Snappysnackcakes
-
Posts
210 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by Snappysnackcakes
-
-
3 hours ago, Einstein's Dog said:
I have not given up hope on a trade for a veteran WR. That would move the needle, much like Von did last year. The majority of the funds would come from doing something with Oliver. And there would be much rejoicing.
When they didn't extend Oliver early, he became "iffy" in my mind.
My best case scenario is still alive. I wish ErieCountyBulls would confirm it so everyone else could be happy.
Thanks for keeping it classy and above the fray; I actually see this as a possibility.
-
1
-
-
Bernard was drafted as a backup to Milano. Historically speaking, Milano has missed his fair share of games and his position is very important in our system. Bernard is not going to line up at Mike and we’re definitely not going to use 3 LB’s consistently. I don’t know how creative they’re going to be with Rapp, as he signed a one-year contract, for the minimum, and he’s a very slow DB. Heck, he’d be considered a slow LB. If, somehow, Rapp plays a large part in our game plan, it may mean we run with ONE LINEBACKER and Rapp plays the Rover role. But my gut tells me that Rapp is nothing more than a depth piece. And Bernard is not a Sam, either. He’s a backup to Matt and that’s why they picked him. Also, you must remember that his draft was one where we didn’t have a lot of holes on paper, hence the forgivable reach. Don’t throw the whole “we needed help here and there” nonsense at me. When they were assembling the roster for that season, there were very few holes. Beane is very good at assembling a pre-draft roster to minimize reaches or picking out of need. However, we cannot enter camp with the Mikes we have on the roster. I do wonder if Miles Jack has been contacted and is waiting to sign after the compensatory formula wouldn’t be impacted. He’s a good enough stop-gap and still has a lot of football left.
-
3
-
1
-
1
-
-
RB is devalued in our offense. I could elaborate, but it’s pointless to do-so.
-
1
-
-
If we don’t take an OT or trade back, I believe Sanders is the pick. We cannot go to camp with the MLB options we have. Sanders is a ”sort of” safe pick and with Coach talking about being a more aggressive defense, the thought of some A-gap blitzes with Drew sounds nice. I also know that Coach is drooling over having Hyde, Poyer, and Rapp. Rapp will be an in-the-box guy who they can get very creative with. I do, however, believe that an OT may end up being the pick.
-
2 hours ago, Paup 1995MVP said:
Have you watched film on my son Justin Ellis out of Georgia Southern? He was DE/edge. Switching to LB for the pros. Had his pro day a couple weeks ago. Ran 4.56-4.66 depending on whose watch in the 40. 23 reps in the bench. Played at 255 in college. Dropped down to 235 to play LB in the pros. He pulled his hammy at the end of his second 40 at his pro day on 3/17. Its feeling better. And he has to do the rest of his drills this weekend by video and send to the scouts. Says they are talking about him converting to FB in the pros.
Awesome! And you must be proud as hell.
-
16 hours ago, Utah John said:
Conlan was a great mid-field thumper, but his 40 time was measured with a sundial. Watching him chase someone was just pathetic. MLBs like him were great in their day but not now.
‘87 was the first year for the draft combine and Conlan did not participate. We’ll never know his 40, but he wasn’t that slow. BTW, today is his birthday. Weird.
-
6 hours ago, Doc said:
This. We want a player with Edmunds' athleticism but MLB instincts.
This^^^^^^^
-
1
-
-
34 minutes ago, FrenchConnection said:
the posters on TBD tend to skew older. They want a white LB with a mullet and a neck pad, like it was 1995. Edmunds was a modern LB and was hated here because he is a coverage LB and not Shane Conlin.
If you’re gonna put nonsense like this out here, at least spell the name correctly. It’s Shane Conlan. And he would do well in today’s NFL. BTW, he never had a mullet.
-
3
-
3
-
-
If Gabe played through a high ankle sprain early in the season, as Beane mentioned recently then yes, we ALL under appreciate the man. I had the misfortune of having one of those in high school. Oh my God. Me trying to describe it wouldn’t do it justice. He’s a man.
-
5 hours ago, Beck Water said:
Then that's a *****-up use of a third round pick, if they intended Bernard as "insurance" for a player at a position which takes 100% of the snaps when healthy.
In the last 2 years, since Beane and McDermott gave their "the only thing, and Matt knows this, is availability" before they re-signed him, Milano has played 18 and 17 out of 19 games the last 2 seasons, so possibly he may (as @BADOLBILZ once pointed out Eric Wood and another player whose name escapes me did) have learned how to play a bit more within himself so he lowers his injury risk instead of going balls-to-the-wall every play. Time will tell. I believe I've seen changes.
Anyway: Logically, a third round pick should be used on a player you intend to see the field regularly as a starter or as a backup at a position where rotation is expected every game, not on a backup to see the field 3 games in 2 seasons. That's where you draft a guy in the late rounds.
Look at our other 3rd round picks:
2018: Harrison Phillips was a backup but at a position where McD is married to a rotation. He saw 38% of the snaps in 16 games his rookie year and was starting to see more before his ACL year 2. 41% his 3rd year, 55% his 4th. He's a backup, but at a position where backups see 1/3 to 1/2 of the snaps every game, and they moved on when it was clear he wasn't good enough to start for them. Left in FA. Now starting for Minn, a playoff team.
2019: Devin Singletary, starter at position where McD is married to rotation. 67% of the snaps his rookie year, 62% overall. Left in FA.
Dawson Knox, starter. 64% his rookie year, 87% and 80% his last 2 seasons, Extended.
2020:Zach Moss, backup at a position with rotation, 45% of the snaps his rookie year, 42% of the 2nd year. Traded because he wasn't working out
2021: Spencer Brown, starting at RT. Whether he should be or not is another question, but the intent was clearly to start him. Like John Miller, our 2015 3rd round G who has since started for 2 other teams, Brown can play in the NFL, just maybe not at the top level we want, so perhaps an upgrade is needed.
The point is, while a 3rd round pick is not a sure bet as a starter or a long-term building block, it better be used on a player who will see the field regularly.
I would say before 2022, the Bills were 4 out of 5 in drafting a player who can see the field regularly with their 3rd round pick, with Zach Moss as a bust. 2 out of 4 in getting a player who starts for them, with the jury still out on #5 (Spencer Brown). That's actually pretty good - success rate in the 3rd I think is 20 or 30% league wide.
And there's this: Last year, we went into the regular season with a former 5th round pick (traded a 1st) at #1 WR, a 4th round pick as #2, and 2 5th round picks (McKenzie and Shakir) as the #3 WR. WR, one of the highest paid, highest value skill positions in the draft with most ROI to get high production from draft picks.
Yeah, No. If the Bills drafted Bernard with the idea he would back up Milano and be a depth piece at LB, that was a terrible use of a 3rd round pick, especially a guy who Lance Zierlein of NFL.com forecast as a 5th round pick.
I mean, maybe you're right, Lord knows his lone start last season was NOT promising, but I hope not. Dylan Parham, who started every game for Las Vegas at G last season, was drafted one pick later than Bernard. Parham did OK as a run blocker and struggled in pass protection, but then, so did our FA signing Saffold. So it's not as though there wasn't a guy on the board they could draft and try to develop as a starter.
Man, I didn’t want to mess up anyone’s day!! If you look back at the roster at that time, Milano had missed some time with soft tissue injuries. We also didn’t have a lot of holes in the roster, meaning if they “loved” someone, they had the right to reach, at that point in the draft. The kid was a reach at the time and still looks like they schitt the bed on that pick. That’s just the way I saw it at the time, and I would stand by my opinion, if I were to have an honest conversation with the personnel department. (Yeah…that’s gonna happen, Snappy)
-
2 minutes ago, ngbills said:
He is not going anywhere. They can sign him at any point.
Klein will be signed, then cut, then brought back after Game One of the regular season. He will be utilized like a chess piece, game-by-game, throughout the season. They don’t want to guarantee his entire yearly salary as a vested veteran, which they have to do if he’s on the squad for Game One.
13 minutes ago, Ethan in Cleveland said:Why can't we just have big players? Other teams draft big guys. Why must we always try to plug some undersized high character guy into a man's game. Edmunds at least had size though he played like a puss.
Oliver and Bernard would make one of the smallest DT/MLB combos in the league if not the smallest.
Speed is just as important as size. I’ve often said, if you could put Milano’s heart and head in Edmunds’ body…
-
1
-
-
29 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
So, then, what's your explanation of why the Bills drafted Terrel Bernard?
We have 4 linebackers not named Milano on the roster. Matakevich is 30 and has started no games for the Bills, played less than 100 snaps, I Get It, he's there for ST.
Dodson is just turning 25, he's said he feels he can start in this league (I dunno if I agree).
Matakevich was a 7th round pick of Pittsburgh, Dodson undrafted - prime territory for picking up ST guys.
Bernard was drafted in the 3rd round. That is NOT a round where a team should be drafting a guy they don't feel can start. If it's just "coach speak" to let him compete for the starting MLB gig, why was he drafted in the 3rd?
Bernard was insurance for Milano. A depth piece.
-
1
-
-
14 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:
The 4-2-5 came about when offenses at the college level started by being pass heavy spread teams. The game a long time ago was about packing it in with big guys who could push each other and now its more about speed and separation. Spread offenses either make you pull that nickel player out of the box or 3rd LB. With 3rd Receivers being smaller and shiftier, you have to match it with a smaller shiftier player(Johnson). A LB, lets just say Klein would be at a severe disadvantage.
In a 4-2-5 the Nickel and the safeties are very valuable as these 3 players ideally are big tough physical but also athletic enough to do coverage and come down to the line and face offensive lineman who are bigger than they are. This is why I believe Taylor Rapp was signed to be that bigger body who can do more of that whereas Johnson can be a little more limited.
This ^^^
-
52 minutes ago, SoCal Deek said:
Interesting comment and I’ve seen this before. What are your thoughts on the long term evolution of the Bills defensive alignment (and the NFL as a whole). Will McD stick with two LBs or start moving to the more traditional 4-3?
The “base nickel” is here to stay for awhile. I couldn’t tell you exactly how many teams employ this strategy, but I’d venture to guess it’s well over 70%. The short passing game with 1 TE is here until someone makes it stop being productive. And colleges are actually supplying good QB’s with this offense, too. Now, the 43 alignment could very well “exist” in some form where one linebacker is a safety-linebacker hybrid. This is, for all intents and purposes, what we do with our nickel. You never see Johnson lining wide in any set. That’s not his strength and it would result in him immediately being challenged by any QB who paid attention in meetings.
-
If Drew Sanders is there when we pick at 27, I would not be surprised whatsoever if he’s the pick. Sanders offers great potential as an edge rusher along with having a great year working at the Mike spot for Arkansas. He and Campbell may both end up being serviceable-to-good pros, but Sanders checks just one more box than Campbell.
-
1
-
-
7 minutes ago, Yantha said:
I'm sorry but I have no idea how you can know that without being an insider in the organization. I'm not discounting the point at all, I just want to know how you can know information like that. To me it wasn't evident on the field at all.
I witnessed it live. There’s a reason why a WR coach who was beloved by the players was sent packing, too. Was it all on Shakir? No. We were picking the proverbial WR trash heap by the end of the season. Do you really think they wanted to do this? Shakir was sitting there and they didn’t trust I’m enough to not sign CB and JB. I’ve no inside knowledge but I sure as hell can read football tea leaves.
-
Ralph was cheap.
-
1
-
-
9 hours ago, Yantha said:
Shakir DESERVED way more playing time in his rookie season.
He was having trouble with the playbook. Slot must recognize blitzes and act as an outlet, Shakir ended a couple drives early in the season by doing his job.
-
7 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:
Don't know if you are keen on Hopkins or not. I would like him. If I can get him and sign Bobby Wagner and a veteran space eater, I'd be thrilled. I just don't see how we can manage all that with the cap and I'm not passing on Hopkins if I have a chance to get him.
Would love Wagner, Hopkins, and a space eater. Totally. Hopkins (if we pull it off) will bring in a few low-cost vets, which we desperately need right now. I don’t want to count on Jordan Phillips and Shaq Lawson to be depth. Please, for the love of all that is holy, do not sign those guys again. Lawson playing with a chip on his shoulder is too much. Phillips doesn’t take conditioning seriously enough. Move on Beane. Neither are what they call
consummate professionals.
-
1
-
1
-
-
5 minutes ago, Dr. Who said:
Given the first two rounds, I don't trade. I stick at 27 and take Dalton Kincaid. At 59, I take Matthew Bergeron who apparently lasts until the third round in your draft. I think LB and DT need to be higher on your priority list, but I like going offense with the first two picks. I'm keeping Tucker Kraft in mind. I know you like him. We definitely need to grab one this draft.
Cannot go into the season with green DT’s and a green MLB. Recipe for disaster.
-
11 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:
I dont believe there is a LB worthy of the 27th pick. Thats my opinion. The only LB's I think that are worth taking at all as a MLB in this draft are Jack Campbell (2nd Round), Daiyon Henley (3rd round), Dorian Williams (4th Round), Ivan Pace 5th/6th round. This LB class particularly on the inside is atrocious. There are a lot of nickel type LB's. I want nothing to do with Sewell at all.
You are correct! But if we don’t sign Wagner, as a bridge, we’re gonna forced to reach for one. Again, Dodson cannot be “Plan A” going into
camp. It’s slim pickings out here now.
-
We were terribly mismanaged for a loooooong time. The Jets are the Jets. Miami had Dave freaking Wannstedt for way too long. A convergence of circumstances certainly helped move them along. Jesus…no wonder we drink a lot.
-
7 minutes ago, BigAl2526 said:
I know that Beane has not traded down in the past, but every year is unique. Buffalo has fewer picks than they've had in recent history, which makes trading up that much more costly. I think it depends on what value is on the board and at what positions when Buffalo's pick comes. If there is no compelling value and the value that is left is not at a position of need, I can absolutely see Beane entertaining the possibility of a trade down. I wouldn't expect more than a trade or two at most in the draft, however.
We don’t have enough holes to have this number of picks. DT and MLB are the only glaring needs and a future S is close behind. Rookies don’t consistently contribute on 99% of championship rosters. The “alphas” get picked up early and they have potential to help. But, generally speaking, we’d be drafting for other teams to take from us on cutdown day. You can’t stash them all on IR.
2 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:If I made no trades in this draft my draft probably would have gone.
27- Dalton Kincaid TE Utah
59- Keeanu Benton DT Wisconsin
91- Tyler Scott WR Cincinnati
130- Nick Saldiveri OG/OC Old Dominion
137- Ivan Pace Jr. LB Cincinnati
205- Kaevon Merriweather S Iowa
Thats based on what was available in this particular draft.
We cannot go to camp with Dodson as the MLB. I hope the board doesn’t implode when we pick one at 27.
-
5 minutes ago, gonzo1105 said:
You just want a mock that I would do without trades? Your the 2nd guy to ask something like this in the thread just want to make sure that I'm getting the question correct.
Yes. Gotta keep it easy for these old eyes. Blatz Beer did a number on me from the 4th grade on…
JSN Top 30 Visit with Bills
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
I feel like the Board has taken a turn toward a scene from the film Idiocracy.