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JESSEFEFFER

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Posts posted by JESSEFEFFER

  1. 1 hour ago, Dukestreetking said:

    Agree all but just to add: he's the least sacked in the league, period.

     

    Sometimes the inference is that this is the sole result of superior pass protection.  That's not the story that my eyes tell me.  Pressure due to one player is rarely enough to get him sacked.  He beats that kind of pressure all the time.

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  2. There has always been an inherent bias in comparing the raw passing statistics of a team that plays half it's games in an open air stadium at the eastern end of Lake Erie to teams that play in Florida, Southern California, Arizona or in a dome.  The home game weather has not been very good this year. At the very least it has added an extra degree of difficulty to deep shots and touch passes.   Any metric that ignores that reality is flawed. 

     

    I have read that Josh is the least sacked QB in the NFL when pressured.  That agrees with what my eyes see and I do not know how any rating properly  accounts for it.  Certainly not the NFL passer rating formula which ignores sacks completely and penalizes throwaways.  If the Bills get the #1 seed and beat the Tampa Bay Bradies in the process, I think Josh wins the MVP.

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  3. 18 minutes ago, cd1 said:

     

    I thought the same thing. I wished Allen showed more class.

     

    However, (I have not had a chance to re-watch yet) it has occurred to me that Josh might have not been waving but making the hand motion of "Yapping" or "flapping your jaws".  

     

    I thought he was waving but I also wondered why all of the refs right there seemed to ignore it rather than flag him for TAUNTING.

     

    yapping-hand.gif

     

    Wilkins is heatedly complaining to the Ref about something and Josh was pointing out that the game was all over but the bitching and moaning, the last refuge of losers.  So, yes, I think you have it correct and most everyone else had it pegged wrong as a wave.  Lots of videos of it on Twitter.  One is from the Bills' official account.

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  4. He is not in the CFL.  Only the exclusive negotiation rights were traded.  I knew when the Colts drafted Eason and there were to be no preseason games that his time with them was up.  I think he is hoping for a chance in the spring leagues.  XFL, USFL whichever.

  5. 9 minutes ago, SCBills said:

     

    It's a good move to have a vet, but it's so Jets to have Flacco last year.. let him go.. and then trade what could be a 5th for him to get him back.  

    They are long in 2022 draft capital (1,1,2,2,3,4,4,5,5,6 before the Flacco trade) and have been better at using it over the last few years than say, the Dolphins.  I expect the Jets to be a bigger challenge to the Bills in the division over the next 5 years than Miami or NE.  From afar, they have a very 2018 Bills look to them to me.  Bills 2018 road win over Vikings = Jets 2021 over Titans?  Bring in vet QB mentor during rookie QB injury? They even have a huge blowout loss with their backup QB playing.   It's big how Wilson finishes the year and if Saleh and Douglas prove to be a good match but I am not inclined to ridicule them at this time.

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  6. Maybe someone else pointed this out but it's worth remembering that the Bills had Nathan Peterman as their version of Mike White on the roster to start Josh's rookie year.  When Josh had to miss games due to an elbow injury, we saw Derek Anderson and Matt Barkley added to the roster.  Josh credits them with helping him to be better after his return from injury.  Brandon Beane said it was his mistake not to have had Anderson in the room sooner and I thought the Jets were making the same kind of mistake to have Mike White as the sole backup to their rookie QB. 

     

    Most are ripping the Jets move because that's what is usually the best reaction but if having a veteran QB in the room helps Zack Wilson be better to finish his rookie season, it's a great move.

  7. On 10/20/2021 at 11:49 AM, YoloinOhio said:

    I actually picked him up in fantasy. It’s between him and Daniel Jones for me this week with Allen on a Bye. I just don’t trust the giants 

    I watched much of the Browns 2020 training camp video coverage (they showed team  portions but only between the tackles) because a local kid was trying to earn a roster spot again, TE Stephen Carlson.  I thought Keenum looked better than Baker in most practices but he had been with Stefanski before when they were with the Vikings.  I thought he used the TE group well and that helped Carlson show enough make the 53.  I suspect he'll get the ball out quicker than Baker tends to do.

  8. Vivid Seats Fan Forecast Algorithim Projects...................

     

    "Vivid Seats ran an algorithm called the Fan Forecast that produces crowd projections for sporting events. It’s generally used for neutral site events but can be run for any matchup. When running the projection for tonight’s game between the Bills and Titans, the Fan Forecast came back with a projection that has 58 percent of the crowd supporting the Bills while only 42 percent of the fans at Nissan Stadium will be Titans fans."

     

    This will look very good on ESPN.  If the Bills are up enough at the end to send the Titan's fans to an early exit, it will be a primetime spectacular scene of Bills' red, white and blue working their way down to the lower bowl.

     

     

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  9. 2 hours ago, cwater10 said:

    I don't know...  I think that he means it more in a we, or a societal context, as in the way we have all been through covid as a societal experience.  It has impacted everything and we have all been through it, whether we had the virus individually or not, it has certainly impacted us all.  In speaking of the prep for last season in particular when the impact was far greater, this would make a great deal of sense.

     

    Josh had said previously that the COVID lockdown experience was good for his off season training.  It kept him and his cohorts isolated and focused on task.  So, I'm with you, that's how I heard this answer this time too but there are some words missing that would make that clear.  Hmmm.  Interesting.

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  10. 5 hours ago, longtimebillsfan said:

    Great interview.   

     

    Thank you for posting.

    I like Rich Eisen in general, but his interview style is very good.  Slow speech pattern without extra words.  You got the sense that Rich was liking the substance of Josh's answers and Josh is soon to get a Rich Eisen Show hat.  I suppose when he shows up on camera wearing that, much of Bills Mafia will want one of those too.  On another note, let the man finish a meal in public without interruption, for crying out loud.  Pick your spots people.

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  11. All the back story is essential to who he is and how his place in the league has evolved.  If he got a scholarship to a power 5 school he might have never seen the field as a QB.  His game might have been so raw compared to the others in the QB room that the coaches might have converted him to TE before he even got a chance to show much growth.  Thus, Wyoming was the best fit.  They gave him a chance to shine.  The 2018 Bills were much like the 2015 Wyoming Cowboys.  A great place for him to grow.  His "bloom where you are planted" mantra serves him very well.  

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  12. One could make a flow chart of possible outcomes for plays where a QB faces pressure.  From disastrously bad to fantastically good.  My sense is that Josh has developed his game to the point where he has skewed the outcomes toward the good end in a big way.  I would like to see the analytics applied to that.

     

    injury

    bad throw pick 6

    strip sack fumble lost

    int that hurts

    sack with big loss

    int that is punt-like on 3rd or 4th down

    sack minor loss

    escape throw away

    escape-complete pass or scramble positive run

    escape-extend-big play

    escape-extend- TD!

     

     

     

     

  13. 9 minutes ago, beebe said:

    Chiefs fan here. Congrats on the win. I am not at all surprised Buffalo beat KC. The Bills are simply the better, more complete team right now, and are possibly a better version of the Chiefs team that won the Super Bowl two years ago. 

     

    Buffalo has been building toward this for a few years now. And with this cakewalk schedule — this is not a knock, the Bills are outperforming expectations in their last four games by every measure regardless — it is allowing them to save their best stuff for when it matters. I have little doubt the Bills were strategically hiding stuff the last two weeks as they steamrolled overmatched opponents. And in the end, everything the Bills did worked on the biggest stage against the Chiefs. 

     

    "KC is too talented to stay down for long." That's what everybody keeps saying. And while I tend to agree with that, the schedule outside of this week's game at Washington and the MNF game vs the Giants is unrelenting hell. At Titans. Vs Packers. At Chargers. Vs Cowboys. Two games against the Raiders. Two games against the Broncos. The "easy" games late are a home date with the Steelers and a late-season trip to Cincinnati. The Chiefs look exhausted. They are taking every team's best shot, and every team — Buffalo included — is showing them stuff they've never seen before. Meanwhile, the Bills are likely to coast to the #1 seed in the AFC (the Ravens have the most realistic chance to compete with them for it.) 

     

    I think the Bills have built a team that matches up well with KC. I thought that last year too. As traumatized as Buffalo fans were last year after the regular season defeat vs KC, I viewed it as a positive. The Chiefs "dominated" the game, and yet the possession count was super low, and as a result the Bills were able to stay close enough to give themselves a chance. A late Chiefs fumble that they got back nearly proved the difference. 

     

    The playoff game, I felt the Bills were in trouble as soon as I saw the ref assignments. The Vinovich crew doesn't throw flags. That played right into the Chiefs' hands. Oppositely, when I saw the Cheffers crew was doing the SNF game, I felt like it played into Buffalo's hands—as they are the anti-Vinovich crew. (As it turns out, they were terrible both ways.) 

     

    Anyway, I was at the game and had a few Buffalo friends with me. It was one of the most miserable losses I've ever endured as a fan in that stadium. Between the beat down, the weather delay, the Chiefs falling to 2-3, the Bills looking like clear AFC favorites, on and on — it was not fun. But I don't think the Chiefs are paper tigers just yet. They'll get a little healthier on D, the offense hopefully will get a few leads and won't have to press as much, and in the end we just might have an AFC title game rematch, but in a different stadium. Good luck!

    High level fandom in this post.

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