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JESSEFEFFER

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    Bruce Smith discusses Josh Allen, McDermott, and the last 13 seconds of the Chiefs game

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted · Edited by JESSEFEFFER

    I accidentally saw an all 22 from the endzone behind Mahomes and it looked to me like Milano got caught looking to the trips formation to the defensive left and missed the snap of the ball.  Thus, he was late to react to seam route by Kelce.  It's like they wanted them to throw the seam and Milano was supposed to buzz that route at the snap to either break it up or make the tackle without any YAC.  His eyes were in the wrong place and he got a slow start.  That's what I thought I saw but I can't watch any more at this time to confirm. Too much wallowing in disappointment and I have no stomach at present.  

    • Like (+1) 3

    Don't be surprised if Josh Allen has a bumpy 2022

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    14 hours ago, beebe said:

    I'll start with this: I think the Bills are the favorite to earn the 1-seed in the AFC next year. But I think they'll do it with Josh Allen enduring a season that comes up short of the monster expectations that have been placed upon him.

     

    I've been reading Chiefs-Bengals postgame coverage, and it's predictably terrible, with the main thesis being that "Mahomes choked" in the 2nd half. It is true: Mahomes put together arguably his worst half as a pro—on the heels of one of his best. But the Bengals deserve credit for putting together a nice defensive plan, one that took advantage of two Chiefs tendencies: Andy's unwillingness to stick to the run; and Mahomes' desire to be aggressive and make plays. The Bengals dropped eight into coverage on roughly half of Mahomes' second half pass attempts, all but begging the Chiefs to run, and also a QB spy, all but eliminating Mahomes' ability to scramble free as he did so often vs Buffalo a week earlier. It worked to perfection. Mahomes kept force feeding passes into tight windows (no one was open) and the Chiefs kept throwing on 2nd-and-5s. The Bengals also got pressure on Mahomes with three-man rushes, sacking him twice in the 2nd half and chasing him around the yard a handful of other times. 

     

    Anyway, this isn't the first time Mahomes has been 'solved.' And it won't be the last. Mahomes was downright terrible earlier this year. In a five-week stretch starting with the Bills game, Mahomes had six TDs vs six INTs, easily the worst stretch of play in a four-year career that has ended in either the AFC title game or the Super Bowl every time. Having watched every snap of Mahomes' career, there's no doubt he's better now at age 26 than he was at age 23. He will keep getting better. But he'll keep getting the "Mahomes Treatment," with defensive coordinators literally spending their offseasons inventing ways to stop him. Mahomes saw growth this year in mastering the two-high safety looks that confounded him in the Super Bowl and early in 2021. He became a more patient QB—his best display of patience probably came vs the Bills in the Divisional Round. But in the end, the Bengals got him, throwing new wrinkles at him that other defenses largely avoided; and play calling did Mahomes no favors either (especially in 2nd half.) 

     

    All this to say: Josh Allen is about to start getting the Mahomes Treatment. Every team on Buffalo's schedule is going to spend extra time studying him and finding ways to beat him. And someone - perhaps Belichick, but maybe someone else - will find something that works. And every team will copy it. Doesn't mean they'll shut him down. Doesn't mean the Bills will start losing to teams like the Jets and Dolphins. But there will be turbulence, and I suspect you will see him go through a slump and his numbers will decline in 2022. 

     

    The counter argument is that Allen's numbers should have been even better in 2021 than they were. I don't think any team played in worse weather conditions than the Bills did this year. The uncommonly easy schedule partially offsets that perhaps, but his stats still would have been better.

     

    Which reminds me: MVP voting is such a sham. Comparing Josh Allen stats (wintry Buffalo) vs Tom Brady stats (sunny TB with four road games played in domes) is utterly stupid. It would be like having a PGA Tour event where half the field plays in perfect weather while the other half tees off in 30 MPH wind and pouring rain. Gee, I wonder who will come out on top? 

     

    Numbers are nice to talk about and I like data more than most.  But any metric of QB performance that doesn't attempt to quantify the effect of weather, most specifically wind, is a flawed metric.  And, as far as I know, none of them do, thus they are all biased towards QBs in domes or otherwise great weather.  I think the Bills offense will try to incorporate more YAC opportunities and his numbers could go up as a result.

    Josh is playing in the Pebble Beach pro am next week.

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    55 minutes ago, TheBrownBear said:

    Pro Bowl or Pebble?  HMMMNNNN...Josh made the easy choice here.  Also, I hope Josh picks up everything inside 5 feet, so Kurt Warner won't complain about Josh not taking the gimmes.

     

    The other weird thing Kurt criticizes is Josh's footwork on those sidearm throws he makes.  That's the whole point is to quickly hit a window before it closes and to not waste time resetting his feet.  It's the kind of throw a second baseman might make to start a double play.  Quick, accurate sidearm release without resetting his feet.  Josh does this very well.  The classic is the goal line throw to John Brown vs. the Raiders.  Brown is doubled and approaching the sideline.  Time and space are compressed and Josh just sidearms it to the spot faster than any other QB can match.  Should have been ruled a TD.

    • Agree 1

    *2024 UB Football Thread*

    in College Football

    Posted

    It seems like Joe Licatta added to the staff is having a big impact on recruiting locals.   I say this just from the Twitter posts that I come across of the kids and their visits.  At least those recruited from the local talent and that show some success might be more likely to stay for the full duration of their scholarship rather than seek a transfer.

    Sullivan: Bills' McDermott choked away Super Bowl-caliber season

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    1 hour ago, pigpen65 said:

    Something is definitely wrong when a team has to have a double digit lead to get out of the game with a win. They lost every single close game this year. That's horrifying. 

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

     

    Don't know what to think of that.  As it was, none of the 5 close losses were like this one with the D on the field, protecting a lead as regulation time was running down.  Yeah, they needed to be in prevent defense with 13 seconds to go, KC with 3 to's and at the ball at the 25.  But they played the wrong kind of prevent.  I don't think that they had repped a situation like that in live action the entire season.  Did they call the wrong type of D or did they call it right and the players messed it up? Do their options even have nuance to protect against a FG with 3 opponent tos vs. a TD with no tos?  They should options but maybe it didn't.

     

    McDermott won't say what the problem was but he is protecting someone's reputation.  That's a very football thing.  In every other major sport it's pretty easy to see the person(s) that owns the mistakes.  Frazier's makes the most sense since he is trying to get a HC gig and it would be very bad timing to have him take the blame.

    Josh Allen's Running Ability

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    On 1/17/2022 at 10:07 PM, Buffalo716 said:

     

    I would break this down to a few things 

     

    First some players play faster than their 40 time.. the juice and adrenaline of a game hype you up 

     

    Second the offenses that Josh and Lamar Jackson were running were completely different.. Lamar got the benefit from a college offense that ran a spread option 

     

    Josh was also under center a lot more which makes it harder to run effectively... They weren't running standard read options like is typical in college ball 

     

    On the flip side.. Josh Allen's JUCO rushing stats were amazing 

     

    In 8 starts he had 660 yards and 10 TDs  5.5 average

    For college QBs, sacks and the lost yardage count as rush attempts so that 5.5 ypc average is likely closer to 7 on actual runs/scrambles.

    Allen's play action technique - 2 points

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    QBs holding the ball with their back turned to the D is a bit of a gamble.  If there is a defender in his grill when he turns his head around it could go poorly.  Josh getting depth and sprinting out would create extra space between him and any edge defender who did not take the bait and Josh with a little extra time and space is very dangerous.  If needed, he then could juke, stiff arm and/or pump fake and keep rolling to then either run or throw.  I feel like any RZ possession where the Bills failed to  get the TD and Josh did not run the ball or use boot/waggle action was not a serious attempt to score.  

    Divisional Round: Buffalo at KC Sunday at 6:30

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    17 hours ago, djp14150 said:

    Is romo all that better?

     

    I think Nantz/Romo have done all of 4 Bills games since Josh became QB1.  2018 vs. Vikings, 2019 vs. Cowboys Thanksgiving, 2021 AFC Championship and this season  vs. Tampa Bay.  Maybe I am missing some.  I'd say the reason for this is because they are usually in higher viewership 4 to 7 window.  They have been largely entertained by what they have seen and fair with their commentary, imo.  They talk like they have seen some of the Bill's games above and beyond the ones they covered.  Others talk like they are seeing the Bills play for the first time and are basing play descriptions solely on hearsay/reputation.  

     

     

    Fitz at the game?

    in The Stadium Wall

    Posted

    I have taken the opportunity to mention how I think he could/would out do Tony Romo as a color analyst. He knows just as much football, has more humor/personality, has played for 9 different  NFL franchises and coaching staffs, has more relationships throughout the NFL world and likely has more league wide good will than any other human being on the planet.  He could make Romo kind of money doing that job which would trump the money he made as a QB.

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