Thurman#1

I know it, that's some trick getting arrested in July of 2026. Guy must be fast like Superman going forward in time like that.

It's not bizarre at all. Most all of that relates far more to how the game has changed over the years. Yes, a lot of the older guys have numerically similar INT totals. But that relates more to how the game has changed than anything else. You mentioned that the INTs were similar for Brady and Allen in their first eight years. Well, first Brady didn't actually become Tom Brady till about six years or seven years had passed. Till then he was mostly a game manager. But ignoring that, in Brady's first year he threw almost no passes from his spot on the bench, so you have to throw that year out. In his second year, he was tied for 19th highest in terms of INTs in the league, throwing less INTs than Trent Green, Peyton Manning, Kurt Warner, Aaron Brooks, Jon Kitna, Tim Couch, Jay Fiedler, Chris Weinke, Brian Griese, Doug Flutie, Elvis Grbac, Kerry Collins, Brett Fabre, Jake Plummer, Christ Chandler, Vinny Testaverde, Mark Brunell, and Daunte Culpepper. 18th highest in INT percentage. Here are Allen's rankings by year in terms of INTERCEPTION PERCENTAGE, the stat that best compares how many INTs you are throwing compared to your contemporaries. And to state the obvious, the higher you are the worse you did, in this stat. Josh: 2018 2nd (awful, but he was a rookie, you can't fault him) 2019 17th average, not bad 2020 23rd. getting better, pretty good 2021 15th slightly below average 2022 11th not good, below average 2023 3rd. awful 2024 33rd. really good 2025 11th not good, below average Not particularly good, and he got worse in the second half of his career Brady: (1st year 3 attempts, 0 INTS, statistically insignificant), but then 18th, 25th, 25th, 28th, 18th, 25th, 31st Do you not see the difference there? Brees: (rookie year 27 attempts 0 INTS, statistically insignificant), but then 16th, 5th, 31st, 17th, 26th, 22nd, 13th, 27th Do you not see the difference here too? He did have that awful year in his 3rd, but after that not one year in the top 16 and four of the last six not lower than 22nd. It's a legitimate problem with Josh. Can he improve? Likely. But we'll have to see.

It's not late yet. I'll be a bit surprised if they haven't done it by July.

Nuggets. Sabres. Celtics and Yankees. Red Sox also.

Oh, very cool!!!!! Always great to see this kind of thing.

No, lack of a pass rush. And the Kansas City Chiefs on offense and defense. And last year at Denver those two offensive turnovers that gifted Denver with two field goals with just about zero defensive responsibility on those drives. We would have won 30 - 24 in regulation without those two Denver FGs, and both were all on our offense. It didn't help, mind you, our bad rush defense. And it lost us some games in season. But no, it wasn't the reason Josh hasn't won one.

It won't be min deals, but on the smaller side, yeah. Those three seem like good possibilities to me. Still lots of spaces to fill for competition and depth. Not going to change as long as there's a salary cap and we're not in Los Angeles or New York. Every team has those guys.

I'd put the chances around 90% - 95%.

Wonderful stuff, Bill. Thanks for all you do.

Anyone draft an RB? Yeah, of course. Beane this year and in this situation? Can't see any need, myself. Anyone draft an FB? Yeah, of course, though not many. It's rare and the lack of demand means you can get the guy you want as a UDFA a lot of the time. Beane this year and in this situation? Maybe, late, if the cards fall right.

Trade back and get an edge rusher, maybe Malachi but someone to rush from the edge.

Not a lot of money to be saved. Kyle Allen is making $1.6M per year. There's a very good chance a day 3 guy would be more awful this year. Down the road as he catches on, those odds could definitely change.

I live far away also, but IMO it's exactly living far away that makes me accept it. If I lived in Buffalo and still had to suffer through this crap I think I'd have a different attitude.

Josh has always had many drops and likely always will. He throws an extremely hard, fast ball. Ah, I see others got there before me. But this is a major factor.

On social media, maybe. And there are a few high-level folks in our country working to use spin and distraction instead. But it's not dead. It always comes back. And while I haven't seen anything but those two or three photos, that hug looks awkward as hell, not a romantic one. I don't see anything especially damning there. It'd depend heavily on context.