qb.  think about house money hitting all those 50 yarders the year we broke the playoff streak.  The bears kickers missing fg's over the years, vikings too. The way games are played and are so close having that edge is so important.  I'm glad house turned it around this year but if we can get a better kicker which gets us another win or 2 over a season which gives us home field you have such a leg up on the comp. 

     

    This is an interesting argument. If JJ Watt in his prime was injured for a game I think a sportsbook at most would take a point off the spread. Kicker is the only player in the game besides QB that can have a 3 point or larger difference in the game. In pure scoring terms it really might be the 2nd most important position in the game.

  2. 4 minutes ago, billieve420 said:

    With expanded rosters they could decide to keep 2 kickers.

     

    This is a common misconception. Teams can't have 55 man rosters all season. They have the normal 53 man roster and they can elevate 2 extra practice squad players for the week - but those players have to be sent back to the practice squad after the game. A player is subject to waivers the third time they're sent back to the practice squad. So they cant just leave Bass and Hauschka on the roster unless they want to use 2 of their permanent spots on a kicker. I think it's an open competition and it's Bass's to lose.

  3. I'll be nervous if we're relying on him to start for us this year. Hauschka has dropped off and he can't kick a 50 yarder to save his life but at least I know what I'm getting with him. You could argue he was our MVP in the playoff game and I think if we had gotten into position to kick the game winner there would be no talk of moving on from him. This season is our best chance at a championship in a long time and the last thing I want is an unknown rookie kicker on the field for game deciding field goals.

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  4. Reading between the lines I think they would have picked a receiver at 54 if there had still been one they liked. Beane said after the draft there were no receivers left at 54 that they had a 2nd round grade on, which he said was unexpected. He also said Hodgins was rated lower than someone else that was available at that spot but he took Hodgins anyways because he liked his upside. No doubt in my mind he came into this draft wanting to draft 2 receivers no matter what. He recognized it as a good draft to add some much needed talent to the offense.

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  5. I feel like these injury and character concern guys that end up UDFAs never work out, and it's always for reasons that have nothing to do with why they fell. Da'Rick Rodgers didn't do anything stupid off the field, he just wasn't a good receiver. So in the same mold I predict Adams will not make the team because of his footwork rather than his injury history. 

  6. 4 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

    Maybe I am wrong but my gut instinct is they are not accepting a year of not competing.

     

    They already conceded this by letting Brady go. Supposedly one of the reasons he left is that they didn't do enough to add offensive talent. For example they could have upped their offer to get Diggs if they really wanted to make a run. Instead they stood pat and doubled down by adding no receivers in the draft. They let Brady walk with a $13.5 million dead cap hit. That doesn't strike me as a team going all out to compete one last time. They're in rebuild mode. If they want to find a way to barely fit Andy Dalton into their cap space, I'll welcome that. It wouldn't really change my outlook on their season.

  7. 3 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    I know all the evidence points to them rolling with Stidham but I still think Dalton ends up there. Cut Sanu, extend Thuney and re-do a couple of bigger deals like Gilmore and they can make space. As I keep saying with New England this is a 1 year cap crunch... their cap situation in 2021 and 2022 is good. They can do some deals and kick the can some

     

    Spotrac says that with the projected salary spent on their draft picks, their cap space currently stands at -$6.1 million. That minus sign isn't a typo. They're literally in the negative. Cutting Sanu will put them just above $0. Dalton has a cap hit of $18 million this year. I have to think Newton would be around the same. The only scenario I see that happening is if they outright trade Thuney but that would make their roster worse and they'd be right against the salary cap with a mediocre roster. From a team building standpoint it makes more long term sense for them to roll with Stidham and start over next year.

  8. 3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    I do understand it. You gotta beat the bully before you can say you stood up to him. If Brady was still there I would even subscribe to it. But he isn't. And they went from still a top 10 QB situation to the 32nd QB situation. That has to factor in. 

     

    Not just their QB situation. They lost Van Noy, Collins, and Shelton. I also thought they had one of the weakest drafts in the league. And they still have no cap space to sign or trade for a QB. So I don't know how they'll score points. Their defense got worse, and it was already falling off at the end of last season. I stand by my prediction earlier this offseason. They have a bottom 5 roster that will win more games than it should because of Belichick. I debated putting them in my tier 4 because I don't know how they can possibly make the playoffs, but I also feel weird counting them out entirely.

  9. I rank teams in 4 tiers. Tier 1 is playoff locks. Tier 2 is playoff favorites. Tier 3 have a decent shot at a wildcard. Tier 4 is no chance to make the playoffs.

     

    Tier 1: Chiefs, Ravens

    Tier 2: Bills, Steelers, Titans

    Tier 3: Texans, Colts, Patriots, Browns, Broncos

    Tier 4: Bengals, Jaguars, Chargers, Dolphins, Jets, Raiders

  10. 18 minutes ago, BillsFanForever19 said:

    It was nice knowing you on the active roster Isaiah McKenzie, Robert Foster, and Duke Williams. I'd say unless Hodgins performs badly in his first NFL camp, that the WR core is set as Diggs, Brown, Beasley, Davis, Hodgins, and Roberts.

     

    I'd still like to see McKenzie on the roster somehow, no one else on the team can fill his role on offense.

  11. The one thing I'll say for Fromm, as a counterpoint to the Peterman comparison, is that he apparently reads the defense post-snap and throws with anticipation. Peterman seemed to always throw the ball exactly where he thought it should go pre-snap without waiting to see what the defense did. So yes Fromm's arm might be just as weak as Peterman's but I don't think he'll be a pick machine. Everything I'm reading about him says he takes care of the ball, to a fault. That's decent backup QB material. I like the pick better now than I did at first.

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