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Back2Buff

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Posts posted by Back2Buff

  1. 1 hour ago, Motorin' said:

    I was actually exited to read a thread about strategy, and then it ended up being an elaborate way to jab Daboll.

     

    Interesting analysis on the tendencies though. Definitely have to use tendency breakers against the Pats.

     

    Their secondary is still great in coverage and extremely physical. Their D line can generate pressure up the middle. They've definitely lost quality at the line backer position. 

     

    Belichick wrote the book last year on how to use stunts and blitzes to throw the Bills off, and Houston replicated that strategy in the playoffs.

     

    I think Beasley needs to be a hot route security blanket for Allen, use Diggs and Davis to stretch the field and use Beasley, the RB and Kroft to take what's available underneath.

     

    I don't see the Bills committing to run the ball, though there's a lot of tape from San Fran on how to exploit the Pats. I just don't think we have the personell. Josh is going to have to beat them through the air, take what the defense is giving them and find a way to kill their zero blitz / man coverage schemes when the opportunity presents itself.

     

    Be prepared to lose if you expect Josh to sit back there and throw the ball over 40 times.  This team needs to establish a run game.

    • Like (+1) 1
  2. 18 minutes ago, MJS said:

    I don't think that's true. Designed QB runs were a big focus the first week or so, and then they all but disappeared until yesterday.

     

    They've adjusted from using long passes down the field to short dink and dunk passes (assuming this is due to defenses covering the deep area and John Brown being out).

     

    I think it's safe to say our team is not as good as the Chiefs. They are the best team in the league, with one of the best offensive minds ever at head coach. We caught the Titans at a rough time because they wanted to come out and make a statement. I think that game is different if the COVID stuff didn't happen and we weren't as banged up (missing our best players on defense).

     

    Our offense has fallen off a cliff.  That's not adjusting, that's just failing.  Adjusting would mean you stay at the same rate you were going prior to the other teams adjustments.

  3. 7 minutes ago, MJS said:

    I'll leave it to the coaches to figure out. I think the health of players has been a big hurdle to overcome this year. Brown is needed on offense to take away the focus on Diggs. Our oline is not healthy.

     

    Is health really an excuse when we have seen other teams come in really banged up (KC on oline) and scheme their way into incredible production?

     

    For some reason, this offense under Daboll does not scheme game by game.  I feel like I am watching the same scheme every week, no matter what the opponent is playing or doing.  I watch these teams before we play them and can pinpoint where they are weak.  The Bills then play them, and we run the same scheme we have always ran, no matter what the other team is doing.

  4. As the season has gone on, the Bills are being too shotgun oriented with too much RPO.  Josh has never been good at reading what to do in RPO.  He keeps the ball way too much, which is making it predictable.  Devin Singletary has 4 carries this year in RPO, Josh Allen has thrown the ball 29 times from RPO and has also ran a bunch.  Good chance if the defense just sticks to going after Allen, they will be correct, more time than not.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/S/SingDe00/splits/2020/

     

    I look at these splits, and it pretty clear that Allen is best throwing from play action, and his worst throwing stats come from throwing from RPO.  Play to your strengths.  I also think QB running from play action is more effective than running from RPO, because the LB will usually creep up when they see the QB turn his back, versus stay patient when they can see the QBs eyes.

     

    https://www.pro-football-reference.com/players/A/AlleJo02/splits/2020/

     

    Over the last three games, pretty much all Singletary does is go left.  If you look at his next gen stats back to last year, he is much more effective when he is used all over the field.

     

    https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/devin-singletary/SIN186919/season

     

    I'm sure someone will say this is o line based, but if the o line is only allowing you to become so predictable, then you have to switch your line up.  I would put Nyseke in there with Feliciano. 

     

    I don't know why this team isn't adapting, but Belichick will eat this team alive.  All he is going to do is overload the Bills left side to stop the run, and then put a safety to the right side, because Allen struggles a lot more throwing to the left than right.

     

    https://nextgenstats.nfl.com/charts/player/season/josh-allen/ALL529264/2020/all/qb-grid

     

    I expect more from Daboll.

    • Like (+1) 5
  5. 24 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:


    Duke had 1 target against MIA and 2 targets (1 reception) against the Eagles last year.  There's a reason he was benched.

     

    I don't care what his body type is, when Duke was given snaps in 2 games last season where we could have used him he wasn't a factor.

    After a week 17 performance where he caught 50% of his targets, Duke caught 4 of 10 targets against the Texans.  He underwhelmed.

     

    How one projects from that he'd "be a factor to get a man off Diggs" I have no idea.

     

    You failed to mention that he got hurt.  He was a factor, until he was injured.

     

    You can say whatever you want about underwhelming, but him getting 10 targets is what this team needs from an outside WR.  Davis is on the outside, and doesn't even get a look, so it takes away half of the field.

  6. 59 minutes ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     
    Based on what evidence?

     

    People love to polarize between “lovers” and “haters”.  I’m not a Duke “hater”.  But I don’t know where the notion arises that Duke is this separation superstar either.

     

    Duke has the body build to physically be a factor in one on one coverage.  Davis is only effective when he is wide opened.  During congestion, he shrinks.

     

    Nothing about separation, more about a guy that can be a factor to get a man off Diggs.

  7. 7 hours ago, Call_Of_Ktulu said:

    Moss had some burst, wiggle and hands today. If he starts running like Travis Henry I will be happy with that. He seems like the kind of RB that needs carries to get going. 

     

    I would not classify what he has as "burst".  He is painfully slow overall, but painfully slow accelerating.  When I was watching the SF backs, it was noticeable how much quicker those back are.

  8. On 10/23/2020 at 4:40 PM, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    Davis may do nothing for you, but he's doing catch % 78%, 32 ypg and 14 ypr for the Bills which is better catch% and the same ypr that Duke managed last year.

     

    Whatever your opinion of their relative merits may be, it seems the Bills need to activate OL, CB, and LB so activating a WR is way down their to-do list.

     

     

     

     

    Not even sure what you are saying, but another game Davis gets huge % of snaps, another game of 1 catch.  He does nothing for this team on the outside.  At least Duke will be a factor if given the snaps.

    On 10/23/2020 at 4:21 PM, NewEra said:


     

    and you’re serious?

     

    Ya, Davis stinks as an outside WR.  Gets one on one cover with Diggs on outside, and does nothing to get opened.

    • Haha (+1) 1
  9. So this guy at work and myself are having a disagreement on the stock market with Biden in office.

     

    He thinks it will go down immediately but end up with the same positive slope, reaching heights higher than it was during Trumps administration.

     

    I personally think we are going to a depression, than recession with Biden.  I think you will see a huge sell off, and some uptick just because people will try to profit from the immediate response, but then I see a long downturn extending for years.

     

    I just think Trump is going to everything in his power to get the stock market to decrease to prove he was the one keeping the positive model.  I also think the whole tax situation will play a role.  If it is true about the LT tax gain changing, there will be a lot of sell off going on.

  10. Just now, aristocrat said:

    Our offense needs that run game to grind down defenses and bell is practically a wr.  He had 1250 all purpose yards last year with 66 receptions and almost 500 yards. Such a threat.  Only problem is maybe not enough balls to go around but winning helps that 

     

    On Tuesday it seemed we lacked targets.  Diggs was force feed on too many occasions.

     

     

    • Like (+1) 1
  11. 1 hour ago, Hapless Bills Fan said:

     

    There are very few RB that can run effectively without good run blocking.

     

    Do you think Le'Veon Bell is one of those backs?

     

    I don't

     

    Do you think we have good run blocking?

     

    Tough to run block when your RB can only go to one side of the field, outside the tackles.  Seriously, look at the run chart from Tuesday.

     

    Singletary can't run inside and it is hurting this offense. 

     

    Yeldon was much more effective, and Bell is twice the player.

  12. 29 minutes ago, scribo said:

    Tre's lovely other half already stated on Twitter Tre is not lying about his injury. Let's put it to rest.

     

    Being a back injury, the best treatment is rest. Hoping that the extra couple of days allowed him to get that on top of what our top-tier sports medicine department provided.

     

    If Tre can shut down AJ Brown, we can stack the box and hold Henry in check. That is the winning formula.

     

    The reason why everyone is questioning it, is because Tre never even came out during practice, when every single other injured player did.

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