HappyDays
-
Posts
22,361 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by HappyDays
-
-
-
Shaq Clawson?
-
2
-
1
-
-
If he produces on the field he can spend the next 15 years of press conferences singing the alphabet and I'd be cool with it.
-
1
-
-
This is great, thanks for sharing your thoughts. I'm not going to read anything into day 1 of training camp but it's good to know where we're at.
-
9 minutes ago, Buffalo716 said:
You know it ?
What about middle aged guys in zubaz?
-
Good season guys. I think next year we'll finally have something.
-
3
-
-
7 minutes ago, MiltonWaddams said:
I've called Foster as a roster guy since minicamp. Not backing off that now.
I keep saying Zay Jones is not a lock to make the team. Benjamin and Kerley are locks. The other 4 spots are between Jones, Reilly, Dupre, Proehl, McCloud, Streater, Holmes and Foster. If I had to guess Proehl and McCloud will go go the practice squad but that's still 6 receivers competing for 4 spots.
-
1
-
-
-
So far I'm seeing slants, play fakes, and RPOs. I had forgotten those plays existed.
-
3
-
3
-
-
Sounds like the receivers are looking good so far. We need someone to step up this year.
-
-
Peterman almost intercepted:
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, Sky Diver said:
QBASE gave Wentz a 61.9% chance of being a bust? How well did that work out?
You would have to look at every QB they've given a 62% bust probability to, and see if around 62% of them busted. If 100% of those QBs busted, that would actually mean the model was broken. This is the biggest misconception about QBASE and other analytics tools. QBASE also gives Allen a 62% chance of busting. That really isn't that high. In Derek Jeter's career he struck out about 69% of the time. So according to QBASE Josh Allen has a better chance of being at least an adequate starter than Jeter had of getting a hit. Just to make a comparison.
And to be fair a lot of these misconceptions happen because the Football Outsider writers overstate their case. I don't know why they're laughing off the possibility that Allen could succeed. Their own model says he has a 38% chance of being a starting level QB. That isn't a particularly low probability.
-
2
-
-
16 minutes ago, Johnny Hammersticks said:
You been seeing rumors? Where?
Most likely the Incarcerated Bob tweet from an hour ago. In other words there is no rumor.
-
Not a big fan of this deal, but in their defense Gurley has been as valuable a pass catcher as he's been a rusher. Last year he was 2nd on the team in receiving yards and 2nd in receiving TDs. And he's easily a top 5 RB as it is. So I get it, but man the Rams are burning money at a record pace. They've sacrificed a lot of valuable draft picks too.
-
I'm usually all about trading down but there are some incredible pass rushers in next year's draft so I'm all in on drafting one of them if we're near the top. If we're in the mid-range I would go best line player on either side.
-
2
-
-
5 minutes ago, Bangarang said:
You’re assuming Allen puts the ball precisely where it needs to be in that situation. An inaccurate pass and it could very well be picked off just the same.
Yes that's why I specifically said "if Allen makes that exact throw," and that arm strength alone isn't enough. No one can say that arm strength doesn't matter or that it only matters on deep throws. The truth is it gives Allen an edge but it is still possible that his negatives outweigh it.
-
2
-
-
13 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:
The Analytics and new way to look at talent fan in me wants him to fail, because success will be the old school thinkers Mountain and well what about case.
This isn't necessarily true. Analytics, like everything in statistics, are used to make projections based on probability. So take QBASE, an advanced analytics tool created by Football Outsiders to judge the probability that a college QB will succeed in the NFL.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/qbase-2018
Allen had a negative QBASE which obviously isn't good. Since 1997, 27 QBs drafted in the top 100 had a negative QBASE and they all busted (McCown was probably the best of the group). So if Allen doesn't bust that will mean 1 out of every 28 QBs with a negative QBASE will succeed. That doesn't mean QBASE is useless. If you flip a coin 3 times in a row and get heads every time, you wouldn't say it's impossible to get tails. Most of these analytics tools are very new and they have relatively small sample sizes.They can be used to argue that Allen likely won't succeed, but no one is saying it's impossible.
-
2
-
-
55 minutes ago, Scorp83 said:
We don't want to say there's absolutely no chance he'll ever be good – he's got a deep ball,
I'm kind of shocked a writer for Football Outsiders doesn't understand that the deep ball is only like 20% of why arm strength is important. The rest of it is the ability to execute plays in a timing offense to perfection. Take Peterman's last pass in the Jaguars game. He actually threw the ball right on time and arguably made the correct read. But it didn't matter because Jalen Ramsey was able to get to the ball. If Allen makes that exact throw, it wouldn't be an interception. At best Ramsey could have broken up the ball. The ability to throw the ball faster than a defender can catch up to it gives Allen a tremendous edge over other passers. Obviously that alone won't be enough. But anyone who sums up arm strength as "can throw the ball far" is way off the mark.
-
5
-
1
-
-
37 minutes ago, teef said:
I’d be kinda pumped if the bills had a guy with the name beef jerkey.
We better draft this guy:
-
3
-
1
-
2
-
-
4 minutes ago, Binghamton Beast said:
Please explain what exactly the kneelers have accomplished for society.
Whether you agree with funds being used for social justice is up to you, but that is not something the NFL would have done if not for the protests.
-
1
-
-
4 minutes ago, whatdrought said:
Just for my edification-
Do those of you who disagree with the Dolphins choice, believe that people should be allowed to protest anything they want at any time through any (non-violent) manner?
Just to clarify.
I obviously don't think people should be able to actively protest anything they want in any way. But forced shows of loyalty or patriotism are dumb and I don't have any problem with passive protests against that. If a player held a BLM banner up in front of a sideline camera that is too far, but deciding to NOT stand for the anthem isn't disruptive or in anyone's face. So I accept that the NFL can set whatever policy they'd like, but in practice I don't like them policing what the players do during the anthem. Like someone mentioned above they only do the anthem because the military pays them. That isn't patriotism. The NFL is a capitalist enterprise, it's not like the players are kneeling at a military funeral.
-
3 minutes ago, Gray Beard said:
However, the NFL is losing an opportunity to encourage help and healing for a situation that most people believe to be a genuine societal inequity.
The NFL doesn't care about social inequality. It doesn't care about breast cancer. It doesn't care about the military. It doesn't care about player safety. It only cares about the bottom line.
-
4
-
1
-
-
4 minutes ago, That's No Moon said:
All the media outlets are. All of them. On every side.
No doubt. Any press is good press. They've mastered the art of making the NFL a year round institution. There is no football news at all right now but everyone is talking about the NFL's latest controversy. I don't think that's an accident.
Bills' 2018 Training Camp Day 3 - First Day in Pads
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted