Alphadawg7
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Posts posted by Alphadawg7
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15 hours ago, Special K said:
Now that training camp is over, I thought I would bump each of my over/under threads so anyone who didn't get their votes in can do so before the regular season starts....I'll do it one at a time.
IMHO - The only reason it could be under is if injuries cause it. Keon has been the featured WR all camp and by all reports the best WR in camp. He was on pace for 1,000 yards last year before he got hurt against the Dolphins. And all everyone has talked about all offseason and camp is how Keon is not the same player and a lot better now than he was last year. Kincaid was slowed by knee issues last year too in his 2nd year and people forget as a rookie he had the 4th most catches for a rookie TE in history.
Now we are in year 2 of Bradys full offense, Keon and Kincaid are healthy and have more experience with Allen, and are both going to be focal points of the offense more so than even last year. So I have no doubts it will be over personally, assuming they don't miss time of course.
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2023 - Cowboys had the NFL leading passer, the #1 offense in the NFL, the #5 Defense in the NFL, Micah Parsons (on his rookie deal), and the NFL league leader in Interceptions. BUT - As soon as teams got ahead, they beat Dallas in embarrassing fashion and just neutralized the defense and Micah by running right at him (including the Bills).
Micah is not worth $47M a season - he is an elite pass rusher, probably best pure rusher in the NFL. But he is a liability the other half of the downs. He got $7M more than Myles Garrett a few months after Myles got his record deal. Thats is an insane jump for a guy who is without question not as good as Myles.
Now imagine if Micah was making $47M in 2023 - what players would they have not been able to afford if he was making that in 2023? In other words, that contract would have made that team worse that was already not good enough and exploitable on defense. GB was able to make their cap work this year and only lost 1 player, although it was a 3x pro bowl DT. I would say its a net gain though for GB this season, but that defense wasn't a "Micah" away from being elite either, especially when you factor in the loss of on the inside.
But, IMHO, this puts GB in a win it all now position, because if GB doesn't prove to be good enough this season, they are now in a severely different cap situation moving forward and now have a hole at DT to fill and also lack 2 first round picks for inexpensive opportunities to add more talent to a tight cap. If this roster can't get it done, improving it to get over humps gets harder now moving forward.
This feels like a boom or bust year for GB IMHO - if it works, 100% worth it no matter what happens in the years after. If it doesn't, it very well could be an anchor to their future. It will be interesting to watch
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I am up for bringing him in - Safety is the lone unsettled spot on this roster.
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1 minute ago, billsfan89 said:
Preseason is not an entertainment product is something people forget. It’s mostly for starters to shake some rust off and then for backups and PS players to get in reps to see if they can make the roster.I do hate how for season tickets they will make you buy the preseason games but that’s the cost of doing business no one forces people to get season tickets
Agree - And yeah in a perfect world preseason tickets would be cheap or free. But I know a lot of people at different places involved with NFL production and what a lot of people don't consider is that it isn't any cheaper for the NFL or teams to play a preseason game than it is a regular season game. In fact, its more expensive as the revenue on the games are lower while their costs are the same as they don't get the same ad rev rates, same amount of ticket sales, etc. Its a prime reason why the NFL wanted to shorten the preseason by a game and lengthen the regular season.
All the same expenses exist - team travel, stadium expenses, TV production, editing, in game analysts and commentary, etc etc while the revenue is less. And one of the ways to boost the revenue is to manufacture ticket sales though forced purchase when buying season tickets. If they didn't then by all accounts, the preseason games would be even more expensive as they would not likely replicate that ticket revenue through organic ticket sales.
If it were up to the NFL they would cut preseason even more and add another regular season game (something that has already been considered and still may be coming). But most teams and coaches are against that as they need these games to build rosters.
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3 hours ago, Blank Stare said:
All fair points in your reply. My contention is that we’d be playing with the lead quite often with a guy like Josh, allowing us to get the most out of him.
I am too. I think Hairston is going to be a player. I’m also really high on the two DTs based on what they showed in preseason. Imagine if Deone Walker is consistently anywhere near the problem he was for offensive lines in preseason. 🤤
Yeah I am really high on both TJ Sanders and Walker. I think both will make strong impacts this year, and if they are impacting the game guys like Oliver and our edge guys like Groot, Bosa, etc are all going to be better. And if a guy like Walker can command double teams it also makes life better for Bernard and Milano. And that dominos to the secondary, if we are being more disruptive upfront it makes life better on the secondary.
The counter balance to that optimism is that they are still young, we are still playing in a rotation, but I do think they are going to be impactful as rookies. And our 2 guys coming off suspension after week 6 are guys who will contribute as well and will be coming in with fresh legs.
So I am pretty optimistic right now about our defense, even with my concerns at Safety.
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5 hours ago, twist_to_open said:
Agree, but PFT reported the average viewership for the preseason has been the highest it's been in years. Guess it proves we'll watch anything NFL related.
Exactly, plenty of people want to see the young guys, camp battles, etc. But some people are complaining about the games being "unwatchable" when the purpose of the game is about player evaluation, not entertainment. And there are a lot of people who do find camp battles, young guys, players battling for a roster spot, etc interesting still and entertaining even though the reason these games exist are for the coaches and GM's to put together their rosters.
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6 hours ago, RangerDave said:
And yet, they charge full price for tickets to these games
And yet you don't have to go.
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49 minutes ago, Special K said:
Nowadays, if a player has a hangnail during the preseason, he is on the shelf for weeks....
Preseason is getting harder and harder to watch......thankfully, its almost time for some real games with the real starters.
Go Bills!!!
Keep in mind, preseason isn't there to entertain and be watched by fans, its to evaluate guys trying to make a roster or fight for starting spots or roles.
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24 minutes ago, Blank Stare said:
Greg Tompsett from Cover 1 showed how we could’ve made it work with our cap. Yeah, it would’ve been steep, but worth the swing for me.
We already have the franchise QB. He needs help and the defense typically wilts in the biggest games, failing to get home. Parsons would’ve solved that for us and then some. For years we’ve lacked a legit answer to our pass rush. Sick of watching Mahomes prance around untouched or unfazed in the biggest games.
Dont get me wrong, he would have helped us from a player stand point. And I have been very vocal about how our D is our biggest issue. But I also don't think he is worth that much money and how it would impact the roster moving forward.
I also am high on our draft class on the D this year personally. I think we were right there last year, and honestly the refs flipped the game 11-15 points in the middle of the 4th in a game we lost by 3. So we were the better team last year IMHO and I think we got better this offseason than we were last year.
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1 hour ago, The Jokeman said:
They aren't over paying Jordan Love who to me is a good not great QB so can afford to add Parsons. I never said I'd make the trade for us but feel the Packers made a great move for their team.
Yeah they had a much different cap situation - so I get why they did it. But I see a lot of people on here thinking that was super cheap and we should have made the trade. So I was just saying that its more than the compensation for the trade, its affording the insane contract.
Personally, if you are going to pay a non-QB that kind of money, they better be god tier and have such an impact they can be attributed to several more wins a year. Micah isn't that guy, he is the modern day Derrick Thomas - a sack specialist who doesn't provide much to the defense outside that. And while I would love him on the team, he is no Myles Garret. I would rather have a Chris Jones than a Micah Parsons who also rubs people the wrong way reportedly too in the locker room with his off field public antics with his podcast and stuff.
Micah is an elite pass rusher, but he isn't some god tier player worth what he just got IMHO - and they also gave up 2 firsts and a good player.
TBH - I may be in the minority, but I think Dallas did this right. Dallas wasn't going to win it all with Micah, their defense sucks becuase they got a one trick pony star up front in Micah and CB who is flashy for INTs but gets torched a lot because he cares more about the INT than making the best play and gambles too much. Those were about to be their 2 highest paid players, and having them at their best hasn't resulted in their defense being much at all.
Dallas gets rid of what would have been a massive cap anchor, gets back a good player and 2 firsts for a team thats been towing the line of needing a mini retool/rebuild for several seasons now because its not working as assembled. And the only reason they haven't is Jerry is so desperate to win again before he dies, he keeps trying to force the square peg in the round hole trying to keep contending fearing the time to retool.
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2 hours ago, The Jokeman said:
Jeez Packers got a steal
2 hours ago, Blank Stare said:Yep. Would’ve done that deal all day!
They didnt just give up 2 firsts and a player, they also paid him $47m a year, that is a ton of cap space we dont have and franchise QB money for a guy who wont impact a game nearly as much as a franchise QB
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I like em 🤷♂️
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How many guys does this board have to demand we cut, deem worthless, etc just to see go have value somewhere else before they learn a little patience?
Its funny watching people piss and moan about the FO over a player who is trendy TSW whipping boy and call for that players head, celebrate his leaving the team, then to just piss and moan again about the FO getting rid of him the moment they provide any value anywhere else.
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Are we down to 53 yet? Does this mean we kept 6 WR's or are we still not down to 53
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Wonder where Micah is gonna stop today for his first basket of wings - Duffs, Anchor Bar, Bar Bill, Elmos, someplace else...
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There is some talk that Raiders and Pats are talking a Jakobi for Dugger trade - so wonder if this is a sign there may be something brewing on that
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Just now, Avisan said:
Just fell to my knees in a Wegmans
Get out of the mens rooms, those floors are gross 😂
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What did I miss? Was there a thread started and then merged here or something? If so what was the title of it before merging
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Shocker!
- said no one ever
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34 minutes ago, BuffaloBillyG said:
I'm thinking he's just here to cover for the PED guys. He'll be gone or on IR after that
Besides, what would a season be without pictures of him practicing in a parka?
I think this is the more likely case IMHO, but also wouldn't surprise me to see someone get traded either.
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I still don’t think he leaves Dallas. But if he they did trade him, I hope we are in on the talks
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There is so much arguing on so many things not Tre in this thread - can someone spare me the time or reading it all just tell me if there is update on his injury yet?
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Brian Robinson Jr reportedly headed to the Niners. Odd trade for both sides - Commanders with big playoff aspirations and Niners just traded away Mason who was one the most productive backs in the league last year when he started for them.
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2 hours ago, dave mcbride said:
The D and C had a story about it. Also, OF COURSE Beane is going to say that afterward. But he's no dummy - and there's no way he could believe that Cooper was a better solution to the Bills' WR problems than Adams. To reiterate, Adams is clearly the better player. It's not debatable.
Yeah, I realize that. I was just wondering whether their was a financial path to obtaining Adams. Maybe not, and I'm not one of those people who believe the cap is a fiction (it isn't). Ultimately, I was just thinking about what the eventual outcome would have been with Adams playing the X rather than Cooper. I think they would have beaten KC.
Never said Cooper was the better player. I said he was their target and the contract was specifically stated as why he was the target. Sorry bud, but the D and C and all kinds of media claim we make offers all the time that arent true.
So no disrespect, there is no credible evidence we ever tried to get Adams, or that it was a choice of who they like more Adams or Cooper. So again, you are free to your own opinions, and its all good, but IMHO there is almost no chance at all Adams was actually ever realistically in play due to the differences in contract.
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I feel more let down that we missed the chance to trade for Kenny Clark if he was on the market.
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
He was not available, this trade came about so fast that Clark actually practiced that same day of the trade which would have never happened if it was known then he was even being moved.
He got moved because they had a chance to get Parsons and it’s what Dallas wanted. He wasn’t being shopped from all the reports I’ve seen.
More importantly, we signed DTs and drafted 2, we were never going to trade for one even if he was available IMHO.