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Everything posted by ArdmoreRyno
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Week 2 selections (I'll try to keep up, picking every game, going by AP top 25 from 1-25). Games that are within 3 points of the spread, I wouldn't touch. This early, with my numbers... nearly every one of the dogs cover. Vegas did a good job with the spreads IMO. Highlighted games are ones with margins over 3 points) Texas +20 (Alabama wins by 14) Arkansas State +43.5 (tOSU wins by 37) Hawaii +51 (Michigan by 34) Appalachian State +19 (A&M by 16) Kent State +33.5 (OU by 28) Marshall +20.5 (ND by 19) Baylor +3.5 (Baylor by 9) UPSET Stanford +9 (USC by 7) Arizona State +11 (Oklahoma State by 10) Kentucky +5.5 (Florida by 3) Akron +34.5 (Michigan State by 31) S. Miss +24.5 (Miami by 24) S. Carolina +8.5 (Arkansas by 8 ) Pitt +6.5 (Tenn by 3) Washington State +17.5 (Wisc by 16) Vandy +13 (Wake Forest by 11) Houston +3 (Texas Tech by 2) Alabama 38 Texas 24 Arkansas State 6 Ohio State 43 Hawaii 10 Michigan 44 Appalachian State 24 Texas A&M 40 Kent State 13 Oklahoma 41 Marshall 16 Notre Dame 35 Baylor 17 BYU 27 USC 38 Stanford 31 Arizona State 34 Oklahoma State 44 Kentucky 33 Florida 36 Akron 16 Michigan State 47 Southern Mississippi 10 Miami (U) 34 South Carolina 16 Arkansas 24 Tennessee 27 Pittsburgh 24 Wazzu 9 Wisconsin 25 Wake Forest 40 Vandy 29 Houston 42 Texas Tech 44
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Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Less likely to vote... what? Yes, abortion is a major issue to the democrats... it's 14% of their concerns I think I posted the stat that was released? Data by VOX (a very leftist media source) said that before the Dobbs ruling, there were 450,000 voters "new young voters" almost split 50-50 (around 100,000 each) when it came to parties (ind. were the vast majority of regsitered voters) and post, the number at the time of the data was 52,000 new voters, around 10,000 GOP and 20,000 DNC (again, most were ind.). -
I agree... I can certainly see Texas lose something like 38-14 but I think UT talent is really higher than it has been the past few years. I see something like: Texas 20 Alabama 35
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Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I never said anything about abortion or women. I talked about what the main issues are to American voters right now and where the projections in Congress are looking. -
Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Did I say women? I said "number one issue" as in OVERALL to voters. Or are you going to do what you do best... assume things. The number one issue to voters is the economy. It normally is the number on issue in every election going back for a decade where terrorism and homeland secruity topped it all after 9/11. Gas prices, inflation, or other economic issues... those are THE biggest thing people worry about. In fact, here are the numbers via Quinnipiac: 34% economy 12% gun violence Nothing else is in double digits in regards to what voters care about. Breaking it down by party: GOP 48% economy 16% immigration Dems 22% gun violence 14% abortion 12% election laws 11% climate change Ind. 41% inflation (nothing else was in double digits) -
Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
The whole thing is interesting to see play out. You have the people fed up with how the current administration is handling things (and have been) then you have the abortion side of things. We will find out soon enough which was more of a pressing issue. -
Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Dude, chill out. I never said anything about "pre" or "post" Dobbs. You are assuming abortion is the NUMBER ONE ISSUE in the election coming up. It's not. And my post last week was 100% what I said in my reply before. Those were the projections posted by Politico. Not me. They project a 226-209 seat advantage in the House. When I posted that, it had a slight edge to the GOP in the Senate. https://www.politico.com/2022-election/race-forecasts-ratings-and-predictions/ -
Top 25 matchups - Week 2 Kent State o/u 71 Oklahoma -33.5 Arizona State o/u 58 Oklahoma State -11 Alabama -20 (lol) Texas o/u 65 Arkansas State o/u 68.5 Ohio State -43.5 S. Miss o/u 54.5 Miami -24.5 S. Carolina o/u 53 Arkansas -8.5 Wake Forest -13 Vandy o/u 66 Charleston Southern NO LINE NC State NO LINE Southern Utah NO LINE Utah NO LINE Marshall o/u 51.5 Notre Dame -20.5 Furman NO LINE Clemson NO LINE Appy State o/u 52 Texas A&M -19 Tennessee -6.5 Pitt o/u 66 Wazzu o/u 49 Wisconsin -17.5 Samford NO LINE UGA NO LINE Akron o/u 56 Michigan State -34.5 Kentucky o/u 52.5 Florida -5.5 Central Arkansas NO LINE Ole Miss NO LINE USC -9 Stanford o/u 67 Hawaii o/u 67 Michigan -51 Baylor -3.5 BYU o/u 53.5 MAKE YOUR PICKS!!!!
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tOSU fans.... (not going back all the posts the past few pages)... what did you think about Jim Knowles defense? Complete shutout in the 2nd half. That's exactly what he did at my OSU. The Pokes defense was THE BEST in the country last year (arguably) and HANDS DOWN the best in the 2nd half. No team was as good as Oklahoma State making halftime adjustments. Knowles is a master at it. Get these numbers.... in the 2nd half of the games last year for the Cowboys: @ Boise State: 0 points allowed K-State: 1 touchdown allowed Baylor (game 1): 2 touchdowns allowed. Ok State won by 10 @ Texas: 1 touchdown allowed, no points allowed the final 27 minutes Kansas: 0 points allowed Iowa State: 2 touchdowns allowed @ WVU: 0 points allowed TCU: 1 touchdown allowed @ Texas Tech: 0 points allowed (the entire game) OU: 0 offensive touchdowns allowed Baylor (Big XII championship): 0 points allowed Notre Dame (Fiesta Bowl): 1 touchdown allowed (with 65 seconds left) Only one game, the defense struggled in the 2nd half... that was against Iowa State in Ames. Every other game the defense practically destroyed the opp. offense. BTW: How the f*** does Ohio State win like they did and DROP in the polls?!?!? Total BS. I'm rooting for tOSU and my OSU this season. With Knowles there as well as Tanner McCalister (former Ok State grad transfer), it's hard to root against the Buckeyes!
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That's how I'm looking at it!
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Impact of Dobbs and Abortion Laws
ArdmoreRyno replied to ChiGoose's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I didn't miss anything. Last Thursday when I posted my reply, the numbers were as what I said. Those will change, like they did. Some people forget, over 1,000,000 democrats switched parties the past year due to the handling of covid by blue states. That is still something people haven't forgot... businesses closing down due to moronic policies by states like California. -
CFB Playoff Expansion to 12 teams approved
ArdmoreRyno replied to YoloinOhio's topic in College Football
You're thinking of when TCU was in the Mountain West. They went 13-0 in 2011. Baylor and TCU were co-champs in 2014, both with one loss. But your point is dead on. Hell, recently with UCF... they were 13-0 in 2017 and beat the likes of Auburn, who just played in the SEC championship game after beating #1 Alabama. UCF deserved a shot at the title. Oklahoma State deserved a shot in 2011. TCU did in 2011. I don't think it's too difficult to do a 12-team playoff. Top 4 get a bye, first 2 games could be home to the higher seed (or make round 2 a neutral site). Then play the final 4 as they are now, NY6 bowl game locations. -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
We can! lol Thing is, many people who are for gun control (or more of it) have little to no understanding on firearms or the laws we currently have, let alone how you go through buying one. I've said it on the Guns thread... we have people, on both sides, who have no clue. My dad, a devout conservatives, even thought things like "You can get a gun at a gun show and they don't require any background checks at those shows, unlike a gun shop... and... you can convert a firearm to a machine gun by changing a button." Even Fox News gets firearm stuff completely wrong more often than right. -
CFB Playoff Expansion to 12 teams approved
ArdmoreRyno replied to YoloinOhio's topic in College Football
I've brought this up before as well.... the "should not play long schedules like the NFL" is a moot point. Georgia and Alabama played 15 games last season (which was the extreme number in the country). The Atlanta Falcons played 17. You can remove the moronic "middle of the season vs a tiny school" from the SEC schedules and kick that number down to 14 games (including post-season). Alabama played NM State and Mercer last year (NM State towards the end of the year). Georgia played Charleston Southern. Tennessee played South Alabama. Ole Miss played Liberty. Get rid of a non-conference game or two, across the board. Yea, it will effect smaller schools like Arkansas Pine-Bluff with money from the game, but are we going to hang on to those games instead of trying to put together a REAL NCAA championship? Only sport that doesn't have one. That needs to change IMO. We can easily make it a 10 game regular season. Used to do that YEARS ago. Totally agree brother. We are passionate college football fans and we both love our Bills. -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Those are private sales at a gun show. It's not common compared to gun dealers... which is what the vast majority of gun shows are made up of. Some states allow private sellers some don't. In Oklahoma, I've seen (only twice in my life) someone walk around carrying 2-3 guns on them going to dealers asking if they want to buy them. Bad guys DO get guns that way, but its so much easier to do a straw purchase or get them on the streets. The easiest way for a criminal to get a gun is to simply steal them. -
CFB Playoff Expansion to 12 teams approved
ArdmoreRyno replied to YoloinOhio's topic in College Football
Apparently you missed my point. STFU and let teams prove it = Stop yapping and let the teams prove it. -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
But you'd lose your job if you don't do it (see: US military) -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Form 4473 is an ATF form you have to fill out when you buy a firearm. It goes to both the ATF and FBI. All states require this form... there is no state that ignores this process. Now different states have their own requirements, like a wait time after you buy a firearm. But my main issue with new background checks: Criminals won't do it. They'll buy a gun off the street and ignore all laws. I then have to travel 30-40 miles to my local FFL with my dad, when we somehow can both get off work at the same time, to do a background check and pay more money when I gifted him a Henry .357 lever action rifle (I got one for his 70th birthday a year ago). I can't give my wife a pistol I bought her for protection when I'm out of town without both of us doing ANOTHER background check. -
CFB Playoff Expansion to 12 teams approved
ArdmoreRyno replied to YoloinOhio's topic in College Football
Dude, this beats out all the comments I've made on his page and you just destroyed his ridiculous argument. He also forgets, they beat Auburn in the luckiest of ways. Auburn who went 6-7 and lost to an AAC team (Houston). Auburn had NO players opt out of their bowl game (another one of Bill from NYC's arguments). -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I appreciate the conversation. We don't have enough of this in America today, let alone this site. -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
I know dude. You can't stand when someone thinks differently. -
CFB Playoff Expansion to 12 teams approved
ArdmoreRyno replied to YoloinOhio's topic in College Football
LOL Again, it's just "Alabama" and everyone else sucks, right? Anything that might put a bump in the road for Alabama is bad. Right? Sorry I have an opinion on the matter and sorry MOST of America agrees with me. Your "Many players boycott them" is simply not true. Do players do that? Yes. It's been happening more recently, but with an expansion in the playoffs it can help with the FEW kids who opt out of bowls. Less than 30 opted out across the nation, out of a pool of 3,500 that were trying to get into the NFL. 0.008% Hardly a reason to say bowl games are meaningless. Tell that to the kids in Stillwater who beat Notre Dame in the Fiesta Bowl or the kids in Waco who won the Sugar Bowl. Ohio State kids were on top of the world after winning the Rose Bowl this past year. Meaningless. And if you haven't figured it out, I've never said Alabama was a weak team or didn't deserve to play in the playoffs (aside from 2011 which they didn't deserve a rematch vs LSU). They have been *the* team the past decade. You can theorize all you want with bowl games but the fact is, outside UGA and Bama... the rest of the SEC sucked and got beat down top to bottom by other conferences. Maybe SEC is weaker than you think. Alabama BARELY BEAT Florida, Auburn and Arkansas last year. How did Florida do in 2021? Same Florida team that barely beat a 4-7 SAMFORD team, giving up 52 points. All that said: Just STFU and let teams PROVE IT. If you think Baylor or Oklahoma State is weak because they play in the Big XII, then you have nothing to worry about. -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
He doesn't. Trump = cult GOP = cult guns = cult pro-life = cult Anyone who thinks differently than he does = cult -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Jump on the gun thread for your answers... but let me help. 1. We have background checks. Every gun legally purchased from a FFL (gun dealer) must complete a Form 4473 (ATF/FBI background check). Doesn't matter if you're at a gun shop, pawn shop or gun show. Only private purchases don't have to do background checks. Lets say you somehow add that onto the 20,000 gun laws in America... no criminal is going to go down to their local FFL to do a background check. 2. Red flag laws are a horrible idea. One way to legally make someone guilty before they can prove they aren't. Here is a good opinion piece from the CATO institute (a liberation intuition). 3. Minimum age requirements are already in place. I don't necessarily have an issue with more of a background check for pre-21 year old's from buying a semi-automatic rifle. Especially looking at juvenile records, but AR platforms aren't weapons of war. Just because they look similar, they don't function the same (this is coming from someone who was issued an actual "Weapon of War" in the military. And trust me, a 19 year old in the USMC isn't any more mature than a 19 year old civi. 4. Worst school shooting in American history was carried out by a 9mm handgun and .22 LR handgun. The handgun is what is used in 95% of all so-called "mass shooting". -
Are we being purposely divided?
ArdmoreRyno replied to Matt_In_NH's topic in Politics, Polls, and Pundits
Anti-school gun safety. What? lol Why are the defund the police liberals not complaining some conservatives are saying defund the police? Weird. (again, lol)
