LEBills
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Posts posted by LEBills
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6 minutes ago, DJB said:
To be fair to Hairston, that is partly a function of the Kentucky defense. They had him giving up underneath routes all the time, but he doesn’t get beat over the top.-
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Of course, stinkin ravens every year
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Just now, gonzo1105 said:
I mean does anyone have any doubt we’re going CB or Starks at this point?
Don’t forget the Carson schwesinger rumors 😬-
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All these teams taking the whole time trying to trade down lol
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Just now, Roundybout said:
That is a bizarre pick for Tampa IMO. They needed LB help and Campbell was a good fit I thought.
Campbell has some injury concerns is what was being reported -
4 minutes ago, Alphadawg7 said:
Take this FWIW & dont shoot the messenger...I was reluctant to share given how unpredictable this draft could be, but had multiple people I trust tell me a guy to watch for the Bills is Malaki Starks in the past 24 hours, depending on how the board fell.
Dane Brugler, Benjamin Albright and Peter Schrager? I kid.
I would like Starks as long as it’s at 30 or a small enough move up that it’s only a day 3 pick
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Nice!
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I like it for the Jags.Hunter is special and makes the Jags interesting. And usually if the Browns make a trade they wind up losing it lol
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8 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
Problem is the Bills have not had Grant in on a top 30 visit that I have seen. I have 23 of the names that they did have in. But no Grant. Only once in Beane's years has he drafted someone not brought in for a top 30 in the first round (excluding COVID YEAR WHERE VISITS WEREN'T ALLOWED) and that was Kincaid.
Besides once the dust settles I expect Grant will hear his name in the top 20 picks.
Tremaine was a pre draft visitor that we did not hear about until post draft so there is precedent of an unknown visit becoming a first round draft pick. I’m pretty sure Azarey’h Thomas would have been one of the 7 unknowns. Grant may have been too.I hope he is long gone personally.
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5 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
Here we are.... after multiple re-writes last night and this morning here it is version 3.0 - the mock I will grade myself against tomorrow! I only have one Quarterback here. To be crystal clear I do expect one more to go (probably Sanders but possibly Dart) as a result of a team trading back into the first. But as my final prediction is always a no-trade mock I am sticking and picking for all 32 teams. Enjoy reading folks!
1 – Tennessee Titans – Cam Ward – Quarterback, Miami
This pick has been locked down for well over a month now, Cam Ward is going #1 overall and will be the new face of the franchise in Nashville.
2 – Cleveland Browns – Travis Hunter – Cornerback / Wide Receiver, Colorado
As I said in version 2.0, this comes down to either Abdul Carter or Travis Hunter and with Myles Garrett signed to a new deal I think the perimeter playmaking ability of Hunter (on both sides of the ball) fills a bigger need. He now feels all but guaranteed to be the pick.
3 – New York Giants – Abdul Carter – Edge Rusher, Penn State
The Giants could have fooled everyone and be planning to take a Quarterback at #3 but I don’t think so. Russell Wilson is going to start for them in 2025, and they will take the best player available and add Abdul Carter to their pass rushing arsenal.
4 – New England Patriots – Will Campbell – Offensive Tackle, LSU
In a world where both Carter and Hunter are off the board I expect the Patriots to take Will Campbell. While his length concerns me to be a long term left tackle his quick feet and athleticism give him a solid chance to be a successful pro even if that ends up being at guard.
5 – Jacksonville Jaguars – Ashton Jeanty – Running Back, Boise State
The word on the street with the Jaguars is expect the unexpected. I am increasingly hearing and believing the talk of Tet McMillan going at this spot but I’m not quite brave enough to pull the trigger here so I will play it safer and project Ashton Jeanty as the selection.
6 – Las Vegas Raiders – Kelvin Banks Jnr – Offensive Tackle, Texas
The Raiders are going offensive line. The intrigue is which guy. Armand Membou has been the consensus pick at this spot but increasingly you are hearing that the NFL likes Kelvin Banks Jnr much more than the talking heads do. He is my #1 tackle I’m making him the pick.
7 – New York Jets – Tyler Warren – Tight End, Penn State
While I think Jahdae Barron is in play I believe the Jets would prefer to go offense. With Davante Adams gone they are short on passing game targets and their new offensive coordinator is a former tight ends coach too so joining the dots I expect Tyler Warren to be the pick.
8 – Carolina Panther – Jalon Walker – Linebacker, Georgia
The entire league believes the Panthers are locked in on Jalon Walker, but I do wonder if Mason Graham still being on the board changes things given that they were in on Milton Williams in free agency. However, Walker is a Carolina kid and is their kind of personality too so I like the fit.
9 – New Orleans Saints – Mykel Williams – Edge Rusher, Georgia
I don’t believe the Saints are drafting a Quarterback at this spot and will instead focus on the trenches. Mickey Loomis has a type when it comes to edge rushers – long and toolsy – which is very much a description that fits Mykel Williams.
10 – Chicago Bears – Mason Graham – Defensive Tackle, Michigan
I think the Bears would take Kelvin Banks if he reached this spot but given he is gone and Mason Graham is sliding I think the value might be too good to miss. I know the Bears signed Grady Jarrett in free agency, but he turns 32 on Monday. Graham is a longer term solution.
11 – San Francisco 49ers – Walter Nolen – Defensive Tackle, Ole Miss
I made this selection in the Virgil v3.0 Mock Draft a few days ago and then lo and behold suddenly all the buzz is about Nolen to the 49ers. Their defensive tackle position is pretty weak right now and Nolen is absolutely tailor made for Robert Saleh’s scheme.
12 – Dallas Cowboys – Tetairoa McMillan – Wide Receiver, Arizona
Dallas needs to upgrade at wide receiver where beyond CeeDee Lamb the cupboard is bare. I had been thinking Golden might be the pick but all the smoke out there at the moment is about Tet McMillan and I can totally see him landing in this spot.
13 – Miami Dolphins – Armand Membou – Offensive Tackle, Missouri
Corner is definitely in play for the Dolphins here too, but they have to be better up front protecting Tua and because he is a lefty if there is any team that can legitimately value right tackle more than left it is the Dolphins. Membou is an upgrade on Austin Jackson.
14 – Indianapolis Colts – Colston Loveland – Tight End, Michigan
The Colts have been linked to tight ends right throughout this process and while I have heard whispers that they really like Shermar Stewart too I can’t see them going pass rusher in back to first rounds so I will stick with Loveland to add a weapon in a make or break season for Anthony Richardson.
15 – Atlanta Falcons – James Pearce Jnr – Edge Rusher, Tennessee
This is the year! Atlanta is finally going to address its edge rush issues. I believe this will be one of Mykel Williams (already off the board), Mike Green or James Pearce and some people I trust are saying Pearce is the most likely selection.
16 – Arizona Cardinals – Matthew Golden – Wide Receiver, Texas
I am told that the Cardinals feel they have done enough with the defensive front seven to free them up to target other positions at this spot. Corner is in play but their GM has talked about needing more speed on offense. Matthew Golden would bring that missing element.
17 – Cincinnati Bengals – Shermar Stewart – Edge Rusher, Texas A&M
Even if Trey Hendrikson ends up staying the Bengals need to bolster their pass rush. They are another front office that like to draft length and size and Shermar Stewart is 6’5 with over 34 inch arms. He fits their prototype.
18 – Seattle Seahawks – Nick Emmanwori – Safety, South Carolina
I made this pick in Virgil’s mock v2.0 and in the Gunner and Gonzo collab mock. I just think it makes a ton of sense from a scheme fit. Everyone else is pegging Grey Zabel here, and I get that too, but with two second rounders I feel like interior offensive line can be addressed later.
19 – Tampa Bay Buccaneers – Jihaad Campbell – Linebacker, Alabama
I have had this match in all three of my mock drafts. He could slide further because of the shoulder issue but the Buccs have done so much work on linebackers this spring I think they might just be willing to take a swing given their long term need there.
20 – Denver Broncos – Emeka Egbuka – Wide Receiver, Ohio State
The Broncos have been linked to tight ends and running backs for the longest time, but despite Omarion Hampton still being on the board here the latest noise is saying wide receiver and Egbuka would be a good compliment to Courtland Sutton.
21 – Pittsburgh Steelers – Derrick Harmon – Defensive Tackle, Oregon
I do not believe the Steelers will take Shedeur Sanders at #21. I have been hearing for weeks and weeks that they are set on finding Cam Heyward’s long term replacement at defensive tackle and Derrick Harmon feels like a very good fit in that role.
22 – Los Angeles Chargers – Kenneth Grant – Defensive Tackle, Michigan
It might be slightly lazy to just keep mocking Michigan Wolverines to Jim Harbaugh and the Chargers, but they do have a major need on the defensive line. Poona Ford played well for them in 2024 but left in free agency.
23 – Green Bay Packers – Will Johnson – Cornerback, Michigan
Finally, a pure corner comes off the board and it is no surprise that is to the Packers. Eric Stokes left in free agency and Jaire Alexander’s future remains somewhat undecided. Johnson would be a good scheme fit even if he lacks ideal length.
24 – Minnesota Vikings – Jahdae Barron – Cornerback, Texas
Jahdae Barron has admirers in the top 10 to 12 picks of this draft but if he doesn’t go there he is likely to slide into the early 20s because of team needs and his physical profile. Minnesota will likely try and trade back but I think they do want to upgrade at corner.
25 – Houston Texans – Grey Zabel – Interior Offensive Line, North Dakota State
It has been a spring of turmoil on the Texans offensive line and I think the idea of a guy like Zabel who has played all five spots in college will be attractive as they try and piece together a starting five to protect CJ Stroud better than they did in 2024.
26 – Los Angeles Rams – Maxwell Hariston – Cornerback, Kentucky
I had the Rams going Trey Amos in my last version and in the Gunner and Gonzo collab mock but I’m flipping now to Hariston. They would essentially be drafting him as the long term replacement for Darious Williams who has a similar physical profile to the Kentucky corner.
27 – Baltimore Ravens – Malaki Starks – Safety, Georgia
Stop me if you have heard this before but the Ravens stand pat at their original spot and have one of the top 10 players in the draft (at least by my board) fall right into their laps. Malaki Starks and Kyle Hamilton has the potential to be an all-world safety combination.
28 – Detroit Lions – Donovan Ezeiruaku – Edge Rusher, Boston College
I still like this fit. The Lions get Marcus Davenport back, whose season ended in week two last year, but Za’Darius Smith was released and their depth is questionable. Ezeiruaku feels like their kind of person and their kind of player and steps right in opposite Aiden Hutchinson.
29 – Washington Commanders – Mike Green – Edge Rusher, Marshall
Mike Green has had an up and down draft process, wowing evaluators at the Senior Bowl only to have the off-field allegations about him emerge at the Combine. After which teams have stayed away. Only two turned up at his pro day, but one of them was the Washington Commanders.
30 – Buffalo Bills – Trey Amos – Cornerback, Ole Miss
I’ve put my neck out on the board and said to me the Bills pick at #30 comes down to Amos, Hariston or Nick Scourton. While I don’t rule out a trade back, with the corner run in the 20s my guess is the Bills would stick and pick if one of the defensive backs reached them.
31 – Kansas City Chiefs – Josh Simmons – Offensive Tackle, Ohio State
The latest on Josh Simmons’s recovery from the ACL tear, suffered last October, is that he might miss most of camp but should be full go by the start of the season. Having signed 49ers backup Jaylon Moore in free agency the Chiefs can afford to ease him in gently.
32 – Philadelphia Eagles – Tyler Booker – Interior Offensive Line, Alabama
Booker is attending the draft but he is my idea of the guy that slides out of round one if teams coming up from round two for Quarterbacks pushes talent down, but in this scenario Howie Roseman reverts to his tried and tested formula of best big school SEC player available.
Ever since you predicted Zaven Collins a few years ago, I always check your Cardinals picks.
If Membou goes early I think the Dolphins go corner but it may be awhile for another one to go off the board like you have here.
You gotta speak Nic Scourton to Buffalo into existence, I know that’s who you want in your heart haha. I’m still incredulous the Bills will go for Amos over someone younger in round 1.
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This seems to be more of an idea by a bleacher report writer than a rumor
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Mine that I made from scratch:
1. Ten: Cam Ward, QB
2. CLE: Travis Hunter, OP
3.NYG: Abdul Carter, EDGE
4. NE: Will Campbell, OL
5. JAX: Ashton Jeanty, RB
6. OAK: Kelvin Banks, OT
7. NYJ: Armond Membou, OT
8. CAR: Jalon Walker, EDGE
9. NO: Tet McMillan, WR
10. CHI: Tyler Warren, TE
11. SF: Walter Nolan, DT
12. DAL: Mason Graham, DT
13. MIA: Maxwell Hairston, CB
14. IND: Colston Loveland, TE
15. ATL: Mikel Williams, DE
16. ARI: Luther Burden, WR
17. CIN: James Pierce, EDGE
18. SEA: Jihaad Campbell, LB
19. TB: Jahdae Barron, CB
20. DEN: Sherman Stewart, DE
21. PIT: Jalen Milroe, QB
22. LAC: Matthew Golden, WR
23. GB: Derrick Harmon, DL
24. MIN: Grey Zabel, OL
25. HOU: Josh Conerly, OT
26. LAR: Omarion Hampton, RB
27. BAL: Kenneth Grant, DL
28. DET: Landon Jackson, DE
29. WAS: Donovan Ezeiruaku, EDGE
30. BUF: Nic Scourton, DE
The Bills acquire the player they have been quietly covering. Bosa and AJ are on expiring contracts. Scourton gives them a young pass rusher in the pipeline
31. KC: Josh Simmons, OT
32. PHI: Emeka Egbuka, WR
Remaining Bills picks
56. Azareye’h Thomas, CB
62. Josh Farmer, DT
109 and 132 traded for 96. Tory Horton, WR
169. Jaylen Reed, S
170. Cam Horsely, DT
173. Teddy Buchanan, LB
177. “Ice” Waxter, CB
206. Arian Smith, WR
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5 hours ago, gonzo1105 said:
Gonzo V3. Final Mock Draft
This draft is going to be absolutely insane and I fully expect to be way off this year even worse than most years lol. I decided only to do one round for the final version because doing more than 1 round would be insane again. With that said me thinking this makes me think I'm going to do better than I think. Enjoy and make sure to check out @GunnerBill and I's podcast special which will now most certainly be wrong haha.
1. Tennessee Titans- Cam Ward QB University of Miami
- Not even really going to explain this because its a lock and this will be the first pick in the draft
2. Cleveland Browns- Travis Hunter WR/DB University of Colorado
- The Browns are supposedly fielding calls on this pick now. If they decide to stay put I fully expect Hunter to be the pick and I think the most intrigue for this pick will be at which position he will be announced or will he be announced as an athlete.
3. New York Giants- Abdul Carter DE Penn State University
- Another last minute teams taking calls and it makes sense if they think they can get a haul, move down and get the QB that they desire later in the first round. If they stick here I again fully expect this to be Carter who is arguably the best player in this draft. Where does this leave Kayvon Thibodeaux will be the question and will he be traded on draft weekend.
4. New England Patriots- Will Campbell OT Louisiana State University
- This one also seems like a lock to happen if the Patriots stick with the pick. I'm not sure he will be an elite franchise left tackle but he is a safe floor prospect that can play multiple positions on the offensive line which the Patriots need all over the place. He makes sense here as a Tackle or Guard for the Patriots to start surrounding Maye with players on offense.
5. Jacksonville Jaguars- Ashton Jeanty RB Boise State University
- I was the first to call the possibility of Jeanty to go before the Raiders pick at 6 and I'm seeing this crop up more and more as we get closer to the draft. It makes sense for the Jags with an offensive coach trying to reinvigorate Trevor Lawrence's career. Etienne is in his last year of his deal and Bigsby hasn't developed like they hoped so they need to get a dynamic back into the draft. If not Jeanty I expect Kelvin Banks as a possibility.
6. Las Vegas Raiders- Armand Membou OT University of Missouri
- It seems that if Jeanty is off the board this pick will come down to Mason Graham or Armand Membou. In this final iteration I go with Membou who, like Campbell, can play multiple positions along a Raider offensive line that needs massive help. I am a big fan of Membou and have him rated as my # 1 overall tackle in this draft(Campbell I have rated as a G).
7. New York Jets- Tyler Warren TE Penn State University
- I think the Jets will consider both Membou and Tyler Warren at this selection and with Membou off the board to the Raiders, that makes the Jets choice of Warren an easy one. I am not as high on Warren as others but he has been consistently mocked in the top 10 of the draft and will add a weapon for new QB Justin Fields to replace the departing Davante Adams
8. Carolina Panthers- Jalon Walker DE/LB University of Georgia
- I think this is a lock barring something very unforeseen. I have always had hesitation about Walker just because he is such a tweener. Don't get me wrong he is a hell of a football player I just worry about guys who may not have a true position in the NFL. Still the Panthers seem to love him and I have heard that he has been excellent in interview with other teams and will love his leadership qualities.
9. New Orleans Saints- Mason Graham DT University of Michigan
- I don't think that Graham is the dominant top 5 pick that everyone has believed he was but he is a very good football player and the Saints have needs all over the place and Graham is arguably the best players on the board at this point. Will the Saints go QB? Seems like they are leaning away from it at this point but they literally can go anywhere with this pick but I'll slot Graham in here.
10. Chicago Bears- Josh Conerly OT University of Oregon
- Yup this is my first big shocker of the draft. The Bears have put in extensive work on Conerly and apparently love him not only as a prospect but also as a person. Conerly does have very big upside as a Left Tackle and the Bears did sort of do something like this when they took Darnell Wright at # 10 a couple of years ago. I also think they are highly interested in Colston Loveland as well at this pick.
11. San Francisco 49ers- Walter Nolan DT University of Mississippi
- Doing a lot of looking around on 49ers message boards and sleuthing it appears that the 49ers are going to wait until a later round to find an eventual replacement for Trent Williams. It appears that at least in their minds that this pick is going to come down to either Walter Nolan or Mykel Williams. Combine that with the rumors that Nolan is supposedly going to go much higher than people expect and I put two and two together and slot Nolan to the 9ers
12. Dallas Cowboys- Tet McMillan WR University of Arizona
- I keep hemming and hawing about this pick as well between McMillian and Golden as I believe that Golden is the better prospect and there is a chance that he is the pick here at 12. I could see the Cowboys also taking Omarrion Hampton as well. As you can see its like shooting darts at the board at this point. I think McMillian makes sense here as a compliment to Ceedee Lamb.
13. Miami Dolphins- Kelvin Banks OT University of Texas
- If Banks goes to the Bears, I think the Dolphins would consider Conerly at this pick as well. They need help all over their offensive line and Banks can slot right into the left tackle spot that was vacated by the retiring Terron Armstead. Its about time for the Dolphins to try getting more physical because their roster has surprisingly taken a turn into the not very good territory very quickly.
14. Indianapolis Colts- Colston Loveland TE University of Michigan
- I think that this is Colston's floor and his ceiling is # 10 to the Bears. Loveland provides a weapon for whoever is playing Quarterback in Indianapolis. Its seems like the stock offseason pick but it makes a ton of sense for the Colts to make this selection.
15. Atlanta Falcons- Mykel Williams DE University of Georgia
- This is one pick I will not waiver on as the Falcons need a pass rusher in the worst way and Williams, a local college prospect, makes a lot of sense as a long term solution to the pass rush woahs of the Falcons. If Williams goes to the 49ers at 11 it wouldn't surprise me if a Walter Nolan type prospect comes off the board here at 15.
16. Arizona Cardinals- Shemar Stewart DE Texas A&M University
- Stewart is a boom or bust prospect if there ever was one but the Cardinals can still bolster their pass rush even after adding Josh Sweat to the roster. Stewart, despite his lack of sack production has elite traits and had a very high pressure rate while in college. I expect him to put up better sack numbers in the pros but that probably isn't saying much.
17. Cincinnati Bengals- Nick Emmanwori S University of South Carolina
- The Bengals can go in a lot of different directions in this draft especially on defense and there are a lot of tantalizing options for them at this point. After digging around I decided to slot in Emmanwori here at the Bengals pick which the Bengals have met with a couple of different times and he has enormous superstar potential if he can develop his football skills to go with his elite athleticism
18. Seattle Seahawks- Grey Zabel OT/OG North Dakota State University
- The Seahawks for damn near a decade have needed to fix their interior offensive line and they will try again with the selection of Zabel. I've seen Zabel getting buzz for the first round for awhile and have slotted him at 28 to the Lions but it appears he is going to much earlier than expect. He could go as high as 13 to the Dolphins in my opinion.
19. Tampa Bay Buccaneers- Maxwell Hairston CB University of Kentucky
- Another mild shocker as Hairston, not Barron or Will Johnson is the first Cornerback to come off the board in the draft. The Bucs need secondary help desperately and they have met with numerous cornerbacks in this draft but none of them they have met more than Hairston. Another guy with elite athleticism that can become an elite player down the line for the secondary needy Bucs.
20. Denver Broncos- Matthew Golden WR University of Texas
- The Broncos are going playmaker in this spot the question is what position of playmaker. Will they go WR, RB, or TE at this spot. With the depth of Running back and quite possibly the # 1 WR in this draft staring them in the face they have no choice but to take Golden here to pair up with Courtland Sutton and to give Bo Nix more weapons at his disposal.
21. Pittsburgh Steelers- Shedeur Sanders QB University of Colorado
- The Sanders fall stops here as this is kind of a match made in heaven. Sanders goes to the very needy Pittsburgh Steelers and Tomlin is probably one of the few coaches in the league that will either work with or tell Deion Sanders to shut the hell up. Sanders is about as NFL ready but will need to have some elite players around him. Wide Receivers look good for now but how long will George Pickens be in a Steeler uniform.
22. Los Angeles Chargers- Kenneth Grant DT University of Michigan
- The connections between Grant and Jim Harbaugh run very deep and the Nose Tackle spot is a very big need for the Chargers. Grant has some elite traits but he is very inconsistent at this stage and will need to be further developed to become the player everyone thinks he can be. Sorry Bills fans but Grant is off the board.
23. Green Bay Packers- Jahdae Barron CB University of Texas
- Another guy sliding down the board is Barron who I believe can be a very good outside CB or he can be a very good swiss army knife for an secondary in this draft. With there already being one hole at CB to fill, and the never ending possibility of Jaire Alexander not being in a Packers uniform, the Packers tab Barron at this selection to fill a big need for the Packers
24. Minnesota Vikings- Malaki Starks S University of Georgia
- Much like everybody else, I expect this to be a trade down spot for a lot of teams, especially the ones needing a Quarterback at the top of the 2nd round. With no trades, I stick with the consensus that Starks would be a good eventual replacement for Harrison Smith and would see a lot of subpackage work in his rookie year under Brian Flores.
25. Houston Texans- Tyler Booker OG University of Alabama
- The Texans are another team that needs help all over their offensive line and they are apparently looking for someone to be a leaders on that offensive front. Enter Tyler Booker who apparently has impressed very well in those areas of his interview process and the Texans have an extreme need at Guard. I worry about his athletic profile but he also strikes me as the type of player a Demeco Ryans would love.
26. Los Angeles Rams- Emeka Egbuka WR Ohio State University
- The Rams could either go with Egbuka or Will Johnson here but I think Sean McVay would love the type of player that Egbuka is and would be drooling to get him in a Rams uniform to pair with Puka Nacua. Egbuka is about as smooth an operator at the position that you will see but is probably never going to be a high end # 1 WR in the NFL but he will be a damn good # 2 for a long time.
27. Baltimore Ravens- Will Johnson CB University of Michigan
- Well well well, Will Johnson comes off the board at 27 to the Ravens and once again the Ravens will look like geniuses on draft day for taking a guy who looked like he was going to go in the top 10 for the longest time. Johnson fills a very large need for the Ravens as well as they struggled to fill the spot last year opposite of Marlon Humphrey.
28. Detroit Lions- Donovan Ezeiruaku DE Boston College
- I think Ezeiruaku is a Dan Campbell type of player and is a very good safe pass rushing prospect in this first round of the draft. He may never be a true dominant defensive end but he will rack up plenty of sacks playing opposite of Aiden Hutchinson. I could also see the Lions taking Donovan Jackson at this spot if they aren't in love with a pass rusher.
29. Washington Commanders- Omarrion Hampton RB University of North Carolina
- I think its very possible that Hampton can go much much higher than this and I do have him as a first round grade on my board. The Commanders on the surface have bigger needs but they have spent all offseason adding weapons to the offense around Jayden Daniels and Hampton provides good value here at a position that the Commanders have been scouting pretty heavily.
30. Buffalo Bills- Trey Amos CB University of Mississippi
- The Bills tab Amos as their pick at # 30. Look, I know its not the most exciting pick for this board but he is a perfect fit for a Sean McDermott style of defense. After seeing Tre White's contract numbers, and the addition of Dane Jackson on pretty much a minimum deal, the Bills grab their # 2 CB at the end of the first round. I have constantly said that you have to take a CB in round 1 or you risk missing out on a good one completely.
31. Kansas City Chiefs- Treveyon Henderson RB Ohio State University
- A lot of people have been going with Josh Simmons here and I think that its a strong possibility as well but the Chiefs have been meeting with Henderson quite a bit and it seems that Isaiah Pacheco is either still injured or is falling out of favor in Kansas City. Combine that with the fact that re-signed Kareem Hunt and it shows that they are looking for a little something more out of this position and Henderson is a future 3 down back.
32. Philadelphia Eagles- James Pearce Jr. DE University of Tennessee
- The Eagles could go in whatever direction they feel and they have taken a lot of character concern players if they feel they are elite and Pearce has a chance to be as elite as anyone in this draft class. I personally have him in my top 10 and would love the Bills to select him but he's probably not up the Bills character alley. The Eagles swoop in and take another guy who falls because of character issues.
* Notes*
I have Jihaad Campbell and Derrick Harmon falling out of round 1 due to injury
I fully expect if the draft plays out this way for one of the Giants/Browns to jump into the first round to target Jaxson Dart
After the first round is complete, I will probably complete a round 2 mock draft with maybe a round 3 if I have enough time on Friday before day 2 kicks off.
These are always a lot of work so good job. I agree with most of the picks in the top 10 aside from Warren. I think a new coach that watched Sewell and Hutchinson being drafted early in Detroit will try and mirror that with either Banks, Graham or a DE du jour.I don’t know which Edge guys will go 15&16 but I can’t see those being other positions.
Im of the mindset that Hairston’s floor is going to be GB if all his medicals are clear. And him being the first CB off the board isn’t ludicrous. WJ not testing sounds like it has soured some teams and Barron will be more the eye of the beholder on if he can play outside.
I think Amos does make the most logical sense for the Bills in these mocks. A first round CB is basically guaranteed to be a starter and Amos is very good and has a clean medical history. His age isn’t normally what Beane looks for in an early pick is the only thing giving me pause from making this a lock if he is there at 30. I can’t get AZ Thomas out of my brain for the Bills, hopefully with a small trade down. We shall see.
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16 minutes ago, FireChans said:
I just can't see this regime spending back to back top 2 round picks on the S position out of anything other than desperate necessity.
Our safeties were baddd but I agree the resource allocation would sadden me, and I think Starks is good.
Brugler got the Elam pick right in 2022 but besides that no one has gotten the Bills pick right since 2022. And at least 3 of them all had us selecting Breece Hall in 23. Until it leaks the day of the draft that the Bills hosted Starks (like it happened with Elam) I’m going to assume what they are hearing is what the Bills want them to hear
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12 minutes ago, The Firebaugh Kid said:
I try to keep an open mind and think for myself but I generally find his takes to be spot on. I hadn’t seen much film on Kyle Williams or Ty Felton for example and when he mentioned them as two of his top receiver prospects I was blown away watching the tape.
I like Joe. Most of the more polished Bills reporters are not Bills fans, the people that are and podcast about the Bills are usually either boring or not too inciteful. Joe toes the line of being professional while being a Bills fan pretty well. However, I don’t think he is a great talent evaluator, despite his background as an online scout for the draft network. Prefer LockedOn during the season.-
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Per Tony Pauline:
“There’s been a lot of talk over how weak the first round of this year’s draft is, and I’m told the Buffalo Bills have just 12 players graded as true first-round prospects. In the end, this means players taken in the bottom half of the initial frame are second-round talents.”
I don’t think we will be trading up if that’s the case. Maybe a trade down?
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Hoping gunners cockney accent is like how I do it when I read his posts 🤞
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2 hours ago, GASabresIUFan said:
I wasn't sure what to expect when I saw the thread title, but this is very well done. What an interesting approach to trying to read into Beane's thought process when drafting. ChatGPT couldn't have done a better job.
I obviously watch plenty of GA football. Arian has (had?) a concentration problem rather than terrible hands. He improved significantly last season with the Dawgs and had by far his best season catching the football and being a difference maker. I'd love to see him join the Bills.
That’s good to hear. Smith did not make my list to watch this year and the GA Reddit did not seem very sad about him declaring for the draft. But of all my predictions here, Arian Smith to the Bills is the one that I’m most confident in.1 hour ago, GASabresIUFan said:All those Gators are clearly keeping us from winning the big one. We need players from teams that actually win big games - GA, Bama, OSU, and Mich.
The Eagles had on their roster this season 5 guys who played for Bama, 5 Bulldawgs, 3 Wolverines and 1 Buckeye.
We had 4 Bama, 3 Dawgs, and 1 Buckeye. We also have 3 UB Bulls.
All those Gators and only Cybo is still on the team…Buffalo loves an underbull story!
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38 minutes ago, BillsShredder83 said:
https://www.nfldraftbuzz.com/Player/Nic-Caraway-DE-Purdue
Weird, which one is his actual weight? He looks 285... but conflicting info, almost 30lbs difference.... did he slim down for combine. Either way interesting prospect. Also wondering why his production dropped this year. Def not the be-all end-all, but notable
So the 257 is what he weighed at the combine and is his natural weight. He played at that weight in 2023 and led the Big 10 in sacks. He transferred to A&M in 2024 and they had him, Stewart and Turner play heavy and basically hold the line of scrimmage so his production suffered.I would expect him to play at his combine weight in the pros. He’d be an excellent pick at 30 if this is what we do, imo
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3 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
That's kind of interesting as Coleman who was basically a 1st round pick who is only 20. It makes sense as they think they can still develop those players. Makes me wonder how they view Amos, Revel, and Barren who are all 23.
Imo if any of them are clear and away the best player available at 30, they will take them despite the age. But if they are in a cluster of other similar graded players, they will basically always take the younger guy you can hopefully have for a longer time. Personally I think Revel is the least likely due to his injury, the Bills have passed on other injured players that were a value when they drafted like JOK and Voorhees1 hour ago, SoonerBillsFan said:Good draft. I would go WR with the 4th pick and Safety with the 5th or so, but that is just me.
You know if this was my real mock draft it would be 10 WRs lol52 minutes ago, Mr. WEO said:A DE from TEMU? It won't play right out of the box.
It looks just like a DE but for a fraction of the price!
35 minutes ago, mjt328 said:I've always believed that Beane had no intention of drafting Kincaid, and was fully planning on taking a WR.
Then all the top receiver prospects got snatched up, and he talked himself into it... reasoning that he was still a "weapon" in the passing game.
Usually it's pretty safe to assume we are going to take someone in for a Top 30 visit.
I agree. I think we wanted Jordan Addison (pre draft visitor). We were just coming off the 22 Bengals playoff loss where Joe Burrow had an assortment of riches and Josh had an angry Diggs and nothing else. Kincaid was expected to go even earlier than the WRs - until maybe the rumblings close to the draft were he would potentially fall so they zoomed him. So when the WRs were gone he quickly pivoted to Kincaid.-
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Beane has now run 7 drafts for the Bills and has shown some very clear trends. By following history, we can try and predict the Bills draft class. For all pre-draft info, I used this running article: https://www.syracuse.com/buffalo-bills/2025/04/nfl-draft-2025-buffalo-bills-pre-draft-visitors-zoom-meetings-and-private-workout-tracker.html?outputType=amp (thank you @RyanTalbotBills)
Pick 30: Nick Scourton, DE, TAMU
Dalton Kincaid was the only first pick in the draft that was not a top 30 visit and was older than 21 years old on draft day. Scourton, 20, fills a premium position.
Other players that fit mold: DE Shemar Stewart, CB Maxwell Hairston, DT TJ Sanders
Pick 56: Tyleik Williams, DT, Ohio State
The Bills second pick in the draft has been a top 30 visit 3 out of 5 eligible years. None have been recovering from a major injury. And all of them had multiple years of production.
Other players that fit: DT TJ Sanders, CB Jacob Parrish, WR Jaylin Royals
Pick 62: Jacob Parrish, CB, Kansas State
Zoom meetings have also become important to the Bills scouting as both Dalton Kincaid and Cole Bishop only had zoom meetings with the Bills. Parrish is the one zoom meeting player we know of that matches this range.
Other players that fit this mold: DT Joshua Farmer
Pick 109 and 132 *Traded* Kevin Winston, S, PSU
Over the past 7 drafts the Bills have only selected in the 4th round 3 times. They have always had at least one third round pick in each draft. The third round is generally where they draft players in positions that will have openings the following year. Additionally, all the PSU defenders were coached in 2023 by McDermotts close friend Manny Diaz of which we have drafted three former players.
Other players that fit the mold: S Jaylen Reed, S Billy Bowman, LB Chris Paul Jr., G Charles Grant
Pick 169 - Arian Smith, WR, Georgia
The fifth round is where the Bills top 30 visits become more relevant again. Twice has a top 30 visit been selected in the fifth round. In addition, Georgia is tied for the second most selections in the Beane regime - 3 times - each time being an offensive player. In addition to being a deep threat (with terrible hands), Smith is excellent on special teams which will be needed to make the roster.
Pick 170 and 173 - DT Cam Jackson/CB Jason Marshall Jr/ LB Shemar James/WR Elijhah Badger
Florida is the team that the Bills have drafted the most players from with 4 selections since 2019. They have an intriguing DT, CB, LB and deep threat/kick returning WR in this draft
Pick 177 and 206 - CB “Ice” Waxter/ WR Keandre Lambert-Smith/WR Monaray Baldwin
8 of 12 sixth round picks since 2018 have been used on either DBs or WRs. With another Villanova DB available late and a need for speedy receivers, it may go this type of way.
Commentary:This is certainly not my ideal mock draft (I’ll add that to the mock draft thread the morning of the draft) and from pick 62 on I could have included many other alternate players. This is just trying to look at the past to predict the future as best as possible in the wacky world of the draft. If you have noticed any other tendencies I did not mention, please let me know.
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With the 8th pick, the Carolina Panthers select Jalon Walker, EDGE, Georgia
The Panthers are in the market for a defensive leader and get one with Walker. A bit of a tweener Carolina will use him primarily as a pass rusher where he generated pressure on 17% of his rushes (10th in FBS). As a bonus they get to bring the high upside local kid home.
The Saints and @Mike in Horseheads are now on the clock
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49 minutes ago, LLCoolCy said:
Adam Schefter released his Monday Draft notes and had one Bills mentioned that I haven't even seen discussed the past month...
"UCLA linebacker Carson Schwesinger, projected by many as a Day 2 pick, has a chance to go in the end of Round 1 to a team such as the Commanders (No. 29) or Bills (No. 30) that might be be looking for additional defensive help."
Going LB in the first would be create some content.
Tony Pauline had the same comment in two different articles a week or two ago. I’d be pretty shocked but it is definitely out there that we like him
What do we do in Rd 2?
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
WR: Tory Horton, Kyle Williams, Elic Ayomanor, Tre Harris, Jalen Noel, Jalen Royals, Luther Burden
DT: TJ Sanders, Josh Farmer, Darius Alexander, CJ West, if none of them wait till day 3
DE: Scourton, Landon Jackson, Ezeiruaku, Swinson, Kennard, Sai’vion Jones
LB: Carson Shweisenger. If not him wait till day 3
RB: Treyveon Henderson. if not him wait till day 3
s: Xavier Watts, if not him wait till day 3