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JESSEFEFFER

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Posts posted by JESSEFEFFER

  1. Something I have often checked with regards to Josh's passing stats is his home/road split.  2021 is in line with his career numbers but even more extreme.  I attribute this mostly to home game weather and mostly wind.   The home crowd getting Josh too amped up narrative is entirely b.s., imo.  But, when looking at season or career numbers, (and the same applied to Jim Kelly) it's pretty negligent to compare them to those of QBs who played their home games in domes, or LA/SD, or Florida absent any context.  

    Josh Allen Home-Road Split 2021.jpg

  2. I see the NFL ticket exchange has Atlanta and NJ game tickets for $20 or less.  Anyways, a sneaky good plan would be to target sections 205, 217, 228 or 239.  Corner endzone, club level views and the sections are only 5 seats wide.  I am like you in that I get to my seat and rarely leave it thereafter for the entire 4+ hours so this is much appreciated by me.  I am glad your gameday experience went well.  I must say that the Pegula era of customer service is much improved over what it was prior.

    • Like (+1) 1
  3. 10 hours ago, Ed_Formerly_of_Roch said:

     

    Completely incorrect.  The Bills deferred their decision to the 2nd half meaning at the beginning of the 3rd quarter they had a choice between receiving, kicking off, or choosing which end to defend.  So  the Bills could have instead chosen which end to defend so they'd have the wind in the 4th quarter.  But then NE would have chosen to receive the ball to start the 3rd quarter just as they received the ball to start the game.  You're basically giving NE an extra possession in a game that they were behind at the half and could sense point would be hard to come by.  That would be a hard choice to defend if they lost in giving NE the ball an extra time in game they were behind at the time.

     

    I will say the the thought did go through my mind before the coin toss that if the team deferring to the 3rd quarter was ahead by a fair margin, would they choose direction instead of the ball.  I think if the Bills were up 2 TD's at the half, then may have in that case.

    I am 99% correct.  Choose the ball at the start after winning the toss.  NE chooses the direction of the kick.  At the start of the 2nd half NE has choice and 99+% of the time would take the ball rather than kick and effectively give up a possession.  The Bills then decide on which direction their offense moves in the 4th quarter.  

  4. In college football OT, coaches choose to play defense first.  It is powerful to play offense knowing what you need to tie or win the game.  If you need a desperate 4th down play to get what's needed, it's there to use.   Having the wind in the 4th quarter is much the same.  Whether throwing or kicking, it's best to have the advantage when you know what you need for the win/tie.  I have not seen the replay of the throw to Diggs that hit him in the arm for what should have been a TD.  That throw was not even possible going the other way.  Moving with the wind allows many more options to be available when the game is on the line.

  5. A

    Just now, Sammy Watkins' Rib said:

     

    Hapless brings up a good point that the Bills were arguably more inept on offense with the wind in the 3rd quarter so no guarantee that they move the ball well in the 4th quarter with the wind. And the 3rd quarter field goal is likely missed if going into the wind instead of with it.

     

    I think McDermott's biggest blunders were 1. wasting two timeouts that could have given the Bills about 70-75 seconds left to work with at the end. And 2. not demanding Daboll call at least two Allen run plays when they were 1st and goal at the six yard line on I think their second to last possession of the game. I got to believe Allen can bully his way to 6 yards on 3 or 4 carries if needed.

    Anytime the Bills fail in the RZ and Josh did not run even once, that seems like a mistake to me.

    • Agree 3
  6. 1 minute ago, CincyBillsFan said:

    Let me offer an alternate view here and a reason why coaches get ulcers.  By taking the wind in the first quarter McD absolutely did the right thing.  But two players screwed it up.  NE gets the KO and goes 3 and out losing 5 yards. The Bills get the ball at midfield but on 3rd & 7 Knox drops a pass that would have got the Bills a 1st down inside the Pats 35.  We punt and NE again goes 3 and out.  This time their punt is caught in the wind and the Bills take over at NE's 40 yard line.  The Bills get a 1st down and then on FIRST & 10 at the Pats 29 yard line Brieda fumbles away the ball. 

     

    After each team had two possessions with us having the wind at our backs we should've been up 10 or even 14 to nothing.  Instead two bad plays by two different players screwed it up.  McD must still have nightmares of how the game started and how close he came to winning it in the 1st quarter.

     

     

     

     

    Much like seasons in general, it matters way more how things end than how they begin.  Wanting that advantage in the 1st quarter rather than the 4th quarter is short sighted and, frankly, foolish.

  7. No coach willingly leaves time on the clock for the opponent to do whatever weird things they might have practiced for such a situation.  The Bills were also out of times out so it think a blocked kick recovery or botched snap would require that they somehow lineup and spike the ball after the mayhem of a botched play and recovering the ball.  I do not think that they get another chance and it was nothing to plan for.

  8. 1 minute ago, boco357 said:

    This team is obsessed with the short kickoffs(I always post about hating them in game day threads a bunch).  But why not this week when you got a fumble already try some short kickoffs and make them handle the ball again.  This week Bass just booted it out of the endzone.

     

    Good point.  Sitting in section 228, it was noted among our group how odd it was that the Bills would kick short to the Saints in a dome but not even attempt that during a home game in cold and windy conditions.

  9. I have been in a bit of Bills news time warp since attending the Monday game as I flew out of Buffalo at 5:30AM the following morning and worked long hours at a company facility all week.  So, while maybe it was discussed in the GDT or post game conversation but as a main take-a-way from this game I do not know if as much was made of this as I think it deserves.  It's as big of a mistake as Wade Phillips' decision to kick a field goal for the lead, on first down at the 23 with 20 seconds on the clock.  

     

    The Bills won the coin toss and DEFERRED as if nothing was going to be different about this game.  But  everyone knew it would be different and we knew it all week. 

     

    Watching pregame warmups, kicks toward the scoreboard were driven short and to the right from even a modest distance of 40 yards.  Kicks toward the tunnel had a range of 65+ yards leaving me to wonder if we might witness a new NFL record FG.

     

    A close game was reasonable to expect and close games get decided in the 4th quarter. With timeout usage, the two minute warning and clock stoppage for out-of-bounds in the last 5 minutes of the game, more plays from scrimmage usually occur in the 4th quarter than in any of the other three.

     

    By deferring, Sean McDermott left the decision of whether the Bills would have the wind advantage in the 4th quarter in the hands of Bill Belichick. I 'd bet when the Bills deferred, Bill might have even laughed out loud knowing that everything the Bills might attempt to do in the 4th quarter of a normal game would now become either more difficult to even impossible.  I count this as one of Sean's biggest in game coaching blunders and right up there with Wade's.   

     

    On to Tampa Bay, where giving your opponent the option to decide which direction to kickoff in the 3rd quarter is of little consequence.

    • Like (+1) 2
    • Agree 1
  10. 9 minutes ago, Motorin' said:

     

    You have to block facing the goaline you're trying to score. It's a blindside block when your back is to the goaline you're trying to score and you hit with force. 

    I believe the rule speaks of movement not position.  Moving toward own end zone or parallel to line of scrimmage.

  11. 1986 game vs Steelers.  Marv Levy's and Steve Tasker's first game with Bills vs. Steelers. Robb Riddick grinding out yards moving into the wind was a key to a win.

     

    Bills 16 and Steelers 12

     

    This game was dry but wind was 30+ mph and neither team could throw moving toward the scoreboard end.  Robb could get yards vs. a stacked defense and thereby burn the clock and avoid having to punt into the wind.  I would pick Moss to do something similar for monday's game.

     

    Short crossing routes with picks/rubs for big YAC (Phil Rivers of perfect weather SD Chargers in 2014) and 3rd down QB scrambles and RB screens (Carson Wentz in 2019) were successful strategies opponents used to beat the Bills in past wind affected games.  If you are a betting type, my advice is to play the under.

  12. There are separate issues for the players vs. the fans.  Wind has the bigger effect on how the game plays out assuming the footing is not an issue.  The two games vs. the Pats last year are good examples.  A close, run heavy game in Buffalo vs. a pass heavy blowout win in Foxboro.  For fans, 38F and rain is much worse than 28F and snow. 

     

    As bad as this one was for the players (the worst I can remember) it was worse for the fans.  Hypothermia is a serious thing.

     

    Bills vs. Cardinals 1990

     

     

     

     

     

  13. 17 minutes ago, YattaOkasan said:

    The initial hit is fine. And he does hold him up some. But at the end he drives shoulder. Can’t do that. 
     

     

    that’s the textbook part. 

     

    You are correct.  Despite Collinsworth's inability or unwillingness to acknowledge the obvious, Clark lifted JA's hips and when Josh had hit the ground, he drove his shoulder into Josh's rib cage.  It's called "stuffing" and QBs are vulnerable to separated shoulders and cracked ribs (ala Epenesa on Tua) because of them.  That's why they are illegal now.

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