Cray51

This has been a 13-4 team since the offseason. team is getting better as the season goes on. 10-7 is wild. Not a chance

Yea I've googled him. Hence why I know his catch rate is 63% for his career. Davis is 53%. It's an improvement, but for reference Palmer's catch rate is 65%. So again, if you want a downfield threat in the offense, Palmer per their careers is probably the best option. I'm not saying Shaheed isn't a decent option, but he (by the numbers) would even be the best downfield threat on this team even if we acquired him. Palmer is a better version of Shaheed. If Beane believes Palmer will be ready to go by the playoffs, I could see why he wouldn't want to target Shaheed really at all. In addition, when you factor in cost to acquire, if Davis for free gives you an 8-10% loss in production compared to Shaheed for what would likely have been a 3rd or 4th+4th next year, going with Davis makes sense. As I said in earlier posts - if Shaheed was a 6th to acquire, I wouldn't bat an eye. But a 3rd or two 4ths? I dont think that makes sense.

Drops have been a concern,but Shaheed's catch rate has only been marginally better than Davis in his career. Palmer has a better rate than both, so if the goal is a downfield threat with hands Palmer is better than Davis or Shaheed.

The story of Jordan Phillips. Former 2nd rounder who goes to a bad Miami organization, turns up to Buffalo and fits with the team for a half decade.

And (ducks for cover), Davis has consistently stretched the field more than Shaheed (his average depth of catch each year has been higher than Shaheed, meaning he stretches the field more frequently and catches more passes when doing so. I know people hate Davis, but I actually think he can be a very solid #3/4 for this team not only this year, but for the next few

Is he through? He has been a #3/4 his entire career. This year he is getting fed targets, but I wouldn't call him a difference maker. He is worse than Josh Palmer in almost every core stat. He wouldn't be a slot guy over Shakir. So you are upgrading from Coleman to Shaheed. Is that really worth the investment? If it was a 5th only, sure. But I wouldn't give up a 3rd to bring him in.

And there are multiple variables and odds to consider. Do you punt, which gives KC a 2% chance of a TD but gives you a 0% chance of winning. You convert a punt 99% of the time Do you FG, which gives you a 100% chance of winning but KC a 5% chance if you miss. You make a FG in that range 75% of the time Do you go for it, which gives you a 100% chance of winning, but KC a 5% chance if you miss, plus the chances of a fumble/INT being way higher. You convert 45% of the 4th downs at that distance. I go FG - it's the highest chance of a put away play with the lowest possible TD the other way rate, and KC's chances go up minimally with a miss (which is what happened).

Ridiculous. Kicking the field goal was 100% the right call. Just like how he handled the goal line stand in the 1st half - masterful. No one is talking about it because the people who hate McD can't seem to give him any credit. Blown coverage leads to KC with the ball at the half yard like, 37 seconds left. McD doesn't call TO right away, he waits until they are close to snapping to stop the clock at 25 seconds. It allows him to change personnel and bring the big run stuffers in. Hunt is 18 for 20 in 3rd and 1 or 4th and 1 conversions, and he is at the goal line. Personnel change allows the stop on 1st, the two incomplete passes on 2nd and 3rd down, and the FG keeps KC to 3 points instead of 7. Ended up being a huge moment, Buffalo didnt have to worry about defending a field goal at the end of the game. McD was very good against the Chiefs. People need to cut it out with the crap. Watch 75% of the coaches around the league mess things up consistently and then tell me McD is a bad tactical coach

I was running the numbers today: he has never had a season under 6 rushing TDs. past two seasons have seen him score 15 and 12 TDs respectively. this year he is already at 7 in 8 games there is no reason to think he won’t do 10+ each year for the next 3-4 seasons. not only do I think he will make it to 124, he may reach 140

Assuming he can get 50 more rushing TDs,he will end his career top 5 ALL TIME

Long term, the lineup will be: CBs: Benford Hairston Strong Safety: Bishop Hancock They will likely draft a slot CB, and another safety (or sign someone ala Rapp) At this point, I'd say the secondary looks like it COULD be good, but nothing is set in stone. Need to bring in a future slot corner.

I'm thinking they will be 11-6 at the end of the year. They will lose a game in the division, and maybe the Colts or Dallas

Very well coached game - team was disciplined, structured, and didn't force anything on offense. Defense looked measured, have to think McD calling plays and coordinating with Poyer back there is helping. I dont understand why people are pooping on McD last night. He coached a very very good game. His timeout at the end of the half with 25 seconds left was perfect. Allowed his personnel to reset, put the goal line team in, and they made 3 great plays to hold the Chiefs to 3 points. In the past few years, whenever the Bills get their midseason win over the Chiefs it kicks them into gear and they go on a run. Last year was a 4-1 run to lock up the division and conference with a game in hand going into NE. Fingers crossed we continue that push this year

Dude tore his Achilles, and still tried to rush and finish the play

Chiefs gave bosa free run to Mahomes, and leaked an RB behind. Forced Bosa to stutter to cover the fake screen, then runs Kelce to the first down line on a deep curl as a decoy, takes Worthy deep on the left to clear the safety, and takes rice on an option route to let him work. Forces Bernard to make a decision on kelce or rice. it was a great play call Like what…