Estro
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Posts posted by Estro
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Diggs
Davis
Shakir
Crowder
McKenzie
Kumerow
Austin
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Fitzpatrick just signed for north of $18M per yr & his market value on spotrac.com was around $15M per, representing a 20% premium.
Poyer currently has a market value of $10.7M on spotrac & a 20% premium would come in around $12.85M per.
Yes, but you cant compare a 31 yr old Poyer to a 25 yr old in Fitzpatrick say most Bills fans. Okay fair, but how about Harrison Smith. Smith signed a 4 yr - $64M deal when he was 32 years old ( a full year older than Poyer is now. He saw $26.4M of that deal guaranteed & paid out within the first 2 years.
Very tough negotiation for the Bills. There are so many moving parts. Whatever Poyer gets Hyde would want almost the same thing if not a bit more come next season.
I dont think Beane will want to go north of a 2 year - 26.5M extension. Id expect that to be the magic #, although it wouldnt surprise me to find out Rosenhaus is asking for $16M per, in which I dont think youll see a deal worked out
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The biggest weakness on the Bills is Tremaine Edmunds. His weaknesses coming into his rookie year, continue to be his weaknesses as he enters his 5th season. He lacks the ability to diagnose plays fast, takes terrible pursuit angles, gets swallowed up by blocks and is easily fooled by misdirection anf play action. Hes also an awful blitzer ("coincidentally" one of Bernards strengths)
The better QBs we faced last year, mainly Brady and Mahomes singled out Edmunds in pass coverage and continually picked on him.
If you watch the Bucs game winning TD pass in OT on the shallow drag by Perriman, key in on Edmunds movements. He has the correct leverage on Perriman and then he runs toward him instead of with him and gives up that entire side of the field. Once Perriman catches the ball, Edmunds has a low, but still slight chance to dive at Perrimans ankles to trip him up, yet he never even attempts to.
I know Edmunds is a polarizing player amongst the fan base, but when you see the better teams continually pick on him it tells you something. I think the Bernard pick has a lot to do with how the Bills internally view Edmunds. They know they need better LB play, and I think Bernard might get a lot more reps than most expect, especially as the season progresses.
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In fairness to Feliciano (I watched the entire hour long interview), he was also very complementary and appreciative if Buffalo.
I agree that one take of his came across pretty bad, but it doesnt seem as nasty when you listen to the whole sit down.
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Be careful with Adam Caplan reporting. The guy slings around a lot of half truths as matter of fact.
He publicly claimed to often get 16 picks correct on his mock drafts back in the day, which for anybody thats a draft nerd knows that is a total lie. I also listen to a lot of his local coverage down here in the Philadelphia market, and I've noticed hes a little loose with his "inside info". Hes a wannabe Schefter.
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So far according to leaks (shaky reliability, but to play the game)
Week 1: @ LAR (TNF)
Week 2: TEN (MNF)
Week 3:
Week 4:
Week 5:
Week 6:
Week 7:
Week 8: @ KC (4:25PM CBS)
Week 9:
Week 10:
Week 11:
Week 12: @ BAL (Thanksgiving 8:20 NBC)
Week 13:
Week 14:
Week 15:
Week 16:
Week 17:
Week 18:
I believe the above post about the Jets leaked schedule is fake. It is in conflict to other leaked games.
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NFL Schedule Leaks
@NFLGameLeaks
NFL Week 8; Bills @ Chiefs, 4:25PM EST, CBS* *This is the CBS protected game of the year they have chosen. This game cannot be flexed
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Tyler Matakevich
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WR
DL
CB
S
LB
CB
BLACK
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Quay Walker.
He's what the Bills hoped Tremaine Edmunds would become. Similar size & athlete, but has the instincts, read and react & angle pursuit that subjective Bills fans still try and convince themselves Edmunds might one day learn.
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6 year - $260M
Just north of Allen's APy. Just under Pat Mahomes APY. And well under Watson's and Rodgers APYs
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On 3/27/2022 at 11:45 PM, transplantbillsfan said:
Respectfully, it seems you're conflating Cosell's statement that Moore will ultimately be more of a slot guy in the NFL (which we need) with your own notion that he's not high on him.
I don't think he's his #1 WR... but anyone can feel free to start listening at 9 minutes in to see if I'm crazy. I would note that his emphasis on Moore's "competitive toughness" is pretty huge for a slot WR.
Listen to Greg Cosell talk about Skyy Moore starting at 36:10. Greg clearly has a lot of ?s about how his game translates to the NFL. The whole clip is a great listen for his thoughts on WRs.
Keep in mind Greg Cosell is very careful with the words he chooses to describe prospects. I've noticed he's a little more forth right on this particular podcast than others because he's comfortable with the hosts.
I remember last year he was one of the first draft prospect gurus who voiced serious concerns with Justin Fields (on the Ross Tucker football podcast). In the weeks following there was a huge pushback against anyone critical of Fields and by the time Cosell was on shows like OneBillsLive his tune had changed. He didn't come right out and suddenly love Fields, but he also never voiced his serious concerns with Fields again.
Chris Simms was the same with Fields. His 180 on Fields from February to April was head spinning. It kind of showed me you get more honest insight early on before the manufactured, polite, group think assessments take over the closer you get to the draft.
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On 3/26/2022 at 3:27 PM, transplantbillsfan said:
This can be merged to another thread if a mod wants, but with his overall expertise I thought his insights were interesting, especially since I don't watch ANY college football.
My biggest takeaways:
Really high on George Pickens (like REALLY high) and Skyy Moore
Not really high on Drake London... compared him to Marcus Colston and said all the Wide Receivers he's being compared with (Mike Evans, Mike Williams, Michael Pittman) were better prospects.
Deep WR class. Can find a "starter" (in today's NFL... meaning top 3 guy for your roster) in round 4.
As far as scheme fit for Buffalo he named Jameson Williams and Jahon Dotson as 2 players he'd like in Buffalo’s offense assuming it doesn't change much.
CB in the 1st and Dotson in the 2nd? I don't know if he'll be available there because I've seen reports of him as a 1st round prospect, but he seems more likely to fall there than Williams.
Dotson's pro day was yesterday but I don't think Beane was in attendance... though that doesn't mean much. Apparently it went well and he's excellent tracking the deep ball.
Funny I listened to another podcast Cosell was on and he clearly wasn't a huge Sky Moore guy.
Mentioned although he timed fast he questioned his ability to separate and saw him as a slot WR only in the NFL.
Came away with the impression Cosell wasn't nearly as high on Skyy Moore as the huge he's been getting lately.
No doubt he loves Pickens and he likes Dotson a lot too. He also really like Treylon Burks. He's also not a big Olave guy. "His game as no element of physicality what so ever". Doesn't ever think Olave will be a #1, a complementary piece to an offense only.
One last note: Cosell thinks Calvin Austin has a little "Tyreek Hill to hus game". My ears perked up when I heard him say it. Also mentioned Khalil Shakir as a guy he really likes. (BTW, I think I heard these on a Philadelphia Eagles podcast he does)
From listening to Cosell across multiple podcasts I think he has his Wrs rated as follows:
1 - Garrett Wilson
2 - Treylon Burks
3 - Jameson Williams
4 - George Pickens
5 - Jahan Dotson
Lower on:
Olave
London
Higher on:
Calvin Austin
Khalil Shakir
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A 2 year $45M extension (so about $22.5M per) should be the line in the sand.
Now if they want to tack on $30M in funny money in Year 3 to have the 3 years $75M optics then fine.......but I don't think they should guarantee anymore than 2 years on the extension, and that extension would keep the 2 years he currently has left in place.
Diggs has 2 years left for $27M total ($13.5M per yr.) So with the a 2 Year - $45M extension, the Bills are essentially looking at a 4 year - $72M deal. Throw in the funny money, non guaranteed 3rd year to let the agent boast a sexy #, and also allows Beane an extra year to stretch out the cap hits.
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Bottom Line:
Tyreek Hill is a great player, IMO, the best offensive player in the NFL outside of QBs. He will make the Dolphins a better team because he is a dynamic weapon
That said:
The haul the Dolphins had to give up, plus the money they had to outlay, plus the lack of high level QB play in MIA makes me think in the end thus will not be a deal that works out swimmingly for MIA.
I'm actually surprised there wasn't a few NFC teams willing to match that compensation package.....would've liked the move for the acquiring team much more if they had a good QB
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Won't play at all in '22
Chance to be back 100% by '23, but certainly no guarantee he's back fill steam by then. A lot of talk that it sometimes takes 2 years to come back all the way from an Achilles tear and feel back to 100%
I think the very soonest he'll go is pick 50 and could fall as low as 75. Likely goes 50 spots lower.
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It's definitely a big swing for the Raiders, but giving up a 1st & 2nd plus forking over $28.25M per yr to a WR that will be 30 in December may not end up being a smart move.
There are some WRs that produce into their mid 30s, but there are more that hit a wall @ 31-32.
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Be careful with Adam Caplan. There guys in the media that are passing on real knowledge
Then there's a Lotta guys that are wannabes. Caplan is closer to the latter. Not saying he didn't hear it, but hes not a guy I'd put a lot of trust in
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Sam Monson
@PFF_Sam
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2h
They just signed a QB for $15m a season. If that doesn't affect your status with the team, your status was a backup to begin with.
Quote Tweet
Gerry Dulac
@gerrydulac
· 3h
The Steelers plan to have Trubisky challenge Mason Rudolph as the replacement for Ben Roethlisberger, per sources. The deal does not affect Rudolph's status with the team and he is not expected to be traded or ask for a trade.
I'm not sure if Sam Monson, of PFF. Is just spitballong that'll be in the $15M range or if he's heard something, but this the first I've seen a value assigned to what Tribusky signed for.
If it is indeed for $15M per year we are in line for a 3rd round comp. Pick assuming we have a net loss of FA's. A nice gift!
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6 minutes ago, ExWNYer said:
Yeah, I love Joe but that's a big swing and a miss, huh? 😁 Assuming he got that figure from Spotrac?
Think Marino uses OvertheCap.
Myself, I'm a spotrac.com guy. Ginnitti is really good at what he does.
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I'm not a big fan of Tremaine, but @ that APY for 5 years, YES I would do that deal. That'd be pretty team friendly, especially down the road.
$10M a year for a LB will look pedestrian in a year or 2
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Probably. There will probably be 1 or 2 middling contract acquisitions, maybe like an Engram for $7M per, but it just seems like there's not going to ve anything big.
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Mike Ginnitti of Spotrac on one of his recent visits on WGR radio, on One Bills Live, very casually but confidently stated he expects a trade back from the Bills. Not sure if that has any part in this, but if you were thinking a trade back is in the works hosting a Day 1 Draft Day Party would be odd.
That said, they could certainly set something up fro Day 2. Day 2 is better, IMO anyways. More for the diehard draft fans.
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Glad to see that duo gone from Fox. Aikman and Buck are so boring and stale. MNF booth was already bad, so I don't expect much different.
At least now there's a chance Fox upgrades to a booth that'll actually tell you something insightful. This is a win for Fox, IMO.
NFL Top 100
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Allen and Diggs are shoe ins
Poyer and Hyde likely get in toward thr back.
I'd say Tre White too, bit him being injured I could see him not making it. A lot of recency bias in the top 100 and missing a month and a half doesn't help the cause.
I'd predict
ALLEN @ #4
DIGGS @ #21
POYER @ #76
HYDE @ #96
WHITE misses due to injury.
FWIW I think Mahomes, Rodgers & Brady would be the 3 ahead of Allen