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Alphadawg7

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Posts posted by Alphadawg7

  1. 14 hours ago, GoBills808 said:

    that was the second to last TD

     

    we scored our final TD on first and 10...and apparently he did say it


    Gotcha, maybe I remember the down wrong, but not the time.  There was time for maybe 2 plays if we don’t score there on a down by 4 situation.  I still don’t believe he said it, at least not in a serious way.  Maybe he sarcastically said it, but there’s no way a coach down 4 in an elimination game is going to mess around and wait to come down to just one play to survive or go home if he has multiple shots at it.  Especially when scoring puts us up 3 making losing a long shot.  

  2. 6 hours ago, transient said:

    He reportedly said it after 13s. There were 13s left on the clock when the offense score. If he in fact said it, it's an absolutely absurd thing to say.


    He didn’t say it on the 13 seconds, at least I don’t believe it.  We scored on 4th and 13, wasn’t much to do there take time off the clock, it’s a must convert play and if you got the TD you take it as there won’t be more than a chance or two after to even try for a TD.  So I don’t believe at all any HC would say on 4th and 13 with 20 seconds left in the game we “scored too fast” as a criticism to the offense.  
     

    This is just rumor nonsense as far as I’m concerned.  
     

    Every HC in the world takes the TD there 100% of the time.

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  3. 6 hours ago, Ray Stonada said:

    This came up in the Knicks thread, I think it's a good question:

     

    Why don't more QBs take a serious pay cut to have a better chance to win a Super Bowl? I would happily earn 40/million a year instead of 60/million if it upped my chances of getting a ring by 35-40%. Lifelong happiness of accomplishing the ultimate. 

     

    This is probably why I'm not a billionaire (hahaha), but if you have 10 million dollars in the bank, I don't feel like money should be your prime motivating factor. Ultra-wealthy people and their chlidren are not happier than people who make enough to live comfortably, from what I see. 

     

     

     

    This poll is missing a lot of on info and context.  I mean its also not nearly as cut and dry as people think. 

     

    First - These players dont see anywhere near the "contract" numbers.  Between agents, managers, and taxes what they actually put in their accounts isn't nearly the flashy numbers we see on the cap.  Their careers are short, and can be ended on any play in any game.  They are setting them and their families up for life with income that isn't assured to continue past tomorrow.  Family first. Always.

     

    Then you have young rising player vs a player near end of his career who already made a lot of money - 2 different decisions.  If I am younger in my career and haven't made a ton of money yet, I am not taking that much of a discount.  I will do a hometown discount, but not $20M a year.  If I am at a point I can see the end of my career coming sooner rather than later and already made a lot of money for my family, then sure, I would take a steep cut to try and win a championship.

     

     

     

     

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  4. 28 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    Call it a feeling. I never believed that they would run with Coleman/Palmer opposite Moore. I just assumed it would be Cooks. Maybe I’m wrong and they really do leave it as is. You’ll notice, I have no yards for Palmer as he goes out in this scenario. 


    They are fully committed to Keon getting every chance to secure that role.  Will he is another story, but it’s for sure plan A.  
     

    Palmer is hard to move this year contract wise, so while it wouldn’t surprise me if was cut or traded, I remain skeptical.  And there is no Diggs reunion without him gone.  

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  5. As I said in the other thread, sometimes good people make dumb decisions and the consequences they did not really consider catch up to them.  Othertimes its bad people doing bad things and the consequences catch up to them.  I don't know Ruggs, so I don't which is more applicable to him...but I do know that people deserve second chances when they make an immature decision and a bad mistake.  That being said, glad his parole was denied because the victims still and their families still deserve justice too.  So he shouldn't get to start that 2nd chance early either, not when death was a result of your bad decision.  He can wait until August 2027 before he gets to start that 2nd chance.  

  6. 22 minutes ago, Sierra Foothills said:

     

    Good.  What he did was dumb and a bad thing happened...I won't condemn someone forever for that kind of mistake where they didn't consider the consequences.  And pretty much everyone growing up did some stupid stuff where we were lucky something bad didn't happen.  Maybe Ruggs is a good person who made a bad mistake, or maybe he is a bad person whose actions caught up with him...I don't know him so I don't have any frame of reference on who he is.

     

    What I do know, is that like anyone who makes a bad mistake, the deserve a 2nd chance to be a better person after.  But the families are also still due justice for the loved ones they lost.  So I don't think he deserves an early start to his 2nd chance either.  He should just stay until his scheduled release in Aug 2027.  I support him getting a 2nd chance then, but not a day earlier.  And if he is a good person who made a bad mistake, he will still have plenty of life and time to make the most of that 2nd chance.  And if he is a crap person, then I am sure he will blow that 2nd chance quickly too.  

    • Like (+1) 1
  7. 21 hours ago, BillyJoeBills said:

    How many times did we see Mahomes escape the pocket around Epenesa’s left end and get a first down.  After a while you know where Mahomes is running, but it never registered with Epenesa.  Mahomes will miss him when we meet up with KC, but we definitely won’t.

     

    That was scheme more than anything.  

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  8. 3 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

    If we do end up signing Diggs, and I'm no longer totally discounting the possibility, I think it would mean Palmer is done here. Makes no sense to keep 6 WRs when none of them contribute to special teams. Palmer is the most obvious candidate to get jettisoned. If we cut him now we'd save $2.3M in 2026 cap space. If we can somehow convince a team to trade for him we'd save $10.1M in cap space. Maybe if push comes to shove we can send a team a 2027 7th rounder to take him off our hands if we really need the cap space.

     

    I don't like Diggs the person but as a player he is for sure better and more reliable than Palmer even at this stage of his career. Moore, Diggs, Shakir, Kincaid would suddenly give us a pretty formidable top 4 especially when combined with our run game. It's not a group that would break records but it would be many times better than what we've surrounded Allen with the past few seasons.

     

     

    Yeah I cant see a world where Diggs, or any other WR, comes here if Palmer is still on the roster.  I would take Diggs over Palmer too...but Diggs burned bridges here, its one thing to want to come back when you dont have a job, its another to be happy in an offense you werent happy in last time you were here, and its an entirely other thing for the team/organization to want him back at this stage between how he left and all the off field drama that follows his off field life.

     

    I think the odds are low he ends up here without an injury maybe upping the interest.  Won't rule it out, no doubt they want win it all THIS season, but still feels unlikely to me today without any injuries opening the door a little more.  

    • Agree 1
  9. 19 hours ago, HappyDays said:

     

    It starts with effort. I don't hide the fact that I really liked him as a prospect because I thought with some serious work ethic his physical gifts could turn him into a high volume outside WR. But the work ethic hasn't been there. Hopefully he's gotten a wake up call.

     

    I unfortunately can't put too much stock in these reports because we heard similar glowing reviews throughout OTAs and camp last year. That's two years in a row where Coleman showed promising signs early before hitting a wall of adversity and never finding his way back. This year he has to prove he can sustain some measure of reliability. I'm rooting for him.

     

    I had Keon as my WR6 in that draft, and liked the pick too for similar reasons.  BUT - you are also spot on, the effort has to be there in the season, not just reports in camp this year.  He was the "Best WR on the field" most of camp last year, had a big week 1, and when he wasn't a focal point every week his effort dipped and got him in the dog house and then his off the field lapses got him in more trouble.  

     

    He is an emotional player, he needs to not let his emotions dictate his effort.  He has to buy in fully and show it every down and the targets will come.  He was also having a break out in his rookie year where over the previous 5 games before getting hurt he was on a 1000+ yard season pace.  But when he came back, the offense had been clicking without him and he didn't really find his way back in right away and the rest of his season was (as he would say) A**.  

    So he has to find the effort, the explosiveness on every rep, not just camp and then entering the season almost feeling entitled to the targets and sulking, losing focus, reduced effort if its not immediately the number of targets he feels he "should" get.  There are a lot of mouths to feed in this offense through the air and the ground, he has to find a way to be comfortable some weeks his number is getting called a lot and others just may not work out that way.  

    • Like (+1) 5
  10. 9 hours ago, White Linen said:

    DJ Moore is so much better than most of our fans are anticipating.

     

    I would even go as far as to emphasize MUCH better than a lot of people are anticipating.

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  11. From a playing stand point, no one has worse stats than Nathan Pickerman.  

     

    Worse than that - Kolb ended his career slipping on a mat.  Leinart and Brohm being 1st and 2nd round picks never even being able to compete for playing time was pretty bad too.  

     

    Still Nathan was the worst QB on the field.

     

    Most damaging to the franchise:  Ryan Fitzpatrick and Trent Edwards are in a close battle...they gave just enough delusion and false hope to keep us in pergatory instead of aggressive in the QB market.  It was plain as day, every game they played, they were not the guy.  But the desperation let people see slightly less crappy play as hope, and that sunk us into a sink hole of winning just enough games to not get a good draft pick and losing just enough games to still suck and miss the playoffs.  

     

    I love Fitz - the person though.  

  12. 29 minutes ago, HappyDays said:

    Davis showed good progress last year. His carries went from being a waste of a down to being a solid contribution. That being said there is still a very sizable gap between him and Cook. Cook does better at turning nothing into something, he maximizes every available gap, and he's a threat to take it to the house on any given carry. So it's hard to justify reducing his snaps. Davis should stay hungry but I wouldn't change anything about their snap share from last year.

     

    I would much rather see a 1-2 punch and keep Cook fresher and less wear.  Cook runs a lot harder than people realize and he still doesn't have a huge frame.  Its in the Bills best interest to reduce his carries if Davis is being productive as well in those snaps.  Think of what Saints had for a long time - and that is the kind of offense I am expecting to see more of this year with Carmichael here.  Its going to be Brady's offense still, but I expect some of those Saints influences that Payton ran so successfully for years coming from Carmichaels experience.  

     

    Now if Davis doesn't live up to the task, I agree, dont take away Cook touches if Davis cant be effective.  But I am confident Davis can and will be in that role.  

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  13. 6 hours ago, T.E. said:

    Dude, the guy in front of you led the league in rushing last year. You're not getting a training camp competition with him for the starting job. Get real.


    Too many of you are not reading this correctly and jumping to extreme conclusions.

     

    He is not suggesting he’s expecting to compete to take Cooks job, he literally referenced how in year 2 he was on the outskirts of the offense and his role had been less than even his rookie year.

     

    Davis is talented, and I think what he wants is to be more a 1-2 punch with Cook, than just a guy with an occasional carry.  
     

    I kept telling people last year that nothing was wrong with Davis, he just wasn’t getting carries to get any kind of rhythm.  And that was proven right when he started popping again once he did get more snaps on series in bunches as the season went on.

     

    He should be frustrated with what his role was last year, I’d be a lot more concerned if he wasn’t.  It’s in the teams best interest to get him involved more (assuming he continues to produce when he is) and less wear on Cook.  


    And I 100% expect him to leave, and he should want too if he doesn’t get any relevant opportunities here.  But I actually expect we will see this be more of a 1-2 punch this year personally.  I think Cook is more that 1100 yard rushing season, and that would be a good thing if Davis can handle enough to make that a reality. 

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  14. 6 hours ago, Rochesterfan said:


    Sure, but do you know that the Broncos had several games just like the Bills game throughout the season.  Many late TDs or drives to tie and win the game.  It is not like Nix wasn’t experienced doing the same thing against KC twice last year, 2 4th quarter drives to tie and win against Houston, and 18 4th quarter points against Philly to pull that game out.

     

    People talk about how bad Nix is and how could the Bills give up the late drive to a bad QB, but Nix was actually very good late in games and finding ways to score and take the lead.  He was also very efficient at scoring after turnovers which the Bills gave him in droves.

     

    The end of the half decision was 100% an issue on Josh Allen’s part - it is like the Houston game 2 years ago.  You need a simple play from your all world QB - take a short pass just to get us moving and we will see, but Josh has it in his DNA to try and do it all and that leads to issues.  The Houston game he had guys open short and tried to fit throws down field - leading to a punt.  In the Denver game - if nothing was there he just needed to get rid of the ball, but decided to try and run.  
     

     

     

    I dont disagree with you here realy at all, I have liked Nix since he came out in the draft.  But, at some point in McD's career, his defense has to make a stop to win a game in the playoffs.  And even though Nix has positives about him in the things you have described, this was not a Mahomes led offense we were staring at either.  With a 4 point lead we did not even make it hard on them.  They marched the field with little resistence from us and that has been the calling card of McD denfenses in our playoff losses.  

  15. 1 hour ago, BullBuchanan said:

    McD may have had a say in personnel, but the scouting and ranking was all done by Whaley. He may have given McD some choices to choose from, but there's a zero percent chance McD was running he board. He didn't and still doesn't have that expertise.

    Getting let go after the draft is not an indicator the GM didn't run the draft. Dorsey was fired after the draft, as was Adofo-Mensah

     

    Yeah that is why I said, McD ran with Whaleys team intel, but McD had a heavy hand in the final decisions on the picks.  

  16. 1 hour ago, folz said:

     

    Great post Alpha! I would only make the following corrections (my opinion only of course):

     

    • 13 seconds - all coaching...but also, Tre tearing his ACL and not being there didn't help.  
    • Beangals - the whole team was flat after the emotional drain of the season.  Guess that would be coaching, but a lot of extreme circumstances played into it.  BUT - this is an area where some falls on the roster, we were not built to win in tough weather snow games, we were too soft in the trenches.  Beane made toughness a focal point after this season.
    • Chiefs 2nd round - Injuries - we had literally no linebackers, all were hurt and we were starting guys who were on the counch weeks earlier.  Chiefs grossly outcoahced us and exploited it.  We were still a split second away from maybe winning that game when Jones blew up Dawkins to step on Allens foot on a go ahead TD to a wide open Shakir making him short hop it.  Then of course, Bass misses the tying FG too on the next play.  
    • Chiefs AFCCG - NFL/Refs a massive ref screw job.  Up 1 and in scoring range with a first down, Kincaid gets the first on 2nd down but the refs move the spot back.  Rather than challenge like we should have, we run a sneak and dont get it.  Then sneak again on 4th and DO get it but refs screw us and this allows an 8 point drive for KC to take a 7 point lead in the 4th.  This was at min an 11 point flip, or 15 point flip by the refs had we scored a TD in a game we lost by 3.  
    • Broncos - Refs/NFL (with a little of Allen on his bum foot) we were in position to win on a catch that gets ruled a turnover instead by the refs on another ref screw job.  

    Outside of 13 seconds, I wouldn't hang as much on coaching as you did, but I get it. Still...an excellent post.

     

     

    Thanks and I get your thining here.  But - Here is the issue on why I keep coaching so much involved in those outcomes.  Our defense in our playoff exit is giving up an offesnive efficienty the eclipses the greatest single season offense in NFL history.  Its substantially worse than our regular season games and other post season games.  And if you look at the Chiefs losses by themselves - in those 4 losses where we gave up an avg of 35 ppg, 3 times KC lost the very next week and averaged just 17 ppg in those losses.  The last AFCCG KC did not score 30 in any other game the entire season and postseason, but got 32 on us again.  And not only did they get that, but they were converting key downs with utter ease, no one near players.  KC had McD's number big time and that is 4 of our playoff losses right there.  

    Look at the Broncos game...their offense and Bo Nix are nothing to fear, but with 4 min left to go in the game, Josh Allen delivers a TD and a 4 point lead.  Our defensive response was to let a mediocre Nix led offense march the field for the must get TD and a 3 point lead forcing us into a place of having to kick a long FG to make OT.  And if you go back to the end of the half, Josh Allens fumble was one of the most unneccessary in history both by the decision to run a play by McD to Allens stupidity not just getting down when the play and half were dead and over.  

     

    So for me, coaching still very much was in play even when big events like injuries and ref stuff was in play in other games too.

    1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:

    I loosely use “great” or “elite” as top 5ish to top 7ish. For example, I’d say the Bills OL has been great recently. Poyer & Hyde were great. McCoy and Cook were borderline great. Diggs was for a period as well. 

     

    I think Cook has clearly established himself in the great category at this point, I think he gets the benefit of the doubt now.  He still needs to keep that play up and show it wasn't flukey, but based on his most recent body of work, that is pretty great.  Plus putting up the season he did after he got paid says a lot about him.  Agree on Poyer & Hyde, one of the best tandems in the league in their prime.  

    • Like (+1) 2
  17. 2 hours ago, NoSaint said:


    if he retired instead of the trade - do you give him a jacket based on 7 years?

     

    There are other guys with abbreviated years of top end play like Kurt Warner, Terrel Davis, etc are in the HOF...so I would say that had his career ended after the 7 years, he would be still be worthy of the cosideration and I think his chances would have been higher given how great his whole career was in Seattle, the presumed notion is that his high level of play would have continued had he not retired early.  So I think his odds would be greater personally.

  18. 3 minutes ago, BuffaloBill said:

    In the context of the podcast the bar was not HOF. It was players that can change a game and are known to do so regularly. To me this means players that other teams truly have to fully account for in a game plan. Cook may be there. Kincaid when healthy may be there. Is there anyone on defense you can say this of, maybe Benford?

     

     

    I agree with that, was disagreeing with the OP that it means HOF players.  

     

    Cook, Brown, Kincaid, Diggs, Beasley (he was a great slot guy for Allen), Benford, Oliver, and probably Bishop is approaching that this year...I think all have played at that level you are referencing.  All acquired by Beane via trade, draft, or FA.  

     

    I also think this gets over blown a lot too.  Baltimore has a top heavy roster and hasn't been as successful as we have and not been able to beat us.  They have more "great" or pro-bowl players every year compared to us, yet we score more points, have a better defense, a better record, and more playoff success.  That is a testimate to the depth our roster has, where Beane finds a lot of value.

     

    The reasons we have not made a Super Bowl are heavinly weighted on coaching, injuries, and ref screw jobs.  

    • 13 seconds - all coaching...but also, Tre tearing his ACL and not being there didn't help.  
    • Beangals - the whole team was flat after the emotional drain of the season.  Guess that would be coaching, but a lot of extreme circumstances played into it.  BUT - this is an area where some falls on the roster, we were not built to win in tough weather snow games, we were too soft in the trenches.  Beane made toughness a focal point after this season.
    • Chiefs 2nd round - Coahcing and injuries - we had literally no linebackers, all were hurt and we were starting guys who were on the counch weeks earlier.  Chiefs grossly outcoahced us and exploited it.  We were still a split second away from maybe winning that game when Jones blew up Dawkins to step on Allens foot on a go ahead TD to a wide open Shakir making him short hop it.  Then of course, Bass misses the tying FG too on the next play.  
    • Chiefs AFCCG - Coaching, especially defensive but also a massive ref screw job.  Up 1 and in scoring range with a first down, Kincaid gets the first on 2nd down but the refs move the spot back.  Rather than challenge like we should have, we run a sneak and dont get it.  Then sneak again on 4th and DO get it but refs screw us and this allows an 8 point drive for KC to take a 7 point lead in the 4th.  This was at min an 11 point flip, or 15 point flip by the refs had we scored a TD in a game we lost by 3.  
    • Broncos - Coaching, Allen, and Refs - Again, our defense lets a mediocre offense do what it wants.  Allen has some bone headed turnovers, and despite all that we are in position to win on a catch that gets ruled a turnover instead by the refs on another ref screw job.  

    I think the roster has been there many times and things like coaching, injuries, and refs made large impacts in our losses.  Mostly coaching, as in all our losses, our defense played at an atrocious level way worse than the reg season and other playoff games in those seasons.  And I think that sits a LOT with McD, way more than Beane IMHO.  

    • Like (+1) 2
  19. 1 hour ago, BullBuchanan said:

    It's absolutely ridiculous to suggest Sean McDermott, 4 months into his first head coaching gig had any idea who a 5th round linebacker was. Why do you think Whaley had trash drafts? he absolutely did not. His problem was he didn't hit at QB.

    Moving on from GMs after the draft isn't uncommon, because all the work has been done by the time the season ends. 

     

    I agree and disagree with you here.  

    1. Part I disagree on:  McD absolutely had a heavy hand in his first draft, Whaley was let go the day after the draft and replaced with Beane.  McD used Whaley's intel and research I am sure, but he still very much had a lot of input on that draft.
    2. Part I agree on:  Whaley gets remembered in an exaggerated negative light where his biggest issue was not landing the QB.  His actual drafts were not as bad as people say they were, and even the QB situation was a bit of unfortuante timing of what was available when they were looking.  There was not a lot for him to get at QB, and when Rex got here, he is the one who was all about Tyrod.  In fact, Whaley was pushing hard for Mahomes in that draft, but they didn't want to invest in a QB off the old regimes intel, and decided to wait for the next year that was already lookng like a loaded class (which it was).  

    So yeah, I don't think anyone saying Whaley had trash drafts is an accurate portrayal of the Whaley era.  

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