HappyDays
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Posts posted by HappyDays
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Not a big fan of this deal, but in their defense Gurley has been as valuable a pass catcher as he's been a rusher. Last year he was 2nd on the team in receiving yards and 2nd in receiving TDs. And he's easily a top 5 RB as it is. So I get it, but man the Rams are burning money at a record pace. They've sacrificed a lot of valuable draft picks too.
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I'm usually all about trading down but there are some incredible pass rushers in next year's draft so I'm all in on drafting one of them if we're near the top. If we're in the mid-range I would go best line player on either side.
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5 minutes ago, Bangarang said:
You’re assuming Allen puts the ball precisely where it needs to be in that situation. An inaccurate pass and it could very well be picked off just the same.
Yes that's why I specifically said "if Allen makes that exact throw," and that arm strength alone isn't enough. No one can say that arm strength doesn't matter or that it only matters on deep throws. The truth is it gives Allen an edge but it is still possible that his negatives outweigh it.
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13 minutes ago, MAJBobby said:
The Analytics and new way to look at talent fan in me wants him to fail, because success will be the old school thinkers Mountain and well what about case.
This isn't necessarily true. Analytics, like everything in statistics, are used to make projections based on probability. So take QBASE, an advanced analytics tool created by Football Outsiders to judge the probability that a college QB will succeed in the NFL.
https://www.footballoutsiders.com/stat-analysis/2018/qbase-2018
Allen had a negative QBASE which obviously isn't good. Since 1997, 27 QBs drafted in the top 100 had a negative QBASE and they all busted (McCown was probably the best of the group). So if Allen doesn't bust that will mean 1 out of every 28 QBs with a negative QBASE will succeed. That doesn't mean QBASE is useless. If you flip a coin 3 times in a row and get heads every time, you wouldn't say it's impossible to get tails. Most of these analytics tools are very new and they have relatively small sample sizes.They can be used to argue that Allen likely won't succeed, but no one is saying it's impossible.
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55 minutes ago, Scorp83 said:
We don't want to say there's absolutely no chance he'll ever be good – he's got a deep ball,
I'm kind of shocked a writer for Football Outsiders doesn't understand that the deep ball is only like 20% of why arm strength is important. The rest of it is the ability to execute plays in a timing offense to perfection. Take Peterman's last pass in the Jaguars game. He actually threw the ball right on time and arguably made the correct read. But it didn't matter because Jalen Ramsey was able to get to the ball. If Allen makes that exact throw, it wouldn't be an interception. At best Ramsey could have broken up the ball. The ability to throw the ball faster than a defender can catch up to it gives Allen a tremendous edge over other passers. Obviously that alone won't be enough. But anyone who sums up arm strength as "can throw the ball far" is way off the mark.
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37 minutes ago, teef said:
I’d be kinda pumped if the bills had a guy with the name beef jerkey.
We better draft this guy:
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4 minutes ago, Binghamton Beast said:
Please explain what exactly the kneelers have accomplished for society.
Whether you agree with funds being used for social justice is up to you, but that is not something the NFL would have done if not for the protests.
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4 minutes ago, whatdrought said:
Just for my edification-
Do those of you who disagree with the Dolphins choice, believe that people should be allowed to protest anything they want at any time through any (non-violent) manner?
Just to clarify.
I obviously don't think people should be able to actively protest anything they want in any way. But forced shows of loyalty or patriotism are dumb and I don't have any problem with passive protests against that. If a player held a BLM banner up in front of a sideline camera that is too far, but deciding to NOT stand for the anthem isn't disruptive or in anyone's face. So I accept that the NFL can set whatever policy they'd like, but in practice I don't like them policing what the players do during the anthem. Like someone mentioned above they only do the anthem because the military pays them. That isn't patriotism. The NFL is a capitalist enterprise, it's not like the players are kneeling at a military funeral.
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3 minutes ago, Gray Beard said:
However, the NFL is losing an opportunity to encourage help and healing for a situation that most people believe to be a genuine societal inequity.
The NFL doesn't care about social inequality. It doesn't care about breast cancer. It doesn't care about the military. It doesn't care about player safety. It only cares about the bottom line.
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4 minutes ago, That's No Moon said:
All the media outlets are. All of them. On every side.
No doubt. Any press is good press. They've mastered the art of making the NFL a year round institution. There is no football news at all right now but everyone is talking about the NFL's latest controversy. I don't think that's an accident.
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1 hour ago, Commonsense said:
Yeah the guys writing the checks tell the guys cashing the checks how to act while at work, just like every other job.
Professional athlete isn't just any other job. If every player on the team protests this policy they can't just fire them all. God every time the NFL can let this story die they just have to do something to get it going again. Makes me wonder if they're making a lot of money on the controversy.
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I'm just glad this all happened now. By the time training camp starts everyone will have forgotten about it and it's very unlikely at this point that Shady will be suspended.
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After all this it turns out his ex-girlfriend never even accused him of domestic violence. It's pretty unlikely at this point that he'll be suspended unless it turns out he sent someone after his jewelry.
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It's crazy how everything Whaley and Rex touched turned to ****. If they had tried to build a gang of criminals they would have accidentally built a great football team.
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2 minutes ago, SCBills said:
I didn’t say she did. Unfortunately, added to all the other issues involved in their relationship, her friends doing that, did not help her credibility.
You said "one side" posted accusations to social media. Unless you're saying her friend was somehow involved too that isn't true. I mean you could just as easily say "one side" was involved in a bar fight with police officers last year if you want to stretch the truth. Or hey, Shady is friends with Richie Incognito, so I suppose one side recently got arrested for making threats towards someone at a gym.
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2 minutes ago, SCBills said:
All we have (so far) is a he said/she said event in which one side has released a mature statement on the matter and the other has had social media rants making wild accusations with zero evidence and a sketchy backstory
The alleged victim, Delicia Cordon, didn't post anything to social media. That was her friend. The only statement that Cordon has made was put out by her attorney.
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Hot take: our record would have been exactly the same the past 2 years without Shady. Our other running backs usually had about the same YPA as he did and statistics show rushing efficiency has practically no effect on winning a game.
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Wow I didn't expect anyone to use a 3rd on Beal. I doubt we'll use a pick on anyone else today.
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28 minutes ago, JaxBills said:
The fact of the matter is, the #metoo movement has created a way to ruin a man's life without having to prove it.
But your life wasn't ruined. The case was dismissed. Public opinion may jump to conclusions too quickly but the courts are still handling these cases exactly the way they're supposed to. As far as I can tell the NFL investigates everything fairly too.
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2 minutes ago, DC Tom said:
Jameis Winston.
He was suspended a year after the allegation and the NFL conducted a long investigation. He also did not appeal that suspension. Like with every allegation the NFL will investigate these claims and if they find evidence that they are true Shady will be suspended once the investigation is concluded. Of course if they're true he won't be on our team long enough for that to happen.
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3 minutes ago, quinnearlysghost88 said:
I see a lot of people arguing the law and the suspicions surrounding these allegations. there is no right to a fair trial in the NFL. McCoy's done.
What is an example of a player that was suspended based on allegations alone?
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20 minutes ago, bills.avfc said:
the amount of people who are clamouring for any kind of evidence to show that she's making it up is pretty sad too. i hope it isn't true and i understand the scepticism to a degree, considering the type of personality he projects publicly. but that type of reaction is exactly what stops victims of domestic violence from coming forward.
I used to think like this but truthfully it does sometimes turn out that the story was made up or embellished. And we're not in a position to know what the truth is here. I personally know a liberal lawyer who doesn't believe any story that comes out of a relationship without evidence. He's seen too many cases where the man or woman is lying. I'm not saying the woman in this case is a liar but it's also too early to say that she isn't.
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2 hours ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:
I can't really speak for Happy Days, but I think his point is to provide factual information, and I see the situation is less "syncophants" "defending" Taylor, as folks who react to exaggerated takes. The point is, TT DID generate offense for us, and a reasonable amount - just not the way many traditional passing QB do it (run + pass vs pass only
Exactly. I guess providing data is now considered being a sycophant. I was ready to move on from Tyrod, his time here was over. But everyone has convinced themselves our offense was awful the whole time he was here. That very clearly was not the case. It's entirely possible he plays well enough this year that Mayfield doesn't start a single game. It's also possible he continues his downward trend and has the worst season of his career.
I'm also not sure why people are saying Tyrod always looked great in the offseason. My memory is that his offseasons were pretty average at best. We should prepare for the possibility that Tyrod outplays whoever our starter is this year. Even if that happens that doesn't mean we made the wrong move trading him away and drafting Josh Allen. I'm not here to root for the Bills to look stupid, but I'm also not going to ignore the reality that Tyrod has arguably the best supporting cast he's ever had and will be in an offense designed for his skill set. If that makes me a sycophant so be it.
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36 minutes ago, MJS said:
No. That's exactly what it means. Tyrod accounted for less points, even when you throw in his rushing TD's. That still made him a bottom 15 QB in point scoring (without giving all other QB's their rushing TD's).
The rushing offense was the only reason the team was top 10 in scoring.
The rushing offense scored most of their TDs in the red zone. 15 of their 23 TDs came inside the 10, and 18 came inside the 20. Going back to my earlier post Tyrod accounted for 63.7% of our total yards which is what got us to the red zone so often. And Tyrod was efficient in the red zone when they had him pass - we were 8th in red zone passer rating in 2016. The other reason we were so good in the red zone was we had a deadly QB read option. I don't have any stats on that, I just remember it being very difficult to defend. For some reason Dennison all but abandoned that play last year which was his most baffling decision in a year of baffling decisions.
Our offense was good in 2016 for multiple reasons, one of which was Tyrod performing pretty well in an offense designed for his skill set (albeit not consistently enough). You can pretend he wasn't a major part of our success that year but the data doesn't back that up at all. No one is saying he's elite but he has shown he can lead a top 10 scoring offense if he has a good OC and a solid supporting cast. Whether he replicates that success this year is still just anyone's guess but it is definitely possible.
Julio Jones is not going to report to Camp.
in The Stadium Wall Archives
Posted
Most likely the Incarcerated Bob tweet from an hour ago. In other words there is no rumor.