Bocephuz

good stuff. here's a breakdown i did on one of his preseason performances a few months ago. https://buildingherd.com/2018/08/14/breaking-down-rookie-lg-wyatt-tellers-2nd-quarter-preseason-vs-carolina-gifs-included/ I think there's a lot of potential there. I had high hopes for John Miller's comeback but they've been dashed at this point. Put in the kid and let him get some experience

good catch Gunner... I didn't notice that. Either way.. whoever is at RT Sunday looks like they're vulnerable to power rushers

Sal Capaccio said Shaq is practicing.. so let's hope he's almost 100% because if he is he may have a field day Getting bull rushed into qb twice in one half would qualify as a bad game to me...

i added another one where he is pushed back again into Rodger's face I found a few plays later...

I've been watching coaches tape of GB/Skins game. Bulaga may be the weak link... Trent Murphy needs to eat his Wheaties and just bull rush Bulaga all day.

agreed.. need to see that approach week in week out

thanks

one thing I know for sure Tony Romo > Phil Simms. thank god Simms and his dumb Texas accent is gone from color commentary

yeah..helps to be 6’5’’ too

i agree.. i jumped out of my chair watching that live. .. it was a revelation.He’s tall and strong enough to flick that ball 30 yards over the rusher in his face to the perfect spot. Holmes and Benjamin are just too awkward to consistently make those plays. That’s the kind of throw Aaron Rodgers makes routinely. ( not that Im crowning JA the next Rodgers.. ).. just saying it takes a certain mentality and physicality to execute that throw he takes a good hit on that one too... I’ll be the first to admit I was not happy with Bills drafting Allen over Rosen.. thought he was way too raw. This Vikes game shows he has the capability to learn quickly and immediately put those learnings to work. I sure hope the trend continues.

i think that one “what no to do@ was against a 4 man rush so as it wasn’t a blitz i didn’t include it in analysis

updated so gifs work now hah.. smearing balls?? yeah he improved handling the blitz pretty good but definitely needs to work on ball security

as always... comments welcome (photo credit: Getty Images/Hannah Foslien) Could Josh Allen show incremental improvement in dealing with the blitz in week 3 after looking rough in weeks 1 and 2? Would he be able to not only avoid the sack.. but make the Viking's D back off by burning them for taking risks? To determine his success rate we broke down 7 plays in the first half where Minnesota sent 1, 2 or 3 extra defenders to rattle the rookie QB. Each play is graded as one of the following: LOSS - Minnesota's pressure results in a sack or non threatening attempt by the QB WIN - Buffalo QB acts decisively and his actions result in positive yards or an attempt that would make the D think twice about sending same pressure next time DRAW - Buffalo QB acts decisively against the blitz but doesn't execute __ ____ ____ In last week's breakdown Bills/LA Wk 2: All-22 OLine/Qb Unforced Error Analysis we analyzed Josh Allen and the O Line's peformance against the Chargers. In that game Allen had several unforced errors atrributed to either not correctly identifying a blitz that was coming or not being decisive in trying to make LA pay for sending extra men. Decisiveness can manifest itself in several ways... getting the ball out quickly, running into the void when appropriate. In short.. he was generally passive against the extra pressue dialed up and never made the Chargers think twice about taking the risk of blitzing. So.. lets see if he learned anything from the previous week by watching 7 plays from the 1st half against the Vikes .and then tally up the scorecard. BREAKDOWN WITH CLIPS q1: 14:18 - Vikings send 6 on blitz. The Min defender in the 2 gap blocks down on Bodine to create lane for the stunting DE initially lined up over Ducasse. Murphy does nice job picking up the stunting DE but Bodine stays on his double team too long and Allen is sacked. Allen really had no chance on this play to get rid of it. RESULT = LOSS - OLine to blame for Sack ____ _____ Q1 7:31 - Min sends 7 on a jailbreak blitz. Allen takes quick drop.. plants and throws a decisive strike to KB on a slant getting the ball out quickly and not being affected by pressure. RESULT : WIN - Vikes should've been burned with a TD here ( unfortunately KB drops it) ___ ____ Q1 2:05 - Vikes send 5, Allen makes good decision to scramble for 10 yards to burn the blitz (and does his Air Jordan impression.. not such a good decision but pretty freaking cool to watch). The key here is that as soon as he hits his drop he is decisive. When done at the appropriate time running can be a good blitz breaker. RESULT: WIN - Turning a blitz into a first down ____ _____ Q2 3:05 - Min sends 5, notice the delayed A Gap blitz by # 55. Allen stands tall with free blitzer bearing down on him and throws tight window crossing route to Holmes. RESULT: WIN - As we can see the O line does a good job of picking up pass rushers.. its on Allen here to beat the free man #55 and he does that by making a decisive throw (rather than bailing out or taking a sack... he makes a ballsy throw.. good to see) ____ __ Q2 8:19 - MIN sends 6, Allen hits 3 step drop and gets rid of ball quickly blind back shoulder pass to KB. RESULT: WIN - Allen gets the ball out on schedule to beat the blitz before receiver turns around trusting KB to come back and get it (which he does) ___ _ Q2 7:44 - Min sends 5, Allen climbs the pocket to avoid the rush (good) .. however he overthrows KB who is one on one (not good). RESULT: DRAW - ___ Q2 7:34 Below is an example of Allen sensing the blitz, hanging tough, getting the ball out quickly and throwing it up for grabs so his WR can have a chance to make a play. The Vikes are sending 5 here. John Miller is beaten badly and #17 has a man coming right in his face. Allen is not waiting for his receiver to get open.. he knows he has one on one coverage and his receiver Holmes has a better shot of coming down with it than the CB does. This is OUTSTANDING. Very few Bills QBs have had the confidence, stature or smarts to attempt these type of throws. Not only did Allen avoid the sack.. but he got the ball out quickly gave his WR a chance to make a 20 yard gain. RESULT : WIN - Vikes were inches away from giving up 20 yd pass FINAL RESULTS LOSS - 1 WIN - 5 DRAW - 1 To summarize Josh Allen effectively attacked the blitz 5 out of 7 times in the first half. The one loss was more on the O Line than on #17. The one draw that was an overthrow was a mix of good behavior/bad technique. __ __ CONCLUSION Folks... if Josh Allen can effectively attack blitzes sent his way over 70% of the time going forward it's going to be a hell of a ride. Back shoulder throws.. tight window throws.. not bailing from the pocket in the face of a blitz... all good stuff. Bills fans have not seen this kind of aggressive confident play in years. Orton and Fitzy had their moments but neither had the athleticism that Josh Allen has. There's a lot of football left.. and maybe this was a fluke.. but if Josh Allen can develop and consistently demonstrate winning habits to beat NFL blitzes like he did against the Vikes last week the Bills may finally have a "real" qb.

After rewatching gamepass Groy was main reason for Allen sack in 2nd half when he fumbled. He pretty much whiffed on the DT who was in Allen’s face immediately. ( sack was on Groy/ fumble on Allen being careless to be clear)

good to see they were open to changing it up to more downhill blocking in 2nd half. im fine with 3 yards and a cloud of dust.

point taken. sufficient is my bar..

Run blocking was out of the scope of my analysis here.. only focused on pass protect I showed one example each of MIller and Groy being beaten.. but there were many other plays where they were sufficiently blocking that factored into decent grade I specifically showed clips of the RBs and TEs not doing their job...

yeah.. I saw Groy whiff on one of the run cut blocks. I miss the old Roman power man blocking. Is it this play? I think I scored that one as a pass attempt and a sack. Its pretty obvious to me they're trying to run PA there. I can't really put that one on Josh Allen. Logan Thomas whiffs on his block.. I have to believe Thomas' first job was to block his guy on this one and not run a route

Thanks.. . Throws Not Under Duress - I think its a case by case thing. I think on the shorter roll out throws like with DeMarco and the one he missed to Murray he is overthinking and trying to take too much off the ball which is unnatural for him. EJ used to do that on a lot of throws. I'd have to rewatch to see if it was any particular technique on those rollout throws.. my instinct tells me it is nerves more than specific technique. A lot of other quarterbacks execute those throws from crazy arm angles/ awkard feet position just fine. I think some of the other inaccurate intermediate throws are mostly due to him not gettng the ball out on time and in rhythm. He is waiting a beat to long and trying to rocket it in instead of anticipating and leading his receiver. Interested to see the run game breakdown.

yeah.. im sort of shocked that Mills is playing as well as he is but the tape don’t lie great question.. pass protection only. evaluating run blocking too confusing for me to attempt

updated with content pasted into post... flame away:)

Bocephuz is back https://buildingherd.com/2018/09/21/bills-la-wk-2-all-22-oline-qb-unforced-error-analysis/

Article on unforced errors.. bad throws/ How did the O Line do?/ What mistakes are on the O-Line.. what ones are not? I watched the NFL rewind all 22 and here is my unofficial count of how the O-Line did / How the QB did on every pass play (I may have missed a snap or two here or there). There also may be a few extra pass attempts that were cancelled due to penalties but this should be 95% accurate. I've also posted this on buildingherd.com.. see link below https://buildingherd.com/2018/09/21/bills-la-wk-2-all-22-oline-qb-unforced-error-analysis As always.. let's hear your comments/thoughts. Bills/LA Wk 2: All-22 OLine/Qb Unforced Error Analysis Date: September 21, 2018Author: cfuller0 Comments — Edit Unforced errors.. bad throws/ How did the O Line do?/ What mistakes are on the O-Line.. what ones are not? I watched the NFL rewind all 22 and here is my unofficial count of how the O-Line did /How the QB did on every pass play (I may have missed a snap or two here or there). There also may be a few extra pass attempts that were cancelled due to penalties but this should be 95% accurate. Sufficient protection means that Josh Allen had time to hit his drop and had at least a second to scan the field. DISCLAIMER (I am not a coach, I don’t know the hot reads or route combinations called.. this is just my educated perception of what happened on each pass play) _______ ______________________ TOTAL PASS PLAYS: 40 LINE BREAKDOWNS: 8/40 snaps – 20% In other words Allen didn’t really have a chance on 20% of his drop backs. Based on historical data the threshold for average O Line performance has been around a 20% breakdown rate.. so lets say the O Line play (including TEs../RBs more on that later) was right at average against LA in pass protect. SUFFICIENT PROTECTION: 32- 40 snaps or 80%. In other words QB had a relatively clean pocket 80% of the time. UNFORCED QB ERRORS: 10/40 snaps or 25%. Based on my 2015/16 studies if the Bills’ QBs commit 5 unforced QB errors or less during a game their odds of winning are very favorable. Josh Allen had 10 unforced errors by my count. This is well above the danger zone. As we will see later.. some of these unf errors were not picking up blitzes and throwing to hot routes. Some were just plain off target throws where he was not under duress. O LINE PERFORMANCE DION DAWKINS – had a really solid day. By my observation there were no obvious pressures given up by DD. VLAD DUCASSE – I’ve been hard on Vlad the past few months but he was OUTSTANDING in pass protect against LA. To my eye he did not give up any pressures. RYAN GROY– Groy was much better this week than against Ravens. However.. he had one obviously bad play where he did not sustain his block .. which indirectly led to an Allen INT JOHN MILLER – Miller had a bit of a rough start (giving up a sack early as shown below) but he rallied to play much better as the game went on. q1:11:32 -Early in the first quarter #76 is slow to pick up the safety blitz resulting in a sack which Allen had no chance to avoid JORDAN MILLS – Mills was generally solid against a very tough matchup against Melvin Ingram. He did a good job of handling Ingram on wide speed rushes which is usually his Achilles’ heel. On the downside, he did have an inexcusable false start penalty in Q3 and was also bull rushed into Allen later in the game. O LINE PASS BLOCK GRADES DION DAWKINS – B VLAD DUCASSE– A RYAN GROY – B- JOHN MILLER – B- JORDAN MILLS – B- TE AND RB BLOCKING ISSUES- While the O Line held up well enough.. it was another story for the Tight Ends and RBs in pass protect. Both Logan Thomas and Marcus Murphy had moments where they were exposed in pass protect q1: 8:43 – Logan Thomas lines up a little to wide after going into motion and whiffs on blitzer q1: 1:17 – Marcus Murphy shows poor technique and is overpowered by the blizting CB JOSH ALLEN UNFORCED ERRORS – By my count JA had 10 unforced errors. Several of these were inaccurate throws where he was not under duress. Hopefully this was due more to nerves than an innate innacuracy problem. Several other unforced errors were situations where the o line picked up the pass rushers but #17 didn’t appear to account for the unblocked blitzer and therefore didn’t hit his hot route. There was one instance where he could have stepped up into the pocket to avoid the rush but instead bailed left and into the arms of a DE. The good news is.. it appears that Allen’s natural instinct is to shuffle up into the pocket to avoid a rush. The really good news is that he climbed the pocket for his two best throws at the end of the game in a pressured situation. NOT GOING THROUGH HIS READS Q1 3:44 – Allen does a nice PA fake here freezing second level defenders, he has time is looking deep but doesn’t go all the way through his progressions as he does not see Charles Clay wide open to his left -NOT CLIMBING THE POCKET Q2: 15:00 – The pocket closes in on Allen .. however.. he has a window in front of him to climb the pocket to avoid pressure. Unfortunately he bails out to the left into the waiting arms of the DE CLIMBING THE POCKET Q4: 1:22 – Here is a clip showing Allen climbing the pocket and finding success. This one should give Bills fans butterflies… SACK BLAME The O Line/ TEs RBs appeared to be accountable for 2/6 of the sacks Allen appeared to be accountable for 3/6 of the sacks The Chargers 1/6 : They had one blitz late in the game that was a masterpiece where neither Allen nor the O Line appeared to be at blame GAME SUMMARY The O Line was definetly not the weak link against the Chargers. This is especially impressive as the Chargers blitzed on almost every passing down up until the 4th quarter. For the most part the O Line appeared to pick up the right man on these blitzes. There were multiple times where there was an extra defender that a lineman or RB/TE were not around to pick up and these are the plays where the QB is accountable for that free blitzer. Hopefully Allen will learn to recognize these situations and either audible out.. or hit a hot route to burn these blitzes. As these are high level skills that take a while to develop for most QBs you can expect the Vikings and other future opponents to bring the kitchen sink against #17 until he can show he can counter it. Allen was effective several times running to counter the blitz.. however.. that will not always be an option for him in those free blitzer situations. I also did not see any holding calls on the Bills O Lineman in pass protect. which is a huge step forward from the Ravens game. That being said Mills and Dawkins had inexcusable False Start penalties. All in all though.. the O Line did a great job cleaning up the dirty laundry compared to week 1. A more obvious weak link were the inexperienced players TE Thomas and RB Murphy who both struggled to effectively pass protect. Again.. with young players comes growing pains but if these two continue to play poorly in pass protect it will be hard for Daboll to trust them and put them in the lineup going forward. So.. in order for the Bills to make progress on offense they need to improve in several areas Allen needs to relax and reduce inaccurate throws when not under duress TEs/RBs need to step up their game in pass protect Allen needs to get better at recognizing unaccounted for blitzers and find a way to make positive play out of situations Allen needs to continue to climb the pocket when he can instead of bailing left or right. With his height he should be able to do the Tom Brady shuffle and stay in the pocket more. __ _____ SIGNIFICANT PLAYS q1 11:32 – SACK – John Miller late getting to S blitz that appeared to be his responsibility q1 8:43- SACK – Logan Thomas whiffs on blocking his assignment q1 3:44- UNFORCED ERROR – Allen nice PA fake, has time , doesn’t see open Charles Clay Q1 1:23- UNFORCED ERROR – Allen rolls left and overthrows easy short pass to Murphy Q1 1:17- Marcus Murphy overpowered by CB blitz forcing Allen to throw early q2 15:00 – UNFORCED ERROR – Allen has a window to climb the pocket to avoid pass rush but bails left into arms of DE q2 1:05 – FALSE START – Dion Dawkins q2 :59- SACK – UNFORCED ERROR – Allen does not account for unblocked #54 .. should have likely gone hot route to McCoy in flat.. takes sack q3: 12:35- Allen does excellent job running to avoid the free blitzer picking up solid gain instead of taking sack q3 11:15- UNFORCED ERROR – Allen rolls right in red zone, has Clay open on out route in end zone but hesitates and throws too late incomplete q3 6:58- SACK – UNFORCED ERROR — Allen does not see blitz coming.. should’ve have likely identified it and thrown hot route to Jones in flat q3 5:45 – UNFORCED ERROR – Allen has time but delivers inaccurate throw to Holmes on sideline behind him which is dropped q3 2:54- UNFORCED ERROR – Groy can’t hold his block and his man flushes Allen out of the pocket. Allen runs right .. should’ve thrown ball away OOB but forces it and throws INT q4 7:11 – FALSE START – Jordan Mills q4 -7:11 – UNFORCED ERROR – INT – Allen has time in his own end zone, noone open, should’ve thrown it away but forces pass that is intercepted q4 2:58 – Mills bullrushed into Allen forcing him out of pocket q4 1:55 – SACK – Masterfully disguised blitz by LA.. can’t really blame this on O Line or Allen q4: 1:22- Allen climbs dirty pocket and throws 25 yd strike into tight window to Holmes q4 – Allen again hangs in pocket and throws bullet to Benjamin in end zone for TD

thanks . it was fun to watch guys like him who have a mean streak