Alphadawg7
-
Posts
24,971 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by Alphadawg7
-
-
8 hours ago, finn said:
Yes, Allen doesn't get enough blame for his part on missed throws. Although he's done miracles with his accuracy overall, he's still no Brady or Marino, whose ball placement were things of beauty. I wouldn't say Allen is inaccurate by any means, but his strengths lie elsewhere.
What I don't get is why his receivers can't get open even when Allen buys them enormous amounts of time. You see them out there running INTO coverage or just jogging around aimlessly. How hard can it be to run to the open field or come back to your quarterback or just sprint upfield?
That is the real big difference right now IMO is that this iteration of the WR room doesn’t seem to be able to do much on the scramble drill when Allen buys time. It’s such a big part of Allen’s game too, and I think it’s a big part of what the staff is unhappy with about Keons effort consistency, like he doesn’t seem to really push himself in those moments.-
1
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, finn said:
A receiver being "open" is not as simple as it appears. It's not enough to "be open" at some point; you have to be open when the quarterback is looking your way. Very often, Allen appears to be looking at Coleman, even waiting for him, then turning to his next read because Coleman is glued to the receiver or not looking back (or both). In those cases, it doesn't help if Coleman breaks free two beats later because Allen has already made his decision. That's why timing and being in synch with your quarterback is so critical. Remember all those back-shoulder throws to Diggs that were virtually impossible to defend? Allen threw half a dozen of them to Coleman early in the season, and I think he caught just one. The other times he wasn't looking back, hadn't made his break, allowed the DB to make the play, or dropped the ball.
The only thing I've seen Coleman to well is climb the ladder for the ball. Throw it way above his head and he'll go get it. Route-running, slants, comeback routes, even jump balls with DBs, he's at best mediocre. Blocks ok, I'll give him that. And sometimes--not usually--he can get open on fire drills.
I'm not giving up on him because who knows? But he has an awful lot of work to do.
This is a fair take and I agree with your core point for sure. I do still think there are more opportunities to get Keon the ball that we either haven't taken or we just are not using him in a way to do so.
I want to see more slants, comebacks crossers, etc. I will also say this, many of the passes Allen attempted to get to Keon on those back shoulder throws or "50/50" balls have been poorly thrown and put in places that greatly reduced the chances to complete. Allen often throws them with the wrong trajectory, puts in a harder to catch spot, or in a place where the defender can easily disrupt or defend.
So if we are going to run those back shoulder or 50/50 balls as often as they have tried to do them, then Allen, Brady, Keon, etc need to study how other tandems do it well and consistently. Like study Davante Adams both with Rodgers and Stafford for example. We as a whole have been trying to execute these poorly, and its both issues with Allen, the play design and Keon. We just do not execute these attempts with any consistency that will raise conversion probability. And I am not putting it all on Allen, plenty of times Keon also didn't do his part properly too. But its a collaborative failure between poorly thrown balls, poor play design, and poor execution by Keon.
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Matt_In_NH said:
Not saying this does not happen but it is against the rules to do that while a player is on waivers
Ah, was not aware of that, thanks for clearing that up
-
10 hours ago, Richard Noggin said:
I don't see a McD team with a healthy Josh Allen and James Cook going 2-3 to close out the season, but as you've noted, their inconsistency does not slam the door on that possibility. And the matchups against Cinci, New England, and Philly are all potentially dicey.
We've been worse off at this point in previous years ('21 and '23) and still closed out the regular seasons strong (a McD team trait), one time fielding (in '21) the best consecutive passing offense performances in playoff history, I think? That 2021 team was offensive shite at this point in the season, and then lost again but at least woke up in the 2nd half of that 6th and final loss to Tampa. So there is precedent for the Bills and Allen to lock in from here out.
In 2025, however, unrelenting, impactful injuries, and critical coaching and execution errors could be mitigating factors that finally disrupt the Bills' history of late season excellence.
For the record, I do still expect to be in the playoffs. If was going to wager on if we do or don't, I would be betting we would. That being said, my confidence in this team is at maybe the lowest it has been since Allen reached elite level play.
Unlike many others, the Steelers game really concerned me, that did not look like a playoff team offensively to me. Everyone is riding the spin and hype train because our ground game had such a good game, but we ran 2 plays essentially the whole time. TJ Watt even said he never seen anything like that, where a team kept running the same plays and the defense couldn't adjust and stop it. If you stop there, sure, that seems great, like Brady found a weakness and exploited it. On one level, that is essentially true. The bigger issue I have is that nothing else was working, the offense still struggled a lot in the passing game and any other type of offense outside those couple of run plays. So I didn't coming away feeling good about the offense as I don't think it actually looked good and we more got lucky the Steelers couldn't answer the call to those same couple of plays.Our defense looked great, but the Steelers offense was anemic and got worse in game losing Rodgers. Its hard to come away feeling like this is what we can expect more of given all the season long issues the defense has had, not to mention losing Bosa now too for some period of time. If not for the reeling Steelers offense, we might have been down 3 scores by halftime against another opponent between the turnovers and how bad the offense played.
This is honestly the first time in the Allen era where I don't have confidence in this team going on a run down the stretch. I am not saying we can't, but in seasons past I have gone on record we would win out and we did. This year, feels like it can go either way any given week right now, no matter the opponent.
Brings me back to where I said I was last week - I am in the mindset that as of now, everyone is fired, full regime change - BUT they all have 1 shot to win their jobs back, and that is find a way to win the SB this year. If not, its time for a sweeping change.
-
1
-
-
8 hours ago, The Jokeman said:
Imagine had Cleveland drafted Saquon #1 overall and Josh #4 overall.
Imagine if Cleveland just kept Baker lol
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Jrb1979 said:
I can them getting in. They can easily win that division. It's not like Baltimore or Pittsburgh is playing that great. .
This is the playoff bracket I finished with.
You have the Bills missing the playoffs?
-
On 12/3/2025 at 2:55 PM, GreggTX said:
It seems that Tomlin's days in Pittsburgh could be over soon. If a new regime steps in, they may be anxious to wheel and deal to get up the draft board to land their next QB. If you, in Beane's place,were in a position to make what you considered a reasonable trade or signing of any one player on that roster, who would it be? In the immediate future, I'd select TJ Watt, but DK Metcalf is 4 years younger. Anybody else? Heyward? A CB?
DK’s contract is gross.-
2
-
-
16 hours ago, Richard Noggin said:
Using dumb ESPN's playoff simulator, I ran through the last five weeks of the season without thinking too much, just picking each game as objectively as I could. Here was the result (only took me a couple minutes):
I hate it a lot, tbh. So many bad matchups for the Bills.
In my simulation, for what it's worth, the Bills lose the next two and then win the last three. I really hope that isn't what actually transpires, but going 3-2 the rest of the way IS reasonable. Could also see arguments for going 4-1, which would have interesting ramifications. for the rest of the AFC.
What bracket do YOU come up with after picking the last five weeks of the season? (I tried not to think about any future implications when picking. And I tried to apply an ugly level of objectivity.)
I have a hard time buying that the Bengals get in and the Colts or one of the other AFC teams don't. Especially given Bengals have to win out to even have a chance and they face Bills and Ravens next 2 weeks. Not to mention they were not winning before Burrow got hurt either. They need to win out and other teams need to nearly lose out for them to get in.
-
I had expected him to land with Ravens, Pats, Niners, or Chargers personally. But Broncos makes sense too, just thought those other teams could use the help more.
-
I’d probably keep only one - Bosa. But if it’s two; then the only 2 with any value are Bosa and Shaq. That being said, I’d be ok with None too.
-
Well it certainly helps your pass defense statistics when your run defense is so bad that my 94 year old Grandma can go for 70+ yards and a Tuddy. That being said, its also not a surprise, we usually fare pretty well in pass defense statistics every year - atl least until we play Andy Reid in the playoffs and McD and his Defense who seem to have no answers for the Chiefs offense even when their offense is having a down year.
-
1
-
-
7 minutes ago, boyst said:
if....big IF... we can get our ends back like we need by the playoffs & Ed can come back for at least the AFCC that will really help. the road to the playoffs will go through a few teams that would need him but ultimately start with at Baltimore or at Jacksonville. There's a big hill to climb to get out of the #5 seed.
If we can get those cylinders firing on defense, continue to use good rotations with the CB's and safeties we may be able to shore things up. Damar Hamlin could be elevated, as well. I know that scares a lot of people but he is consistent even if below average to the hopes and dreams of all those here.
Yeah, I am not saying we can't - and I certainly hope we do. But this is more about my confidence in if we will. I have in the past seen things out of this team after mid season slumps to where I have gone on the record with a thread predicting we would win out, and we did every single time. This year though, something is off with this team.
Just feels like there is less fire and fight in this team than years past. Allen seems off still - he looks less decisive, slower to evade and escape, less explosive with his legs, etc. The team was completely anemic the first half of football, I was at the point of ready to clean house at half time, especially with how defeated McD sounded being interviewed as he left for half time.
As far as injuries go, I agree if we get some of those guys back we could see a boost. But, at the same time, many of the issues were there when those guys were not hurt too. I also think our biggest loss was Hoecht who is out for the season. And will the coaching staff have the balls to play the guys playing better when everyone is healthy, like Shaq for example at LB.
Rooting for a win out and strong playoff run for sure -I just lack the high confidence this year that I have had in previous seasons at key turning points. Now we go out and look good and beat the Bengals I will start feeling a little better about it.
-
1
-
-
Can we? Yes of course, and we have done it multiple times before. Did Sunday's game boost my confidence in them doing that this year, no it did not.
The team I watched on Sunday did not look like a team that I would be comfortable wagering on to win out. The offense was atrocious first half and then found some life only because we kept running the same running play over and over again with success, TJ Watt literally said he never seen anything like that before. Outside the same running plays over and over again, the rest of the offense did not look good again. And while the defense was dominant, beating up on a bad Steeler offense doesn't suddenly make me forget all the issues the defense has had all year to where I think this is what we can expect week to week.
To again answer the title of this thread - Yes, the Bills certainly can, and have done it before. But - my confidence in them being able to do it isn't as high as its been in the past when facing this potential. The team has been so Jeckyl and Hyde this season that its hard to know what we can expect week to week.
Four things concern me still right now:
- Brady's predictability
- Too many turnovers
- Undisciplined mistakes
- Defensive consistency
I hope they use this game to go on a run, and Bengals will certainly immediately test that. But, I would be lying if I said I was highly confident in us doing it this year.
-
Super stoked we won - but taking off homer glasses and being unbiased, the team I watched play on Sunday didn't look like a team that can win out. 2 things happened that game that are pretty hard for me to come away feeling confident about on a weekly basis.
- How the offense produced - The offense greatly benefited from the Steelers offense being so bad and not capitalizing on all our mistakes and turnovers. But the more concerning thing for me was that the only way we could move the ball effectively was to keep running the same run play over and over again. Even TJ Watt said he had never seen anything like that where a team kept running the same play and they couldn't adjust or stop it. The rest of the offense was pretty bad again outside the success we kept having running the same runs over and over again. So I did not come away from this game feeling better about the offense personally. I still have a lot of concerns about Brady, I mean the first half was atrocious again, we were just lucky Steelers couldn't capitalize more.
- Our defense was dominant - great to see, but nothing about this defense overall this year makes me feel like what we saw on Sunday is something they can expect week in and week out. I hope they do, but after the season the defense has had, I can't just suddenly expect to see this kind of performance week to week and against better teams. So for me, I need to see the defense string together a series of games before I start buying maybe its figured something out.
A win is a win, so very happy we beat the Steelers. But I would be lying if that game boosted my confidence back up. I hope they build on it for sure, but I didn't leave that game feeling like we turned a corner and about to go on a tear. We very well might, not saying we can't as we have done it before, but just saying how I felt after watching that game and what this team has looked like the past 8 weeks that resulted in a 4-4 record.
-
3
-
I mean you pretty much loaded up the answers here to get what you want. Not really a fair selection of choices so I will refrain from voting.
-
1
-
2
-
1
-
-
4 hours ago, FireChans said:
They did try.
Maybe I am misremembering, but I don't recall them making any credible offers to him. I could be wrong, but they should have tried harder.
-
1
-
-
4 hours ago, H2o said:
Minnesota should have kept Darnold. The blew it and set their franchise back another 3-5 years. Now Jefferson will want out too.
It was insane they didn’t try and keep Darnold IMO. I get it if someone out bids them, but they didn’t even try and banked on an unproven rookie coming off injury with no contingency.-
1
-
-
6 hours ago, HappyDays said:
That TD was all Allen, pump faking a free rusher and then making a sick jump pass. All Coleman had to do was run through the zone into open space. To his credit he caught a pass that hit him in the hands which was not a guarantee.
No offense, but you don’t really leave any room for anyone else to get any credit when they do something by talking like this. He got open, he caught the ball. The thing you and everyone else says every day he can’t do.I don’t know what Coleman can be, but I know what he has been has not been good enough so far. So I’m not here to make excuses for him. But at the same time, it’s such a waste of energy to spend so much time trying to take away from him anything he does positive like you’re attempting to do here.
It’s fine to still doubt him, not have confidence in him, etc. It’s another thing to go out of the way to discredit anything positive he does just to maintain that opinion.
He made a big play in a big moment when this team really needed it. Just let the kid have that, why try and take that away, makes no sense.
Let’s just hope he builds on it, hope Brady finds better ways to get him involved…because we will be a better football team if that happens. And who knows, maybe it’s more of the same issues moving forward that got him benched, if so, he probably won’t be on the team next year. But at least leave room for the kid to prove he has value to the team.
-
4
-
1
-
4
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:
The next time Elijah Moore is a positive for a team's offense it will be the first time in his NFL career. He has a CAREER 65.7 passer rating when targeted and was probably the worst receiver in the NFL to get regular snaps in 2024. There is a real chance he would have at least started the season on a practice squad this season if the Bills hadn't thrown him a lifeline. Allen ever trusting Moore was a stretch.
Additionally, it doesn't take much research to see that in Brady's first season as an NFL OC in Carolina he had two 1,000+ yard receivers plus an 800+ yard Curtis Samuel. None of which were superstars. This coming off having the greatest passing offense in the history of college football. But not running the ball enough was cited in his firing in Carolina.
I think people need to consider the fact that he is running what Josh Allen and McDermott want. A simple system. Which would probably work in spite of perceived predictability if the talent was right. Moore wasn't ever going to move the needle for this team but some of you just can't get over his draft pedigree.
Don’t lump me into the crowd that thought Moore was going to be some impact player here, cuz I’m not. But Moore provided more downfield potential than Samuel does as at least a threats.
Instead he was treated like he was McKenzie, and Samuel isn’t being used like he was in Carolina either. In 5 seasons between CAR and WAS when he was starting and healthy, Samuel averaged 796 yards a season. Including as you said his best one with Brady. But we just aren’t using him much either despite Brady’s familiarity with him and his time in the offense.
Point was, dividing snaps between Samuel and Moore was stupid, pick one and get them involved more. I don’t even care which one, I just felt Moore had more of a threat downfield at this point than Samuel.
I hope they use Cooks now more than Samuel for same reason - but we all know it’s not gonna happen.
-
1
-
-
To simplify the Moore stuff - he wanted more targets, an effort to get him involved rather than the tiny role he had. Not unexpected, it’s the issue with Brady’s offense and I had been saying for weeks stop trying to get every guy on the bench involved, especially splitting reps between Moore and Samuel, pick one and get that guy more involved in the offense. And that guy should have been Moore over Samuel.
-
2
-
1
-
1
-
2
-
-
1 hour ago, Kirby Jackson said:
We are saying different things. You’re talking about the Bills in relation to their opponents. I’m talking about the strength of their opponents. Whether the Bills are better or not next year isn’t what this thread is about. It’s about, “are the teams that the Bills are playing against better next year than the teams that they played against this year?” The answer to that is almost certainly. How will the Bills do next year? It depends on how much they improve. Strength of schedule is relevant regardless of how the Bills are.
If you dont know if the Bills are better or not next year - then you also don't know if the opponents are either.
2024 - Prediction: Struggles. Reality - one of best seasons in Bills history.
2025 - Prediction: Easy. Reality - 4 bad losses to teams we penciled in as wins.
Looking ahead really didn't seem to matter.
All good, I just think it is pretty see to start making conclusions and predictions this early on a future season before we know anything that is going to happen between now and then.
I mean who had the 2 conference leaders being the Pats in the AFC and the Rams in the NFC heading into week 13? Who had Ravens, Bills, Chiefs, Lions, Packers, Bengals, Commanders in week 13 either barely on the edge of the playoffs, currently out of the playoffs, or pretty much eliminated from the playoffs right now?
The combined record of all those preseason contenders and SB favorites right now is: 39-37 just 2 games above .500 a SOS consider some of the best teams in the NFL coming into the season. Meanwhile teams like Seahawks (+6000), Patriots (+8000), Colts (+10,000), etc are now amongst SB contenders, division leaders, and even a conference leader (Pats) with a combined record of 26-8.
Worrying or being excited about the next years schedule this early has little to no value.
-
19 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
What teams have Josh Palmer as the best outside WR on their roster? We aren't comparable to other teams Alpha. If the plan is "everybody eats" then everybody from the top of the room to the bottom needs to be capable of maximizing their opportunities. Moore clearly wasn't capable of that and there was never any reason to think that he would be. I'm not saying it had to be a big contract or a high pick but the WR5 for this team as constructed needed to be better than a former draft bust still available to be signed in late April.
I am just saying, on this roster WR5 is like 9th on the peking order of weapons. Expecting a team with a tight cap to fill in that spot with anything other than available players like a Moore is a bit unreasonable and unrealistic. Just because we failed to use him here, like we fail to use Samuel as well, doesn't mean he isn't good enough to be WR5. And its already come out that Moore wanted to be released as he wanted more opportunities.
Look at Samuel - in his 5 seasons starting for CAR and WAS averaged 796 yards a season. Yet he remains nothing here in this offense with Brady despite his single best season was with Brady in CAR. Diggs fell off a cliff production wise despite still seeing high targets under Brady, so much so that Shakir put up more yards on half the targets as Diggs.
At some point, people need to realize its more than offense than the player here. I am not defending Moore as if he is some pro-bowler getting shafted, I am saying for a position that is essentially not only last in line at WR, but like 8th or 9th in line in usage on this team of weapons you are not going to find much more invested into the position than we did. In fact, most teams guys at the end of their weapons list are a lot worse than Moore.
-
54 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
When you have a roster full of WR3s, WR5 absolutely IS an important role because they're going to get opportunities. I made this point in the offseason too. If you have Chase and Higgins you barely need to worry about even your WR3. But the less talent you have at the top, the more important it is that the talent at the bottom can make plays. Moore ended up getting significant snaps at the X spot this year and was a total void in that spot when we really needed him to step up and make a few plays for us. I never expected Moore to be able to do that though and it's criminal that Beane did.
Again, what teams fills WR5 with expensive contracts or high picks? WR5 is pretty much always filled by every team with developmental rookies or inexpensive and available free agents. So, we filled the WR5 spot with exactly the kind of player you fill a WR5 spot with, who in reality is like the 8th or 9th target on this team when you factor in Kincaid, Cook, Ty, and even Knox.
So I am not sure what you expect a GM to do, spend, or use on the 9th player in the offensive peking order.
-
24 minutes ago, Kirby Jackson said:
Not penciling in anything. All teams are NFL teams. Not all teams are equal NFL teams. If I told you next year, they can play at the Titans or at the Rams, you’d agree that those aren’t the same right?
This year they had statistically like a top 5 easiest schedule despite being a division winner. That has largely held true. These teams that they were playing that people expected to be bad, didn’t become good. They are largely what we thought (Jets, Saints, Dolphins, etc). We thought this was an easy schedule and it was. The Bills are the ones that have come up short. It isn’t that teams rose up above what we thought. The exception is New England and they did it with an even easier schedule (which everyone also saw a year out).
You and I are debating different things. You want to debate the SOS of last year and I am saying it doesn't matter what the perceived SOS is. And everyones optimism on the season CHANGED last year AFTER Diggs was traded and we drafted Keon and signed Mack. Everyone expected a REGRESSION last year going into the season...then we had the best offensive season in Bills history, still dominated our division and got on the door step of the SB until the refs flipped the game by 11-15 points in the 4th quarter stealing a first down from us, not once, but twice on the same series that took at least 3 points off our board, if not more, and gave KC 8 points instead.
So again, last year we were supposed to struggle and we excelled. This year you say our schedule was supposed to be a cake walk and we have blown 4 games to bad teams.
What value does guessing at our SOS have right now for next year? Seems like not much. And for record, I just said its pointless to get too up or down on the upcoming schedule this early. Its fine to look ahead, but I am more talking about the people who make too much out of it in the first place.
Bust or Breakout: Can Keon Coleman make an "Eric Moulds" style great leap forward
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Exactly, and look I love Allen as much as anyone, but one area he has really struggled with this year overall is ball placement and touch. Too many times he throwing passes on a line instead with the arc and touch to get over defenders on what would be big gains, even TDs on better thrown passes.
And on those 50/50 ones you are spot on, he’s doing the same thing there too often. Keon doesn’t get a pass, I feel like on some of throws Keon didn’t play the ball well either - in fact at times it’s like he doesn’t understand it’s meant to be a back shoulder pass and keeps running downfield allowing the defender to stay engaged to defend rather than realize he needs to come back at the ball and box out the defender from the pass. But many have just been poorly placed or bad trajectory by Allen from the get go too.