Astrobot

Another sunny day in Ra-Cha-Cha. I met @GIFF who was tweeting the whole practice, along with his son Christian, who really knows running backs; I picked his brain about the upcoming crop. His analysis of Karlos Williams was spot on: one-cut runner, great mass x acceleration, good complement to McCoy, runs too upright at times (heck, he even stands in the backfield too upright). Players out of the dressing room firstWoods and Hogan, Matt Cassel and O'Leary. Woods was walking over hurdles placed closely together (what a stretch hat gives your hamstrings and sartorius muscles), and Hogan was over at the JUGS machine with Andre Reed. Love that Andre is here, and this year. The WR class is too deep; some quality receivers are going to be looking for work. Watkins was next on the JUGs, occasionally playing (catching the passes one-handed, trying to catch and tip them into a waiting laundry basket), while Hogan had been all business. Session one: Calisthenics was done first both days so far. This is unlike any of the camps I've been to where teams would limber up with easy sessions first before stretching. I could see Carpenter and BJ Larsen on the sidelines. Ronald Darby eschewed the red knee sox for a much more conservative blue ankle sock, which relieves me. Session two was a kick drill while gunners worked at the other end of the field on beating double-teams. Bills special teams coach Danny Cross does a lot of running around and barking. Andrew Hudson LB seemed to get the most insturction. Corey Graham made an excellent hands catch of a punt. Tobais Palmer struggled to catch and run twice. Thigpen juggled one. I caught Jimmy Gaines not running full tilt. Session three featured RB screens left and right. Boobie Dixon is still in the mix, as his run after catch was beautiful. The QBs went on to do handoff fakes. Grading them, I'd put Tyrod's and Manuel's fakes above Cassel, and light years ahead of Simms. Tyrod did two fake handoffs and pretended to hide the ball, while EJ just executed two fake handoffs, neglecting to hide the ball at the end. Simms' fakes were too frantic and Cassel, whose fake handoffs were a strength in KC, was less-convincing. Advantage Tyrod by a hair. Goodwin's stock went down today for me. He ran the beginning of a fly route at less than top speed, then turned on the jets when he saw EJ's pass was further than he perhaps expected. He made the choice to run fast too late, and he missed. He was pissed. Watkins made a few graceful over-the-shoulder catches so effortless that it was like breathing. Andre Davis made a good catch, then ran the practice's most ugly route. Dexmin Lewis made a nice catch. Advantage: Watkins. Session four: We next looked at the four QBs, rating them on whether the ball came out early, late, on time, or best of that series. EJ got 3 "best" grades. Cassel got 2 "best" grades, and Tyrod got one "best" grade. Simms also got one "best" grade. Advantage: EJ. Next we watched how each QB evaded pressure in a sidestep drill. They did a drop, moved laterally, then stepped up to make the throw. EJ's passes were low, Cassel's were high, Tyrod's had no zip, and Simms' passes did. Advantage: Simms. The QBs did throwing on the run. Cassel is the most awkward at this. To no surprise, Tyrod was the best, but EJ was also pretty good. Advantage: Tyrod. When the QBs did a lot of throwing at the end of the session, we just gave them "good, best, bad, or WR dropped" grades. Manuel had 2 best, no dropped. Cassel had 2 best, 1 bad (behind the WR), Tyrod had 1 dropped, 1 best, and 2 bad passes, Simms had 0 best, one bad (behind the WR). Advantage: EJ. We then graded them by timing. Cassel had over 66% of his passes coming out before the WR made his break. EJ was close behind at 60%. Simms was third in this factor with one of his passes being thrown late. Tyrod was last, with three passes of poor timing, two late and one early. Advantage: Cassel, with EJ close behind. Session five: EJ was first with the ones today. The line was Glenn-Incognito-Wood-Miller-Kujo. Some highlights were an EJ long throw down the sidelines, bobbled by Hogan. The pass was in the right place but 7-11 mishandled it. Simms threw on the move to Andre Davis with perfect timing. Davis got both feet down before going out of bounds. Watkins made Gilmore look stupid on a sick move, then Darby returned the favor, making Woods catch an incompletion. We both felt that Darby is a clear winner out there. However, he'll need to keep asking the refs there at camp "Was that holding?" or we'll be dealing with it in games. It's right on the border of pass interference. HE showed good stuff against Justin Brown later, preventing a sure long pass. Brooks seems to get hurt on every play. He challenged Caleb Holley and came up rubing his shoulder. Later, we noticed him do it two more times. Dez Lewis showed some chutzpah going up with Aaron Williams on a successful deep pattern. I like him better today compared with yesterday's 2 drops. Cockrell got an INT on the next play against Hogan, who was better yesterday. Marcus Thigpen is having an insane camp, catching passes and hopefully his coaches' eyes. He deked Robey on a slant, giving him lots of space for the catch. The WRs are being instructed to shrug off and remove the hands of the DBs if they contact them beyond the five yards. Tobais Palmer did just that, shrugging off Duke Williams and making the catch. Sammy made one of his routes too complicated. There is a thread of this throughout this report. I don't think it's anything to worry about just yet. Cassel's best pass of the day was a nice long pass to Andre Davis. Corey Graham was in coverage, but I didn't notice if he was S or CB on the play. EJ's best play was a long one to Woods with Brooks all over him like a cheap suit. Gilmore drew pass interference against Hogan on the next play. About 5 minutes later, he drew PI again. EJ's worst play came on his next possession after his best play (inconsistency?), overthrowing a wide-open Caleb Holley who had gotten over the top of Rod Sweeting. He followed it up with a nice pass to Goodwin, who actually caught it despite lots of contact, but failed to make a football move before it came out. Could have been PI. Duke Williams was awkwardly covering Marcus Easley, who was 2 for 3 on the day. Darby had more torulbe against Harvin than Watkins. Harvin got great separation and made the easy catch. Dez Lewis beat Ron Brooks and Ron looked injured again, then Cassel threw a completion to Deonte Thompson, and another to Andre Davis. Talk about WR depth. Tyrod had his best work next, making a completion over Gilmore, then a nice route by Woods vs Duke Williams. We received word about now that John Miller had gone to the trainers' tent, but he was back within 10 minutes.Cyril Richardson was in for Joh Miller while he was out. Session 6: 11 on 11: Cassel was first and passed to Watkins. Darby was right with him and got the PBU, but Watkins gestured pass interference (it wasn't called by the refs). Cassel then handed off to McCoy for a bunch of yards (Side note: this man-gap blocking will be better for the type of OL that we have, moreso than zone blocking). Cassel then overthrew Harvin, who had gained 7 yards of space between himself and the defender--he's gonna be good. Randell Johnson (remember the name; he's one of my favorites) blew up the next play from an OUTSIDE linebacker position. EJ was second. He threw a spot pass to Harvin, but Harvin wasn't there. Harvin made the next catch, then EJ overthrew Watkins, but he was rushed by Stefan Charles, who's looking good in relief. EJ then had MarQueis Gray drop a ball, then EJ overthrew Hogan. Darby ran stride by stride with the 4.27-speed Goodwin on a bomb, and Goodwin couldn't make the catch (yet again), and remained kneeling for a minute. This 1 for 6 stretch was EJ's darkest hour. Session 7: 7-on-7: Highlights here were EJ's nice throw to Hogan and Woods (with Gilmore defending), Tyrod Taylor's long throws to MarQueis Gray, Easley, and a magnificent one to Caleb Holley, Cassel's out-pattern to Gragg, and his dumpoff pass to FredEx after 2 reads (side note: I see going through progressions the most with Cassel; this was his 3rd read, clear as day). Lowlights were EJ overthrowing an outlet pass in the flat to Karlos Williams (especially with Tyrod executing the same play perfectly on the next play) and overthrowing a pass down the middle to the equipment manager; Tyrod holding the ball too long instead of passing it to Woods, Session 8: 11 on 11 again. Darby again is all over his man but Deonte Thompson made my Play of the Day with a circus catch from Cassel. Cassel throws next to Harvin who's making GillyLock a joke. Preston Brown asserts himself on defense on Cassel's next throw. Then cassel had a defining moment. He looked to Watkins, turned quickly and threw to a wide-open Woods, again picking on Gilmore. Simms is up next. He fires a good shot at Andre Davis, who makes a great catch. Simms hits Justin Brown over the middle, as Brown has carved lots of room in there. Darby is getting stretched out on the sideline as the session ends. Hughes is also getting stretched, and Mario Williams is pulling his toes up behind him, then rotating the toe outwards and touching the ground behind him Try that this afternoon. Tyrod goes next. Kyle Williams blows up Cordy on the first play. Tyrod bounces it to Goodwin over the middle (which doesn't count). Manny Lawson blows up the next play, a run. Preston Brown and MAnny Lawson are in there, and Darby and Gilmore are the corners. Tyrod completes one to Easley for about four. Cassel throws a 20-yard completion to Woods defended by Cockrell. He hads it to Felton on the next play, and he takes it to the house. O'Leary just picked up a defender like a doll and threw him to the side. Rod Sweeting logs a PBU to end it for Cassel. EJ throws to Gragg, who again drops it, but Ladler had excellent coverage. Karlos shows one of his tough inside 1-cut runs, and we marvel at his balance. EJ throws to Deonte thompson on an out pattern, and it was one of his best throws today, but Deonte Thompson is going to make this squad one way or another. The next play looks the same at first, but McCoy gets the handoff on an opposite "Wham" play. Ty notes that they're running many plays off the same initial look, and some are runs, some are screens, some are downfield, some are dumpoffs. Defenses are not going to be able to key on the look. Simms comes in and overthrows Deonte on his first play, sets up a good screen but Cockrell gets the runner, then a Bryce Brown screen is very successful. Brown has moves and speed, and is built well--can we get a fourth rounder for him? Ah, well. Tyrod throws to Percy, and he's wide open. Percy takes it to the house for the exercise. On the next play, he takes off (prematurely?) and runs for 15 yards. He's so shifty. Cassel throws to a wide-open Percy Harvin who'd lined up in the slot, then hands off to Karlos for 5, Meeks is dancing to the music as the offense calls the play. It's Cassel to Harvin again, then Bryce Brown wih another nice zig-zaggy run. EJ fakes to Karlos, then bootlegs the other way for 10 yards. EJ executes 5 different plays, all with the same look. It occurs to me this is what the whole extra 11 on 11 has been about. Simms waits too long and overhtrows Woods just to get rid of it due to the pressure. The practice comes to an end, with players being cheered as they leave, some staying to sign balls thrown to them, some being interviewed. But two scenes catch my eye: O'Leary, a likely member of the Final Fifty Three is over on the sidelines working with Bradham on releasing from the line of scrimmage, trying to get by Bradham. Kupper and Campbell, two guards whose only chance is PS, are out in the middle of the field practicing moves. I love this game; no matter your place on the ladder, you can always climb higher. See you tomorrow.

I "noticed" Dez, and he had a couple of drops, so he's at the bottom of my list of noticees! LOL Leaving for camp shortly.I live 8 minutes away.

For me, the draft picks and UDFA's in "most-noticed" order: 1. Karlos Williams 2. Darby 3. O'Leary 4. John Miller 5. Tyson Chandler 6. Dez Lewis 7. Everyone else.

My mistake #MatureVision It WAS Bradham. Ryan Talbot has posted a great picture on Twitter. https://twitter.com/gjorg1024/status/627203121027096576/photo/1

Don't get me started. One reporter said "Tyrod Taylor? He did a lot of scrambling", He scrambled once, and he was 3 for 4 on the drill.

Tyler Dunne also was there, and posted some nice notes here ===> http://bills.buffalonews.com/2015/07/31/tyler-dunnes-practice-report-day-1/ Wait! I know that guy! Already done! https://www.facebook.com/groups/466632543381675/

Take a look. It was Powell. They're saying Bradham. http://www.scout.com/nfl/bills/story/1568802-watch-bills-rb-lesean-mccoy-s-circus-catch Kouandjio is in amazing shape. I was hearing that, and just saw it with my own two eyes. Fast as all get-out on the pull, which Roman does a lot of.

Some more notes, as I have time today: WR --Dezmin Lewis has the height (6'4") but he's thinner in the upper body than you'd like. Needs weight room and chicken wings. Two drops today. --Justin Brown is the Oklahoma receiver who is 6-3, and boy is he smooth catching the football. I saw two seamless hands catches from him. --Thigpen is doing all he can to make this squad as a WR as well as a PR/KR. Three nice catches I saw and solid work fielding punts from Colton Schmidt today. -- ST --We should have a top 3 special teams group this year. That's the good news. It's likely bad news for a player or two from last year. Easley? Boobie? CB --Somebody has to tell Darby those red knee sox are...well... popular in the 1950's. With the girls. --There is a DB in came with "Miller" and "43" on his jersey that's not in the program. Any news? OL --Kouandjio canm flat-out run. He got to the second level on a play faster than Jason Peters used to do. LB --Tony Steward looks like he's full go. That spells doom for somebody. Tarpley? TE --O'Leary didn't drop a ball today. He's the TE version of Chris Hogan. --Clay is half a head bigger than O'Leary, yet they're both listed as 6-3.

More on the quarterback front. ---Two lines with 2 QBs are throwing at all times in many drills. I had 3 people spotting for me. It would be very hard to watch every throw from every QB. ---All four quarterbacks' dropbacks are almost the same. ---Tyrod and EJ get back the fastest to the base of the ladder. ---All four QBs hand the ball off well. That bodes well for a 50-55%-running team. These guys wouldn't be here if they can't do that. ---EJ was described the other day as "throwing the ball like you'd throw a dart." Some plays today, he was throwing dump-off passes to his backs (they were deliberately working on that), and they did look like dart-throwing. However, when EJ went long, it looked excellent to me. ---I am aware of one intentional mis-throw from EJ, and that's it. ---I even thought Simms had a great day. Thanks for the correction on Bradham. I wrote down Powell in my notes but it could have been Bradham.

One pass was, in my opinion, thrown at Woods' feet. This is far better than throwing an INT or the Trentative pat-pat-pat-sack.

Practice Notes Day 1, Friday: Practice began precisely at 10:00 am under a cloudless sky and perfect temps. I had some DraftTek buddies there today, so they helped with unfamiliar jersey numbers, etc. 35 of the current 88 players won't make this roster, and that's too bad, because the strength and depth of this team is incredible. We decided that there will be some regrettable cuts at WR, RB, and TE, where we are deep. Players who caught our eyes this mornng included: RB Karlos Williams (bigger and faster than expected, who'd give a fourth quarter pounding to every team we're leading); RB Shady McCoy (he came over to our section and got the crowd cheering, then threw an NFL football into the stands. The guy in front of me caught it, and gave it to a six-year-old boy. Both were classy moves. Shady also had a great catch vs Ty Powell that was my Play of the Day. WR Sammy Watkins. He looked 100%, and will do everything to merit being a Pro Bowl receiver. WR Deonte Thompson (PS receiver and/or gunner, who impressed us with slick out-and-in moves to thwart double-teams in the kicking game); WR Andre Davis (two very impressive fingertip catches, one over his shoulder for 40+ yards against air); WR Marcus Thigpen (three nice catches...listed in the training camp as 6'9", so a typo. He's not 6'1") P Colton Schmidt has deeper kicks with more hang time than last year. One went 60+ yards and bounced out at the 1. QB EJ Manuel, whose throwing motion and particularly decisiveness trumped the others today. All QBs hand off to Shady nicely. Keep that in mind. Tyrod had a nice lead pass to Fred Jackson worth mentioning, and Cassel is better than I thought at leading his man. Simms will be a better PS guy than Tuel. Music was playing all morning during practice. Lots of songs you'd know (Funk You Up, Juke Box Hero, Sweet Caroline--we play Panthers a week from Friday). Random: --Jimmy Gaines had a nice strip, resulting in a fumble. --Felton had two drops this morning. Conner, Rex's FB, caught all balls thrown to him. Line for 11:11 was Glenn-Miller-Wood-Cyril-Kujo at one point. --TE Mulligan made two nice catches. He's known as a blocking TE, but could end up being the 4th TE if he keeps this up. Gragg, not to be outdone, had a nice catch, too, where he faked a block and slanted in. --Duke Williams INT was due to intense DL and LB pressure. We can bring it. --Gilmore isn't there yet. Of course, he was on an island vs Watkins, then Harvin, then Goodwin. Later, Woods sells Gilly on a fly pattern and slants over the middle. --I'm seeing the pre-snap shifts and motions that Greg Roman has instituted. Some more notes, as I have time today: WR --Dezmin Lewis has the height (6'4") but he's thinner in the upper body than you'd like. Needs weight room and chicken wings. Two drops today. --Justin Brown is the Oklahoma receiver who is 6-3, and boy is he smooth catching the football. I saw two seamless hands catches from him. --Thigpen is doing all he can to make this squad as a WR as well as a PR/KR. Three nice catches I saw and solid work fielding punts from Colton Schmidt today. -- ST --We should have a top 3 special teams group this year. That's the good news. It's likely bad news for a player or two from last year. Easley? Boobie? CB --Somebody has to tell Darby those red knee sox are...well... popular in the 1950's. With the girls. --There is a DB in came with "Miller" and "43" on his jersey that's not in the program. Any news? OL --Kouandjio canm flat-out run. He got to the second level on a play faster than Jason Peters used to do. LB --Tony Steward looks like he's full go. That spells doom for somebody. Tarpley? TE --O'Leary didn't drop a ball today. He's the TE version of Chris Hogan. --Clay is half a head bigger than O'Leary, yet they're both listed as 6-3. I'll try and answer any questions you have. I'm going back tomorrow.Dean Kindig

This is a great list. I'm thinking if the top two TEs are there, I look there, too.

In 2011, Fred was ProFootballFocus' #1 back overall, and #2 in receiving backs to Ray Rice. McCoy was #20, Spiller, #13, Boobie #80, Bryce Brown non-existent. In 2012, Spiller was ProFootballFocus' #2 back. Fred was #104, Bryce #137, and Boobie #83. In 2013, McCoy was #1, Fred was up to #18, Bryce up to #49, Boobie up to #68, and Spiller down to #137. In 2014, Fred was #22, Bryce up to #27, CJ still down at #130, and McCoy was #146. Who's done?

I always get to edit the comments on the DraftTek website, but need to use the simulator to do my own mock drafts. By manipulating the team needs for the Bills, I've come with two I'd like your comments on! DRAFT A: 2 50 Landon Turner OG North Carolina 3 81 Duke Johnson RBF Miami (FL) or Mike Davis RBF South Carolina 4 110 Corey Robinson OT South Carolina 5 129 Bryce Petty QB Baylor or Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State 5 153 Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio St 6 178 Josh Tupou DT34 Colorado 7 210 Josh Shaw CB USC DRAFT B: 2 50 Buffalo Duke Johnson RBF Miami (FL) 3 81 Buffalo Jake Fisher OT Oregon 4 110 Buffalo Shane Carden QB East Carolina 5 129 Buffalo Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio St 5 147 Buffalo Jordan Rigsbee OG California 6 178 Buffalo Josh Tupou DT34 Colorado 7 210 Buffalo Jalston Fowler FB Alabama --Go Bills! Dean Kindig, DraftTek Bills Analyst

I like Mannion too. I also llike Grayson. List here http://www.drafttek.com/2015-NFL-Draft-Prospect-Rankings/Top-QBs.asp I've tried some mock drafts already. Hamstrung by whether to look at 3-4 or 4-3, despite what Rex said today, I need to know to feed the computer the best info for our team. Two mocks I like: RD2-50 ">Maxx Williams TE Minnesota http://youtu.be/AmZp3lwjilo RD3-81 Jake Fisher LOT Oregon RD5-129 (Mannion or Grayson QB here) 2 50 Landon Turner OG North Carolina 3 81 Duke Johnson RBF Miami (FL) or Mike Davis RBF South Carolina 4 110 Corey Robinson OT South Carolina 5 129 Bryce Petty QB Baylor or Garrett Grayson QB Colorado State 5 153 Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio St 6 178 Josh Tupou DT34 Colorado 7 210 Josh Shaw CB USC 2 50 Buffalo Duke Johnson RBF Miami (FL) 3 81 Buffalo Jake Fisher OT Oregon 4 110 Buffalo Shane Carden QB East Carolina 5 129 Buffalo Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio St 5 147 Buffalo Jordan Rigsbee OG California 6 178 Buffalo Josh Tupou DT34 Colorado 7 210 Buffalo Jalston Fowler FB Alabama --Go Bills! Dean Kindig, DraftTek Bills Analyst

Our 2015 Simulator is up, so I thought I'd give it a test drive. http://drafttek.com/new%20simulator/frmLogin.aspx I put QB as a P2 Need, Multiple3, meaning I want two drafted QBs, even as early as the next pick. OL was also P2, and TE was P2. Next inline at P3 were RB, CB, and DT. Results: 2 50 Buffalo Landon Turner OG North Carolina P2 +5 Value 3 81 Buffalo Duke Johnson RBF Miami (FL) P2 +22 Value 5 129 Buffalo Bryce Petty QB Baylor P2 -9 Reach 5 147 Buffalo Jeff Heuerman TE Ohio St P2 +7 Value 6 178 Buffalo Louis Trinca-Pasat DT43 Iowa P3 +30 Value 7 210 Buffalo Josh Shaw CB USC P3 +5 Value Analysis: -->No QB was taken from #70 to our pick at #129. The #70 pick, Dak Prescott, is leaning toward returning to school. I hope the weak QB class after Winston-Mariota doesn't force the Bills to reach. -->The OG pick of a Guard doesn't sell tickets, but it may save our bacon at QB. -->Duke Johnson is very small, so he falls, though possibly not to #81. Duke's numbers at MIA outgain Frank Gore, Clinton Portis, Edgerrin James, Willis McGahee and Ottis Anderson, among others with 3,519 career rushing yards. -->People liked Petty in the first half of their bowl game. I think they'll want to look further over his last 2 years. Good starting place= Draft Breakdown. -->Heuerman is listed as probable for the championship game, but will wear #5 in honor of Braxton Miller. He had foot surgery but he played through pain this year. -->Trinca-Pasat would be depth for Kyle Williams. He falls here due to Illinois' RB Josh Ferguson in the bowl game. I think he has ability. -->Josh Shaw is the obligatory CB, although I think we look pretty nice at corner. Watch Shaw here: http://draftbreakdown.com/video/josh-shaw-vs-arizona-2013/ I read your comments and change team needs accordingly. Astro

Orton has been coached to dump off, and is now worse in yards per attempt in his last 4 games (6.09) than EJ was in his first 4 NFL games (6.44). Contrast this with Rodgers (9.11) and you'll see that it's not an either-or between QB and OC. Both reek of Loss, Man.

http://bit.ly/1A8AFEy OL problem is OL scouting. To get one RT, sign bad pro OG, draft 2 RTs/OG in '13, 2 OGs in '12, OT/OG in '11

What if RB's TJ Yeldon, Gurley/Gordon, and QB's Connor Cook and Dak Prescott are staring you in the face at RD2, Pick 44? It could happen.

Thanks. I edited above post. DraftTek is a computer mock draft which selects players based on a Big Board and Positional Needs set by 32 team analysts. Team analysts comment on the computer's picks. I've been doing it for about 3 years now. Astro I'll do P2 Multiple, which resets the need after selecting a Guard.

I'm back to discuss positional needs for the Bills for the next DraftTek mock draft here. Here's what I have now: (P1=Top Priority, P9=Lowest) Defense: DT43---P3 (Kyle's getting old) DE43---P9 (pending re-signing Hughes) OLB----P6 ILB-----P9 PK-----P9 FS-----P6 SS-----P6 CB-----P3 Offense: QB----P1 RB----P3 WR---P9 FB----P9 WRS-P3 (speed WR, would compete with Goodwin) RT----P3 (Seantrel is PFF's 74th-ranked OT and worst-ranked RT. 'Nuff siad) OG---P2 (while we're good between the Guards running, we need a stud Levitre) TE----P2 (Ebron, anyone?) OC---P4 (Wood is technically sound but lightweight) LT----P9 (convince me to draft a guy here, and slide Cordy over. Bills woeful running outside the tackles)

I subscribe to PFF Premium Stats, and have for at least 5 years. I value PFF as another bit of evidence, along with Pro-Football-Reference.com, NFL.com, Sports-Reference.com, etc etc. --It's another way to look at performance. Here are some examples I've tweeted about the Bills in recent weeks: Take PFF for what you will; some of these stats are more complex than the stat itself, and others are a comdemnation of our "Recharged" season.

http://www.drafttek.com/2015-NFL-Draft-Prospect-Rankings/Top-QBs.asp The number in parentheses before each name is the pick at which they are currently drafted by our simulator. Lots of variability before May, but some good ones in the 37-42 range...

Me neither. Two are FA, and their backups haven't shown much yet. However, they have been playing teams in the top 3 in run defense. We are about to play the Chiefs, who are 20th!

I'm soliciting Positional Needs for DraftTek's November Mock. I use TBD's opinions exclusively to submit the Bills' needs to DraftTek here. This is what I currently would submit, and I have them in my order: P2=QB. Kyle Orton looks like a short-term answer. Orton #PFF's 18th Overall, 16th pass rating, 8th Completion %, 7th NFL Rating, 6th YPA, tied for 6th-least INT, & #1 least dropped. QB has IMHO moved down to P2 level, which means the Round Two selection would be BEst Player Available between all P2s on the Big Board (best QB, RT, or OG; right now that's Kevin Hogan QB). P2=RT. Seantrel is second to last in the NFL in PFF's rating system. P2=OG. Urbik looks like a serviceable LG; He was 9th in 2012 among RGs. Bills now have NFL's worst RG (Pears). Seantrel can't move inside. Kujo will be a failure, Pears and Chris Williams are already failures, and Cyril needs a year of seasoning at best. We'll need one, maybe 2 OGs or OTOGs. P3=TE. Gragg has promise, granted, and Lee Smith is a great blocker with like 12 career catches, and there's fragile Chandler...Talk me into P3? P3=RBF. "Running Back, Featured" has 2 guys on last year of contract, with Boobie Dixon and Bryce Brown looking average against the NFL's #1 rush defense (2.1 ypc). P4=CB. Gilmore, had his best game as a Bills player vs the Jets. Tight coverage, INT, no penalties. McKelvin is having his best year. Once a week one of the Bills brass says "You can never have too many corners". Marrone says we have 3 good corners, and they're the reason we're getting sacks and turnovers. P4=OC. Bills brought in Macky McPherson and tried OGs at Center in TC. Wood is good and is a leader, but he's lightest guy on the line that's the heaviest in NFL. His contract runs through the '17 season. P4=ILB.Spikes is a temporary fix for the run defense but has no range compared to Brown playing in the middle. Spikes is rated extremely low by PFF (#56 among ILBs). We need a Hightower, Kuechly, Willis. P4=FS, SS. We have three above-average safeties ranking 4th (AWilliams) and 14th (Searcy) among all safeties. Duke is 10th vs the run. Byrd who? P6=DT43. Dareus-Charles-Williams-Bryant is just as impressive, with the possibility of 2 Pro Bowlers again. Dareus is 4th Overall, Kyle Williams 6th Overall of all 101 DT/NTs. Suh-Fairley come close at 7 and 9. However, Kyle is one of the 5 oldest on the team. Is this a P4? P6=DE43. Williams-Wynn-Hughes-Lawson are a quartet that rank among the NFL's best (Hughes and Mario now 7th-8th among 75 DE43). That said, Schwartz loves DEs. Is this a P4? P6=OLB43. In the last game, N. Bradham: 10 tackles, an assist, forced fumble. P. Brown 8 tackles, assist, and interception. Bradham is 6th OLB Overall in the NFL, 7th pass rushing, 5th run defense, and 2nd in QB Hits (Von Miller). Brown-Rivers at SAM and Bradham-Johnson at WILL and Alonso in the wings. P6=FS, SS. We have three above-average safeties ranking 4th (AWilliams) and 14th (Searcy) among all safeties. Duke is 10th vs the run. Byrd who? The P9s: P9=RBC. "Running Back, Change Of Pace" is CJ Spiller. Possible that the Bills would trade him for picks, and draft his replacement or competition, but I'm betting not. What do you think? P9=WRF. "Wide Receiver, Featured" has Sammy, Robert Woods, and maybe Mike Williams. It's unlikely they draft another young WR this coming year. P9=WRS. "Wide Receiver, Specialized" is Marquise Goodwin. Team speed is important to Hackett, but unless you argue for better hands over more accurate throws, I think we have a good one in Goodwin. P9=FB. Fullbacks Frank Summers and a tank-like Boobie Dixon are good for what we use FBs for in our system. One could argue picking up a late-round guy as they start coming off in RD6. P9=LT. Cordy Glenn is approaching elite-level, with a work ethic to match. Seantrel and Kujo are at best developmental LTs. I don't expect Glenn to be kicked inside to OG (but he was at LG on PATs). Only question mark is the mystery illness. P9=PK. Placekickers shouldn't be drafted and we have a great one. P9=P. See above. If the draft were simulated today, the Bills would be given Kevin Hogan, QB of Stanford by the DraftTek computer. What position would you upgrade the need for and why? What would you downgrade? Astro