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Dr. Who

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Posts posted by Dr. Who

  1. You're starting to get it. If they has penalized her on the spot, there would be nobody objecting to this. She also would have won the tournament if nothing else changed. As it stands, a dude eating potato chips was the only one who saw it and they penalized her double based on their own error.

    I believe his post was sarcasm, but your point remains valid.

  2. I think it depends on who they want. If it's Watson or Trubisky, they may need to take him at 10. If it's Mahomes or Peterman, they may be hoping to trade down and select him later while recouping a pick or two. If they could manage to trade down, draft a QB, AND add a 2nd or 3rd round pick, that would really be ideal.

    Uggh, not Peterman. Trade back is ideal, but greedy. If you risk it, how high are you on the fella in the first place?

  3. I think it's huge that Pegula was there.

     

    1) Shows me this is a real investment for the franchise and everyone is going to be involved in finding the right guy.

     

    2) I will say I'm confused a little by no mention of Whaley. Was he not there? Was he, but it was more interesting if you only mention MCD and Pegula being there?

    Rodak tweeted that Whaley was there, just not in the photo. Some appear to think that Pegula could be taking part in an elaborate deception tactic. He doesn't seem like that kind of fella to me. I think they're interested.

  4.  

    One of the sub-paragraphs in a standard army 5 paragraph operations order is dedicated to the "Deception Plan." Every tactical plan should include a deception plan. American soldiers always want the enemy to think we're doing something different than what we're really doing.

     

    I imagine some - if not all - NFL teams routinely consider deception planning at this time of year. I don't mean as some ad hoc, haphazard thing. I mean actually planning the best way to send inaccurate messages to the rest of the NFL to encourage other teams to go after players we don't want and avoid players we do want.

     

    This is, after all, a multi-billion dollar business and the draft has huge ramifications. Why would you leave the deception-planning stone unturned?

    Yes, my surmise is more based on Pegula who seems a more straight-forward fella to me. I just don't think he would have showed up to enhance deception, though its possible.

  5. ...and they left Whaley home alone??......hmmmmm............

    @mikerodak

    Doug Whaley made the trip to Chapel Hill to meet w/ Mitch Trubisky; he was not in UNC co-OC Gunter Brewer’s photo with Pegula, McDermott.

     

    Post #57 in this thread.

    I think Bills fans should get used to the idea that QB @ #10 is a very real possibility. I'm not saying it's a lock, but when a team spends time working out every top QB prospect in the draft, not to mention Tyrod's "bridge" contract and McDermott saying "we want to address the QB position for the present AND the future"...it sure looks like more than a smokescreen. Sure, they could just be trying to bait a team to trade up to 10, but something tells me that team owners don't often come along to workouts just to set up a smokescreen.

     

    Honestly, they are in a perfect position to take a quarterback. Top 10 pick, decent starter to buy said pick a couple years on the bench, and a new head coach. The timing is right.

    Seems logical.

  6.  

    Maybe Mcdermott actually wants to be here for more than a few years!

     

    :thumbsup:

    I was sitting in a little dorm room at UCLA with my roommate from Batavia when the Bills beat the Raiders 51 - 3 in the AFC Championship. We both sat there in stunned silence wondering if this was real life. I think I might feel a similar surprised happiness if we actually get a clue about qb.

  7. That isn't the question that I posed. How much of a premium is it prudent to be willing to pay for a QB who should go in the second round? Let's say the Bills' scouts have assessed the best QB in this draft to have a 50% chance of becoming a good, not great starter - Andy Dalton or Alex Smith - is that worth passing on a potential pro bowl cornerstone for your defense? If they think that there is another guy who has a higher ceiling, but has such a big transition to the pros that they believe that he has a 25% chance to be very good (not talking Hall of Fame though), would you spend the 10th pick on him?

     

    I think that this is the essence of the discussion. Some feel more comfortable with the gamble, others don't

    Yes, I see. Along with John C., I appear to have a higher opinion of this year's qb draft class. Those who think they are mediocre, over-hyped second rounders will share your view.

  8. Well said.

     

    Almost everyone here agrees that the Bills need a better QB. However, just taking one and wishing and hoping that he will turn out to be the answer while ignoring prospects at other positions that you have painstakingly scouted and rated as better prospects is foolish.

     

    The QB position is almost always over-drafted (picked higher than players at other positions. That most everyone agrees that there are no top 10 picks in the group is telling. Just how much of a premium are you willing to pay for a QB that isn't thought of as a sure thing?

    Sure thing qbs get taken first overall. If you're waiting for that, you're going to be waiting a long, long time.

  9. I like this post a lot. I think it's a great point about risk adverse. I always felt like EJ had every physical tool you wanted in a qb but he played like a robot and didn't want to screw up. If you put Fitz' head into EJ's body, it would an all time great qb.

     

    I like some things Tyrod does but he is too Alex Smith for me. Smith is definitely a starter in the league but are you really a threat? I haven't studied Mahomes as much but I do believe Watson is more Favre than Smith.

     

    And I'd rather have Favre than Smith.

    Yep. I like Watson as well. I saw a lot of Clemson games -- I live in the South and one of my buds is a Clemson fan -- Watson will trust his receivers to make a play and he rises to the occasion. Folks question his arm strength. I think its strong enough.

  10. Gut feeling is its Watson. Which I would love. Whaley loved Dak last year (Bills met with him 5 times) and they missed out because of the Ragland trade (thanks Rex, nothing against Reggie tho). If you like Dak, Deshaun does everything he does only better. Off field - same. He's a Whaley guy, a McD guy, a Sammy guy, a big game performer. He's a learn behind TT guy, could take over any time.

    Well, this is where I depart from many of my fellow Mahomes' supporters. I also love Watson and would be happy if he were the choice. Your rationale makes sense to me.

  11. I certainly would take issue with "the floor being Dalton." If his floor was Dalton and ceiling Favre he would 100% be the top pick in the draft. They are talking about Dalton as Trubisky's ceiling and he may very well be the first QB taken. Dalton is a pretty good starting QB.

     

    I don't take as much issue with his massive upside but his floor is EJ. He has some flaws and comes from the Air Raid system.

    My agreement with 1billsfan has more to do with Mahomes' potential upside. I do not have confidence that his floor is Dalton. I love EJ the person and held out hope for him much longer than most. Mahomes' personality does not seem timid in the least. If EJ had Mahomes' talent, he'd have developed into a good qb, imo -- not great, because like Taylor he is risk averse as a player. Drafting the qb position is perhaps the trickiest in sports and I do think there is a chance Mahomes could bust. There are many safer picks, but I believe we need to be more daring.

  12. There isnt one draft site that has Mahomes as the top QB. What makes you so confident he will transition to the pro game so well that you are willing to spend a top ten pick on him?

    His initial post indicates that he thinks his floor is Dalton and his ceiling is Favre. If you think that, you are probably willing to spend a top ten pick on him.

    Consensus doesn't really matter, though I suspect a number of teams have a higher valuation on Mahomes than they are going to express in public.

    Getting it right matters. Mahomes is not without risk, but no-risk qbs go first overall. Folks will have different criteria on risk-reward. I roll the dice on the fella.

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