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TPS

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Everything posted by TPS

  1. the other side of the coin, Carolina knows the best way to attack McD's D.
  2. Happy birthday Scott!
  3. Currently only one team has gained more yards than the Bills in week one, KC. And the Jets' D is above average.
  4. The yardage indicated a more lopsided game. Without the int and missed fg, it would've shown up on the scoreboard. Good start. Better test for the D next week to see what we have.
  5. they should've put a higher tender on hogan, but if backup RBs are a dime a dozen, why put the higher price tag that no one would've taken? As Whaley said, they got R5 pick for a guy they took off the street...
  6. i wonder how the genius is feeling now about trading chandler jones for a guard?
  7. i don't now, he looked (footwork) pretty awkward on the right side, so it may take awhile before it becomes a little more natural for him. He'd certainly improve the run game, but then they'd have to give him help in pass pro, which limits your options a bit. Hope he's working on it in his sleep...
  8. that was a case of not wanting to pay big bucks for a cover corner that's not a necessity in McD's system. Gilmore has a reputation as a hard worker who studies a lot of film.
  9. Yes, thanks for informing us that Dareus is a problem...never would've guessed...
  10. Kind of funny, Sal C just tweeted a link to his latest article, saying "here's another free article on WGR..."
  11. It looks like their #1 weakness is lack of an effective pass rush. The Run D was average too. As for KC, I think the Bills will look like that in another year or two.
  12. It all comes down to my last point, politics. If one acknowledges that we are constrained by resources, not money, then we have to answer questions about where to direct those resources by government spending more money: bombs or healthcare? We could print the money to fund future obligations of SS and Medicare, but we wouldn't have enough resources to create the output to satisfy the financial claims (money) created (inflation would be the result). For me, the real problem with MMT is the political hurdle to accept that government does not need to borrow to spend. Once you get to that point, then the issues of how to put those resources to work, to what extent should government be involved, etc. come into play. And, absolutely, what you spend on has different impacts on long run growth. And remember, government isn't printing paper when it spends; the Fed is electronically crediting the demand deposit of those who receive the spending. The spending is inflationary only if we can't produce more goods (real resources) to meet the increased spending.
  13. Magox, If you left "MMT" out of your post, the argument doesn't change at all. In other words, the end of the $ as reserve currency will happen regardless of whether we accept MMT or not. When will china, Japan, et al decide to no longer hold US treasuries? A few other things. As I've said, taxes are also necessary to transfer purchasing power from the private sector to government. While MMT focuses on money, any good MMTer will emphasize real resources as the ultimate constraint on production and growth. We are getting closer to the point where additional claims by the government will be inflationary if not accompanied by a reduction of private sector claims (taxes). Our current system of government finance operates as MMT claims, however we don't actively use it as Abba Lerner suggested through his theory of functional finance published in 1943, before any current MMTers were born. He stated we could use fiscal policy to achieve full employment (or reduce inflation) by increased deficit spending. The treasury should sell bonds to the extent they satisfy investor appetites, then print money to "fund" the difference. If inflation is the worry, then reduce deficits through higher taxes and lower spending. Note, the important idea is that deficits should be counter-cyclical, declining (and even in surplus) when at full employment, and rising when the economy slows. With the right set of policies, the deficit and debt would remain at sustainable levels over time. There are of course problems. How do you actively manage the federal budget? You certainly don't want to be constantly toying with tax rates. It can manage demand-side inflation only. Relatedly, if we pursued a policy of full employment, then it would strengthen labor's bargaining position over time, and we certainly can't have workers getting uppity and demanding higher pay... At the heart of MMT, and questions of fiscal policy in general, is political control of the economy To the benefit of a particular class.
  14. as I said, the ability of government to impact an economy via deficits depends on the availability of real resources, labor and physical capital. The US operates at around 80% of its physical capacity, so its resource constraint is usually availability of labor. Zimbabwe may have excess labor, but no excess physical capital. It would be silly to compare similar policy impacts on those two countries.No one said the CB creates wealth; deficits inject additional demand into the economy. Anything that raises current demand and output stimulates current economic growth. The deficit also provides the "money" to the private sector necessary to purchase the bonds that "finance" the deficits.
  15. it might be wise to wait and see how this season unfolds before you start worrying about those things...
  16. Since it will be tough to run against the Jets front, if Tyrod shows the Bills can win through the air when they need to, I will be encouraged.
  17. I think we've been through all economic topics before and before that.... The accounting identity from national income accounts: (S-I)=(G-T) + NX Each ( ) measures the sector's annual surplus or deficit: any sector that spends more than its income is borrowing from the other sectors. Simplify and assume NX=0. A government deficit of $100 (G>T) means S>I by $100, a private sector (business + households) surplus. Government's deficit creates $100 in financial wealth (government bonds) for the private sector. This annual flow has nothing to do with productivity, but it does increase the demand for goods and services, increasing sales. The identity doesn't claim causality. Government actions can influence private sector balances, and private sector actions can influence the government's budget. Two examples: the housing bubble increased borrowing for mortgages and HELOCs, putting the private sector into deficit, but that stimulated a lot of economic activity, driving down the unemployment rate and generating a lot of tax revenue, reducing government's deficit; after the crisis, the tax revenue effect went in reverse, and along with the Obama stimulus, trillion dollar deficits helped turn private sector deficits into huge surpluses.
  18. Jets still have a very good run D, so it will depend on the O-line giving TT enough protection. Being at home, I think the Bills can score 20. I'll guess the Jets will score 16. The McDermott era begins with a W.
  19. That is the Austrian perspective which is similar to saying "of course government can print money." Government can't create wealth, but it can stimulate wealth creation. The radical implication of MMT goes against their belief. Yes, if government spending = its taxes, there's no net wealth creation, it's simply a transfer of resources (as I said). HOwever, as long as there are unemployed resources, spending in excess of taxes (deficits) generate surpluses (wealth) for the private sector (ignoring the foreign sector for simplicity). The traditional belief is that government has to borrow first, then spend, which supports the belief that it's taking resources from the private sector. MMT shows that government spending first creates the income (and bank reserves) necessary to then "fund" the bonds it is required to sell to "finance" its deficit. It's a radical notion that irks those who hate government intervention, unless you're a defense contractor....
  20. With so few WRs, the TEs will have to if the Bills are going to have any success. I think they are also key to Dennison's O. Thomas could be interesting as he gets more experience over the season. He's kind of a hybrid TE/WR. Almost any D against the Jets O is a good choice. Enjoy the opener!
  21. yes, they will be a tough test for the Bills' O, since it's our strength (running game) against their strength (run D). The teams that will beat the Jets handily, are the ones with good passing attacks. I think Clay will be key in this game.
  22. always got a kick out of the laughing Spaniard (Dias?) at the end of Fool. There are a lot of underrated songs on Thrill. Brooklyn felt like a hauntingly lovely ballad. Always wanted to ride along with the midnight cruiser, and kings had some good guitar work. That said, it's hard to put another one of their albums below it...
  23. i addressed some of the problems with those critiques, and I suggested that you read some of the comments to two of those articles in order to read others' critiques. If you think there is a valid criticism in those, point them out and I'd be happy to address it. That said, I think there are valid criticisms of some positions taken by some MMTers, but the overall explanation for government financing is correct. Personally, I see it as just a resurrection of Abba Lerner's theory of "functional finance."
  24. the first year is about culture change, which will be really important with all the rookies coming in next year.
  25. Krugman is a trade theorist who doesn't understand the basics of money and banking. See the comments to krugman's article by Scott Fulwiler (an mmter) and jkh.
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