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newcam2012

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Posts posted by newcam2012

  1. On 1/7/2024 at 1:29 PM, Logic said:

    I posted this on this forum on November 18th:

    "My prediction? Bills go into Miami week 18 with the seven seed on the line and beat the Dolphins, who already have the two seed locked up and don't have much to play for, then the Bills return to Miami the following week for Wild Card weekend."

    The only part I got wrong was the Phins having the 2-seed locked up and nothing to play for, so...things went a touch better than I predicted (thanks, Titans).

    Still...a Bills rebound and a Miami mini-collapse and a big time week 18 showdown against Miami was coming, no matter how down we felt at 6-6. You could just feel it in the air.

    Any predictions for the Pitt game? Maybe you can make me some money. 

  2. 49 minutes ago, Richard Noggin said:

     

    Curious how you'd rate LBs?

    I think the Chiefs lb core is better. Bolton is a stud, Gay is so so, and Tranquil is okay. 

     

    Buffalo only really has Bernard who has been great. 

     

    Player for player I give the Chiefs a slight edge. 

     

    My whole point is people making a blanket statement that the Bills are better than the Chiefs like it's a given. 

     

    Folks, go down the roster player for player coach by coach. I'm not convinced that the Bills are the better team. If so, it's by the slightest of margins. 

  3. 17 minutes ago, Richard Noggin said:

    The Bills offense's ability to operate against KC's tight man coverage and various pressure looks is so essential. If the Bills can avoid early offensive struggles, they can control this contest.

     

    Of course, defensively stopping the Pacheco and Edwards-Helaire combo and keeping eyes AND HANDS on Kelce is important, but I believe Josh and Co. have a chance to outpace an inconsistent Chiefs offense and alter the calculus of this matchup. 

    I don't disagree but I can see the Bills offense struggling against that solid KC defense. 

     

    It's not like the Bills offense has been clicking on all cylinders.  In fact, the offense has played pretty poorly since the Cowboy game. 

     

    Spags seems to do well vs Buffalo. He will bring timely pressure and the Bills have struggled with that often; including during the winning streak. 

  4. 1 hour ago, dma0034 said:

    Score 21 points. Sounds simple but every team that has scored 21 has beaten  the Chiefs this year. Cheifs are 2-6 in games where the opponent has scored 20 points. 0-4 in games where teams have scored 21 on them

    I don't think it works that way. 

     

    I'm not convinced that 21 points gets it done if the weather is decent. 

    • Agree 1
  5. 1 hour ago, SCBills said:

    It’s not that deep .. we’re better than them.  Go out there and prove it. 
     

    1) Allen, limit the nonsense 

     

    2) McDermott, show us why you took over the defense

    What makes you think we are better than them? Seriously, no joking here. 

     

    QB - Even

     

    RBs - Even

     

    WRs - Buffalo

     

    TEs - KC

     

    Oline - KC

     

    Dline - Even

     

    Secondary - KC

     

    Special teams - Even

     

    Coaching - KC

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  6. 1 hour ago, Wizard said:

    First, let's rip apart the Steel Curtain on Monday. Then, let's cook the Chefs. 🙂

     

    For those that know the intricacies and nuisances of schemes and attacking a team's weakness, what is the template for the Chiefs?

     

    I don't like them having two extra days of recovery and two more days of Coach Reid game planning.

     

    We are the better team, but until they're knocked out, they are the Champs.

     

    For me, the two biggest factors:

     

    1.  1 turnover or less

    2.  Control the Clock

     

     

     

    Are we really the better team? I think it's pretty close. 

    1 hour ago, GoBills! said:

    Mahomes didn’t look good in the red zone when it was man to man with pressure. I was shocked how many fields goals they had to settle for. 
     

    Also the whole team drops passes worse than anyone one of our guys even Knox. 

    KC dominated the Dolphins. It was really never in doubt after half time.

     

    Their defense is really good. 

     

    On offense they have an emerging WR and Kelce still is dangerous but seems to have lost a little. Pacheco runs hard. 

     

    Yes the Chiefs definitely struggled in the red zone. 

     

    If the Bills and Chiefs meet up next week it's gonna be a dog fight. Slight edge to the Bills due to being at home. Basically, flip a coin

     

    1 hour ago, Locomark said:

    1) play with a lead

    2) spy Mahomes a lot 

    3) don’t blitz every pass play and play cover 1 or 0 like the Miami stooges do 

    4) beat them in special teams— it seems like they always find 1 or 2 big plays out of their special teams in the playoffs 

    You gotta get pressure on Mahomes with your front four. He just kills the blitz. 

    • Agree 1
  7. 1 minute ago, RobbRiddick said:

    Amazing how teams can go from laughing stock to playoff success in one year. People were making jokes about Houston when they accidentally won that last game of the season to lose the number 1 pick

    When you land an elite QB this is what should happen. 

     

     

  8. 16 minutes ago, BigAl2526 said:

    The one thing I don't like about the decision is the short week it will give the Bills to prep for the division round assuming they beat Pittsburgh.  Buffalo's potential opponents next weekend all play today.  The fact that Buffalo's opponent next weekend will have played their wild card weekend game today (Saturday) makes it even worse.   

    I hear you but overall the move to move the game to Monday is a huge win for Buffalo. 

     

    Pitt is the only game that counts. This move makes our offense more functional and dangerous. It gives back a huge edge to the Bills. If the Bills played on Sunday the Steelers chances would have increased on game script alone. 

     

    I think the Bills team is pretty resilient. They should be able to handle one day less of rest. I think we fans and players have been salivating to play KC in a home game. They should be ready to play regardless of a day less rest no matter the opponent. 

     

    I think the only real derailment would be an injury to a key player. 

  9. 42 minutes ago, Beck Water said:

     

    So which logical fallacy is this?  I'm losing track...I probably need to write myself a list I can consult while reading various posts here.

     

    First you start out with "no human can pass in the wind conditions being forecast".  Then it's pointed out, with historical weather data, that Josh in fact did pass in pretty much those weather conditions in the Dec. 21 Patriots game, so, he probably can pass in those wind conditions.

     

    Now you exaggerate the factual counterpoint to "no worries" and "literally sling that ball in a tornado" and "pass for over 300 yards".

     

    I know that's a logical fallacy you're perpetrating here, but I'm losing track of which one.

     

     

     

    I'm very complicated to figure out. 

     

    I'm going to just read posts for a couple of days and cool it. 

     

    I don't wanna get on people's nerves or crusade. 

     

    Peace out for now. 

     

    Go Bills!!!

  10. 23 minutes ago, Turk71 said:

    According to AccuWeather as of now they are calling for 55 mph winds and snow possibly measured in feet for the game. That's not just bad weather....that is extremely dangerous deadly weather. Heavy snow and 50+ mph wind =complete whiteout, can't see your hands in front of your face. If that forecast is accurate I don't see how they can even play the game in those conditions. 

      80,000 people on the roads to and from the game...some people are likely to die .

      Before you say I don't know about snow....

      I grew up in S Buffalo and was 15  during the Blizzard 77. We went out in the whiteout and you literally could not see a thing. You would walk right into a tree or parked car before ever seeing it. When it finally cleared I went out the 2nd floor window with a shovel to dig out the front door. I also lived in a cave at 8000' ft in Park City for 2 ski seasons in the late 80s. The cave was just above town near the ski run, I'd wake up and ski down to the town lift on Main St. The rent was $0😉

    I've been in many whiteout conditions...you cant even see  where you are going and you  definitely can't drive.

    This sucks....I hope they are wrong

    There is a chance that the heaviest bands miss Orchard Park but currently not looking that way

    Come on man! We have Josh Allen. No worries about heavy snow and heavy winds. He can literally sling that ball in a tornado. He will likely pass for over 300 yards this game and run for another 50. 

     

    It's Josh Allen my friend. 

    ⛷️🏋️💰🧤👑⛏️💲⛷️

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  11. 18 minutes ago, Success said:

     

    With the way this season has gone, and just about every game coming down to a play or 2 - maybe flukey helps us.

     

    Maybe, but I have to think a terrible weather day usually helps the inferior team. Pitt is just that. 

    12 minutes ago, rayray808 said:

    Perfect weather = Mason Rudolph goes for a deep shot once in awhile

    Bad weather = Mason Rudolph goes for mid passes once in a while

    Awful snow/wind = Mason Rudolph hardly ever passes and if he does - quack quack quack Mr. Ducksworth

     

    Perfect weather = Allen passes and runs for first downs

    Bad weather = Allen passes and runs for first downs

    Awful snow/wind = Allen passes and runs for first downs

     

    This weather helps us. Don't get overly concerned about it.

     

    If the wind is over 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph the passing game is virtually dead or at least severely hampered.

     

    No man can pass in those conditions. It is concerning despite your spin. 

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  12. 3 hours ago, SWATeam said:

    You want to show some stats to backup these claims?  I don't see anything where PIT is a much better- if better at all- run team.

    Harris rushed for 1,035 yards for an average of 4.1 yards a carry. 8tds

     

    Warren rushed for 784 yards for an average of 5.1 yards a carry. 4 tds

     

    Harris 29 catches for 170 yards.

     

    Warren 69 catches for 370 yards . 

     

    Last 3 games Steelers ran for 155 yards vs Baltimore, 202 yards vs Seattle, and 113 yards vs Cinci. 

     

     

     

     

  13. 2 hours ago, SCBills said:


    I would counter that when McDermott can make a team one-dimensional, he’s usually very effective.

     

    I’d go back to the Ravens Playoff game where they were the team with the run game advantage but couldn’t really do much of anything.

     

    That being said.. if we struggle to score, all it takes is a turnover in a bad spot or missed gap and we’re chasing them.  
     

    We also are a middling run defense because McD prioritizes defending the pass.   There really isn’t a reason a DL consisting of Joseph, Oliver, Jones, Rousseau, Floyd and Lawson shouldn’t be dominant against the run if they want to be. ….but they’re going to have to be, especially if Dodson can’t go. 
     

    I think we all know this is a huge advantage for the Steelers if the conditions severely limit our passing attack.   

    Well said. 

  14. 10 minutes ago, SCBills said:


    Id almost rather see Fournette and Johnson in this game. 
     

    Hopefully Cook proves me wrong.

     

    Dropping passes, fumbles and open field stop/go moves in traffic … not trying to see any of that in a weather game. 

    I'm not sure if some know the how bad the weather conditions favor the Steelers. Let me try to make my points. 

     

    The Steelers are all run team and a good run team. They aren't easy to stop. Their schemes are complex, diverse, and hard to predict. They employ gap, zone, and power running. It's an absolute strength of theirs. 

     

    Is the Buffalo D vs the run suspect? Absolutely, I think it's safe to say they are a middling run stop D. That's probably being a little kind. 

     

    Let's talk Buffalo's run game. Cook has absolutely sucked since the cowboy game. That was a one off for sure. I believe in the last 3 games he's average the lowest yards after contact for RBs. Not to mention his ball control issues. I think we are all going to cringe and hold our breath when he gets the rock. 

     

    How effective will Allen be running? How often will he be a designed runner? Will the Steelers have a spy? 

     

    If there is serious wind the Bills pass game will be severely downgraded. Huge tactical loss for the Bills! 

     

    Joe Marino made a statement that really stick in my head. He stated  "don't let Pitt control the game script." I agree 100%. The problem is the weather is likely to control the game script for Pitt!!!

     

    As for myself, I don't want to get into a running game match with Pitt. This is a recipe to lose. 

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  15. 2 hours ago, Generic_Bills_Fan said:

    I don’t think there’s as big of a distinction between a big time regular season game and a playoff game as people make it sound.  We’ve been playing playoff football for weeks now against playoff teams battling for seeding and the defense has played well.  

    All the talk about Pitt has been interesting to me…you’d think they are calling the army offense and just running every play lol. Really their running game has been mediocre and they’ve been getting it done throwing when the box gets crowded 

    So we already won the SB then with the winning streak? 

     

    Yes it makes a difference. It's still a different animal. 

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