The Big Cat Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 We have four games until the bye week, then a pretty favorable schedule after that. If we can split these next four (NO, KC, PITT, NYJ), that would put us in a great position. I definitely think we can, but I can also see us going win less. A week 12 bye week is no fun, but going into ours 5-6 (or better, but i'm not holding my breath) would be HUGE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BringBackFergy Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 We have four games until the bye week, then a pretty favorable schedule after that. If we can split these next four (NO, KC, PITT, NYJ), that would put us in a great position. I definitely think we can, but I can also see us going win less. A week 12 bye week is no fun, but going into ours 5-6 (or better, but i'm not holding my breath) would be HUGE. I like our chances Cat. Byrd will be more acclimated to the D, Gilmore will be "de-clawed" or "de-clubbed" soon, Mario is getting into a groove of sorts, Thad is getting more and more confident (albeit less accurate but there is room for improvement), and it was nice seeing Lee Smith and even Chris Gragg take some heat off Chandler (if we can get another TE involved Lewis will have another solid target to look to). I'd like to see 4-0 in this stretch but will settle for 2-2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 I like our chances Cat. Byrd will be more acclimated to the D, Gilmore will be "de-clawed" or "de-clubbed" soon, Mario is getting into a groove of sorts, Thad is getting more and more confident (albeit less accurate but there is room for improvement), and it was nice seeing Lee Smith and even Chris Gragg take some heat off Chandler (if we can get another TE involved Lewis will have another solid target to look to). I'd like to see 4-0 in this stretch but will settle for 2-2. Hahaha...4-0 (a five game winning streak) would be THE national story! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cmjoyce113 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 I think we need to go 3-1 over the next 4. To me we need to beat the Jets and Steelers and split with the Saints/Chiefs. If by some fluke we win the next 2, you have to go 4-0 heading into the bye. If your are 7-4 going into the bye week you have a serious chance at the division title. The next 2 weeks are the most important weeks the Bills have had since they lost to Pittsburgh in the season finale about 10 years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
filthymcnasty08 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 (edited) NO game - we cannot go 3 and out on 80% of our drives - were most likely toast in that game unless Pettine can work up something nasty on D. 20% chance to win that game. The KC game is a classic trap game - I hope they are undefeated when they come in. I give us 50/50. @ Pitt - they beat the Jets and Ravens. Road game: 50/50 Jets @ home: revenge game - Bills win in another tight match. Edited October 21, 2013 by filthymcnasty08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichFan Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Four of the top defenses in the league this year. 3-4 wins and things get very interesting. 2 wins and we're still alive. 0-1 win and the season's over. Our O-Coordinator needs to show he is a pro caliber strategist now, the kid gloves are off. The defensive line needs to achieve consistency in pressuring the QB. I believe we have to talent to win 3 of these games. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
quinnearlysghost88 Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 I see us giving KC a hard time. We just seem to have their number, much like the Jets have ours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 (edited) Buffalo 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New Orleans 9 Sun, Nov 3 Kansas City 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Pittsburgh 11 Sun, Nov 17 New York NYETS 12 BYE WEEK 13 Sun, Dec 1 Atlanta 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Tampa Bay 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jacksonville 16 Sun, Dec 22 Miami 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ New England Miami 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New England 9 Sun, Nov 3 Cincy Bungles 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Tampa Bay 11 Sun, Nov 17 Chargers 12 Sun, Nov 24 Carolina 13 Sun, Dec 1 @ New York NYETS 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Pittsburgh 15 Sun, Dec 15 New England 16 Sun, Dec 22 @ Buffalo 17 Sun, Dec 29 New York NYETS New York NYETS 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ Cincy Bungles 9 Sun, Nov 3 New Orleans 10 BYE WEEK 11 Sun, Nov 17 @ Buffalo 12 Sun, Nov 24 @ Balto 13 Sun, Dec 1 Miami 14 Sun, Dec 8 Oakland 15 Sun, Dec 15 16 Sun, Dec 22 Cleveland 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ Miami NE Putz 8 Sun, Oct 27 Miami 9 Sun, Nov 3 Pittsburgh 10 BYE WEEK 11 Sun, Nov 17 @ Carolina 12 Sun, Nov 24 Denver 13 Sun, Dec 1 @ Houston 14 Sun, Dec 8 Cleveland 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Miami 16 Sun, Dec 22 @ Balto 17 Sun, Dec 29 Buffalo I see us giving KC a hard time. We just seem to have their number, much like the Jets have ours. So do I. KC has a great home field advantage and they have had a soft schedule for the lost part. In Buffalo ... take the Bills and the points. Edited October 21, 2013 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddy Freddy Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 We have four games until the bye week, then a pretty favorable schedule after that. If we can split these next four (NO, KC, PITT, NYJ), that would put us in a great position. I definitely think we can, but I can also see us going win less. A week 12 bye week is no fun, but going into ours 5-6 (or better, but i'm not holding my breath) would be HUGE. I think this is exactly right. 2-2 over the next 4 games keeps us alive to get to 9-7 on the season, which I think gives us a chance in the AFC this year. Here's how I look at it: Regarding the games before the bye, I think we will lose to the Saints and beat the Jets at home. That means we have to take one of the two games home vs. the Chiefs and at the Steelers. Both would be great, but I think that's asking too much with Thad likely still at QB for those games. That gets us to 5-6 at the bye, hopefully with EJ ready to come back at that point. Regarding the games after the bye, we should be favored to win at Tampa, at Jax, and home vs Miami. Win those, and you're then at 8 wins. The two other games are Atlanta in Toronto and at New England. Split those and you're at 9 wins. Difficult? Yes. Impossible? I don't think so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 We have to beat the Jets. If we want to have any shot at anything, we have to win that game (and then beat Miami at home). That would allow us to likely be 3-3 in the division, with probable tie-breaker advantages over both the Jets and Miami. I would take going 1-3 over the next 4 games, so long as the lone win is against the Jets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 We have to beat the Jets. If we want to have any shot at anything, we have to win that game (and then beat Miami at home). That would allow us to likely be 3-3 in the division, with probable tie-breaker advantages over both the Jets and Miami. I would take going 1-3 over the next 4 games, so long as the lone win is against the Jets. 1-3 with a win over the Jets is the ONLY sub-2-2 scenario that lets us sniff a shot...at anything scenarios in order of worst to best: 0-4 1-3 with a loss to the Jets 1-3 with a in over the Jets 2-2 with a loss to the Jets 3-1 with a loss to the jets 2-2 with a win over the jets 3-1 with a win over the jets 4-0 that seem right? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 1-3 with a win over the Jets is the ONLY sub-2-2 scenario that lets us sniff a shot...at anything scenarios in order of worst to best: 0-4 1-3 with a loss to the Jets 1-3 with a in over the Jets 2-2 with a loss to the Jets 3-1 with a loss to the jets 2-2 with a win over the jets 3-1 with a win over the jets 4-0 that seem right? I would agree with that. Realistically, I think we can pull off scenario No. 3 (2-2, with win over jets). Just a matter of winning 2 games at home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BillsFan-4-Ever Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 (edited) IF the NFL Gods shine a light on Buffalo 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New Orleans - L 9 Sun, Nov 3 Kansas City - W 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Pittsburgh - W 11 Sun, Nov 17 New York NYETS - W 12 BYE WEEK 13 Sun, Dec 1 Atlanta - W 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Tampa Bay - W 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jacksonville - W 16 Sun, Dec 22 Miami - W 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ New England - W Edited October 21, 2013 by BillsFan-4-Ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reddy Freddy Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 (edited) IF the NFL gods shines a light on Buffalo 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New Orleans - L 9 Sun, Nov 3 Kansas City - W 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Pittsburgh - L 11 Sun, Nov 17 New York NYETS - W 12 BYE WEEK 13 Sun, Dec 1 Atlanta - W 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Tampa Bay - W 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jacksonville - W 16 Sun, Dec 22 Miami - W 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ New England - L My optimistic projection above ... 9 wins is the magic number in my opinion. That at least gives us a solid chance, especially if we beat the Jets and Dolphins. I still think @Pitt will be very tough and Atlanta is still dangerous. If we lose to Atlanta or drop one of the games we'll be favored in (TB, JAX, MIA), then I think we'll need to win the last game of the year to get to 9 wins. Edited October 21, 2013 by Reddy Freddy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Miyagi-Do Karate Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 IF the NFL gods shines a light on Buffalo 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New Orleans - L 9 Sun, Nov 3 Kansas City - W 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Pittsburgh - W 11 Sun, Nov 17 New York NYETS - W 12 BYE WEEK 13 Sun, Dec 1 Atlanta - W 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Tampa Bay - W 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jacksonville - W 16 Sun, Dec 22 Miami - W 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ New England - W While you're at it, why don't you just mark us down for a "W" at New Orleans too!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Big Cat Posted October 21, 2013 Author Share Posted October 21, 2013 While you're at it, why don't you just mark us down for a "W" at New Orleans too!? hahaha Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Billshank Redemption Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 IF the NFL gods shines a light on Buffalo 8 Sun, Oct 27 @ New Orleans - L 9 Sun, Nov 3 Kansas City - W 10 Sun, Nov 10 @ Pittsburgh - W 11 Sun, Nov 17 New York NYETS - W 12 BYE WEEK 13 Sun, Dec 1 Atlanta - W 14 Sun, Dec 8 @ Tampa Bay - W 15 Sun, Dec 15 @ Jacksonville - W 16 Sun, Dec 22 Miami - W 17 Sun, Dec 29 @ New England - W Haha I would very happily take this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
johnwalter Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 i would say we have: a 15% chance of beating NO a 15% chance of beating KC a 65% chance of beating PIT a 50% chance of beating NYJ thus our expected wins: .15+.15.+.65+.50 = 1.45 so winning 1 or 2 of the 4 games seams reasonable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meark Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Buffalo hasn't lost a home game to KC since 1986.. Hoping the trend continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cvanvol Posted October 21, 2013 Share Posted October 21, 2013 Nine wins will not get us into the playoffs in the AFC this year. Especially not with KC, Denver and SD playing well. We need to get to 10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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