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Alphadawg7

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Posts posted by Alphadawg7

  1. 2 hours ago, Virgil said:

     

    Don't quote me, but I want to say that "experts" believe there's only 150 NFL prospects in this draft.  The Commanders can now select 11 of them.  If they really want to overhaul, they could.  It's a good draft for the offensive line, not so much for DE's or MLB though. 

     

    2 hours ago, mrags said:

    Thank you. We know we’re more than just 1-2 really good players away from being competitive at this point. We liked Maye and Daniels actually and thought about both at 2. But end of the day we have a ton of top 100 picks this year and already sitting on 4 picks in the first 2 round next year will get us a QB we like if we don’t get someone this draft at 12 or maybe later. 


    The issue is Commanders already have 6 picks in the first 3 rounds and 7 in first 150 picks coming into this draft.   So they don’t need to make this move to load up on more picks in this draft.  They can take a QB and still have 6 more picks in first 150.

     

    So I don’t know adding a few more and a couple next year is enough for them not to address the QB position with one of the QBs three hey are high on.  

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 16 minutes ago, Virgil said:

     

    My only argument with having this many picks, is that this is a crap year to have them.  With the NIL impact, this is a wickedly weak draft class.  With that being said, you have so many picks in the top 100, that it shouldn't impact you that much.  What sucks is, there are a few positions that don't even have first round grades, so building up the trenches and other areas, may not be great value in this draft.  


    Agreed.  This is what I meant by Wash would need more than this in real life because  they won’t care about all these day 3 picks this year. 

  3. McConkey is an easy choice for me as Legette has a lot more risk to me than McConkey.  Don’t get me wrong, he has a huge ceiling too and is an exciting prospect and I would be fine with him in the 2nd, but at 28 McConkey may be the most sure bet outside the big 3 in the draft to bring value and do it this year.  
     

    Legette was a ghost all of college until his 5th year where almost all his career production came from.  You don’t know which guy you’re getting and he isn’t as polished in a lot of the areas McConkey is.  Legette does have elite potential still, I just think its gonna take a season or two for him to really put it all together (assuming he does), so I won’t hate drafting him at 28 if he was the pick, but I’d feel more confident in McConkey, especially in what he would do for us this year.  

    • Like (+1) 3
  4. 5 hours ago, mrags said:

    I will be waiting until 12 tomorrow gathering my trade offers at this point. Unless someone comes at me with an offer too good to be turned down. So far the offered I’ve received don’t even cover the draft pick trade charts. At least be close with your offers people.  


    Obviously everyone free to operate how they want in this mock.  But I’d say there’s pretty close to a 0% chance Commanders trade this pick on Thursday.  They have locked down to take a QB.  

    • Agree 6
  5. 1 hour ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    I think he is a 5th round prospect. I would break my tv if the Bills draft him anywhere. But as much as I don't want it to happen I fear it is very much in play. He is their type, they have had him in the building.... but it would be a wasted pick.


    Im with you.  Like I said in another post,  I think he’s a round 4 guy who’s gonna go round 2 or 3 because the class is weak, so I am with you on that.

     

    I would break my TV if he was taken at 28!  But at 60 I could live with it even though there will be people there I would take over him I’m sure.  

  6. 52 minutes ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

    Oh I have been all about him for some time.  If he goes to KC, defenses are gonna pay.  

     

    He has pretty much the same build as Diggs, but everyone screams he is a 3rd or 4th round pick which is just dumb


    Whoever says he is a 3rd or 4th rounder doesn’t know how to analyze WRs.  No way he gets out of the 2nd round, and more likely goes somewhere between back half of first and first half of second.  
     

    There are a lot of teams who are high on him and he could be our pick at 28 even.  
     

    I have him 5th behind big 3 and Thomas personally.  

     

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  7. 3 hours ago, SoonerBillsFan said:

    I am on the McConkey train.


    Welcome aboard :) I’ve long been on the McConkey train, he’s WR5 on my board.  I would absolutely be good taking him at 28 or on a trade back.

     

    IMHO he has the highest floor outside the big 3 in the draft (followed by Polk in terms of high floor) and a safe bet to be a significant contributor year 1 IMHO.  

    10 hours ago, Warriorspikes51 said:

    Let's go Bananas....

     

    AZ Acquires
    #28

    #128

    2025 1st

    2025 2nd 

    2026 1st

     

    BUF Acquires

    #4

    #27

     


     


    I have never seen someone spew assets away the way you do.  This trade should and probably would get Beane fired.  

    • Agree 1
  8. 4 hours ago, GunnerBill said:

     

    It is a long developed history going back to Carolina though that they like long arms. Again Beane's drafting preferences are very Carolina. 34 inch plus arms are definitely a preferred trait for their edge guys. 

     

    Not saying they just pick guys on arm length but it IS a singificant factor in the edge guys they like IMO. 

     

    I really hope they don't draft Kneeland. I didn't like the Basham pick and I'd like this even less. But I do think they likely think he is an option at #60.


    I don’t disagree he is in play at 60, he’s a round 2 or 3 guy this year.  But there is absolutely no way Beane takes him at 28.  I guess nothing is impossible, but I’d be stunned and may break my TV if that happened.  
     

    He is a 4th round prospect IMHO who’s gonna go earlier because there are not a lot of options at EDGE this year.  
     

     

  9. 11 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:

    I posted the other notable mocks in the last thread. They're growing considerably the last few weeks.  I don't think I'm overthinking both AJE and Groot. They were both top 3 in arm length and wing span for the draft classes they belong to. Unless you think those weren't qualities we pursue and that was just random?  


    I think it was coincidence like I said.  AJE was BPA at a clear position of need, I don’t think they targeted him on just his arms, everyone knew he was our pick when we were on the clock there.  

  10. 1 hour ago, Billzgobowlin said:

    For some reason I think Jalen McMillan will be a pick and I find it highly unlikely they draft a WR at 28 unless it is Brian Thomas Jr. otherwise they draft BPA or trade back.  I don't think Beane will reach just because the sportscasters think he needs a receiver

    I personally think second round is too high for him.  He would be an option in third or fourth imo


    We don’t have a 3rd and he won’t last to 4th IMHO

  11. 10 minutes ago, Bangarang said:

    Tez Walker getting too much attention for my liking

     

    3 minutes ago, somnus00 said:

    Man, they're really interested in 'Tez Walker.

     

    I think Tez is very much in play at 60 for them if they elect to go another position in the first.  Not saying they should or shouldn't be, just based on how much interest they have invested in him as most the other WR's they spent time with are either expected to be gone by 60 or go much later than 60.  

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  12. Broncos just trading for Zack Wilson today for 6th and 7th round picks adds an interesting wrinkle here that might impact both picks 12 and 13.  

     

    I won't rule Nix out totally at 12, but I could easily see the Broncos either taking BPA at 12 or even trading back now to try and set themselves up next year for a QB.  And if they still want Nix, there is a good chance he would still be there when they picked after trading back.  

     

    If I find time to do a v3.0, this will be interesting to think about and play out a little bit.  Question is, who is on the board at 12 that a team is going to move up to get and what would that compensation be?  Is there a trade there that makes sense on both sides is the question that will be fun to explore.  

  13. Hmmmmm...this is interesting.  There is buzz the Broncos like Bo Nix, but by no means were they a lock to take him at 12.  I wonder if they just take the BPA at 12 or trade back to get more draft capital that they need.  And if they still wanted Nix after trading back he will very likely still be there as I think they are the biggest threat to take him round 1.  

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  14. 4 minutes ago, Virgil said:

    Bills Top 30 Visits:

    DE Marshawn Kneeland, Western Michigan - ESPN Grade 86, 6th DE

    DT Khristian Boyd, Northern Iowa - ESPN Grade 39, 26th DT

    WR Devontez Walker, UNC (***) - ESPN Grade 73, 17th WR

    RB Trey Benson, Florida St - ESPN Grade 82, 2nd RB

    OT Jordan Morgan, Arizona - ESPN Grade 86, 8th OT

    WR Ryan Flournoy, Missouri St - ESPN Grade 34, 38th WR

    WR Xavier Worthy, Texas (**) - ESPN Grade 87, 8th WR

    DB Andru Phillips, Kentucky - ESPN Grade 68, 13th DB

    DE Laiatu Latu, UCLA - ESPN Grade 92, 2nd DE

    WR Keon Coleman, Florida St (**) - ESPN Grade 87, 9th WR

    DB Qwan'tez Stiggers, Toronto Argonauts - Not graded

    DT Mason Smith, LSU - ESPN Grade 81, 7th DT

    DB Cooper DeJean, Iowa (**) - ESPN Grade 90, 3rd DB

    DT Ruke Orhorhoro, Clemson - ESPN Grade 73, 10th DT

    RB Audric Estime, Notre Dame (**) - ESPN 59, 10th RB

     

    Pro Days/Workouts/Private Meetings:

    WR Troy Franklin, Oregon (**) - ESPN Grade 83, 11th WR

    Edge Adisa Isaac, Penn St - ESPN Grade 81, 12th Edge

    WR Devontez Walker, UNC (***) - ESPN Grade 73, 17th WR

    S Kitan Oladapo, Oregon St - ESPN Grade 72, 5th S

    DB MJ Devonshire, Pittsburgh - ESPN Grade 49, 31st DB

    WR Jalen McMillan, Washington (**) - ESPN Grade 77, 14th WR

    LB Jamal Hill, Oregon - Not graded

     

    Combine Formal Interviews:

    DT Braden Fiske, Florida St - ESPN Grade 86, 3rd DT

    WR Devontez Walker, UNC (***) - ESPN Grade 73, 17th WR

    WR Brian Thomas, LSU - ESPN Grade 90, 4th WR

    WR Xavier Worthy, Texas (**) - ESPN Grade 87, 8th WR

    OT Patrick Paul, Houston - ESPN Grade 78, 12th OT

    WR Keon Coleman, Florida St (**) - ESPN Grade 87, 9th WR

    DT Bryon Murphy, Texas - ESPN Grade 91, 1st DT

    WR Adonai Mitchell, Texas - ESPN Grade 89, 5th WR

    S Calen Bullock, USC - ESPN Grade 72, 6th S

    WR Troy Franklin, Oregon (**) - ESPN Grade 83, 11th WR

    WR Xavier Legette, South Carolina - ESPN Grade 89, 6th WR

    S Tyler Nubin, Minnesota - ESPN Grade 83, 2nd S

    S Javon Bullard, Georgia - ESPN Grade 83, 1st S

    S Kamren Kinchens, Miami - ESPN Grade 69, 8th S

    WR Jalen McMillan, Washington (**) - ESPN Grade 77, 14th WR

    WR Roman Wilson, Michigan - ESPN Grade 79, 12th WR

    RB Braelon Allen, Wisconsin - ESPN Grade 62, 7th RB

    RB Audric Estime, Notre Dame (**) - ESPN 59, 10th RB

    RB Frank Gore Jr, SMU - ESPN Grade 50, 19th RB

    DE Jalyx Hunt, Houston - Not graded

    DB Cooper DeJean, Iowa (**) - ESPN Grade 90, 3rd DB

    C Graham Barton, Duke - ESPN Grade 91, 1st C

    OT Kiran Amegadjie, Yale - ESPN Grade OT, 14th OT

     

    All-Star Circuit:

    G Garrett Greenfield, South Dakota St, ESPN Grade 43, 18th G

     

     

    Based on positions met with, and volume of meets, the Bills are really doing their due diligence at S, DT, WR, and RB.  We met with all the top WR's, minus the top 3.  We met with the best at their positions for S, DT, C.  Based on the visits, I think the Bills are fully prepared to go WR at 28, but they are also willing to trade back or take BPA.  IF the board falls a certain way, I could see us going C, DT, DB in the 1st, and then trying to trade up in the 2nd.  

     

    Regardless, it looks like the Bills have really done their homework for all scenarios at 28, and have their later round, UFA research as well

     

    One thing I will add is don't take this list as gospel.  For example, Ladd McConkey has publicly stated he has met with the Bills several times and isn't on these lists online.  So someone like BTJ only shows up once compared to the other WR's, but he very well could have had other meetings still.  

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  15. 41 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:

    I thought the Bills would consider him which started a string of hate which picked up well in this thread. It's not uncommon for him to be mocked in the late first at this point. As I said in my other post he has physical traits in his arm length and wingspan that we clearly covet given our selection of AJ and Groot.  It just wouldn't shock me if they feel he has a first round grade.  Hoping we don't see this as well and I'm a WMU grad. 

     

    I think you are over thinking AJE to be honest.  DE was a major need and he was the top DE in a weak draft to find edge help.  So weak, the top guy fell to us in the 2nd and he was the clear BPA and a pretty obvious choice for the Bills, so I think the arm connection here with Groot is more coincidence than a trait they covet to the point they would reach for a day 3 prospect at pick 28.  

     

    And no disrespect, but I have to disagree about it being "not uncommon" to be mocked in the first.  I have a hard time believing there are a lot of other mocks out there where he goes in the first given he is more often seen as a day 3 pick with potential to maybe go day 2.  Edge does fall off early, so I can see him maybe getting into the 2nd round for teams in dire need of help there.  But if I was to guess today, I think he more likely goes in the 3rd.

     

    I admit, anything is possible, so won't say never...but I would honestly be stunned to see him go in the first as he would be a massive reach and no where near BPA at any pick in the first IMHO.  

    12 minutes ago, OldTimer1960 said:

    There apparently is a lot of buzz on Kneeland being a borderline late 1st early 2nd player among league guys.  I don’t see it - wouldn’t even use pick 60 on him.  It’s pure projection of his size and athleticism, apparently, because he didn’t exactly dominate the MAC.

     

    I can see the 2nd, edge drops off early, so a team desperate for help might reach.  But at 28 and in this Mock, there are higher graded Edge guys still available before he has Kneeland go.  

     

    But my comment on how bad this mock draft is was directed at the overall draft.  I just felt like its a crazy mock top to bottom and I think its one of the worse ones I have seen overall.  

  16. 4 hours ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:

    OMG I would love to see the board explode if this went down.

     

    https://www.nfl.com/news/seven-round-2024-nfl-mock-draft-round-4

     

    Small school edge in round 1 who had 4.5 sacks in the MAC, while Cinci and KC both add WRs, Miami adds an OT, and Colts add a generational TE. 

    Blocking WR and Robert Woods clone in round 2 and passing on Franklin

    Then DT and S

     

    No trades up or down

     

    Standing pat and taking another smurf blocking WR and 3 defenders with the top four picks.... oh this place would melt down

     

     

    This is maybe the worst and least informed mock draft I can remember to have ever read in any year.  I feel like this guy stole time from my life I can't get back.

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  17. 22 hours ago, Buffalo Dude said:

    Wondering what your dream job with the Bills would be?

     

    Getting to be in the draft room building the best team possible?

     

    Using your knowledge of X’s and O’s to coach?

     

    Or getting to be on the field as a player?

     

    Front Office.  Playing is so much wear and tear on the body, shorter career potential.  Coaching is hard on a family, not only are you on the road a lot but the hours are brutal.  You would miss so much of your kids life. 

     

    As a GM, I get to put my stamp on the team and have a healthier and better family life.  Thats a win in my book.  There are times of the year where hours are long for GM's, but no where near the degree it is for coaches.  

  18. 1 hour ago, HappyDays said:

     

    The thing that gets NFL teams excited about McCarthy is a lot of those passes came in high leverage situations. 3rd and long gotta have it moments, etc. There is a projection there for sure but 3rd down success rate is something NFL scouts and executives value much more than the general public, because that's what wins championships.

     

    True, plus McCarthy has also reportedly been crushing his interviews and meetings too.  Which can really help a team get more comfortable and start to move a guy up their boards.  

     

    IMHO I think he will be either a Viking or Giant as I think Arizona is gonna most likely trading back.  Vikings offer will be bigger but AZ will fall out of range for a big 3 WR.  So they would need to then trade back up, and they got plenty of ammunition to do that even before the trade back, and have done that before.  Or if the Giants can make the offer good enough they can just move back to 6 and not have to give up assets to move back up and still get one of the big 3 WR's.  

     

    I will be a bit surprised if Arizona doesn't trade back to be honest, it just makes too much sense for them and there are 4 very QB needy teams between them and pick 13.  

    • Agree 1
  19. 1 hour ago, Sweats said:

     

     

     

     

    This is a good write up and as much as i'd like to nit-pick or find something to argue about, i really can't......you've certainly done your homework.

     

    Good job.

     

    Thanks!

     

    I tried to make picks based on research on each team best I could, but we all know come draft day things have many ways to play out.  It was fun and interesting to put together and I spent as much time diving in on this because this draft is one of the more exciting ones I have seen in a while, for me at least.  So many places it can completely change directions starting at pick 2 on the decision between Maye or Daniels.  

     

    The first 2 rounds are loaded with talent IMHO at WR, CB, OT, and IOL which are all very deep there.  And so many teams are needy at all those spots making it tough to really figure out which position they will lean or even which prospect at that position.  The fact there are 7 teams who really need a QB and there are 6 potential guys that could go round 1 also makes it very interesting.  

     

    Either way, it was fun and glad you enjoyed it

    • Agree 1
  20. 2 hours ago, DrDawkinstein said:

    My only nitpick is, if the board does fall like this, I think the Chiefs end up with Franklin or McConky over Polk.

     

    Out of those 3, I'd be happiest if the Chiefs went with Polk.

     

    All good and for sure, I think there are multiple players Chiefs go with at 32, not just at WR either.  So totally get your viewpoint there.  There are other WR's, and guys on the DL, OL, and Corners that could go in that spot.  

     

    But the most plugged in person I know with real insider NFL info has been consistently saying that one of the biggest draft risers he keeps hearing teams talking about is Polk.  And he also said that both Ravens and Chiefs are really high on him.  And honestly, as someone also high on Polk, both Ravens and Chiefs are great fits for him and their offenses where they need a sure handed, physical, big catch radius guy...and the fact he is the best blocking WR in the draft is a big plus for Ravens (who run a lot) and Chiefs (who lead the NFL in the Mahomes era on passes at or behind the LOS and run a big YAC style of offense).  

     

    So I went with it, but by no means do I think its a sure thing either.  I do think Polk is going to go in the top half of the 2nd though if he doesn't sneak in at the end of round 1.  

     

    And if Chiefs don't go WR at 32, I would keep an eye on both Washington Husky WR's to Chiefs in 2nd, if either of them make it to them (I doubt Polk does, and Jalen might not either).  Jalen McMillan is also rising up draft boards from what I hear, and I know he has also met with the Chiefs and he would be a good fit for them as well and I think could be in play for them depending on what they do at 32 and who is there when they are on the clock in the 2nd.  

     

    But there is a good chance neither makes it to the Chiefs in the 2nd as I think everyone expects a big WR run at the top of that 2nd round and we could see a record number of WR's go in the first 2 rounds because of it (current record is 13 which was the year we traded for Diggs).  

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