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billsfan89

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Everything posted by billsfan89

  1. Miami is improved from last season and I think the Jets are as well but more so marginally (improved the O-line heavily but stagnated almost everywhere else on the roster) but the Pats are much more vulnerable. So is the division hard or easier than last season? I would say it is about the same. Miami improved, the Jets slightly improved and the Patriots stepped back. Based on the rest of the schedule it is hard to make any real legitimate predictions as the NFL is such a volatile league, often times games you thought would be easy are hard and games you thought would be hard are easy. I think looking at the schedule beyond your divison can often be misleading. A lot of people around here were talking about how brutal last year’s schedule was going to be beyond the first few weeks. And guess what it didn’t get hard until way later and even in the team’s brutal 4 game stretch 2 of the games were wins and against opponents who were softer than previously thought (Pitt and Dal.) The Bills have the talent to hand with anyone in this league. The schedule isn’t going to be a major factor, Josh’s development and general health of the roster (which is every year) will determine how far this team goes.
  2. It's on Josh honestly. If Josh plays about the same as he did last season this team will win 10-11 games and be competitive. If Josh regresses then this is a 8 or 9 win team. If Josh can progress to being a top 12-9 QB then this team will win 12-13 games. The components around Josh are there, he has 3 quality receivers, decent TE's, a good promising RB duo, and a solid Offensive line. The Special teams which was mid-level last year added 3 specialists which should make that unit stronger and the defense should remain a top 5 unit in the league. It all comes down to how good the QB will be.
  3. He has had a lot of injuries to the point where I think he isn't going to be healthy anytime soon. It isn't like he is coming off of one big injury. He has had 2-3 major injuries along with several other minor injuries in the past 4-5 years. He needs a year to get physically and mentally right. I would love to have seen a team sign him and IR him for a year as I think that would be best for his development as he ages to really get a full years worth of rest on his body as he ages into his 30's.
  4. There is a lot of money on the D-line right now but the money isn't committed long term. The only contracts that are on the books for 2021 that come with a dead cap hit above 2 million dollars is Addison who is still a 4 million dollar dead cap hit and Star who comes with 7 million in dead money. The commitment the Bills have on the D-line is super flexible and shouldn't impact the team's ability to sign bigger players long term. In fact the only contract that is truly tragic as far as dead money is Star.
  5. The Bills are not the right spot for Cam, Josh doesn't need a big name personality behind him as a backup. Barkley is a capable back and Fromm is the developmental guy. They don't need a QB behind Josh that is going to command a lot of attention and be a possible headache. I like Cam but I think he needs to sit 2020 out and get healthy and then reassess his options once more QB slots open up. His biggest concern is his health and if he sat out 2020 I think he would get his health in order and teams would look at him more positively in 2021.
  6. No he made a decision based on the relationship with the front office and coach.
  7. John Brown is 2 years younger and coming off of back to back healthy and productive seasons. AJ Green hasn't had a healthy season since 2017 and has been hurt 3 out of the past 4 seasons. Stop with this AJ Green bull####. You are falling in love with a name and not what the actual player is likely to produce.
  8. The draft looks good on paper should be 2 starter types with potentially 3 if one of the mid to late round guys pans out and 1-2 role players. All that with no first round pick too. Not too shabby on paper. Beane and McD deserve to be extended now. What they have done to not only get to winning but put the team into a 2-3 year window of contention is a sight to see.
  9. I think the Bills should offer him 2 million with 500k guaranteed. It's a fairly low risk in the grand scheme of things, if he doesn't want to come OK fine. But right now if the Bills want to contend they have to focus on every single area of the roster no matter how small and get it to be as good as possible. In the draft they did just that but punter remains one of the few uninspiring avenues of the roster and I say you have to kick the tires on a possible upgrade. His cap hit was large for a punter and the Chiefs need every drop of cap they can find. I think if KC was right up against the cap they probably would have at least brought him into camp.
  10. I agree I was just elaborating that Rodgers in 2005 was actually a much better prospect than Jordan Love. You said that Rodgers wasn't a generational prospect when the Packers drafted him I disagreed because he was in the running to be a top pick and only fell because of his own pride and not anything related to his game or other major issues. So at pick 24 Rodgers in 2005 was too good to pass up. However Jordan Love is a nice QB prospect but not a prospect that you can't find in other drafts. I think passing up on a Tee Higgins or another WR prospect for a QB that isn't a steal at pick 26 is a mistake. The Packers got ride or Farve and he had a decent season in 2008 with the Jets and a great season in 2009 with the Vikings, so it isn't like teams aren't willing to get rid of a player a year too early. The Packers are always a QB farm they are willing to get rid of Rodgers sooner and they want a QB in place. But I think you could have easily drafted a QB next year of the same caliber as Jordan Love and had 2-3 years to develop him. Help you generational QB now instead of taking a chance on a fairly OK prospect.
  11. I don't think much of either Vedvik or Bojo to not try and get a good veteran punter in there. My opinion would be to cut Vedvik or Bojo and bring in Colquitt to compete with whomever doesn't get cut. But it is a fair enough take to say just stick with the young guys. I just don't really like what's on the roster as far as punters go so a vet coming off a good year seems like the better option for a competition than 2 guys with shaky at best track records.
  12. Rodgers was a QB who some thought would go number one over Alex Smith and he fell due to not taking the draft interview and pre-draft process seriously with teams other than the 49ers. I think Rodgers at pick 24 was such an insanely good value for the Packers who had an aging QB. My argument would be that the Packers are better off drafting a QB next year and going for it now by drafting Rodgers a player to help him the next 3-4 years. QB's play longer now at a higher quality than they did in the 2000's when QB were rarely effective in their late 30's let alone early 40's. Rodgers has 4-5 good to great years left, why draft a player now in the first round when you have a good team that could use a handful of pieces around its QB now esp in a good WR draft? Unless they are planning on signing AB or making a trade for a WR that is not known to be on the market (or possibly acquiring a WR in the supplemental draft if one is there) I don't see where they could upgrade the WR position at this point in the off-season.
  13. He had a big cap hit relative to a punter and the Chiefs needed any cap space they could get. This was more of a cap casualty than a performance issue. I wouldn't cut Bojo to sign him but I would sign him to a one year deal and have Bojo and him competing in camp. I think he could be an upgrade to the current punting situation and for a decent one year deal he would be worth it and an upgrade over Bojo. If they don't do it and they go with an UDFA to compete with Bojo in camp I would be OK. But I think with a team ready to compete why not bring in a veteran punter to ensure every last nook and cranny of this team is as good as it can be?
  14. He is coming off of a good season. Do punters suddenly fall off frequently from age 36 to 37 like running backs at age 30?
  15. He doesn't have a long injury history or a lot of wear and tear on his body like a typical NFL player. He is 29 this season, if he gets on the PS for one more year he can make the roster at 30 and have a 2-4 year career fairly realistically.
  16. Why? He is only 37 (not too old for a punter) and had a good season last year.
  17. They can get rid of the older receivers and save 30 million. The Eagles manage the salary cap really well. I think they know how they can at least get to 2021 without losing any players who aren't older and banged up. Maybe they won't be big spenders in free agency but I think they can at least keep the core of their team together sans older overpaid injured players.
  18. At this point if you are looking for a proven punter I don't think you will do better than Colquitt who was a good punter last season. I think you almost have to sign him if you are the Bills 2-3 million isn't going to break the bank or impact your flexibility going forward the much. But Bojo shanking 2-3 punts badly could cost you a game or two.
  19. There are advanced metrics but I think as a fan you have to judge it based off the eye test. How much pressure does the O-line give up? How big are the running lanes? Things like that you can watch over the course of games and really give yourself a good definition of just how well an offensive line plays. Last season I thought the O-line was a mid-level NFL O-line. Ford was the weak link until Ty went down and Ford played well. The Bills O-line last year played stronger as the year went on for the most part. All 5 starters not having played with each other before 2019 I think was a factor in the line not playing that well at times. Hopefully with a year having played with each other and some growth from Ford the O-line can become a top 10 unit.
  20. The Eagles are masters of the salary cap, they will be fine. They will make a few cuts and restructure a deal or two and get comfortably under the cap. One of the reasons the Eagles are consistently competitive is their quality coaching, solid drafting and good salary cap management. They might manage the salary cap better than any team in the league. Knowing how the Eagles maneuvered in the past it wouldn’t shock me to see them go from 40 million over the cap to 30-40 million under. With the receivers they drafted this week I think they can easily afford to lost Godwin, Alshon and Desean and just replace them with a draft pick. All three are banged up a lot. That would save about 30 million on the cap. Brandon Graham saves you another 13 million, which gets you just under the cap. I am sure they can maneuver around a few other contracts and cut a few mid level players to get them enough to service their draft picks and have emergency money and maybe depending on how they pull it off sign a couple of mid-level contracts.
  21. I am not too familiar with the backups of other teams but I would say that the Bills have (setting AJ aside as he is a rookie) 6-7 starting caliber players along the D-line and 1-2 high end rotational players. Hughes, Addison, Ed Oliver, Quinton Jefferson, Star, Butler, and Henry Phillips (if he comes back from injury effectively) are all starting caliber defensive linemen ranging from borderline probowl (Oliver, Addison, Jefferson and Hughes) to below average (Star and possibly Butler.) Then I would say that Trent Murphy and Phillips (if an injury hampers him) are high end rotational players. That's a D-line that goes 8 deep and just added a highly touted 2nd round pick to the mix. I don't know of any other defensive lines that go that deep with quality players. It is more about percentage of snaps and situations. I could see AJ and Hughes on rushing situations and Addison and Murphy more in passing situations. McD seems to prioritize having a deep unit that can be flexed in and out for the right situation to maximize the players strength.
  22. That's why it is good to draft a kicker when you have a decent veteran kicker on the roster. Haush was fairly reliable on kicks under 50 yards it was only long range kicks that he struggled with. Often times teams draft kickers when they don't have a viable kicker on the roster and it puts them up against the wall. If Bass can't make the adjustment to the NFL they can stick with Haush.
  23. If AJ become an above average starting DE, Moss is a good RB, and one other player in the draft becomes a high end role player this team will have nailed the draft. The Bills are at a point where they are close to serious contention with a good team, they don't need to find 3-4 starters and 2-3 role players in the draft. They just need to get a couple of long term starters and one or two role players to have this draft service the needs of a hopefully contending team.
  24. Cut Murphy sign Clowney to a one year deal? I wouldn't mind it certainly upgrades the team. But I am not sure that type of move is up McBeane's alley.
  25. I really respect that level of spite. At worst they should certainly change the formula. Right now if you sign 5 players who weren't cut from other teams to 5 contracts worth 1 million dollars each and you lose 5 players who each sign for a contract of 10 million or more you don't get a comp pick.
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