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Interesting Bills stat...


TwistofFate

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On 10/26/2019 at 12:12 AM, ngbills said:

Or this stat. The Bills have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record over the past 22 games or 4 over the past 39 games. 

This would be naturally expected.. Since the Bills have repeatedly finished 3rd or 4th in the AFC East, they get to play the 3rd and 4th placed teams from other  divisions in the AFC....Now with playing another AFC Division and a  NFC division, it is guaranteed they will play another  4 teams with 3rd and 4th place finishes...so it would only be expected that they play teams with losing records.   

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On 10/25/2019 at 9:43 AM, TwistofFate said:

Buffalo's record dating back to last season is 7-2 in the last 9 games, with our only two losses at the hand of New England. 

 

If you factor in preseason this year, its 11-2.

 

Definitely a culture shift...winning is becoming the expected norm. 

 

Go Bills! 

 

Does everyone just want to be willfully ignorant or what? F

Last season, right before Allen was coming back from his injury after the bye, Bills related articles were talking about "The Bills remaining schedule is the WEAKEST IN THE LEAGUE to finish out the season."

 

Funny enough, you nicely started your "since last season" record at the Lions game for whatever reason...when in reality, Josh coming back from injury after a bye week to start all the remaining games should've been your start point...but that would've made us 8-4 instead of 7-2 which just sounds better (but hey, you factored in preseason of all things...as if that is somehow more indicative of real performance).

 

I made a post about it, specifically reminding everyone to take the coming wins with a grain of salt, as no team had an easier slate of games to close out the season.
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Then wouldn't you know it, we started winning some games...shocker. Some of those games were still a struggle (winning 24-21 against the 3-7 Jaguars, losing to both the Dolphins & the 3-9 Jets in back to back games...when just 3 games prior we blew them out with Matt Barkley, and barely beating the 5-8 Lions by 1 point 14-13).

But now we're going to heap 2 of those wins (arbitrarily starting with the Lions game instead of Josh's return as the starter) from the weakest final stretch in the league last year with the 5 wins from another extremely weak schedule together and use it as some kind of proof that we've arrived? 

 

Anyway, the crazy thing is 8-4 doesn't even sound bad, but it just shows an effort to cherry pick only what you want to see! But people here seem to get mad when you ask them to look at the whole picture.


And even suggesting we count the preseason towards anything just further illustrates how willfully naive we're being. Being optimistic is one thing, but this is too much. 

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On 10/25/2019 at 2:42 PM, ngbills said:

Or this stat. The Bills have only beaten 2 teams with a winning record over the past 22 games or 4 over the past 39 games. 

I feel this stat is not meaningful because it doesn't make me feel good about the team.

 

The OP's stat, especially with the inclusion of pre-season wins, seems much more important.

 

 

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On 10/25/2019 at 10:43 AM, TwistofFate said:

Buffalo's record dating back to last season is 7-2 in the last 9 games, with our only two losses at the hand of New England. 

 

If you factor in preseason this year, its 11-2.

 

Definitely a culture shift...winning is becoming the expected norm. 

 

Go Bills! 

You are artificially limiting your data pool to include favorable outcomes and eliminate unfavorable outcomes.


This is a form of argument by selective observation.  

 

It's a logical fallacy and should be avoided.

 

 

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