
The Frankish Reich
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UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
The Frankish Reich replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Very well said. The constant thing gnawing at me: in order to get to this point, the US and even Israel have gone all in on the Saudis as the lesser of two evils. (In reality, it appears the Trump believes there is nothing evil at all about them.) Evil or not, have we overestimated the stability of that regime? Has anyone taken a close look at the ridiculous projects they've been funding while the oil money continues to shower down on them? Granted, the Saudi feudal rulers may well continue in place for long while - maybe even a generation or even two - but when it all ends it won't end pretty. -
https://www.startribune.com/a-devout-christian-with-failed-ambitions-and-an-arsenal-of-firearms-chooses-war/601375444 As usual, the mainstream media has done a far better job than the crackpot right (or left) at explaining the unexplainable. (Paywalled, but you all know how to removepaywall…) Kind of a lifelong loser, moving between bouts of religious fervor and cockamamie grandiose plans vs. nice guy introversion. I’m no psychiatrist but “bipolar” springs to mind. Not as sexy as a USAID modern MK-Ultra Manchurian Walzer, but a lot simpler and more credible.
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I've asked myself that question many times. It just got to be a really popular "lifestyle" destination in the 2010s. Lots of newcomers (I've been about 25 years) with the pace increasing straight up thru COVID. Along with the influx of young/educated people came businesses relocating here. The same phenomenon as Austin, and now SLC. It is somewhat self-correcting though. Denver clearly now has a rep as a high cost of living location and we're seeing net out-migration. Watch out Orlando, it's coming for you! If you're a homeowner and don't need to move, you'll be cashing in someday ...
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UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
The Frankish Reich replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
So let me play devil's advocate here for a moment. (I'll note that I don't disagree with seizing the moment to take out Iran's nuclear program, as long as the Admin officials who were sent out to say "this is not about regime change" are right.) What does "energy independence" or "energy dominance" (in Trump's usage) get us? If it isn't about getting involved in the Middle East or choosing sides in the Iran-Saudi proxy war, what is it about? Why is it an important goal if we are still - for whatever reason - going to pay undue attention on a region that is otherwise pretty marginal to the world (and specifically US) economy? -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
The Frankish Reich replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
A big step back. 1970s. The common wisdom: the geographic coincidence that most of the world's usable oil is located under unstable monarchies in the Middle East forces the US to be involved in all kinds of otherwise local disputes that we'd rather not be part of. The dream: U.S. Energy Independence. That will free us from having to be involved in a region of ancient hatreds and poor governance. 2010s: the shale oil boom that had been anticipated since the 1970s finally becomes reality as fracking technology takes off. We are genuinely energy (at least oil/gas) independent! I guess we can disengage from these ancient disputes, right? That seems to be a big motivator for Trump voters, right? No. I guess not. -
UPDATE: ISRAEL v IRAN - Ceasefire reached?
The Frankish Reich replied to Big Blitz's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I suspect you're right. And I really hope you're right. -
How this works on a very local level: We had a local golf course in Denver on kind of marginal land adjacent to I-70. The area started to gentrify. The people of Denver didn't want a big residential/commercial development there, so the City purchased a "perpetual conservation easement" from the owners for $2 million. The easement restricted the land to use as a public recreational amenity; basically, only a golf course fit the bill. The owners then said it wasn't viable as a golf course. They shut it down and let it become an eyesore. Developers lobbied ($$$) the City Council for a ballot proposition to eliminate the "conservation easement" so the land could be developed. Voters shot it down. By now it was pretty clear that the people simply didn't want more development there. The developers didn't give up. A developer bought the golf course (still subject to the conservation easement) for a bargain basement price of $24 million. If the easement was removed, it's easily worth 20 or more times that. And guess what? Another ballot proposition. This time they "greenwashed" it, claiming that an infill project would be good for the climate and for poorer Denverites who need more housing. The City Council ($$$) agreed. Get that zoning/easement changed and the developer has just made maybe $100 million through lobbying/rent-seeking behavior. It lost again. Finally the city gave up. You apparently can't bs your voters 3X. It'll now be some kind of public park. That's how the developers work. We need to sell marginal BLM/USFS land to ease the housing crunch. But that land can't be used for housing because it's too far away from population centers and/or has no water rights. Never mind. We'll fix that later through more lobbying ($$$), then we'll make real money.
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Agreed. And just because it's federal land doesn't mean it's undisturbed wilderness. The old joke is that BLM stands for Bureau of Livestock and Mining. And here in Colorado all major ski resorts are located on leased Forest Service land. Is the system rational? No. Is the taxpayer getting rents that reflect the true market value? No. Would it be better if we sold off the land to the highest bidder? In theory. But my experience with land use in the West is that the truth is there is no free/open market and that developer or mining interests always seem to win out and get a sweetheart deal. Add to that the scarcity of water and multiple claims for water rights and I don't think we're at a point where larger scale land sales would benefit the American people.