newcam2012
-
Posts
7,016 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Gallery
Profiles
Forums
Events
Posts posted by newcam2012
-
-
34 minutes ago, zow2 said:
The Bills in this win streak have not been explosive really. Which is good, because the kind of game they will need to play this Sunday is the same kind of game they’ve been winning lately. Ball control, move the chains, don’t be reckless and dumb.
McDermott and the captains need to be smart with the field direction. They must have the wind in the 2nd and/or 4th Qtrs. Those are the two long Qtrs with all the timeout usage, 2 min warning, guys getting out of bounds, extra plays,etc.
There was a wind game either last year or a couple years ago where our opponent had the wind advantage in the 2nd and 4th Qtrs. That was egregiously bad decision making and coaching. That can’t happen Sunday.
The offense vs Miami was very good with the exception of turnovers and finishing in the red zone. Basically, the Bills stopped themselves more than Miami stopping us.
The Bills had several plus 20 yard plays. Allen was 30-38 for 360125 yards. That's really good. The Bill rushed for over 125 yards. That's really good.
I feel like in the right environment weather wise the Bills offense would be successful against Pitt. I have less confidence in a very windy, cold, and snowy atmosphere.
-
1
-
-
57 minutes ago, Aimee75 said:
Yeah, I feel like, at the very least, it neuters The Bills more than it does them and puts them at borderline equal playing field. I think The Bills are no doubt more talented, but I feel like they have a better run game. I don't think we will see a lot of passing in this game. We cannot make any mistakes. No turnovers. It would be devastating I think. I doubt field goals will even be a thing.
If we lose this one, I am not sure I ever want homefield "advantage" again. I am almost wondering if we would have been better off losing in Miami and playing on the road. I hate saying that because I usually like the comfort of home, but our offense cannot air it out in this type of weather.
I think you just found the "out" if the Bills lose. It won't be McD's fault, the roster, player execution , etc... Rather it will be the weather.
So hope this doesn't happen.
31 minutes ago, Ralonzo said:Rudolph throws a moon ball that won't be happy in that wind. However Pickens is a contested catch monster.
Pitt has been pounding the rock well lately. Harris and Warren have looked very good down the stretch.
-
52 minutes ago, Aimee75 said:
They're talking whiteout conditions now. I don't see this as being some shootout. It's going to be a low scoring game and probably who ever makes the least mistakes, wins!
That's the scary part for me. That's right in Pittsburgh's wheelhouse.
-
2 hours ago, PBF81 said:
He's done better than I expected as well, however, we've only played three teams among the top-13 scoring teams. 10 of the 17 games we've played have featured teams ranked 19th or worse, again, including four games against the 29th, 30th, and 31st scoring teams.
Of those three teams, we played well vs. Miami but we own them. Dallas we played well but Philly loaded up on us. So outside the division 50/50.
Once again, our issues have not been the regular season. They've been the playoffs where we cannot seem to be teams seeded better than 5th or at home. So this playoffs will be a defining playoffs.
Of our last 7 games while Brady's been the OC, where our scoring has been below our season average, having played New England with Zappe, the Chargers with Shtick, the Jets with Wilson, or even the Chiefs w/o Pacheco and no WRs worthy of note except for a developing rookie, tough shouldn't really be a feather in our cap.
Pittsburgh's not even a top offense, they rank 28th in scoring although they have been playing better under Rudolph, to the tune of over 9 points better than their season average on the whole, despite having played two Ds ranked 21st and 25th in those three games. They have logged a bunch of very long TD drives however.
We're all hoping for a win, but deep down most of us realize that we haven't been stellar in the playoffs under McD. This is a fantastic opportunity for him to alter that perspective and existing paradigm and associated narrative.
Nice post. The playoff failures are the very reason why I've been banging the drum for a new coach. Hopefully, a McD lead Bills team can have more success this year. Losing to Pitt would be borderline catastrophic. Perhaps, an over simplification but you get the point. Imho, it would take many fans to the breaking point. Hopefully, we don't go there.
However, your numbers implicate McD and the Bills should win the game. Pitt is the exact kind of playoff opponent McD beats. A less than stellar team with an average to poor QB. I believe his defense will have great success vs Pitt. McD does get first round wins.
I'm more worried about the offense here. The turnovers continue to be concerning. It's really feast or famine with Allen from series to series almost. It almost feels like I'm on edge watching the offense play. Am I the only one saying no turn no turnover no turnover while watching the offense? It's pretty nerve wrecking. The Pitt D gets turnovers. No Watt is huge though.
I believe the Brady honeymoon phase is over. He's by far better than Dorsey but there's tape and tendencies that teams can now evaluate. Pitt will absolutely have a solid game. IMHO, the Bills offensive talent should prevail but weather can be a huge detriment.
Can't wait til Sunday.
-
1
-
-
1 hour ago, PBF81 said:
Who cares about the spread, that a pop-culture money thing that's based upon perceptions, which are often rooted in extreme superficialities. That's why Vegas makes money hand over fist. Has nothing to do with reality. Someone good at wagering can figure out where the "deals" are.
Honestly, much depends upon Allen, and since his play is such a wild-card in the generic sense of the word, it's difficult to know what to expect.
I'll go ahead and say the quiet part out loud here, but if anything, our handicap in the playoffs has been McD & Co. We're a better team. If they cannot figure out how to tweak that in homefield advantage, with rabid fans, then that's on them. He has yet to beat a 4th or better seed in the playoffs.
Hopefully this is the season where he shatters that paradigm.
If not, LOL, this place is going to be a colossal hoot for months.
Coaching for this game is key and it seemingly favors Tomlin. ... at least until further notice.
McD has done a solid job coaching up the defense in the last half of the season. His defense blew some games early on but since then they have closed the door and finished off teams. Dare I say, I'm buying into the McD D.
My fear in this game is Pitt seemingly hangs around, makes a key big play or two, and wins ugly.
I'm hoping the Bills' talent shines through this game. McD should have this team ready to play. No Watt is likely a difference maker.
-
2
-
1
-
-
7 minutes ago, PBF81 said:
Cook for us and Warren for Pitt both have ball security issues. Then of course Allen's INTs.
Given the likelihood of lots of running and therefore longer drives and therefore fewer drives, this game can easily come down to whichever team makes the fewest TOs.
The waiting is the hardest part.
I'm a bit concerned about the possible game script. If the weather is quite poor; meaning cold, very windy, and snowing this could severely impact the Bills passing game. I think this negates are huge advantage for the Bills.
I myself don't want the Bills to get into a possession type run game scenario and game script with Pitt. That's exactly their strength. There's much less room for error here.
I'd rather have the Bills march down the field with a quick striking passing game. Utilizing Cook, Shakir, Kincaid, and Diggs. Get some big chunk plays and mix in the run. Go up two scores and force Pitt to pass more. Perhaps they will be able to still accomplish this.
I hate the fact that weather be reduce the Bills chances of winning.
Side note. A 10 point spread is ridiculously high. Take the points and cash your tickets.
-
1
-
1
-
1
-
-
7 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:
I’m always a bit perplexed by the ‘not getting a team to the Super Bowl in 6 years requires firing’ point…look at John harbaugh. The guy has won one in 16 years
Look at Mike Tomlin…hasn’t sniffed the Super Bowl in 14 years and won one in 17 total years
Kyle shanahan has been to one superbowl in 6 years and also had an epic collapse as OC of the falcons
McCarthy hasn’t been to one in the last 12 years and has 1 in 25 years coaching
Reid has won 2 in 24 years(unless offensive assistant counts)
that’s the longer tenured guys in the playoff field and they’ve won 5 superbowls in like 90 years coaching 😂. That’s an average of 1 win every 18 years or so
There's a couple of huge discrepancies here. Those guys have won a SB. Once you win one the bar kind of changes. Fair or not that's the way it's progressed.
Secondly, the bar changes when you have a top three QB in the league. The bar and expectations change. Fair or not that's the way it progressed.
I don't think it's an unreasonable expectation to think the Bills should have at least made a SB appearance during Allen's tenure. Do you?
IMHO, it's clear the team has fallen short of its goals, especially during the last two years. Sure injuries and unforseen circumstances contributed. Luck hasn't been kind to the Bills.
Nevertheless, McD and Beane hasn't come close to sniffing a SB appearance let alone win one. Until then, I think it's fair game to criticize the regime.
Perhaps, you think the bar is set too high. Perhaps, you are satisfied with regular season victories and AFC titles. I get that and I enjoy that as well. However, don't you want more? Don't you think the Bills should have achieved more? Where is the line drawn? When is enough enough? What is the standard? Is SB or bust fair?
Lots of difficult decisions to answer. No one knows the outcome and future here.
What's known is fans of Buffalo badly want a Lombardi. Badly want to represent the AFC. Until then there will always be criticism and unsatisfied fans. Don't get me wrong, we fans will always support and follow the team. Almost to a flaw. The Bills are part of Buffalo. In a sense, we eat, sleep, and think about Bills football. It's a major part of the community. Bills Mafia is real. Is there any other fan base that deserves more?
Go Bills!!!
-
2 hours ago, PromoTheRobot said:
I think it could go this way. Steelers, then Chiefs, while the Browns D stops the Ravens. Browns at Bills in an epic AFCC in Buffalo.
Let's beat Pitt first.
-
1
-
1
-
-
23 minutes ago, Beck Water said:
Hi.
I appreciate your optimism, and you have the caveat "Bills fan" and "in their right mind", but don't tell people they're slinging mud to sling it for saying "I think there is a portion of TBD that hate McDermott so much that they want a loss on Sunday.", when some of us have legit seen that sentiment expressed either here, or by forum members in their Twitter or X or other social media. I mean, you can say "well they're not Bills fans then" or "well they're cray cray then" but it's been indicated.
You do realize that rational human beings can have a different viewpoint, and feel that discussing what happens if the Bills lose when the game hasn't even been played yet is negativistic bull****?
I mean, yeah, you think it's something worth discussing and it's your right as a board member to start whatever discussion thread you want, but other rational human beings can think it's defeatist ca ca, and that's their right too.
I see it much differently than you but I respect your viewpoint.
Not sure why it's bothersome or negative to talk about if the Bills losing and it's ramifications.
Yet, I'm fairly certain you would welcome with open arms a thread that talks about the Bills winning and the next step in the playoffs.
Both topics are appropriate to discuss, elaborate, and illicit opinions.
I do stand by my previous statement of slinging mud. It was a cheap shot at McD dissenters with no proof whatsoever to an outlandish claim.
I just can't fathom a Bills fan desiring a loss to Pitt for the sake of McD. That's just unreasonable and a huge thinking error. Anyone who takes this viewpoint at TBD please come forward. Let's see who you are and how many. Let's get some proof.
-
1 hour ago, Dick_Cheney said:
Did Sean McDermott write this? Kinda sounds like you need to take a little bit of a step back from things.
Chill out man. I totally expect the Bills to win. I've acknowledged what this team has accomplished in numerous, probably repetitive posts over the last several weeks. It's a valid question to consider if we are shockingly upset. Also worth remembering that nothing we say or do here on a message board has any impact whatsoever on anything involving this team. Nobody here is undermining anything this team has accomplished at all.
I happen to think your very question in the thread is 100% valid. I didn't see it as negative, disrespectful, or condescending. It's kind of the elephant in the room scenario.
I mean did anyone hear Josh Allen after the game. He flat out said the AFC division title is nice but it's not the goal. It's about moving on and beating Pitt. Progressing towards the SB.
Yes, the team went on a great run to accomplish the AFC title. However, losing to a vastly inferior Pitt team at home would be demoralizing and almost disastrous. Truthfully, I don't even want to go here. Thus, the elephant in the room.
-
1
-
-
2 hours ago, Low Positive said:
I think there is a portion of TBD that hate McDermott so much that they want a loss on Sunday.
I don't think this is the case. It's really difficult to hate or dislike McD the person. I won't go into detail but it's pretty clear he's a man of religion and character. Sure seems to be a compassionate man.
I think the McD dissenters comes from his playoff blunders, Xs and Os mistakes, and not getting the team to the SB.
Both are vastly different criteria. No Bills fan in there right mind would advocate for a loss on Sunday for the reason of disliking McD.
I think your post is really disturbing. Slinging mud to sling it has no place here.
Go Bills!!!
-
2
-
-
3 hours ago, CaptnCoke11 said:
Probably fire the special teams coach or something. Nothing will really change
There will be talk about how they were emotionally drained after going on their run. Injuries hurt the team. Then McD and Beane will sell you some more fools gold. Who's buying?
-
27 minutes ago, Cheektowaga Chad said:
Think vrabel will be headed to Ohio st
Vrabel would be a nice head coach for the Bills. Tough hard nosed guy. Fits the Buffalo culture. Just don't like that he's not offensive minded. No huge advantage over McClapper. Hard pass.
-
1
-
-
17 minutes ago, Big Turk said:
We should have beat the Dolphins by a similar 48-20 score based on the game...we were the only reason it was close. Dropped TDs, wide open TD throw missed, turnovers, end of half nonsense, etc...
By all rights the game should have been a laugher by early 3rd quarter.
Agree 100%. The numbers back this up too. Allen was 30-38 for 350 yards. The running game with Allen was decent too especially in big 3rd and 4th downs.
Yet, the Bills offense only mustered 14 points. Not good! The offense during this 5 game winning streak hasn't been particularly good or clicking on lots of cylinders.
The Bills defense has been very good. The poor Steeler offense shouldn't be very successful on Sunday.
The best path for a Steeler win is the Bills beating themselves.
-
20 minutes ago, ngbills said:
Weather is bad. Rudolph at QB. They are going to feed Harris and Warren and try to keep our O off the field. They were at 70% last week vs Balt.
Also, look for a quick strike to Perkins or Johnson.
-
23 minutes ago, HeHateMe said:
I just can't see Najee Harris beating us...
Probably true.
Can you see the Bills beating themselves?
-
30 minutes ago, Warcodered said:
Yeah I don't get this at all, we wanted home games, guess what this is the kind of weather you get at home in Buffalo during the Playoffs, we've been working all year on being able to run the damn ball and being able to stop it too so why don't we just ***** do that. Hell if we have to throw we've got the guy with an arm who can do it better than any one in these conditions.
Depends on how bad the conditions are. The Bills have the obvious better QB by leaps and bounds. As a result, the Bills passing game is a huge advantage. I've seen reports of wind gusts up to 50mph and winds in the 15 mph to 25 mph range. Even Allen with be hampered by these types of winds. So yes the conditions very well can negatively effect the Bills more than Pitt.
Hope that helps.
4 minutes ago, Bob Chandler's Hands said:I am curious how this turns out. In the regular season or during the drought years, for sure. Maybe more than 25%.
But in 2024 for a playoff game, perhaps less?
Steeler fans will travel they always do. They are a great fan base. No way will they make Highmark Stadium a home game.
-
1 hour ago, Mr. WEO said:
If bad weather favors the running game, then the Steelers aren't in great shape. Rudolph's 1 TD per game won't help. He's going to get lit up.
He might get lit up and still win the game. The Pitt plan is pretty simple. Run the rock, make a few explosive passes, play great d, and get turnovers. Win ugly. They can if they get the bad version of the Bills.
-
1
-
-
4 hours ago, John from Riverside said:
One game at a time Pittsburgh is not gonna be a cakewalk
I agree. I'm not even thinking about the potential next opponent. This Bills team has won some pretty ugly games. Last five games they have won.
Chiefs: Very fortunate to win. Offense struggled.
Cowboys: Great win!
Chargers: Very fortunate to win. Offense struggled.
Patriots: Very fortunate to win. Team looked off.
Dolphins win: Too many turnovers. Big special team's play was a game changer. Escaped with a win.
Have the Bills really played well in their current 5 game winning streak? The offense continues to be a big question mark. Whether it's drops, poor protection, Diggs question marks, and or bad Allen
The Bills defense has been able to finish out the games. Nevertheless, winning 5 straight is very impressive even if it's mostly ugly. The resilience of the team is quite impressive.
On paper, the Bills are a much better team than Pitt. They should win the game.
-
6 hours ago, Process said:
I'd feel confident vs all three but with a choice I'd take Houston. Looks like we have a week of cold and crappy weather coming up which I think Stroud would struggle with. Plus McDermott vs a rookie QB.
I don't see how Miami beats KC though.
What makes you think Stroud would struggle any more than the norm? He did play plenty of bad weather games at Ohio St.
-
16 minutes ago, billsfan714 said:
Accuweather:
SUNDAY, JANUARY 14
Day
1/14
24°Hi
RealFeel® -1°
RealFeel Shade™ -1°
Cloudy, windy and colder with snow tapering to flurries
Max UV Index1 Low
WindW 28 mph
Wind Gusts50 mph
Probability of Precipitation85%
Probability of Thunderstorms1%
Not great for the passing game. Weather advantage to the Steelers.
-
1
-
-
46 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:
They ran 9 plays in the 2nd half before the final drive
Because the bix was crowed and McDaniel's thought he best path to victory was throwing. Come on Mikie it's not that hard to understand. You asked what adjustments that was it.
17 minutes ago, Big Turk said:Poyer said after the game in an interview they went more single high safety to bring a guy in the box to disrupt their run game and basically told Tua to beat them. He couldn't.
People killing the Fins for not running more but Tua did was he was supposed to do and that is not try and run against a heavy box and throw due to a numbers advantage.
They had 3 carries for 7 yards in 2nd half. Bills were crashing the LOS hard.
McDaniels had no answer once Bills took away what was working in first half.
I hope Mikie gets it.
-
30 minutes ago, Miyagi-Do Karate said:
theoretically, I agree with you. But knowing our team, that aggression will lead to that Steelers defense scoring on some strip sack or pick 6.You can't play scared or not to lose. When you are the better team you stay aggressive and put the inferior team away early. You have to trust the players to execute. My real concern is the weather might negate aggressive play calling.
-
2 hours ago, Beck Water said:
I don't think folks here appreciate yet just how masterful the defensive adjustments made by the Bills were, or how effective they were in the 2nd half of yesterday's game.
And this was missing our best DB and the backup linebacker who was "making it work" in Dodson.
I echo this sentiment totally. I'd take it a step further and advocate a similar thesis for the last 5 or 6 games. The McD D has been the key to the current run. They definitely have been closing out games unlike in the past. I was critical that his defense was unable to finish. However, I have to give him his flowers.
3 minutes ago, Mikie2times said:What was the adjustment in your eyes?
He crowed the box to stop the run. Forcing Tua to beat him with his arm.
Bill Belichick officially done in NE
in The Stadium Wall
Posted
Interesting. Wondering if BB is interested in coaching the Bills? His defense would be just as good or better than McD's and we know what he did with an elite QB. That winning record and recipe is good food for Bills fans. The only way it happens is if the Bills lose this Sunday. Could be the silver lining. I'm still wanting a Bills win regardless.