Estro
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Posts posted by Estro
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I've got to put it down on record so I'm going to post here.
Despite trying to get optimistic about the Keon Coleman pick, I've gotta go with my gut and how I felt about him prior to the Bills selecting him. I don't think he'll end up being a good WR in the NFL. I hope I'm wrong, and maybe I will be. Maybe his opportunity in Buffalo coupled with getting to play with a great QB will help him tip the scales and he'll become a productive WR for the Bills.........but I'm just not optimistic at all.
Listen to any of the smarter guys who breakdown these prospects, whether its Greg Cosell, Matt Harmon of reception perception, or most of the guys over at PFF and they don't like the prospect. Now does that Mena they'll be right? No it doesnt, but there is a lot of evidence that guys like Keon Coleman don't pan out in the NFL.
After watching everyone of his targets this past season I cam away very underwhelmed. I didn't see a guy worth of the #33 pick. I don't think he catches the ball particularly well in traffic and for a guy that's not fast and will be covered a lot that's concerning. I also saw blvery little burst. On a lot of his receptions near the line fo scrimmage he was easily tackled by the defense and showed very little wiggle or ability to hit it north/south quickly.
I'm very curious what thr plan will be for Coleman because guys like Matt Harmon thought any chance he'd have at success would be with a move to the slot. Similar to how Marques Colston played for the Saints.. But it seems the Bils think hes an X receiver.
Time shall tell, hope I'm wrong
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2 hours ago, TheBeaneBandit said:
That or imo they won't be able to get far enough up for Leggett.....but maybe Coleman. I nice 1b combo imo.😎
No way any of Franklin, Leggett, or even Coleman to last anywhere near 60.
I predict Franklin is on the board at #60. I don't think he's going as high as a lot of people think.
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41 minutes ago, GunnerBill said:
More OTs will go than WRs on Thursday. That is an absolute lock IMO.
Sportsbooks more than agree.
Over under on wrs picked is 5.5
Over under on OL is 9.5
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12 minutes ago, HappyDays said:
I've considered this as well. Last year I liked Jalin Hyatt as a potential 1st round pick for us and instead he went in the 3rd. WRs with that sort of frame tend to fall further than draftniks predict.
I agree. If there was an over/under posted on Troy Franklin I would bet the over if his draft position was set at 59.5. I think he may be available into the 3rd round. His lack of any physicality seems to be a problem for evaluators
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1 hour ago, LEBills said:
Good find. Starts about 35:25 into the podcastThanks for posting the clip, I was just about to do so myself
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Jalen McMillan, WR, Washington.
Greg Cosell mentioned a couple weeks back on "the Intel" podcast with Geoff Mosher and Adam Caplan that he heard from some people that's there's some really bad off the field stuff with McMillan. Repeated a second time "and I mean some really bad stuff".
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9 hours ago, CaptnCoke11 said:
To be fair i don’t think anyone was expecting the Bills to trade Diggs over the financials. People are wrong sometimes. It’s ok
100% agree its totally OK to be wrong. The part about no one expecting Diggs to be moved is wrong though. There was plenty of smoke. Enough for me to make a post on March 16th that Michael Lombardi was hinting the Bills would love to trade Diggs, and predicting he wouldnt be a Bill this coming season.
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On 4/12/2024 at 8:09 PM, Beck Water said:
Greg Tompsett should 100% know better than this.
Always wait for the numbers, and now they're here
https://www.spotrac.com/nfl/buffalo-bills/lael-collins-17403/
$1.75M, of which $1.5M ($1.21M salary plus $290k signing bonus) is fully guaranteed.
He has per-game roster bonuses and workout bonuses, but that "up to" must be plenty of incentives.
No, he's not the new starting LG or new starting anything.
And now we know.
That coupled with cover 1s take all off season that there was no way the Bills could afford to trade or cut Diggs.
Sal Cappaccio was very much in the same boat this offseason. Dismissed any mention of the murmurs that the Bills might be open to moving off Diggs. Then post trade, he's kind of acted like he was surprised but did leave the door open to it being possible, which isn't true at all.
I have no issue with people having a take that turns out to be completely wrong, but just own up to it, and say you got it wrong. Don't try to bend what you've been saying all offseason to minimize how wrong you were
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1 year - $1.75M contract fir Collins, according to spotrac. Much more in line with expectations, rather than the "up to" $6.5M that was reported after his signing
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This bet would show up in my app in NJ. It's no where to be found. Pretty sure it doesn't exist.
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It's a cool article, but the bet doesn't exist. I've scoured the draftkings odds for anything Diggs related. They don't exist.
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What they should do is trade down out of the 1st and pick up a 2nd and 3rd for moving down 12 or so spots.
Then use those multiple 4ths and 5th to moves around in rounds 2 and 3 and come away with 5 picks between selection 40-120.
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That's an insane deal for Tre White.
I didn't even think a team would be interested in signing him until about July/August when his injury recovery was a little further along.
I thought a 1 year$4-5M would be his market and I was waayyy off. I'm curious to see the guarantees because an Achilles for a CB at his age is a big deal
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Perfect buy low by yhe Eagles. Move down 20 spots in the 3rd.....which is about yhe equivalent of a 5th round pick. If he shows anything at all over yhe next 2 years he'll be signed as a FA and the Eagles will recoup a comp. Pick. Good business all around, especially considering hus low salary as other posters have pointed out
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8 hours ago, julian said:
You’re 100% correct, it’s obvious that Diggs hasn’t been right since the Bengals playoff loss. I think a segment of fans become more loyal to certain players than the organization.
He’s 30 years old, he hasn’t shown up in the playoffs and he’s expensive. I still think he’s a #1 in the league but IF the Bills decide to move him tomorrow I’m good with it.
Allen is going to have a few favourite targets over the span of his HOF career, Diggs was always on borrowed time.
Also note that Michael Lombardi on his latest GM shuffle episode said the Bills "wouldn't admit it, bit they'd be interested in moving Diggs".
It's his most recent episode and he makes reference to it at the very beginning of the pod. Sometimes Lombardi can be a little bit of a blowhard, but he definitely gets info from sources still.
I'm still pretty convinced Diggs will not be on this roster come September. How he's removed is uncertain, but I happen to think his time in Buffalo is over
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Javon Kinlaw, DT, 49ers
A highly touted draft prospect out of the University of South Carolina, that I'm sure our Carolina connected decision makers know well.
He also plays DT a position we need and if he was a stock you'd certainly be buying him on the dip. I believe he's been hurt a lot, but he's got the good.
3 year deal worth "up to" $24M, that's likely more like a 2 year - $15M deal with $12M guaranteed.
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On 3/3/2024 at 8:10 PM, BillsFanForever19 said:
You're probably the only one who still has Troy Franklin that high. While we all knew Xavier Worthy was fast, we didn't know he was THE fastest to EVER test at ANY position. That's a big deal.
On the flip side, we thought Troy Franklin was 6'3" - he's 6'1". We thought although small, he was 195. He's 175. We thought he had Elite speed like Worthy - he's a 4.4 guy. Then in the on the field drills, he struggled. Probably the most all over the field gauntlet I've ever seen, dropping balls, and falling down in others.
Not to say he can't be a good WR one day. Just to say that the prognosticators were closer to his reality as a mid to late Round 2 guy than the posters of this board who were hyping him up as WR5 prior to the Combine. It was about as bad of a Combine for a guy that was hyped up around these parts as I can remember.
I'm mostly with you.....I probably do have him a little too high here. Overall I'm not the biggest fan, and as I stated, his slight frame coupled with not great hands and I don't think he'll be a Bills target
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My take changed a little post combine and after listening to some of the film guys I respect most (Greg Cosell).
There's a well defined top 3 l, that we all know:
1. Marvin Harrison Jr.
2. Malik Nabers
3. Rome Odunze
After that to me there's the next tier, which includes 2 WRs, and I've flipped where I think they'll go:
4. Adonai Mitchell
5. Brian Thomas Jr
And I happen to think both will very likely be off the board before #28. I was hopeful Mitchell would eb an option, but after listening to Cosell sing his praises, coupled with his combine performance, I think hes gone. Brian Thomas, I would give a slight chance of being there, but he'll likely be gone too.
That brings us to my next tier, and I happen to think theres a bit of a drop-off to this group compared to the 2 WRs listed above:
6. Troy Franklin
7. Ladd Mcconkey
8. Xavier Worthy
Everyone knew Worthy was a speed demon and he proved it in the combine. I thought he was a 2nd round type WR due to his slight frame. Maybe he's a laye 1st because the speed is so freaky, but I think he'll be around at #28. He's just a small (super skinny) guy and I'm not sure the Bills will be the team to fall in love with him. The same can be said for Franklin. Super slight build and a higher drop rate percentage is a bit of a concern. I actually think Ladd might be the guy the Bills would like best out of this group, but at #28 it might be a bit rich.
One last WR to mention:
Jermaine Burton. I know nothing about his off field, obviously, and I've heard some negative rumblings, but as a player.......this guy's got the goods and in the 2nd round I've got that sneaky feeling he might be a Bills target.
Will he be there @ 50? Who the hell knows, but I think hes a WR worth getting to know
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Legette is not a 1st round prospect. Some smart people who follow these prospects for a living have said as much. He's not a route runner, separator.
The Bills need a guy with juice, oily hips and the ability to separate. Legette is not that prospect, IMO
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4 minutes ago, Kaenon said:
If you include sled dog transport to and from my house, I'm in!
That I can't arrange, sounds fun though
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How much you looking for?
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Section 134, Row 44 (Bills vs Steelers)
4 tickets together. These are my season tickets (best seats in the stadium IMHO).
Dead center, 50 yard line lower level tickets on the Bills (home) side.
Turn around and say hello to Jim Nantz and Tony Romo, who are directly behind you calling the game.
Won't be able to make it this week. Selling for less than what the Bills charged me
$175/ticket
$699 for 4 tickets
Like I said these are my season tickets, so I have the ability to send them as mobile tickets
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Don't overthink it:
Mahomes or Tua
I want Mahomes eliminated. He's the best QB in the league. Give me anybody but him
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4 minutes ago, NeverOutNick said:
Already placed my 3 team parlay bet just in case lol
I was going to mention that in my post. The 3 leg parlay (moneyline)
Dolphins, Steelers, Jaguars pays +462
I know some sites have the Bills implied playoff odds at 95% or so l, but according to Vegas lines we now know that number is too high.
True odds are about 85%.....long way of saying if the Bills don't win, hold on tight
2024 Draft Embedded--Has Dropped.
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
We can also compare keon coleman vs any of the wrs that went after pick 46 plus a 2nd rounder next year. One of the biggest fleeces of the draft was the trade up the rams made. Went up about 11 spots in the 2nd round and gave up a 5th rounder and next year's 2nd. I was jealous of that trade down by the Panthers. Would've loved if Beane pulled the trigger on that one.