I did the same review yesterday morning while trying desperately to kill the clock waiting for the weekend (a.k.a. Sunday 1300h). I'm in agreement with much of what you have here, but I started to get a little lightheaded when I tallied up the "wins" and started seeing 10-6. I've been accused at office of not just drinking the Kool-Aid, but swimming in it, so I'm trying to wipe some of the manure off my rose-colored glasses.
That all having been said - ASSUMING THE BILLS WIN THE ONES THEY'RE SUPPOSED TO WIN (BIG ASSUMPTION HERE) - I'm having a hard time giving away home losses to the Pats and Fins. I'm going to hold out judgement on how we'll do in the second Jets game until I see us tomorrow. My gut call has been pretty good so far this year; I figured we'd play the Pats tough (frankly, I thought we'd win that one going IN to the game, not DURING it), and for some odd reason, I wasn't really worried about Miami. And I just think - THINK - we're going to come out big against the Jets. As in "cream 'em". If this is the case, I'm going to dive back into the Kool-Aid, and go with the 10-6.
And that would be a damn good 10-6, because that's 5-1 in your own division, and 7 games in the conference. Let's all delete this E-mail, so it isn't rubbed in my face when they crater in November and go 6-10. But I just don't think it'll happen that way. These guys - the junior varsity on defense - just don't seem intimidated, and don't seem to care about what happened in the past.