BarleyNY
-
Posts
10,514 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by BarleyNY
-
-
38 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
The way I see it, however is that everyone's draft boards look different. And the deeper it gets in the draft the more variance there will be.
So, say there are those 150 "draftable players" out there. I'm sure there there is somewhat of a consensus on who the top 50-75 are.
Then you would have teams looking more into specific things. Scheme, positions of need, impressions on any interactions they have had, and even just difference in scouting grades on a team by team basis. So out of that backend 75 players it may involve a pool of 100-150 guys that are draftable to some team but not others.
That would be more like a typical draft. The way I understood it, the NFL as a whole would usually have about 250 or so prospects with a 7th round or better grade on them. This year it’s more like 150.
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Doc Brown said:
If they trade him it’s only a 5.7m dead dollar cap hit. If they can’t find a partner it’s 11.1m dead dollar cap hit when they release him. Don’t let them off the hook.
This is a huge issue. The new team would be taking on $5.5M in guaranteed salary and roster bonus (due at training camp) for Wilson. No one will do that unless they get more in picks back than they give (i.e. Osweiler trade). The Jest are going to have to eat most of that to get some team to take him off their hands for a swap of 7th round picks.
-
1
-
-
12 minutes ago, Big Turk said:
Seems like more and more kids are staying in college instead of declaring early...this year there were only 58 underclassmen who declared for the draft this year. Last year there were 82. In 2019, before the NIL deals were allowed 135 declared...
Caleb Williams reportedly made $10 million in endorsement and NIL deals the past 2 years at USC, meaning overall in his first 4 years in the NFL, he will be taking a slight PAYCUT to play(not factoring in endorsement/commercial deals, which could push him over that). Williams will make a little over $38.5 million over the first 4 years if he is selected #1 overall as he is expected to be. If he doesn't get taken 1st overall, every pick beneath that his money starts to dwindle. If he isn't top 5, he will make under $30 million his first 4 seasons total.
This is for the #1 player on most boards...now imagine a player who has a good NIL deal that might only be a 2nd or 3rd round pick but is a huge deal in college where he plays...he could easily make more playing college football than he does in the NFL. Crazy to think about, but NIL deals could be hurting the talent pool in the draft as more kids decide to stay in college.
Thanks for the link and thread. I heard that NIL (and to a lesser extent the last of the Covid impact) has diluted this draft class immensely and that there are only about 150 players in this class that would be drafted in a typical year. That means that everyone beyond that is a UDFA level player. The Bills have picks 28, 60, 99, 129, 159, 162, 192, 198, 206 & 246. So as it stands they have 4 valuable picks, 2 picks with borderline draftable player value and 4 picks for priority FAs. Obviously utilizing picks beyond 150 in trade ups, player trades and future year picks would be wise, although there might be less opportunity for that than usual. It's worth keeping in mind the diminished value of those picks when trades happen.
-
1
-
-
Just now, Bleeding Bills Blue said:
That isn't really his job though. Why are you criticizing the coach for decisions made by the GM?
Who has the final say in those decisions is still an open question. I think it’s McDermott, but the Bills won’t divulge the information. My reasoning is that McDermott was not only hired first, but waited until after Beane’s contract ran out with Carolina (post draft) rather than hire him immediately. At the time a promotion to a position with final control over the roster would have kept Carolina from blocking Beane from interviewing. (Rules have since changed.)
-
1
-
-
24 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:
The funniest part is most folks can get access to these services for free or deep discounts through their cell phone provider.
I get free Netflix and Apple TV with my Tmobile account.
Verizon cell customers can get a Netflix/Max bundle for $10/month total. They also offer the Disney Bundle (Disney+, Hulu, and ESPN+) for $10/month (instead of regular $20/month) which would get you access to these articles.
Just gotta look for deals.
No, the funniest part is that some people are arguing that Mel Kuiper’s draft has any value at all. It should be free because it’s worthless. And, yes, I’ve seen it. I have ESPN+ included with another service I pay for. I would never actually pay for ESPN+.
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Einstein said:
I dont think he makes it to our pick, but yes i'd love him in Buffalo.
I think he is going to be a Bengal.I think that’s his floor in this draft. He could legit go in the top 15.
-
1
-
-
24 minutes ago, Logic said:
Also of interest to me: The Chiefs players giving their team owner an F-.
F- !!!
Did the Hunt family personally slap the players' wives? Like...F- is BAD, man.I was also surprised by this.
-
1
-
-
On 2/26/2024 at 8:14 AM, SoCal Deek said:
What I read in McDs comments is that he is out of ideas. Feels to me like his strategy is to go another season hoping our opponent screws up at our time of need.
No. He’s out of other people to blame. He’d already fired all of his coordinators prior, so now all he has left is to blame it on bad luck. The alternative would be to actually take real accountability himself.
-
2
-
2
-
-
11 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:
I’ve got no idea MRI story….and who it involves… But Saleh should have got rid of Hardman immediately if he doesnt want to help the team out by filling in for an injured teammate… i think Saleh is a terrible head coach …and seems to have very little respect from the players …That’s exactly what Hardman wanted - and what the Jets did.
-
53 minutes ago, Augie said:
There is a reason they have all those rings.
OK, multiple reasons, and that’s what you need, everything to line up just right.
Multiple reasons that they have multiple rings. More often than not they make their own luck.
-
1
-
-
23 minutes ago, Aussie Joe said:
The tampering is one thing .. but that attitude is ridiculous..
The Jets are a garbage organization - and that’s a reflection of their owner. I don’t blame a player for sticking up for themselves if they are getting lied to and treated like crap. Good for him. I’ll remind everyone that the Jets used an old MRI to convince a player that he was healthy enough to play and would not further injure himself if he did. The more recent MRI showed that he was far more injured and that playing would put him at risk of further injury. Seriously, F the Jets.
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
-
I scrolled past this a couple nights ago and the wife blurted out "Oh my god! 4 Falls of Buffalo!" We have not watched it. Seems like something to punish my kids with if they get out of hand.
-
2
-
-
8 hours ago, SoCal Deek said:
Let’s see if I understand it:
The Team enters into a 4 year, $40 million contract with a player, but they agree to pay him only $5 million for each of the first two seasons instead of the $10 million it averages out to. If the two sides agree to either part ways or the player is cut, the Team still owes him the remaining $5m for each of those first two years, and therefore that remaining $10m would count against the next year's cap even though he’s no longer on the Team.
Not quite, it depends on the contract structure. For a contract that large there would be a signing bonus. So let’s look at a 4 year, $40M contract with the following structure: $10M signing bonus and salaries of $4M, $6m, $9.5M and $10.5 M. The cap hit associated with the signing bonus would be split among all 4 years. Here are the cap hits and cash payments:
Y1: $6.5M (salary + 1/4 of signing bonus) [$14M cash]
Y2: $8.5M [$6M cash, $20M total]
Y3: $12.0M [$9.5M cash, $29.5M total]
Y4: $13.0M [$10.5M cash, $40M total]
Now, let’s say the player gets cut in March of Y3. The caps hits would be thus:
Y1: $6.5M (salary + 1/4 of signing bonus) [$14M cash]
Y2: $8.5M [$6M cash, $20M total]
Y3: $5M (remainder of signing bonus) [$0 cash]
So it is easy to see why teams use signing and restructure bonuses to kick out cap hits. And why players like that.
-
Cincy hitting Higgins with the tag so quickly tells us that they won’t be signing him long term. He either gets traded or plays on it this season and walks next. Either is a win for the Bengals, though a trade is the more favorable. To the end they made sure to tag him before the combine, where potential deals can be discussed. Smart move on their part.
-
He is one of the obvious restructures. Nice to see it moving along.
-
1
-
-
It would depend a lot on how we got there.
-
1
-
-
Just heard McDermott reiterate that “Only one team gets to lift the Lombardi trophy.” and that “31 teams go home disappointed every season.” In addition to McDermott having said this multiple times already I’ve heard Beane say something similar this offseason. My unpopular opinion is that I hate hearing the leaders of the team say crap like this. It gives everyone an excuse for failure every season. Oh well, there’s 31 of us. <shrug> No big deal. I wonder how he’d have responded to Bass if, after missing the game tying kick, he said something like that?
-
1
-
-
3 hours ago, GunnerBill said:
And if Knox hadn't missed a third of the year with wrist surgery? Honestly the people using 2023 as proof that they were "right" on Dawson Knox are premature in the extreme.
Or if he hand not played a significant portion of the season with a broken wrist.
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, NoSaint said:
the issue isn’t the overall strategythe issue is doing it with bad players to go sign more bad players
This. If a team has an owner who has cash and is willing to spend it, then it is a sustainable model. But you have to spend on good players and then get out of their contracts by the time they aren’t anymore.
-
1 hour ago, Warriorspikes51 said:
This is really strange to me. Douglas is an impact player and made a big difference for us. Saying Elam and Benford are more athletic and therefore will start? Odd.
Douglas should be viewed as CB1 and let Benford and Elam compete for CB2.
I guess they also assumed Tre will no longer be with the team
A couple weeks ago I noticed that Tasker on 550 and some other media close to the Bills started pushing the narrative that the team “had to get younger”. I took that to mean that the team was going to move on from some of the bigger names. This was the team’s way of preparing the fan base for it so there’s be less of a backlash or uproar. This would fit.
-
8 minutes ago, I Am The Liquor said:
That is why it is my unpopular Bills opinion. In my heart of hearts, I actually believe we would have beat Cincy at home and beat the Rams in the bowl. The Bills offense was playing lights f#$king out that post season.
Okay, but it’s not like KC’s wasn't and they lost to Cincy. I’m not sure how unpopular it is either. I’ve read more posts like that than I can count. Every season it’s the same thing: “If x, y and/or z hadn’t happened, then we’d have won it all that year.” I’m not convinced. Pressure mounts throughout the playoffs and the Bills are yet to handle that well. I’ll give you this though, I think that it was their best opportunity for a championship.
-
2
-
1
-
-
On 2/23/2024 at 5:33 PM, Virgil said:
Something I've never understood, is when a deal can be re-worked without penalty vs a deal that creates dead money.
For example, let's just say Von Miller. Is there any way for them to throw out his old deal and sign him to a new 1 year deal? I feel like the answer is no, as the Saints proved with their ongoing plan to kick the can down the road. I also understand that the player needs to be on board for the new contract.
But overall, what are the rules with this? I keep hearing about deals where the old contract is essentially torn up, but I just don't get the logistics.
The first thing to understand is that every dollar teams pay a player must be accounted for on the salary cap.* So if the Bills were to rework Von’s contract they would still be on the hook for cap hits for what they’ve paid him but hasn’t been account for. Think about it this way: There’s a running total of how much a team pays a player. Eventually the cap hits must equal that total. There is no way around that.
*There are a few exceptions to this: 1) The Veteran Signing Benefit allows teams to give a small number of veteran players on vet minimum deals a small signing bonus that doesn’t hit the cap. 2) Cash that teams recoup from a player. 3) Salary forfeited by players who are suspended.
-
1
-
-
On 2/24/2024 at 11:19 AM, RangerDave said:
And yet, when the contract was announced, all of TSW was happy. No one said it was bad judgment at the time.
My opinion is the same now as it was then - a modest overpay. It was a four year, $52M extension, which is paying him $54.4M over 5 years. Is $13M AAV on the extension too much? I thought $10M AAV would have been more appropriate for his value, but at the same time some TEs were getting paid and Knox had great red zone production. So I can see how it got above that $10M AAV. A bit of an overpay, but nothing egregious IMO.
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, JimBob2232 said:
Leslie Fraser was actually a good defensive coordinator and got a raw deal.
Josh Allen vomiting before games is disgusting
Ranch is good with wings.
I don’t like ranch on my wings. Love a good blue cheese on them - and on the accompanying celery. It it absolutely the way to go. On this I am not flexible. But, oddly, I love wing dips that are made with ranch but never cared for the ones made with blue cheese. shrug
McDermott says a Lombardi is "not a matter of if, just a matter of when"
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Thanks for the info. It does seem like Beane been shopping with McDermott’s list. That fits with it being his show.