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Reed83HOF

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Posts posted by Reed83HOF

  1. Just now, Simon said:

     

    I weas looking forward to watching him play as well

     

    Watching Dr. Chao (Profootball Doc)do a live twitter video, seems to think it is a classic Achilles tear and the team including Saleh knew before he was carted off. Saw the classic pop -  the foot was stuck and he tried to pull it out and you can see the pop, once Rodgers stood up and sat right down, he knew it too

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  2. On 7/31/2023 at 1:38 PM, DrDawkinstein said:

     

     

    Our boy is everywhere. So handsome.

     

    So we lived in LA for 10 years and just moved back like 3 years ago. When this commercial popped on my wife says: "Hey look that's Josh!!" I looked at her with that confused face and said: "Yeah I know, his jersey is in our closet and he has been on our TV every time the Bills are on TV and I'm not at a game. I'm glad you knew this..."

     

    She responded by calling me an idiot, the guy in the bushes with him, is also named Josh and he dog sat for us while we went to some concerts and when we got married, he lived in our apartment building...

     

    It's a good laugh now, but I honestly thought she was a moron....

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  3. 48 minutes ago, ScottLaw said:

    I think your overrating the RBs and run game in general… it doesn’t/won’t move the needle for this team nearly as much as adding a significant starting WR opposite Diggs would. 

    The RB was upgraded, it will help a bit. It certainly won't move the needle like WR2, it's a passing league

  4. 17 hours ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

    Harty and Sherfield have never had a big season between them and have both averaged less than 200 yards per season over their careers.    

     And what great offensive minds did Harty and Sherfield play for in their illustrious careers thus far?

     

    It's like we are betting on the under thus far with these WRs. I do think they have a potential to be better than kumerow and lil dirty, the offense hinges on Davis running more than 2 routes and a rookie TE who is going to be asked to play WR....

     

    No concerns here at all...

  5. 16 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:

    I think it shows the seat is a LOT cooler than a lot of fans want it to be and the media have speculated it is. 

     

    I see almost no way this regime doesn't remain into 2024 at the very least. And the likelihood is the rope is a fair bit longer. Part of the reason why is surely that Terry knows he isn't great at these appointments. For all that McD and Beane ain't perfect and there are legit holes you can pick in both, they are overwhelmingly the two best hires that Pegs has made across multiple attempts for two franchises. 

    You can also throw in that with the new stadium,  stability getting into it might be on everyone's mind as well.

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  6. 44 minutes ago, DrDawkinstein said:

    How is anything on this even being debated still when Albright immediately said this was all made up opinion in response to a hypothetical question?

     

    Some fans really got a hard on for hating one of our best players, eh?

     

     

    Lol I just was jumping in to post this. I also find it hilarious that someone in this thread called him. LaCanfora clone. Whoever said that should never be taken seriously on this board...

  7. 35 minutes ago, BADOLBILZ said:

     

     

    Yep,  I love Gabe Davis as a clear 3rd option.   Like a 60 targets guy.   He's like having a power hitter batting 4th.   The idea is to load the bases with the top options and then, when there is nowhere to put him,  the pitcher has to throw him strikes which raises his batting average 100+ points.    That's Gabe........he needs the attention of the defense focused elsewhere so he can get favorable matchups..........and he has the deep ball skills to take advantage of those situations.   

     

    I think people get confused about his playoff performances and think that indicates that there is something else there that he just isn't showing in the regular season.   I don't think that's the case.   He is what he is.........inconsistent but a HR threat.   

    💯 

     

    I can't count on a rookie this season to develop enough as a consistent force, I would love Hopkins on a 2 year deal to bridge the gap. While I think Davis is a fine 3,  I'm not about paying him 12 to 14 million a year for that catch rate. I don't think a high ankle sprain hindered his ability to actually catch the ball. There is a stat or article somewhere about the key to winning in the playoffs is WR2. 

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  8. On 6/20/2023 at 7:29 PM, HappyDays said:

    Rapaport is echoing the more credible reports that Diggs was unhappy with his target share in the offense last year. Not with us failing to land Hopkins like that fake sources loser in NYC made up.

    Maybe we are making this more complicated than it really is, very likely could be the other WRs can't catch consistent enough. Feed me the ball even more and let me carry us. Pissed that josh is not just finding ways to feed him even more.

     

    I'm also certain that he has to be "pissed" about Moving towards more structured routes instead of free lancing. Better for the team and worse for him. 

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  9. 2 hours ago, JerseyBills said:

    Has this been posted?🤔

     

    Plus Sherfield, Harty and 2nd year Shakir are all upgrades over McKenzie who was our #3 last year. Kincaid should be a playmaker from day 1 as well. I like our weapons alot. Not wise to sign another 30+ yo WR unless it was a 1 or even 2 yr deal and I'm sure he wants 3-5 years at top dollar.  Just wouldn't be a smart move imo for the long run

    ML football has terrible takes and I would not place much faith or waste time with much of what comes from that twitter handle. 

     

    You should see their qb rankings...lol

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  10. 23 minutes ago, PBF81 said:

     

    This is a good thought-inducing post!!  You've certainly gotten some good comments.  

     

    I do think that people seem to be unable to divide someone being a "good guy" and being a good coach however.  It's quite possible that they're only one of the two.  

     

    Here's my take ... as I step behind the chicken wire on the stage ...  :D  

     

     

    Narratives form, often based upon superficial constructs. IMO that’s been the case here. I’ll cite a few.

     

     

    Narrative:  McD’s a great Defensive Coordinator.

     

    Facts:  His defenses on average in his 6 seasons in Carolina averaged 17th in Scoring and 15th in Yardage. His defenses were incredibly inconsistent from season to season. His last season there arguably should have been his best if he were truly that good and his rankings not based upon circumstances, which they were. Yet, it was his second worst and only by a margin better than his worst there.

     

    His successor, Steve Wilks, took McD’s 26th Scoring/21st Yardage D and turned it into an 11th Scoring/7th Yardage D, and he’s the farthest thing from being a household name in defensive coordinators as could possibly be. In fact, he was fired after that season and has been on a coaching death spiral ever since now on his fifth team in as many seasons and in varying roles and once at the collegiate level.

     

    McD has benefitted from having had 5 of the team’s 9 easiest schedules over the past 22 Bills seasons.

     

    Was McD the best hire to begin with, even strictly considering the defensive side ,much more any offensive prowess? Would it have been difficult to find someone with better performance credentials?

     

     

    Narrative:  Daboll’s a great Offensive Coordinator.

     

    Facts:  Daboll was an Offensive Coordinator for four seasons elsewhere before coming to the Bills. Here are his rankings in that role.

     

    2009: 29th Scoring/32nd Yardage

    2010: 31st Scoring/29th Yardage

    2011: 20th Scoring/22nd Yardage (his pinnacle)

    2012: 32nd Scoring/24th Yardage

     

    Was he the best hire coming in? Would it have been difficult to find someone with better performance credentials?

     

    Then he came here. In his first two seasons these were his rankings here.

     

    2018: 30th Scoring/30th Yardage

    2019: 23rd Scoring/24th Yardage

     

    Through those 6 seasons that’s an average of over 26th Scoring and 27th Yardage.

     

    The argument is that he is the one largely responsible for Allen’s development in Allen’s 3rd season, 2020. The reason why that’s unlikely is because to start, that’s the season that Diggs showed up, it was also Allen’s third season when it’s a well known maxim that QBs typically take three seasons (or so) to develop, and Allen didn’t develop slowly, he exploded, going from ranked in the bottom quartile of the league in most metrics in 2020 to near the top and nearly top-10 across the board. He nearly doubled his passing TDs and added 50% to his passing yardage total.

     

    The question then becomes, was this Daboll that was behind that leap in performance? I don’t see how it could have been since the entire football world knows that Allen’s style of play is unique to him and predicated all but entirely upon his semi-freestyling play, and with the coaches “letting Allen be Allen” as stated by them.

     

    But more relevantly perhaps, if Daboll was responsible, then how come the best he could do with Daniel Jones, in Jones’ 4th season, was a 3,205, 15 TD, 5 INT performance, only marginally up from Jones’ prior two seasons, worse than Jones’ rookie season, and worse than Allen’s 2nd season in 2019, and leading the Giants to the 15th Scoring/18th Yardage rankings. That after 8 seasons of experience at OC and with one of the league’s best RBs for balance to boot.

     

    Last season with the Giants outside of his division in the regular season, his offense faced only one scoring defense ranked higher than 12th, and 6 of the bottom 8 ranked scoring defenses, so his opponents for his offense were hardly tough. Within the division, in 7 games, his offense averaged just over 17 points-per-game, which by itself would have been good for 27th in the league. Not coincidentally, his Giants went 1-5-1 against those divisional teams, only beating and tying Washington 20-12 and 20-20, and with Jones throwing for 360 Yards and 1 TD combined in both games.

     

    Our Offensive rankings from 2020 to 2022 clearly stem from Allen and pretty much Allen alone, who’s done it all. Daboll even stated that he didn’t want Allen running that much too. Last season with the novice rookie Dorsey in charge, not only did the rankings not fall, but they tied Daboll’s best.

     

    It’s far more likely that Allen produced Daboll, not visa versa. It’s my guess that Daboll doesn’t outlast his current contract in NY if even that.

     

    Was Daboll the best hire? Would it have been difficult to find someone with better performance credentials?

     

     

    Narrative:  McD was responsible for taking us to the playoffs in 2017 with Taylor at QB.

     

    Facts:  That season we won 9 games. In 7 of those 9 wins we beat teams that ended up with 4, 5, or 6 wins on the season. 5 of those 9 wins were one-possession games. The worst one, a domed team, nearly beat us in an apocalyptic snowstorm at home. The only reason why we made the playoffs was due to the unlikeliest play by Andy Dalton on 4th-and-12 with seconds remaining. Andy Dalton!

     

    In those playoffs, the best that we could do was to put up 3 points in our 2nd-worst offensive output of the season. The worst of course was vs. Carolina against the man that replaced McD, Steve Wilks, the aformentioned DC whose career has taken the aformentioned death spiral.

     

    The 2019 season we won 10 games. In those 10 wins it was another hodge-podge of wins against teams that finished ranging from 2-9 wins. The only team with a winning record that we beat in the regular season was the Marcus Mariota-led Titans. In the playoffs we lost to a team that finished 14th in Scoring Offense and 19th in Scoring Defense.

     

    McD did not “come on” until Allen skyrocketed his play. He’s been a massive beneficiarly of easy schedules, particularly in 2017 and 2019 where these narratives took root predicated all but entirely in superficial indicators. It’s beyond a safe assumption that Allen’s play almost exclusively is all but the entirety of why the Bills have been as good as they’ve been and that McD has been a restraint on Allen and the development and performance of this team, not a conduit for its ultimate improvement. It’s likely also why McD has said to “let Allen be Allen.” He knows his golden-goose.

     

    I would have touched on Frasier and his lackluster defensive rankings in his 8 seasons of being a defensive coordinator prior to coming to Buffalo, namely …

     

    28th/28th

    21st/19th

    12th/20th

    13th/6th

    10th/6th

    18th/8th

    25th/25th

    26th/10th

     

    … for an average of 19th Scoring/15th Yardage. Quite average.

     

    He’s also had the advantage of a relatively easy schedule of offensive opponents, while being able to play 2 games/season against QBs like Newton, Jones, Wilson, White, Darnold, and McCown, Cutler, Tannehill, Fitzpatrick. Thompson, and an erratic Tagovailoa in his inaugural seasons.

     

    In contrast, Frasier contributed to the Bills going 0-6 vs. New England in Brady’s last three seasons there, at the ages of 40, 41, & 42, by allowing the Pats to score on average over 28 points-per-game in those six contests, more than the Patriots’ average scoring in those seasons.

     

    Was Frasier the best hire? Would it have been difficult to find someone with better performance credentials?  

     

    I will say that it's interesting that now that he's gone the sentiment/narrative on him has diminished and he's become at least partially a scapegoat.  

     

     

    That’s all factual. What one does with it is up to them.

     

    Narratives are narratives, facts are facts, the two do not always align. IMO we begin to see the wheels fall off the wagon this season from a coaching perspective as McD embarks upon a schedule of offenses that he’s never seen before here or in Carolina. It will definitely be a defining season for him one way or the other as I see it.

     

    From where I stand, McD’s ceiling apart from Allen being Allen, and he’s going to be Allen regardless of who’s coaching, is entry into the playoffs predicated upon easy schedules, while being unimpressively ousted in the Wild-Card Round of the playoffs, again, as a ceiling, based on the above and without “Allen being Allen.” He has benefitted from having had 5 of the team’s 9 easiest schedules over the past 22 seasons.

     

    If Dorsey can find himself and if Allen truly becomes more focused on correcting the things that are preventing him from being the best QB in the league, even better than Mahomes, then IMO we have the opportunity to be the Air Coryell of 2023 and beyond and the #1 offense in the league. If not however, then I think it’s going to be a rough ride. McD hasn’t proven that he can handle the most no-brainer decisions at the most important of times, having to coach the D as well as keep an eye on the O, IMO is going to prove to be too much for him.

     

    We will find out one way or the other beginning in just a few months.

     

     

    Nice post

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